Impact Evaluation CDIE United States Agency for International Development CONTENTS Background..........................2 Program Elements..............3 Impact.....................................7 Program Performance.....10 Lessons Learned..............15 REDUCING URBAN AND INDUSTRIAL POLLUTION IN CHILE The Chile Environmental Pollution Prevention Project demonstrated that industrial firms can save money while reducing pollution. But the effort had mixed results: it lacked an institutional base to sustain and replicate benefits, and missing was sufficient regulatory muscle (fines and penalties) to encourage pollution prevention. SUMMARY n Chile’s capital of Santiago, the summer sun rises over a hazy, smog-filled sky. The sky darkens as the day progresses and often turns a light brown. In winter, air quality is even worse, and visibility drops sharply. A ring of mountains and thermal inversions trap pollution in a choking cloud over the city. But the mountains and air currents are not the whole problem. Twenty years ago the air was relatively clean. That was before economic growth accelerated sharply. A rapid increase in industrial production and a major increase in truck, bus, and auto￾mobile traffic are all pumping pollutants into the air. The result is a high level of respiratory problems, sickness, and premature death. Air pollution is a clearly visible health problem. An unseen and possibly greater problem exists with water pollution. Industry sends its wastes into rivers and municipal sewage systems. These often contain hazardous chemicals and metals (lead, chrome, nickel, copper) that cause neurological damage and cancer. Although municipal sewage systems exist in all major Chil￾ean cities, only 5 to 15 percent of sewage is actually treated. The rest is pumped raw into rivers or the ocean. Solid indus￾trial waste, often containing hazardous chemicals, is sent to landfills, where it may percolate into the aquifer and drink￾ing water. High bacterial levels in drinking water cause diar￾rheal diseases. Waterborne chemicals and heavy metals are creating longer term health problems, which will be seen in PN–ACG–619 I December 2000 2 increased morbidity and mortality in the near future. In 1991 USAID launched the Environmental Pol￾lution Prevention Project. EP3 was designed to reduce pollution at its source by introducing cleaner industrial production processes, and re￾ducing and reclaiming industrial waste. The improved processes were designed to reduce pollution while saving money for industrial firms. In April 2000, a three-man team from USAID’s Center for Development Information and Evaluation (CDIE) completed an assessment of EP3. It found a number of achievements. For example, nearly 2,500 people received train￾ing in industrial-pollution prevention, and a cadre of private sector pollution engineering consultants had been created. EP3 completed 26 Pollution Prevention Diagnostic Assessments at individual factories. The PPDAs showed it was possible to save money while reducing pollu￾tion. The assessment recommendations required a one-time investment of $1.4 million by the in￾dustrial firms—but that investment generated annual savings of $1.9 million. Savings contin￾ued every year for many of the companies. Pol￾lution was reduced by 32 percent. Although the project reduced pollution and gen￾erated high rates of return, the CDIE evaluation found several problems. The project failed to in￾stitutionalize the effort, so once USAID funding ended, both sustainability and replication lapsed. The effort also faltered because Chile lacked effective environmental regulations. Without the pressure of environmental fines, many companies were reluctant to invest in pollution prevention. BACKGROUND A civilian government took over from the mili￾tary regime of Gen. Augusto Pinochet in March 1990, ending years of political oppression. Po￾litical change and the emergence of democracy were dramatic. There was also a major change on the environmental front. During the years of military rule, the government had little interest in the environment. Environmental regulations and controls were almost nonexistent. Industrial investment and production were encouraged, with hardly a thought given to the impact of rapidly rising pollution. With the return of democracy, things changed. Just as before, the people can see the bad air and taste the bad water. But now they realize the government can do something about it. They have pressured the government, and it has re￾sponded. The National Congress passed an ini￾tial environmental law in 1993, and other laws and regulations were put in place in later years. Even with new environmental regulations, en￾vironmental quality did not improve because of rapid economic growth. Real gross domestic product (GDP) growth averaged a remarkable 7 percent a year from 1991 through 1997. With strong growth in output, pollution increased at an even faster pace. Benefits, Drawbacks To Test-Case Project The Environmental Pollution Prevention Project (EP3) in Chile was USAID’s first foray in a nine￾country program to abate pollution. As the first undertaking, the Chile project identified prob￾lems and alternative solutions. But being the test case does have drawbacks. Mistakes and prob￾lems provide lessons for other country pro￾grams, but the Chile project bears the learning costs. In addition, it had a short project life— only three years. It started in September 1993, slowly geared up, moved into rapid implemen￾Team Leader: Joseph M. Lieberson Team Members: Gene M. Owens, Mark G. Hodges 3 tation, and then closed down in October 1996, without any follow-on program. That was be￾cause Chile graduated from USAID assistance in 1996, bringing EP3 to an end. The project came to Chile when environmental concerns were just surfacing. The few pollution controls that existed addressed “end of pipe” treatment—reducing pollution at the smoke￾stack or drainpipe. A different approach is to prevent or reduce pollution at its source by improving the production process. If the production process is more resource efficient, it produces less waste. EP3 used this approach, also referred to as waste minimization or clean production. Companies that adopted resource￾efficient production processes were able to re￾duce their costs while reducing environmental damage and improving public health. EP3 was designed to reduce pollution at its source by changing industrial production pro￾cesses and reducing and reclaiming industrial waste. In the latter method, water, dyes, and chemicals are recovered and recycled back into the production process rather than being flushed down the drain. Electricity, steam, and raw materials are used more efficiently, and im￾proved process controls reduce waste and improve product quality. Importance of the Bottom