Rift  Valley  Local   Empowerment  for  Peace  II   (LEAP  II) Final  Evaluation  Report Submitted  by: Judith  McCallum,  PhD July  25,  2013 1 List  of  Acronyms C4W  –  Cash  for  Work CoP  –  Chief  of  Party DPC  –  District  or  Divisional  Peace  Commission EWER  –  Early  Warning  Early  Response   GOK  –  Government  of  Kenya IOM  –  International  Organization  of  Migration KTI  –  Kenya  Transition  Initiative KYC  –  Kericho  Youth  Centre LPC  – Location  Peace  Committee LEAP  II  –  Local  Empowerment  for  Peace  II  project MCK  –  Mercy  Corps  Kenya NCCK  –  National  Council  of  Churches  of  Kenya NSC  –  National  Steering  Committee COCS  -­‐  Officer  Commanding  Police  Station PC  –  Program  Coordinator PDF  –  Peace  and  Development  Forum PEV  –  Post  Election  Violence   TOT  –  Training  of  Trainers USAID  –  United  States  Agency  for  International  Development WRPL  –  Women’s  Rural  Peace  Link WYI  –  Wareng  Youth  Initiative YDC  –  Youth  Development  Coordinator YSHG  –  Youth  Self  Help  Groups YYC  –  Yes  Youth  Can 2 Table  of  Contents TABLE  OF  CONTENTS..........................................................................................................................................2 LIST  OF  FIGURES ..................................................................................................................................................4 LIST  OF  TABLES ....................................................................................................................................................4 EXECUTIVE  SUMMARY........................................................................................................................................5 1.  RATIONALE  FOR  THE  EVALUATION..........................................................................................................8 2.  METHODOLOGY ...............................................................................................................................................8 3.  RESULTS  OF  THE  LEAP  II  PROGRAM.......................................................................................................13 OBJECTIVE1: STRENGTHEN  SUSTAINABLE  MECHANISMS  FOR  CONFLICT  MITIGATION  AND  RECONCILIATION...13 Result  1.1  Stakeholder  mapping  and  conflict  assessment  done.................................................................. 14 Result  1.2  District  Peace  Committees  established  and/or  strengthened ................................................ 14 Result  1.3  District  leaders  gain  new  leadership  and  consensus-­building  skills  to  resolve  problems .................................................................................................................................................................................................. 18 Result  1.4    32-­40  district  dialogue  forums  conducted  that  bring  groups  together  to  discuss  and   resolve  joint  problems.................................................................................................................................................... 19 Result  1.5  Early  warning  and  response  systems  established  in  8  districts............................................. 21 Result  1.6  District  and  provincial  leaders  increase  interaction  through  multi-­district  and  regional   forums................................................................................................................................................................................... 21 OBJECTIVE  2: SPONSOR  COMMUNITY  DIALOGUES  AND  IMPLEMENT  JOINT  DEVELOPMENT  PROJECTS  THAT  BUILD   BRIDGES  AMONG  DIVIDED  COMMUNITIES  AND  DEMONSTRATE  TANGIBLE  BENEFITS  TO  COOPERATION .............22 Result  2.1  64  communities  engage  in  dialogue  to  promote  reconciliation  and  identify  projects  for   implementation ................................................................................................................................................................ 22 Result  2.2a  64  community  and  district  projects  are  implemented  that  demonstrate  tangible   benefits  to  cooperation. ................................................................................................................................................ 23 Result  2.2b  Community  members  show  increased  willingness  to  cooperate  across  conflict  lines.23 Result  2.3  Joint  monitoring  teams  are  established  for  all  projects............................................................ 27 OBJECTIVE  3: SUPPORT  YOUTH  INTEGRATION  AND  ADDRESS  A  KEY  CAUSE  OF  VIOLENCE  THROUGH  YOUTH   LEADERSHIP  TRAINING  AND  INCOME  GENERATION  ACTIVITIES ..................................................................................27 Result  3.1  Organizational  capacity  of  local  partner  and  YSHGs  strengthened.................................... 28 Result  3.2  Young  people  gain  new  skills  that  help  them  earn  an  income  and  address  daily   challenges............................................................................................................................................................................ 30 Result  3.3a  Youth  implement  at  least  40  C4W  activities  that  promote  community  development.31 Result  3.3b  Youth  feel  like  they  are  making  a  positive  contribution  to  their  communities. ........... 32 Result  3.4a  Youth  identify  and  implement  at  least  40  income-­generating  activities........................ 33 Result  3.4b  Private  sector  mentors  support  youth  entrepreneurs............................................................. 37 Result  3.5  8  youth-­produced  success  stories  published  or  aired  on  local  media.................................. 