Line To prevent pollution at its source, industrial firms must be convinced that pollution preven￾tion pays—that it is financially beneficial. In￾dustrial firms do not wish to harm the environ￾ment, but they are in business to make a profit. They want to avoid fines and the prospect of being shut down for causing excessive pollu￾tion. But they also are motivated by positive incentives. If low-cost, environmentally sensi￾tive investments will reduce costs and increase profits, firms may take action. The motivation is profit, but the environment simultaneously benefits. That was the EP3 strategy. When EP3 was being designed in 1992 the Chil￾ean government lacked environmental laws, regulations, and institutions. In many countries manufacturers are encouraged to reduce pollu￾tion by a carrot-and-stick approach. The carrot is cost savings; the stick is the threat of fines or a plant shutdown. In Chile such punitive mea￾sures did not exist. USAID decided to go the private sector route and to concentrate on cost savings for firms, rather than attempting to meet environmental regulations, which were not yet in place. In contrast with some other environ￾mental projects, EP3 was not implemented di￾rectly with a Chilean government agency. PROGRAM ELEMENTS EP3 Chile concentrated on technical assistance and training to build knowledge and awareness of pollution prevention and to encourage indus￾try to adopt appropriate technology. It did little in policy reform, regulation, or institutional development. Education and Awareness The project faced a difficult task when launched in 1993. Environmental regulations were virtu￾ally nonexistent; those that did exist were woe￾fully out of date (one of the main laws, the Law on Liquids, was written in 1916). What few antipollution measures existed were directed at end-of-pipe treatments. The project took on the task of educating industry, government, academia, local consultants, and nongovern￾mental organizations (NGOs) on a new concept: the value of pollution prevention. Absent pol￾lution regulations, EP3 could not count on the threat of fines as a motivational tool. The project had to convince industry that it would save money through pollution prevention. It also had to train local environmental consultants to implement the project and to carry it on after USAID assistance ended. 4 Training and outreach to transfer industrial pollution prevention and environmental man￾agement skills was a central part of EP3. Initially, it concentrated on selected industrial groups to build interest in pollution prevention and to identify opportunities for environmental audits. A second stage was aimed at specific sector training to develop interest among a wide range of in￾dustries: textiles, tanning, mining, printing, chemicals, hospitals, food processing. A third stage was based on the￾matic training, outreach, and awareness building to dis￾seminate lessons learned and to replicate the experiences among other industrial groups, supporting govern￾mental institutions, acade￾mia, and NGOs. Some 2,500 people were trained in industrial pollu￾tion prevention concepts, di￾agnostic methods, and the tools and skills needed by pollution consultants. There were 1,061 from industry, 752 from universities, 309 from government, 252 from NGOs, and 123 from en￾vironmental consulting firms. Training local trainers helped develop local capacity to extend the training program. A continuing benefit has been the emergence of a dynamic and viable consulting industry. Consultants are generally well respected by industry and are continuing to work on issues in pollution prevention engi￾neering. While EP3 increased the supply of pol￾lution engineers, there were problems on the other side: a lack of demand for these specialists. Without the threat of fines and penalties, com￾panies are slow to take action to reduce pollu￾tion. When EP3 was initiated, pollution prevention was not a well-known concept in Chile. While it is hard to draw a direct causal linkage between the project’s knowledge and awareness efforts and pollution prevention, it is clear that the con￾cept is now fully accepted by industry and gov￾ernment. EP3 helped stimulate the change through the preventive message it preached and the people it trained. Technological Change And Assistance To Industry Pollution Prevention Diag￾nostic Assessments, which recommended specific pro￾duction process changes, were completed at indi￾vidual factories. USAID funded the costs of the au￾dits. The costs of pollution prevention investments were the responsibility of the factory owner. Recommended technologies ranged from low-cost and no-cost housekeeping, maintenance, and process changes (such as recycling rinse water or recovering waste materials) to major capital investments (such as new production equipment). Govern￾ment financial incentives such as subsidies, tax relief, or accelerated depreciation were not available. The attractiveness of any measure depended solely on its potential to increase short-term operating profits. Acceptance of recommended changes averaged 40 percent, but it varied greatly among firms. Some accepted nearly all recommendations; others adopted only a few. The key to accep￾tance was the quality and suitability of the au￾dit recommendations, the size of the investment, the cost–benefit ratio of the investment, and the skill and business savvy of the owner and man￾ager. Surprisingly, some factory owners were “A continuing benefit has been the emergence of a dynamic and viable environmental consulting industry. Consultants are generally well respected by industry and are continuing to work on issues in pollution prevention engineering.” 5 reluctant to implement changes even when cost savings and all other indicators were strongly positive. This may have been due to an unwill￾ingness to experiment in an already marginal enterprise, or the firm was unsure about the course of future environmental regulations. A typical case of a small, marginal enterprise was an electroplating factory that faced steadily declining sales because it had lost a major pro￾duction contract and did not adjust to new mar￾ket demands. It was running down its equip￾ment and slowly going out of business. Implementation was further slowed because in many instances it is less expensive to pay dis￾posal fees to the sewage utility or landfills than to install clean production technologies. That is changing, though, with increased fees for land￾fill disposal, special processing fees for hazard￾ous or toxic wastes, and increased frequency and size of fines for noncompliance with sew￾age discharge standards. EP3 did not consider end-of pipe measures or the effects of upstream production changes. This is unfortunate since end-of-pipe technologies may be adversely affected or need to be modi￾fied as a result of changes in the waste stream caused by pollution prevention measures. Fur￾ther, in most processes (regardless of how clean or efficient) there will still be wastes to recycle, reclaim, treat, or dispose of. Regarding end-of-pipe measures, many indus￾tries in Chile have invested in pollution-control equipment such as flares, filters, baghouses, venturi scrubbers, and effluent neutralization systems. These systems must be considered and optimized as part of an integrated approach to reducing pollution. Cross-media effects must also be considered. Solving a water-quality problem may create air-quality or solid-waste￾disposal problems. For example, collecting or￾ganic vapors from the smokestack by a wet scrubber produces a liquid waste that must be reintroduced to the pollution reduction process or disposed of. Thus, one problem may simply be traded for another—but not identified in a project such as EP3 if its intent is exclusively to prevent pollution. What is needed is life-cycle analysis, an inte￾grated approach that considers the industrial process from start to finish as well as product end use. The approach considers process inputs, cost-effective pollution prevention measures, the sometimes necessary end-of-pipe applica￾tions, and disposal or recycling of the product after it is no longer useful. The desired result is a cost-effective net reduction in pollutants. Economic Policies Key Chilean government policy managers were trained at the University of Chicago, noted for economist Milton Friedman and his free￾market approach to economic development. The Chicago-trained economists turned Chile into a free-market model. Chile relies almost com￾pletely on private enterprise and free markets to drive its economy. Government price and market controls, incentives, and subsidies are almost nonexistent. World market prices prevail for virtually all in￾dustrial inputs. The economy is nearly free of price distortions or subsidies that would encour￾age environmentally harmful activities. While almost all other countries subsidize pollution control, in Chile pollution prevention subsidies, concessional loans, or investment credits do not exist. Indeed, they are dismissed by both gov￾ernment and industry as bad policy. For industrial wastewater there is a pollution prevention incentive. The Santiago water and sewage utility (a private company) imposes water charges based on the volume and con￾centration of wastes in the industrial effluent. There are also upper limits on major pollutants. Companies pay the utility for the cost of receiv￾ing their waste—a strong incentive to reduce water pollution. 6 The CDIE assessment team visited 18 compa￾nies, 10 that had received EP3 assistance and, for comparison, 8 that had not. Basically, the economic foundations of EP3 were sound; the market provided the financial incentives nec￾essary for pollution prevention to succeed. The project showed that many companies were motivated to undertake preventive actions to save money from recycling and from increases in efficiency, reduced waste, reduced input costs, and improved product quality. They were also motivated by the prospect of avoiding the costs associated with excess waste disposal. Sev￾eral factors influenced pollution prevention in￾vestments: 1. Companies that were successful at prevent￾ing pollution had physical plants that were clean and well organized. Management was aware of production costs, was developing new products, was interested in innovations, and was aware of what the competition was doing. In contrast, dirty firms had a chaotic factory layout and were not on top of costs or new product develop￾ments. Willingness to adopt clean production measures is correlated with a history of good management practices. The skillful owners and managers are most likely to have a better and more productive operation and clean produc￾tion, and pollution prevention is a natural part of an efficient operation. 2. Managers who expected the cost of waste dis￾posal to increase were making pollution pre￾vention investments as a means to avoid future problems. Anticipated cost increases are due to stricter government regulation of air pollu￾tion or expected increases in the cost of waste￾water treatment or landfill disposal. 3. The adoption of pollution prevention tech￾nologies appears to be accepted whenbusiness￾men believe that costs of noncompliance will be equitably imposed on others in the same busi￾ness. In other words, action is conditional on there being no environmental “free riders” who might gain a competitive advantage. That sup￾ports an industrywide approach to the intro￾duction of pollution prevention technologies and transparent environmental regulations. 4. Most businesses that participated in EP3 were owner-managed small or medium-size firms. Being frugal, managers were reluctant to make long-term investments and generally went with low- or no-cost pollution prevention measures. These were all internally financed. Of the EP3 participants interviewed by the evaluation team, none cited lack of finance as a barrier to adopting pollution prevention measures. Government Regulations And Standards In 1994 the General Environmental Guidelines Law created a legal framework for environmen￾tal management. It formally created the Na￾tional Commission on the Environment (Conama, the Chilean environmental protection agency), which was charged with coordinating the environmental units of all ministries. Zon￾ing is another way to regulate pollution. Indus￾try wants to be in metro Santiago to have access to labor, inputs, and markets. The government wants the most polluting industries to locate elsewhere and has established penalties to en￾courage them to move. Several of the small and medium-size factories that participated in EP3 are in residential areas. Governmental zoning regulations restrict new investments by such firms. They can stay where they are but cannot expand production. In the case of a tannery, it had to use cleaner technologies and a less pol￾luting process. It also had to move the dirtiest part of production outside Santiago. EP3 was by design an industry-oriented pro￾gram with little emphasis on governmental policy or regulatory development. EP3 worked on the supply side: helping create the technol￾ogy and skilled manpower and demonstrating the financial savings that firms could realize 7 while reducing pollution. But the availability of environmental audits, cost-saving technol￾ogy, and trained environmental engineers was not enough. As EP3 progressed, it became ap￾parent that even though the cost–benefit ratio for pollution prevention measures was strong, and environmental engineers were trained and ready to help firms, the demand side was weak. Regulations were needed to spur industry in￾terest. Without the