38 4.  COST  EXTENSION  RESULTS ........................................................................................................................38 OBJECTIVE  1: STRENGTHEN  TRANSFORMATIONAL  PLATFORMS  THAT  PREVENT  AND  RESPOND  TO  LOCAL   CONFLICTS  THAT  THREATEN  TO  DESTABILIZE  THE  REGION.........................................................................................39 Result  1.1  Reach  of  DPCs  and  LPCs  extended  to  address  emerging  inter-­community  tensions.... 39 Result  1.2  Strengthened  early  warning/early  response  mechanisms...................................................... 40 OBJECTIVE  2: PROMOTE  PEACEFUL  ELECTIONS  THROUGH  EDUCATION  ON  THE  REFORM  PROCESS  AND  THE   BENEFITS  OF  NON-­‐VIOLENCE..............................................................................................................................................42 3 Result  2.1  Electorate  is  more  knowledgeable  on  reform  efforts  consistent  with  Agenda  4  of  the   2008  peace  agreement. ................................................................................................................................................. 43 Result  2.2  Events  and  information  campaigns  to  promote  non-­violence,  especially  around  the   elections. .............................................................................................................................................................................. 45 Result  2.3  Stories  about  reconciliation  documented  and  disseminated  through  Talking  Circles 46 Result  2.4  Quick  impact  projects  foster  cooperation  during  the  election  season................................ 47 5.  SYNTHESIS .......................................................................................................................................................49 CHALLENGES .........................................................................................................................................................................50 LESSONS  LEARNT .................................................................................................................................................................51 EVALUATOR  COMMENTS.....................................................................................................................................................52 ANNEXES ...............................................................................................................................................................53 ANNEX  1:    LIST  OF  RECOMMENDATIONS .........................................................................................................................53 ANNEX  2:    LIST  OF  INTERVIEWS........................................................................................................................................55 ANNEX  3:    LIST  OF  FOCUS  GROUP  PARTICIPANTS ..........................................................................................................56 ANNEX  4:    PROJECTS  VISITED ............................................................................................................................................60 ANNEX  5:    EVALUATION  TOR............................................................................................................................................61 ANNEX  6:    FOCUS  GROUP  DISCUSSION  GUIDE.................................................................................................................68 ANNEX  7: END  OF  PROJECT  HOUSEHOLD  SURVEY ANNEX  8: DATA  SET (SEPARATE  FILE). ..........................................................................................................................85 4 List  of  Figures Figure  1  Survey  response  per  districts .......................................................................................................................10 Figure  2  Respondents  by  age...........................................................................................................................................11 Figure  3  Respondents  by  ethnic  group .......................................................................................................................11 Figure  4  LEAP  participation  of  respondents.............................................................................................................12 Figure  5  Awareness  of  peace  existence.......................................................................................................................14 Figure  6  Awareness  of  existence  of  peace  committees  by  district..................................................................15 Figure  7  Level  of  effectiveness  of  LPCs .......................................................................................................................15 Figure  8  Level  of  effectiveness  of  DPCs.......................................................................................................................16 Figure  9  Disputes  referred  to  peace  committees  by  LEAP  and  non-­‐LEAP  participants ........................16 Figure  10  Strength  of  local  mechanisms  for  peace ................................................................................................17 Figure  11  Interaction  between  district  leaders.......................................................................................................21 Figure  12  Community  Connector  Bridge,  Sachangwan........................................................................................23 Figure  13  Interaction  across  ethnic  