threat of fines and penalties, industrial demand for pollution control mea￾sures was limited. Chile’s environmental regulations were under development and lagging behind EP3. Little of the information developed under EP3 was used by the government as it developed its regula￾tory framework. The need to develop policies and regulations, to involve government, and to broadly disseminate results should have been recognized early in the EP3/Chile program. Failure to take those actions reduced program effectiveness. Institution Building Conama became fully effective after EP3 ended in 1996. During implementation, EP3 concen￾trated almost entirely on the private sector. It did little to institutionalize EP3 lessons in the emerging Chilean environmental agencies. This is not to say that the concepts of pollution pre￾vention, waste minimization, or clean produc￾tion were not well known inside government circles. They were. What is important is that few current government officials were aware of EP3. The assessment team found almost no linkage between EP3 and current environmental poli￾cies and institutional structures. Now there are several dozen government, NGO, and private sector organizations dealing with the environment. During the time of EP3, only a few were in place. In one sense EP3 was ahead of its time, and the institutions were not ready to take on pollution problems. Some might ar￾gue, on the one hand, that the inchoate nature of environmental institutions in Chile during EP3 made it difficult to identify which institu￾tions would develop and become effective. Efforts to identify institutions might have dis￾sipated EP3 technical efforts that were raising awareness of pollution prevention in the private sector. Others might argue, on the other hand, that new institutions can often provide new op￾portunities to exercise a positive influence. A more proactive effort to engage government policymakers might have reaped benefits. IMPACT The real test of any aid project is its impact— what the benefits were and how they were achieved. The cost of achieving impact is also important. For pollution prevention activities, this includes financial costs and benefits to in￾dustrial firms and environmental and health benefits to the general population. Economic and Financial Impact The concept underlying pollution prevention is to generate less waste at the end of the pipe. Any in-plant practice that reduces or eliminates the amount or toxicity of pollutants before they en￾ter the waste stream will generate environmen￾tal benefits and improve the health and safety of employees. Just as important, the pollution prevention process imparts financial benefits to the factory. Financial returns are generated in three ways: 1) by lowering operating or input costs (through recovery of raw materials or increased efficiency in the use of energy, water, or steam); 2) by using a cleaner production process (reducing fees and penalties for contaminants discharged); and 3) through improved process efficiency (ei￾ther through increased output or by recycling or recovering what was formerly waste). In ad￾dition, there are financial benefits if the pro- 8 cesses result in increases in product quality, fewer rejects, greater productivity of workers, less downtime from equipment repair, or less downtime from safer operations. Twenty-six Pollution Prevention Diagnostic Assessments were completed covering 7 indus￾trial sectors: tannery (3), textile (3), printing (4), food processing (4), hospital (2), mining (4), and chemical (6). Approximately 40 percent of the EP3 recommendations were implemented. Those recommendations resulted in estimated total annual savings of $1.9 million against total one-time investments by industries of $1.4 million. The pollution prevention investment costs were recovered in just nine months. Pol￾lution was reduced by 32 percent, and annual water savings were 1.4 million cubic meters. The average annual saving per facility was $72,000, with an average one-time investment of $53,000. While the savings were important to all the fac￾tories, there were some big winners. Mining and food processing generated 91 percent of the in￾vestments and 91 percent of the savings. Site visits by the evaluation team to one third of EP3 participating firms found that they were interested in no- or low-cost investment, rather than higher cost investments, even when the higher cost investments had much higher rates of return. This was because of their 1) small budgets, 2) short planning and accounting ho￾rizons, 3) unwillingness to move away from time-tested patterns of production or lack of knowledge about new production technologies, 4) lack of management resources to supervise new procedures, and 5) high risk aversion. The greatest financial returns accrued to larger companies. Those firms were willing to under￾take higher cost investments. Many had link￾ages to or were owned by foreign firms that encouraged pollution prevention. Other successful participants, such as a tannery and a textile factory, have moved into production for export. What distinguishes those companies is not that they readily implemented most of the EP3 rec￾ommendations but that they had the financial capacity to shift their production either into a more diverse product line or invest in newer, more productive technologies. A weak market and increased local and international competi￾tion led to some of the smaller firms’ abandon￾ing pollution prevention measures previously adopted or limiting production so severely that recommended pollution prevention measures were no longer relevant. Table 1 summarizes costs and benefits. Typical savings resulted from reductions in chemical or energy use, improvements in raw-material recovery, improved product quality, and pro￾ductive use of waste materials. Average annual financial returns were conser￾vatively estimated at 5 to 20 percent by owners and plant managers of the one third of the par￾ticipating companies examined by the evalua￾tion team. Masked in these averages, though, are some postproject cost savings resulting from waste management early in the industrial pro￾cess and not at the end of pipe. Decisions to in￾troduce new methods of waste recovery at the dairy resulted in avoided costs of about $1 mil￾lion by eliminating the need for construction of a new primary sewage treatment facility. As an example of cumulative financial savings, one of the tanneries reported that it reduced water use by 40 percent, for a saving of $4,000 a year; reducing fuel use saved $2,000 a year, and the tannery saved an additional $30,000 a year by decreasing losses of chrome in wastewater to 4 percent from 40 percent. Not included in the EP3 recommendations was an enzyme pro￾cess for biological treatment of hides in lieu of increased use of