lines...................................................................................................................24 Figure  14  Trust  between  ethnic  communities.........................................................................................................25 Figure  15  Tolerance  in  politics .......................................................................................................................................26 Figure  16  Exclusion  by  other  ethnic  groups .............................................................................................................26 Figure  17  Interest  in  sustainable  peace  by  ethnic  group ....................................................................................27 Figure  18  Kesses  Youth  Group  greenhouses ............................................................................................................29 Figure  19  Youth  participation  in  community  action .............................................................................................31 Figure  20  Perceptions  of  youth  participation  in  violence...................................................................................32 Figure  21  Reasons  for  youth  involvement  in  crime  or  violence. .....................................................................33 Figure  22  Member  of  Hekima  Development  Skills  in  kiosk  selling  Amaranth...........................................36 Figure  23:  Map  of  project  area........................................................................................................................................39 Figure  24  Perceptions  of  effectiveness  of  conflict  mitigation  actors .............................................................40 Figure  25  Role  played  in  EWER......................................................................................................................................42 Figure  26  Politically  instigated  violence  in  communities ...................................................................................42 Figure  27  Understanding  of  Constitutional  reforms  by  LEAP  and  non-­‐LEAP  participants .................44 Figure  28  Understanding  of  legal  and  institutional  reforms .............................................................................44 Figure  29  Impact  of  insecurity  in  investment  in  livelihoods .............................................................................45 Figure  30  Areas  avoided  because  of  insecurity .......................................................................................................46 Figure  31  Multi-­‐ethnic  youth  activities  in  communities......................................................................................48 List  of  Tables Table  1  End  of  Project  Survey  District  breakdown................................................................................................10 Table  2  Respondent  by  level  of  education.................................................................................................................12 Table  3  Attendance  at  peace  events .............................................................................................................................20 Table  4  Anticipated  economic  condition  in  twelve  months...............................................................................31 Table  5:  Analysis  of  Determinants  of  Youth  Propensity  Towards  Political  Violence    in  the  Rift   Valley ...............................................................................................................................................................................34 Table  6  Youth  average  monthly  income .....................................................................................................................38 Table  7  Level  of  understanding  of  constitutional  reforms .................................................................................43 Table  8  Media  stories  during  the  LEAP  II  cost-­‐extension  period ....................................................................46 Table  9  Quick  impact  projects  planned  and  implemented.................................................................................47 5 Executive  Summary The  USAID-­‐funded  Rift  Valley  Local  Empowerment  for  Peace  (LEAP  II)  program  was  the   second  phase  of  a  peace building  program  in  the  Rift  Valley  implemented  by  Mercy  Corps,   built upon  the  successes  and  lessons  learnt  of  the  18-­‐month  LEAP  program.    The  two-­‐year   LEAP  II  project  ran  from  July  2010-­‐June  2012,  and  was  granted  a  one-­‐year  cost  extension   with  a  final  end  date  of  July  3,  3013,  enabling  Mercy  Corps  to  address  issues  around  the   March  2013  elections.      The  goals  and  objectives  of  the  cost-­‐extension  shifted, to  reflect the  changed  environment, narrowing  the  program  focus  while  expanding its  geographic   areas. The  primary  focus  of  the  extension  was  upon  the  2013  elections,  with  support  to  the   peace  committees,  community  early  warning  and  the  Uchaguzi  Early  Warning  platform  in   collaboration  with  other  organizations.    The  program’s  initial  focus  on  youth  activities  was   dropped  in  the  extension  because  of  the  Yes  Youth  Can  (YYC)  program  that  Mercy  Corps,   and  other  organizations  are  implementing  in  the  Rift  Valley.    The  project’s  strong  focus  on   strengthening  local  structures,  particularly  the  various  levels  of  Peace  Committees   enabled  it  to  address  the  causes  of  post  election  violence  (PEV)  in  2008. In  its  duration,  the  project  had  two  main  theories  of  change. The  first  theory  was  that  the   economic  empowerment  of  youth  guards  against  their  manipulation  towards  violence,   and the  second being  the  strengthening  of  local  structures  in  response  to  the  causes  of   post-­‐election  violence enables  them  to  sustain  the  peace  in  times  of  stress  –  such  as  during   election  periods.    While  the  extension  period  reduced  its  direct  focus  on  youth  it  did   continue  to  engage  them  through  the  YYC  Youth  bunge  structure,  involving  them  in  early   warning  activities  at  the  community  level,  and  the  Uchaguzi  platform.    Both  theories  were   appropriate  to  the  context,  and  the  project  activities  supported  those  theories by   addressing  the  results  of  the  2008  post  election  violence,  and  preparing  for  the  2013   elections.    Fortunately,  the  March  2013  elections  were  mostly  peaceful, with  some  minor   issues  that  the  structures  were  able  to  stop  from  escalating  (for  example  there  were   numerous  reports  of    along the  Nandi/Kisumu  border).   The  overall  LEAP  II  Goal  was  to  strengthen  the  ability  of  local  structures  to  address  causes   of  post-­‐election  violence  and  promote  sustainable  peace  and  reconciliation  in  the  Rift   Valley  province.  In  each  of  its  three  key  objectives,  the  project  was  able  to  achieve   significant  results: 1. Strengthen  sustainable  mechanisms  for  conflict  mitigation  and  reconciliation. Overall,  it  was  clear  from  the  focus  group  discussions  and  the  interviews  that  the  program   had  achieved  this  objective  by  strengthening  of  a  variety  of  community  structures,   particularly  the  peace  committees,  from  the  district  to  the  sub-­‐location,  as  well  as  other   structures  such  as  elders,  women,  youth  and  religious  groups  in  the  community.    The   LEAP  team  effectively  utilized  a  training  of  trainer’s  (TOT)  approach  to  training,  which   gave ownership  to  the  District  Peace  Committees  in  terms  of  cascading  the  training   downwards,  while  at  the  same  time  expanding  the  reach  of  the  training.        While  there  are   6 some  concerns  related  to  the  future  of  the  District  Peace  Committees  in  the  new   government  structure,  focusing  on  the  other  local  structures  built  the  sustainability  of  the   program.  There  was  a  high  awareness  of  the  DPCs,  and  over  90%  of  the  participants   surveyed  felt  that  the  local  peace  committees  were  either  effective  or  very  effective.   In  addition  to  training,  the  LEAP  II  program  also  strengthened  the  connections  between   the  different  structures,  facilitating  trust  between  the  community  and  the  peace   committees,  and  strengthening  the  relationship  between  the  peace  committees  and  the   government  institutions  through  the  joint  trainings,  support  of  dialogues  and  community   projects. 2. Sponsor  community  dialogues  and  implement  joint  development  projects  that   build  bridges  among  divided  communities  and  demonstrate  tangible  benefits   to  cooperation.     Through  the  LEAP  II  program,  over  80 community  dialogues  were  held  by  the  various   government  structures,  from  the  district  commissioners  to  the  peace  committees,  on  a   variety  of  issues,  with  a  focus  on  the  areas  of  high  tension.  These  dialogues  were  identified   and  driven  by  community  issues,  and  had  a  high  level  of  ownership  by  the  peace  actors.     Mercy  Corps’  support  primarily  concerned  logistical  support  and  facilitation,  while  the   peace  actors  identified  and  organized  the  activities.      The  project  had  targeted  reaching   2400  people  at  these  events,  but  over  exceeded  this  by  almost  double,  reaching  4435   participants.    These  dialogues  were  attributed  with  helping  the  communities  to  reduce  the   tensions  and  build  improved  relationships  between  the  communities.     The  program  also  supported  64  joint  reconstruction  projects  between  conflicting   communities.  The  projects  targeted  particularly  divided  areas,  and  were  selected  by  the   communities  through  intensive  community  consultation  and  dialogues.      Mercy  Corps  was   successful  in  engaging  the  communities  in  the  design,  implementation  and  monitoring  of   the  programs  at  all  levels,  and  in  meetings  with  government  and  community  members.  In   addition,  at  all  levels,  there  was  a  high  level  of  knowledge  of  the  different  projects   supported  through  the  LEAP  II  program.    The  community  connector  projects  had   significant  symbolic  meaning  to  the  communities  visited  by  the  consultant.  This  was   particularly  true  of  the  bridge  that  reconnected  two  communities,  which  had  been   removed  during  the  post  election  violence  in  2008.        In  addition  to  their  symbolic   meaning,  the  projects  were  also  reported  to  have  had  great  practical  value  –  for  example   in  facilitating  children  being  able  to  attend  schools  and  access  to  services  such  as  health   centers  across  the  river. 3. Support  youth  integration  and  address  a  key  cause  of  violence  through  youth   leadership  training  and  income  generation  activities There  were  two  of  different  types  of  activities  implemented  through  the  LEAP  II  program that  focused  on  youth:   40 Cash  for  Work  and  40  income-­‐generating  projects.    