chemical washing. Savings were $3,000 a year with significant decreases in biochemical oxygen demand in the waste stream. Moreover, clean production improved 9 Table 1. Costs and Benefits From Recommended Pollution Prevention Measures Sector Chemical Food Hospitals Mining Printing Tannery Textiles Total Average No. of Firms 6 4 2 4 4 3 3 26 Percent of Options Imple￾mented 57 44 37 26 18 48 50 40 Percent of Pollution Reduction 35 22 40 23 16 49 22 32 Annual Water Savings (m3 ) 168,140 295,035 0 757,440 0 107,500 91,440 1,419,555 Total 20,650 313,585 n.a. 950,000 3,275 87,200 3,563 1,378,273 Average per Facility 3,441 78,396 n.a. 237,500 818 29,066 1,187 53,010 Investment Size (US$) Average per Facility 6,856 127,740 n.a. 300,445 1,987 32,050 7,044 72,273 Total 41,136 510,960 n.a. 1,201,780 7,950 96,150 21,132 1,879,108 the quality of leather, allowing a higher grad￾ing that commands an 8 percent higher price. Given the small number of companies partici￾pating in the project, and limited replication, one cannot generalize from these data to assess the financial impact of EP3 on Chile as a whole. Moreover, economic events (a major recession, changes in market demand, etc.) appear to have had even greater effects on profitability than pollution prevention measures. Environmental and Health Effects EP3 managers estimated that their recommen￾dations would reduce pollution on average by 32 percent at the 26 factories. The problem is a lack of before-and-after measurements. There were no baseline or postproject measurements of air and water pollution emissions. Although actual net air and water quality improvements attributable to EP3 measures are not known, the 32 percent estimate at these companies seems reasonable—a conclusion based on the sample survey conducted for this assessment. Air pollutants were not a significant factor in most factories participating in EP3. Volatile organic compounds were emitted by some. A more important pollution source was the fuel used in the production process—wood, coal, or oil. A number of companies have switched to natural gas (which is much cleaner) and are also burning volatile organic compounds in the exhaust stack. The switch was driven mainly by the lower price of gas and (to a much lesser ex￾tent) to regulatory pressure. It has resulted in lower amounts of particulate matter and of sul￾fur dioxide emissions. Going by 1998 data, the most notable improve￾ment has been the reduction of ambient sulfur dioxide. During 1998, emissions met all Chilean federal standards, which are compa￾rable to U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) standards and the more stringent Califor￾nia state standards. This is due almost solely to industrial conversion to natural gas and the use of natural gas for local power generation. Particulate matter in the air comes from the fine dust of partially burned fuel and chemicals in exhaust smoke and from industrial metal grind￾ing. When a person breathes these particles, they are trapped in the nose, throat, and upper res￾piratory tract. Small particles are the most dan￾gerous, since they can be trapped deep in the lungs, causing long-term health problems. Annual Saving 10 Heavy air pollution harms human health, es￾pecially in the young and old and those with respiratory or cardiovascular problems. In par￾ticular, young children in Santiago have a much higher rate of acute respiratory illness than those outside the metro area. No baseline effluent or water-quality data were available for this study; such data probably do not exist. It is estimated that 95 percent of all drinking water in the metropolitan area is treated. The real problem is sewage. There is little treatment of municipal effluent (stated to be 5 to 15 percent nationwide), as is evidenced by the open drainage canals running through Santiago. As a result, coliform levels down￾stream of discharge points are high. That is serious, as coliform is a major cause of diarrheal disease (particularly dangerous to children). A second problem is industrial wastewater, which is typically mixed and discharged along with municipal wastewater. Industrial waste￾water contains a wide range of pollutants, including organics and heavy metals such as cadmium, chrome, lead, mercury. This is an im￾portant factor in higher morbidity and mortal￾ity rates, as heavy metals are known to cause a wide range of cancers and neurological disor￾ders. Air and water quality standards are set prima￾rily to protect human health. EP3 helped firms reduce their pollution discharges, meet dis￾charge standards, and thereby improve human health. Proper disposal of industrial waste, including hazardous and toxic compounds, has reduced people’s exposure to air pollution and runoff to surface waters, groundwater, and aquifers. Worker health and safety has also improved. Examples of pollutants resulting from industrial operations audited by EP3, known health ef￾fects, and measures taken to reduce emissions and exposures are shown in table 2. From the assessment team’s onsite visits, it is clear that most firms are reducing air and wa￾ter pollution emissions. Unfortunately, baseline and post-EP3 air and water quality data (and baseline emissions and effluent data) necessary to estimate or quantify impacts are not avail￾able. It is therefore not possible to quantify spe￾cific benefits for those factories or to estimate the overall health impact of pollution preven￾tion measures. PROGRAM PERFORMANCE To be judged effective, a program and its pollu￾tion prevention concepts should gain sustained support from government and industrial groups. Benefits should be sustained and repli￾cated after USAID funding ends. Finally, effec￾tive use of USAID assistance should generate a measurable impact on environmental quality. Effectiveness Effectiveness assesses how appropriate the in￾tervention was in meeting program objectives. Was the program directed to the right group? Were the tools adopted relevant to the context in which they were implemented? Was imple￾mentation consistent in its approach, and was the approach the best way to use USAID re￾sources to get the job done? The institution first chosen to implement EP3 was the American–Chilean Chamber of Com￾merce (AmCham). As often is the case, the choice of AmCham was based on individuals at the chamber who were interested in pollution pre￾vention. When they left, the program suffered. Those who took over lacked the same enthusi￾asm, and the project stalled. In the second year, implementation was shifted from AmCham to a local environmental consult￾ing firm, Qualitek, associated with Environmen￾tal Resource Management, a U.S.