In  all  cases,   the  projects were  selected  and  identified  with  the  primary  focus  of  peace building,   building  interaction  and  trust  between  the  different  ethnic  communities  in  the  Rift  Valley,   with  the  secondary  objectives  of  economic  empowerment of  the  youth.    Unfortunately,  the   economic  success  of  the  projects  was  diluted  by  the  peace building  focus,  as  working  with   7 larger  interethnic  groups  posed  additional  challenges,  which  had  to  be  overcome  in  order   for  the  activities  to  be  economically  sustainable  and  successful.    There  was  also  much   higher  participation  in  the  projects  than  were  initially  anticipated;  the  C4W  projects  had   targeted  600  participants,  but  overall  there  were  over  800  participants,  and  the  IGA   projects  had  targeted  200  participants,  but  had  over  730  participants,  showing  the  high   interest  in  such  activities.    In  addition,  the  youth  who  participated  in  the  LEAP  II  project   reported  a  higher  average  monthly  income  than  youth  who  did  not  participate.      Likewise,   LEAP  II  participants  were  more  aware  of  their  monthly  income,  showing  higher  financial   literacy  than  non-­‐participants. In  addition,  while  the  end  of  project  survey  showed  a  much  lower  impact  of  insecurity  on   livelihoods  compared  with  the  baseline  survey,  the  data  also  revealed  that  a  higher   percentage  of  Luo  community  reported  not  investing  in  their  livelihoods  because  of   insecurity  than  other  ethnic  groups.  Likewise,  a  higher  percentage  of  women  reported   limiting  their  activities  because  of  insecurity  than  men. Cost-­Extension The  cost  extension  commenced  in  July  2012,  but  its  results  fit  into  USAID’s  September   2012-­‐August  2013  fiscal  year.    The  extension  changes  some  of  the  geographic  locations  of   the  activities  and  streamlined the  objectives  and  activities  to  focus  primarily  on  the  March   2013  general  elections.    The  project  expanded  into  Trans  Nzoia  East  and  West  Districts   and  Sotik  district  of  Bomet  County,  but  dropped  Keiyo  North  and  Keiyo  South  districts.     The  goal  of  the  cost  extension  was  to  strengthen  the  capacity  of  local  actors  and   institutions  in  targeted  counties  to  develop  and  advance  sustainable  peace,  reconciliation   and  norms  of  nonviolence  based  on  justice,  accountability  and  equality.  This  extension  had two  key  objectives: 1. Strengthen  transformational  platforms  that  prevent  and  respond  to  local   conflicts  that  threaten  to  destabilize  the  region.   Under  the  first  objective,  the  reach  of  the  peace  committees  was  expanded  and  they   spearheaded  the  community  early  warning  system,  which  engaged  a  broad  base  of   participants  from  across  the  communities.    The  strategy  of  using  the  youth  bunges  to   cascade  the  early  warning  to  youth  in  the  communities  was  also  well  received  and  youth   experienced  a  great  sense  of  accomplishment  in  their  ability  to  be  positive  peace  actors   during  the  2013  elections.    The  project  also  worked  closely  with  women,  particularly  in border  areas,  in  a  door-­‐to-­‐door  peace  campaign,  to  address  inter-­‐ethnic  conflicts,  as  well   as  prepare  for  a  peaceful  election.    The  Uchaguzi  early  warning  platform  was  less   successful  than  the  community  based  system,  and  informants  stated  that  the  text-­‐message   platform  had  less  trust  within  the  communities.       2. Promote  peaceful  elections  through  education  on  the  reform  process  and  the   benefits  of  non-­violence Overall,  there  was  little  violence  during  the  March  2013  elections,  and  the  project  was   able  to  support  the  key  actors  (government,  community)  to  address  the  areas  of  tension   8 that  did  arise  in  a  timely  manner.    Through  the  civic  education,  the  participants  also   reported  an  increased  understanding  of  the  Constitutional  Reforms,  with  most  people  of   the  informants  stating  that  they  were  in  support  of  the  reforms.    Likewise,  the  end  of   project  survey  found  that  the  LEAP  II  participants  had  a  significantly  higher   understanding  of  the  reform  agenda  than  non-­‐participants.     Overall,  participants  exhibited  a  high  level  of  ownership  for  the  LEAP  II  program,  with   great  pride  expressed  in  their  accomplishments  in  partnership  with  Mercy  Corps.    In   addition,  while  the  current  political  context  makes  the  sustainability  of  some  of  the   structures  (particularly  the  District  Peace  Committees)  uncertain,  many  of  the  activities   were  designed  with  sustainability  in  mind.    Two  years  after  funding  was  provided  to  some   of  the  C4W  and  IGA  activities,  the  consultant  found  that  the  groups  were  still  active  and   that  they  had  expanded  their  operations  and  activities,  using  the  Mercy  Corps-­‐sponsored   activities  as  the  seed  for  their  current  activities. 1.  Rationale  for  the  Evaluation This  external  evaluation  of  the  LEAP  II  project  and  it’s  cost-­‐extension  was  commissioned   by  Mercy  Corp  for  donor  reporting  purposes,  but  also  as  an  important  internal  document   for  Mercy  Corps  and  its  implementing  partners.  