–based firm. 11 Both implementing institutions—AmCham and Qualitek—were careful to dissociate their technical pollution prevention activities from debates under way about how to establish and organize governmental institutions to develop and enforce environmental standards and regu￾lations. The failure to engage Chilean authori￾ties in a policy dialog during EP3’s early years is noted by some people as one of its most sig￾nificant weaknesses. The quality of technical assistance was gener￾ally highly regarded. In addition, the technical approach of having one or two international experts working closely with Chilean environ￾mental engineers on pollution audit teams was effective in identifying appropriate solutions for factories and providing a transfer of technology to local environmental firms. The weakness in the approach was that only a relatively small number of industrial companies were reached. Of 17,000 small and medium-size enterprises in the Santiago area, just 26 were chosen for envi￾ronmental audits. The difficulty in measuring program effective￾ness lies in linking the economic gains to the EP3 approach. Enterprises that appear to have benefited most, such as the mining companies, the tannery, the dairy, and a textile factory, are PM=particulate matter VOC=volatile organic compounds BOD=biological oxygen demand (in wastewater) Table 2. Air and Water Pollutant Effects and Measures Taken Under EP3 Industry Tannery Printing press Hospital Electroplating Fish products Dairy and cheese Slaughterhouse Textiles Pollutants l PM l VOCs l Chromium l PM l VOCs l Pathogenic particles from incomplete waste incineration l PM from grinding l VOCs l Chromium, nickel and zinc l PM, ammonia, odors l Organic matter l Ammonia l Organic matter l Organic matter l PM, organic fibers l Dyes Health Effects l Respiratory l Respiratory cancers l Cancers l Respiratory l Respiratory cancers l Spread of disease l Respiratory l Respiratory cancers l Cancers l Respiratory l Increased BOD l Increased BOD l Increased BOD, odors l Respiratory l Cancers Measures l Baghouses l Evaporation barriers, water￾based dispersants l Metal recovery l Change to natural gas firing l Reduced use of oil-based inks l Offsite incineration and disposal l Cyclones and baghouses l Evaporation barriers, water￾based dispersants, recovery l Metal recovery l Venturi scrubbers and cyclones l Recovery of solids l Reduced water use, sale of whey l Wet scrubbers, use of landfill l Reduced water use l Baghouses and change to natural gas for boilers l Nontoxic dyes, reduced use 12 those that were dynamic and capable of modi￾fying their industrial processes to take advan￾tage of changing local and global markets. It can be argued that those firms would have adopted (possibly several years later) many of the pol￾lution prevention processes. In fact, most intro￾duced new technologies and clean production practices beyond those recommended by EP3. Other small, less dynamic firms did not fare as well. Owing to a downturn in the local economy during 1998–99, many held back on carrying out clean production recommendations. This find￾ing flies in the face of the potential financial re￾turns. It is possible that smaller firms have dif￾ferent priorities and less capital and are unsure of the financial merits of pollution prevention, or that technologies may not have generated as large savings as expected by EP3. In general, successful pollution prevention was associated with good plant management. Good managers are those who understand costs, prod￾uct development, and marketing. They did well with pollution prevention. By contrast, indus￾tries and firms with severe pollution problems often had financial problems because of weak management. They were producing the wrong product mix with inefficient machinery. Good managers saw pollution prevention as an integral part of efficient production. They adopted pollution reduction and waste minimi￾zation as a way to save money and improve product quality. There is a tendency for pollu￾tion prevention programs to zero in on compa￾nies with the worst pollution. That may be the way to clean up the greatest amount of pollu￾tion, but it is probably not the best approach if the goal is to achieve a broader impact. Pollu￾tion prevention efforts stand a better chance of success if they identify and work with the more progressive and better managed firms. In sum, EP3’s approach was technically sound but weak in both the scope of coverage and its follow-up. Technology transfer might have been improved by a more thorough investigation of the industries before initiation of technical au￾dits. That would have enabled establishment of an industrial baseline so that improvements, both environmental and financial, could be quantified and valued. It might, moreover, have been useful to target a group of companies in a single industrial sec￾tor, such as food processing or metal finishing. That would allow the project to demonstrate the merits of clean production and make sure it was adopted by a large number of companies pro￾ducing similar products in one industry. The wholesale rather than retail approach would have enhanced replication. It might also have been more effective to start with companies that had greater potential for success or with own￾ers who were more influential within their trade associations. There were, to be sure, external factors that lim￾ited effectiveness. Terminating USAID’s presence in Chile at the same time as the completion of EP3 meant there was little residual institutional support beyond the life of the project. By mid￾1995, pollution prevention was picked up and given financial support by several international and bilateral donors—though most of the cur￾rent representatives were unaware of EP3. Sustainability Sustainability of benefits is a key measure of success for a pilot project such as EP3. Sustainability can be assessed in part by whether people can recall after several years the program and its objectives. The evaluation team was often surprised at how few environmental professionals, other than those directly involved in the project, knew about EP3, its objectives, or its impact. Lack of follow-up with industry, the absence of policy dialog or establishment of strong relationships with government agencies, and failure to link lessons learned to dissemi- 13 nation and training efforts means that the pro￾gram had little long-term effect. EP3 had an important role in helping establish a viable local consulting services industry. The typical EP3 pollution prevention audit consisted of an American industry expert, a Chilean pol￾lution prevention expert, and two or three Chil￾ean consultants who received on-the-job train￾ing in the assessment process. Local consultants were given additional training at the Environ￾mental Research and Training Center (Cipma). Complementing this was a training-the-train￾ers approach. It included short-term U.S.–based training for three persons and industrial engi￾neering expertise from EPA experts brought to Chile for training sessions. In part through EP3’s training efforts, Chile now has a cadre of trained industrial environmental engineers working principally in the private sector and in universities. Many have pro￾gressed professionally to become managers and heads of environmental agencies that have im￾portant roles in pollution prevention. Several have established their own environmental con￾sulting firms. The environmental services busi￾ness started off with a burst in the mid-1990s but has slowed during the past few years owing to the downturn in the economy. Early in the program, Cipma’s training func￾tions proved successful and useful. As a result, Cipma was selected by EP3 to serve as a clear￾inghouse for technical information. It was also to serve as a vehicle for postproject training and dissemination of information intended to sus￾tain the project’s work following termination. But the effort to institutionalize EP3 activities through Cipma failed. The reasons are many, but they centered on Cipma’s status as a mere think tank, giving the group little credibility with government or industry. The philosophy of pollution prevention has been incorporated within the regulatory frame￾work and environmental standards adopted by Conama, Chile’s EPA. The future of pollution prevention and clean production looks bright. Chile’s Ministry of Economy has adopted a wide-ranging pollution prevention program with an initiative called the Public–Private Part￾nership for Clean Production. The aims of EP3 have been institutionalized, and commitments have been made to ensure that pollution￾prevention concepts are sustained. Can these positive results be attributed to EP3? Again, the importance of people who partici￾pated in the project was cited as being influen￾tial in persuading the Ministry of Economy to adopt its clean-production program. Chilean environmental engineers who took part in EP3 were also influential in promoting the expan￾sion of a government-initiated clean-production program. But pollution prevention is a univer￾sal concept. It can hardly be said to be “owned” by a project or program. Many other interna￾tional and bilateral donors provided pollution prevention services to Chile in the interim. They would also surely claim credit for sustaining a program of clean production. Project planners and USAID can be given much credit for recognizing an important develop￾mental need in Chile and responding early in an effective way. More attention to follow-up and to formulation of a plan for sustaining the project after its termination might have resulted in greater sustainability of EP3 benefits. EP3 planted the seed for pollution prevention pro￾grams but was not around to see the accomplish￾ments wrought by its efforts. Replication Replicability refers to the difficult process of extending project benefits beyond the original participating companies to other companies. EP3’s program management recognized that to be effective, industrial audits had to be custom- 14 ized to the needs of participating firms. To over￾come the reluctance of firms to divulge indus￾trial secrets, agreements were made with each participating firm to protect proprietary infor￾mation about that firm’s industrial process. Information and outreach about the pollution prevention processes adopted by firms faced two barriers: 1) the audits themselves were con￾sidered proprietary information and could not be shared, and 2) owners and plant managers were reluctant to share information about op￾erational changes that resulted in cost savings. They wanted to protect their competitive posi￾tions. The evaluation team found, however, that the more influential the person involved in the Pollution Prevention Diagnostic As￾sessment, and also to some extent the more prosperous and established the com￾pany, the more likely the broad, nonspecific benefits were disseminated to others in the industry. For example, the president of the Chilean Tanneries Association took part in an EP3 audit. He con￾tinued to praise the results of EP3’s technical assistance to other members of the as￾sociation and pushed the lessons learned at industry meetings. Similarly, a pros￾perous and well-established textile manufac￾turer who participated in an EP3 audit became a strong advocate of pollution prevention audits within his industry. He did so without divulging specific competitive benefits his com￾pany received. In these instances the reputation of participants enhanced replication of the project’s benefits. An example of significant replication was the Valparaíso Hospital. As a public hospital, medi￾cal staff had little concern about the profitabil￾ity of pollution prevention measures. They were concerned, though, about the effect of such measures on the health of patients and staff, and the maintenance of environmental health and safety in the workplace. The audit led to greater management coordination of medical services in general. As a result, medical staff used EP3’s audit procedures to develop a training and out￾reach program for other medical services at the hospital and for workshops in university set￾tings. The outreach had two purposes: first, to highlight improved measures to handle medi￾cal and toxic wastes, and second, to share sys￾tematic measures to assess and improve hos￾pital administrative procedures for greater co￾ordination of services among medical staff. The reasons are many why replication and outreach were limited. Addressing specific problems of indi￾vidual companies meant that an environmental audit of one firm was not easily transferred to others. Many recommendations were ge￾neric. Except in the case of no-cost or low-cost in-house process improvements, the recommendations lacked specifics of how, where, and when to acquire the recom￾mended technologies. Rep￾lication could have been enhanced if compa￾nies knew not only what technologies to use but also how and where to install them, where to buy the equipment, and possible sources of financing. Promoting American goods and ser￾vices was an explicit objective of EP3, but few sales were generated. A more integrated approach would have exam￾ined the total waste stream, from before the time it reaches the plant through the production pro- “The more influential the person involved in the Pollution Prevention Diagnostic Assessments, the more likely that benefits were disseminated to others in the industry.” 