The  importance  of  this  documentation  lies   in   it’s   measuring   of   the   programmatic   outcomes   of   LEAP   II,   as   well   as   inform   future   project  identification,   design   and  implementation,   and   as   to  inform  Mercy   Corp   Kenya’s   strategy. While USAID  had  not  stipulated  a  final  external  evaluation,  the  report  will  also  be   a  useful  tool  for  USAID’s  planned  evaluation  of  its  peace building  activities  in  Kenya. The   evaluation   examines   the   sustainability   and   overall   action   of   the   implemented   activities,  as  well  as  how they measure  against   the  planned  program  results,  impact  and   goal.    It  includes  recommendations  based  on  these  results,  and  necessary  future  activities   in  light  of  the  program.   2.  Methodology This  end  of  project  evaluation  utilized  both  quantitative and  qualitative  methods  in   collecting  data  through  focus  group  discussions,  in-­‐depth  interviews,  visits  to  project   activities  (cash  for  work,  income  generating  and  community  connector  projects),  an  end  of   project  household  survey,  and  a  review  of  key  program  documents.   Twenty  key  informant  interviews  were  held  with  key  government  figures  (District   Commissioners,  Police,  Peace  Monitors)  as  well  as  Mercy  Corps  and  partner  staff  (see   Annex  2  for  a  list  of  interviews).    Eleven  of  the  interviews  were  with  men  and  eight  were   with  women.    Most  of  the  government  officials  were  men,  but  there  was  greater  gender   balance  within  Mercy  Corps  and  partners.    Bias  was  avoided  in  both  the  key  informant   interviews  as  well  as  the  focus  group  discussions,  by  the  Mercy  Corps  LEAP  staff   introducing the  consultant  to  the  interviewee/group  and  then leaving  the  room.  All  of  the   interviewees  spoke  English  therefore  translation  was  not  necessary. 9 Overall  nineteen  focus  group  discussions  were  held  with  a  total  of  109  participants  (53   men  and  56  women)  in  Uasin  Gishu,  Kericho,  Nakuru,  Nandi,  and  Trans  Nzoia  Counties   (see  Annex  3  for  a  list  of  focus  groups  and  participants).    The  targeted  participants   included  Peace  Committee  members  at  various  levels,  youth  participants  in  the  projects,   influential  leaders  in  the  communities,  and  women’s  groups.  Rather  than  one  on  one   interviews,  a  focus  group  discussion  was  held  with  a  project  partner,  Wareng,  as  their   whole  team  was  present  at  the  meeting.      An  interview  guide,  developed  with  the  LEAP  II   team  was  used  to  guide  the  discussions  (see  Annex 6).    As  in  the  interviews,  the LEAP  II   staff  members  introduced  the  consultant  to  the  participants,    then  left  the  group  to  avoid   bias.  In  each  group  a  participant  who  spoke  both  English  and  Kiswahili  was  selected  to   translate  if  necessary. Eight  groups  were  selected  for  visits  from  among  the  different  types  of  funding   mechanisms  implemented  through  the  project  including  cash  for  work,  income  generating   and  community  connector  projects  (see  Annex  4  for  a  list  of  groups  visited).    Some  of  the   groups  had  received  multiple  funding  through  various  mechanisms.  The  selection  of  the   groups  visited  was  done  by  the  project  staff  based  upon  availability  of    group  members   and  logistics  due  to  the    restricted  time  frame  for  field  research,  and  was  likely  biased   towards  selecting  the  most  successful  activities.  However,  they  gave  a  good  overall  view  of   the  different  types  of  activities  supported  over  the  life  of  the  project. An  end  of  project  household  survey  was  administered  in  all  of  the  six  counties  where  the   LEAP  II  project  operated.    The  survey  used  a  clustering  method  at  the  household  level,  and sought  to  include  both  participants  and  non-­‐participants  of  the  LEAP  program.    The   questionnaire  was  developed  by  the  consultant  in  consultation  with  the  LEAP  II  staff  and   other  key  Mercy  Corp  staff  in  Nairobi  and  Washington  DC  (see  Annex  7  for  the  Survey   Questionnaire).    It  incorporated  key  questions  that  were  used  in  the  original  baseline   (September  2010)  the  end  of  project  survey  done  with  youth  (August  2012)  and  the   extension  baseline  (October  2012).      The  questionnaire  is  appended  in  Annex  6.  The   survey  was  written  and  administered  in  English,  with  translation  where  necessary.    Data   collection  happened  from  June  5-­‐10,  2013  by  twenty  enumerators  who  had  administered the  earlier  surveys.    It  was  self-­‐administered  whenever  possible,  with  the  data  collectors   instructed  to  only  answer  the  respondents  questions,  not  suggest  answers.     The  survey  was  conducted  in  18  districts  (current  divisions)  in  six  different  counties;   Trans  Nzoia,  Uasin  Gishu,  Nandi,  Kericho,  Bomet,  and  Nakuru.    The  data  was  merged  into   the  original  10  baseline  districts  for  comparison  purposes.  Two  of  the  districts,  Trans   Nzoia  and  Sotik  had  no  baseline  as  they  were  added  in  the  LEAP  II  extension.      Table  1   below  outlines  the  districts  where  the  survey  was  implemented.    Figure  1  provides  a   graph  of  the  breakdown  of  districts.   10 Table  1  End  of  Project  Survey  District  breakdown Districts where at Baseline data collected Districts today and data collected District merged in the EOP survey dataset Comments Questionnair es received by district % questionnaires by district Keiyo North Keiyo North Keiyo North LEAP presence only in phase I but not under extension 112 7.6 Keiyo South Keiyo South Keiyo South LEAP presence only in phase I but not under extension 147 10 Eldoret West Eldoret W. Eldoret West Phase I and extension 150 10.2 Wareng Wareng Wareng Phase I and extension 127 8.6 Eldoret East Eldoret E. Eldoret E. Phase I and extension 106 7.2 Nakuru Nakuru, Rongai Nakuru Phase I and extension 127 8.6 Molo Molo Molo Phase I and extension 133 9 Kericho West Kericho W. Kericho West Phase I and extension 188 12.7 Kericho East Bureti, Kericho E. Kericho East Phase I and extension 114 7.7 Nandi North Nandi S., Nandi N., Tinderet, Nandi E. Nandi North Phase I and extension 123 8.3 N/A Trans Nzoia E., Trans Nzoia W. Trans Nzoia LEAP presence only under extension but not phase I 69 4.7 N/A Sotik Sotik LEAP presence only under extension but not phase I 80 5.4 Total 1,476 100 Figure  1 Survey  response  per  districts 0   20   40   60   80   100   120   140   160   180   200   Missing   Eldoret  West   Transnzoia   Keiyo  North   Bureti  Kericho   KERICHO  EAST   Molo   Survey  districts     11 Respondents  by  age   13-­‐18   19-­‐25   26-­‐30   31-­‐35   36  and  above   Missing   Data  was  collected  at  the  household  level  by  enumerators  who  interviewed  one  person   from  each  fourth  household.  Respondents  were  selected  to  be  above  18  years  of  age,   although  there  was  a  small  percentage  between  13-­‐18  years  of  age  who  did  end  up   responding  (see  Figure  2  below  for  respondents  by  age).  When  more  than  one  person  was   found  in  a  household  who  qualified  for  interview,  the  enumerator  randomly  picked  one,   through  a  raffle  (if  more  than  two)  or  a  coin  toss  (if  two).    Of  the  1,560  questionnaires  that   were  distributed  (130  per  district  for  12  districts) 1,476  forms  were  received  back,  with  a 94.6%  response  rate. Figure  2  Respondents  by  age The  majority  of  the  respondents  (63%)  were  from  the  Kalenjin  ethnic  group,  which   represents  the  ethnic  make-­‐up  of  the  Rift  Valley.    The  Kikuyu  were  the  next  largest  group   at  12%,  while  the  Kamba  had  the  lowest  representation.    See  Figure  3  below  for  a   breakdown  of  respondents  by  ethnic  group. Figure  3  Respondents  by  ethnic  group The  respondents  were  asked  to  identify  whether  they  had  participated  in  the  LEAP   program.    Of  the  respondents,  41%  stated  that  they  had  participated  in  the  program,  while   59%  had  not  (see  Figure  4).  The  gender  breakdown  of  the  respondents  was  almost   50/50%. 926  (63%)   16  (1%)   178  (12%)   132  (9%)   118  (8%)   77  (5%)   29  (2%)   0   200   400   600   800   1000   Kalenjin   Kamba   Kikuyu   Kisii   Luhyia   Luo   Others   12 Figure  4  LEAP  participation  of  respondents In  terms  of  educational  level,  30%  of  respondents  had  completed  secondary  school,  22%   had  attended  some  level  of  post-­‐secondary  education,  and  just  over  10%  had  not   completed  primary  school.    See  Table 2  for  a  breakdown  of  respondents  by  educational   level. Table  2  Respondent  by  level  of  education Level  of  education   Percent Never  cleared  primary 10.2 Cleared  primary 14.6 Never  cleared  secondary 13.2 Secondary  (form  4) 30.2 Vocational/Polytechnic/College  diploma  or  certificate 22.2 University  degree 7.5 Postgraduate  studies 1.8 Missing .3 Total 100.0 The  survey  data  was  entered  into  SPSS  16  by  Mercy  Corps’  M&E  specialist  Josiah  Mukoya   and  team  of  data  entry  clerks.    Josiah  Mukoya  and  Ruben  Grangaard  analyzed  the  data  and   generated  the  tables  and  graphs,  which  was  further  analyzed  by  the  consultant.     Ruben  Grangaard  and  Jon  Kurtz  from  Mercy  Corps’s  Washington  DC  office  further   analyzed  the  data  using  two  different  statistical  approaches.  Firstly,  they  used  propensity   score  matching  in  an  attempt  to  move  towards  assessing  causal  impacts  of  the  program   and;  secondly,  they  used  a  multiple  regression  analysis  to  assess  correlations  between   program  interventions,  the  intermediate  and  the  long-­‐term  outcomes.  The  regression   analysis  was  done  in  two-­‐steps.  The  first  part  analyzed  the  correlations  of  the  program   components’  (Peace  Dialogues,  Youth  Multi-­‐Ethnic  events  etc.)  with  intermediate   outcomes,  such  as  interaction,  trust  and  security.  The  second  part  looked  at  correlations   between  intermediate  outcomes  and  the  long-­‐term  outcome  (propensity  for  violence). 41%                      59%   Yes   No   13 Using  this  analysis  they  found  that  LEAP  II  participants  that  were  matched  to  similar  non-­‐ participants  had  significantly  higher  levels  of  trust.  However,  there  were  no  significant   difference  between  participants  and  non-­‐participants  with  regards  to  interaction,  security   and  propensity  towards  violence. Finally,  a review  of  key  documents  including  the  quarterly  reports  throughout  the  life  of   the  project,  the  baseline  survey,  the  original  and  cost  extension  proposals,  informed  this end  of  project  evaluation,  and  provided  background  information  for  both  the  qualitative   research  as  well  as  in  the  development  of  the  survey  tool  and  the  analysis  of  the  resulting   data.     3.  Results of  the  LEAP  II  Program This  section  looks  at  the  results  of  each  of  the  activities  as  well  as  their  sustainability.  The   information  for  this  analysis  is  drawn  from  a  triangulation  of  the  various  data  collection   methods  outlined  in  section  2  above. Objective1:  Strengthen  sustainable  mechanisms  for  conflict  mitigation  and  reconciliation   It  was  clear  from  the  evaluation  that  the  LEAP  II  team  worked  very  closely  at  all  levels   within  the  targeted  communities  in  order  to  build  the  local  capacity  for  conflict  mitigation   and  reconciliation  in  the  Rift  Valley.    