15 cess to end-of-pipe waste-treatment alterna￾tives. This approach might have targeted firms within an industrial sector or within a geo￾graphic area. Such an approach might have led to greater outreach and more expansive cover￾age for industrial sectors and integrated solu￾tions to waste management. LESSONS LEARNED The Chile Environmental Pollution Prevention Project successfully introduced the concepts of pollution prevention and clean production to Chile’s industrial sector. Compared with end￾of-pipe pollution treatment, companies found that with EP3 pollution prevention they could save money while also reducing environmen￾tal pollution. Pollution prevention is now fully accepted throughout Chile’s industrial sector. While EP3 was successful at selling the pollu￾tion prevention message and having 26 factory demonstration efforts, there were some missed opportunities. The lessons that emerge from this assessment are summarized below. 1. Institutionalization. A pilot effort is an excel￾lent way to experiment and test ideas and methods, but it should include a plan to scale up, disseminate, and sustain successful approaches. EP3 assumed that pollution prevention tech￾niques, once adopted, would generate substan￾tial benefits and that companies would recog￾nize the value of the EP3 approach. It would then be adopted throughout the economy. EP3 succeeded in creating a cadre of pollution en￾gineers and working with the private sector. But it did not extend its message throughout the industrial sector and failed to develop close ties with the government or NGOs. There was no effective institutional arrangement to carry on the effort after USAID assistance ended. Design￾ers and implementers of pilot programs need to develop a sustainability plan to ensure that benefits continue once the program ends. That usually requires an institutional structure with adequate funding and skills to maintain pro￾gram benefits. 2. Replication. EP3 helped companies reduce pol￾lution, increase profits, and improve their competi￾tive position. But participating firms were reluctant to share the newly learned techniques with competi￾tors. EP3 recognized that Pollution Prevention Diag￾nostic Assessments had to be customized to the unique production process of participating com￾panies. But each company closely guards its production techniques, not wanting to help competitors. Agreements were made to protect this proprietary information. As a result, there was only limited dissemination to other firms in the same industry. Exceptions took place when the audit was done at a plant where the owner was an influential leader in the industry trade association. Replication will not take place if it reveals trade secrets. A program needs to develop ways to replicate generic pollution prevention approaches. 3. Targeting. Good factory managers are those who understand costs, product development, and market￾ing. They also do well with pollution prevention. In Chile, firms with severe pollution problems often had financial problems, owing to weak management. They were producing the wrong product mix with inefficient machinery. They were the “losers.” In contrast, good managers saw pollution prevention as an integral part of efficient production. They adopted pollution reduction and waste minimization as a way to save money and improve product quality. There is a tendency for pollution prevention programs to concentrate on firms with the worst pollu￾tion problems. That may not be the best ap￾proach to achieve sustained impact. Pollution prevention efforts stand a better chance of suc￾cess if they identify and work with the more progressive and better managed firms. U.S. Agency for International Development Washington To order paper copies of this report, PN–ACG–619, please contact USAID’s Development Experience Clearinghouse, 1611 North Kent Street, Arlington, VA 22209. Or you can phone (703) 351–4006, or fax (703) 351–4039, or e-mail: docorder@dec.gov. A Working Paper No. 313, “Urban and Industrial Pollution Programs: Chile Case Study,” provides additional information and can be called up on the Internet. To access this Impact Evaluation or the Working Paper from the Internet, go to www.dec.org/usaid_eval. Editorial and production services provided by Conwal Incorporated. 16 pollution, EP3 had difficulty persuading a large number of firms to adopt clean production mea￾sures. Many companies viewed pollution pre￾vention as a cost that might not generate any return on investment. Several years later, firms became interested in clean production and pol￾lution prevention when they faced the threat of fines, government sanctions, and penalties charged by the wastewater authority. While both the carrot and stick (cost savings and regulations, respectively) are important in mo￾tivating companies to take action, regulations and fines clearly command the attention of fac￾tory managers and create demand for pollu￾tion prevention measures. 6. Wholesale versus retail. A program cannot hope to reach all firms directly but needs an intermediary to spread the message. There are 17,000 small and medium-size indus￾trial firms in the Santiago metro area. EP3 tried to work with industry groups and trade asso￾ciations, but the efforts had only limited suc￾cess. Instead, EP3 used a retail approach, pro￾viding general public training sessions and working with one factory at a time. It did not succeed in reaching many firms. A demonstra￾tion project cannot hope to succeed with a re￾tail approach of dealing with one firm at a time. Impact will be greatest when an institu￾tional structure (such as an industrial trade association or a clean-production center) exists to disseminate pollution prevention findings throughout an industry. 4. Timing. It is important to be ahead of the wave, but if a pollution prevention program is too far ahead of a country’s environmental consciousness, benefits will be limited. When EP3 was launched, environmental aware￾ness and interest by the government and indus￾try had just begun to grow. Chile had almost no environmental regulations in place. The law requiring environmental impact assessments, the start of enforcement of pollution regulations, and establishment of the government environ￾mental agency (Conama) all took place as the project was coming to an end. Without regula￾tions, or enforcement, EP3 set about selling pol￾lution prevention directly to industry as a cost￾saving measure. That proved to be a difficult task. If pollution laws are not in place, a pol￾lution prevention program may need to work with a country to develop its environmental policies and regulations before it undertakes to persuade industry to adopt pollution pre￾vention measures. 5. Regulation. Cost savings alone may be insuffi￾cient to induce companies to adopt waste minimiza￾tion and pollution prevention programs. Until the early 1990s, pollution laws were few and enforcement was rare. Moreover, Chile had a history of a strong central government with the military in control until 1990. Business lead￾ers and the government still had an ingrained command-and-control mentality. With an ab￾sence of regulations and little concern about