The  original  LEAP  program  commenced  shortly  after   the  2007/8  post-­‐  election  violence  when  there  were  a  number  of  organizations  that  were   already  targeting  peace  building  activities  in  the  Rift  Valley  province.  However,  by  the   time  of  the  LEAP  II  program,  and  particularly  during  the  extension  period,  most  of  the   other  organizations  had  pulled  out  and  were  no  longer  operational.    The  sustained   support  of  the  Mercy  Corp  team  was  repeatedly  commented  upon  in  the  interviews  and   focus  groups  where  the  program  had  been  operational (LEAP,  LEAP  II  and  the  cost-­‐ extension)  and  greatly  appreciated  by  the  communities.     Overall,  the  greatest  strength  of  the  LEAP  II  program  was  in  the  relationships  between  the   LEAP  team,  the  targeted  communities,  and  the  various  levels  of  government administration.    Because  of  the  strong  relationships  and  the  trust  of  the  communities  at  all   levels,  the  LEAP  team  was  able  to  strengthen relationships  between  the  various   communities  as  well  as between  the  communities  and  the  police  and  provincial   administration.     One  participant  commented  that  in  the  past  the  District  Commissioners  and  the  police   were  inaccessible  to  the  average  community  member,  particularly  to  the  youth,  but   through  the  life  of  the  project,  especially  during  the  extension  period  where  the  focus  was   on  early  warning,  they  were  ‘brought  closer’  to  the  communities  in  which  they  served.     Likewise,  the  Police  Chief  Inspector  David  Apima  in  Fort  Ternan,  having  organized  a   number  of  community  events  with  LEAP  II  support  which  built  trust  and  opened  up   avenues  for  closer  interaction  between  members  of  the  community  and  the  police,  stated   that  working  with  the  LEAP  II  project  enabled  him  to  build  relationships  with  the  youth. 14 All  participants  commented  on  how  consistently  supportive  the  LEAP  II team  had  been   throughout  the  project  life.  One  participant  stated  “Other  NGOs  turn  off  their  phones  when   they  don’t  need  anything  from  us,  but  Mercy  Corps  staff  were  always  available  for  us,  night   and  day.”    The  LEAP  II  team  was  also  held  up  as  good  example  of  a  mixed  ethnic  team  that   worked  closely  and  was  seen  as  neutral  in  the  communities.       A  number  of  training  sessions  were  held  to  build  the  capacity  of  the  various  community   institutions,  and  overall  focus  group  discussions  and  interviewees  felt  the  training  was   both appropriate  and  relevant  to  addressing  the  conflict  in  their  communities.    The   strategy  of  using  training  of  trainers  (ToTs),  both  with  the  DPCs  and  the  youth,  in  order  to   cascade  the  training  down  to  the  community  level  was  greatly  appreciated  and  increased   the  ownership.  It  also  increased  the  reach  of  the  training  as  more  people  were  trained   than  planned  as  the  DPCs  and  the  youth  were  able  to  reach  deeper  into  their  communities   and  train  the  other  levels  of  peace  committees  and  youth  participants. Result  1.1  Stakeholder  mapping  and  conflict  assessment  done At  the  onset  of  the  project,  a  stakeholder  mapping  and  conflict  assessment  was  planned  in   the  five  target  areas.  However,  because  of  the  split  of  one  district  into  two,  there  were  six conflict  assessments  completed.   Result  1.2  District  Peace  Committees  established  and/or  strengthened While  the  project  had  targeted  working  with  eight  DPCs  during  the  first  two  years  of  the   project,  because  of  the  split  of  one  district,  it  supported  nine.      The  project  worked  not  only   with  the  District  Peace  Committees  but  also  with  the  divisional  and  sub-­‐location  peace   committees.    In  the  end  of  project  survey,  over  90%  of  LEAP  participants,  and  over  50%  of   non-­‐LEAP  participants  were  aware  of  the  peace  committees  (district,  divisional  or   location)  in  their  communities,  as  compared  with  80%  who  were  aware  of  the  DPC  in  the   baseline  survey  (see  Figure  5  below),  showing  a  12.5%  change  from  the  baseline  to  the   EOP  survey.     Figure  5  Awareness  of  peace  existence 0.0   20.0   40.0   60.0   80.0   100.0   Yes   No   Don't  know   Percentage  Frequency   Response   %  Non-­‐ par9cipants   %  Par9cipants   15 However,  this  varied  significantly  across  the  districts,  with  the  lowest  awareness  levels  in   Nandi  East,  Buret,  Nandi  South,  Rongai  and  Tinderet  districts.  During  the  baseline  survey,   the  lowest  levels  of  awareness  were  in  Nandi  North  and  Keiyo  South.    The  highest  levels  of   awareness  were  in  Kericho,  Wareng,  Eldoret  West,  Eldoret  East  and Molo  districts (see   Figure  6  for  a  breakdown  of  awareness  of  the  existence  of  peace  committees  by  district).     Figure  6  Awareness  of  existence  of  peace  committees  by  district There  was  a  variance  in  response  between  LEAP  participants  and  non-­‐participants   surveyed  regarding  the  effectiveness  of  the  various  levels  of  peace  committees.    More   LEAP  participants  rated  the  local  peace  committees  very  effective  (64.2%)  as  compared  to   non-­‐LEAP  participants (42.5%).    See  Figure  7 below  for  a  breakdown  of  perception  of   effectiveness  of  LPCs  by  LEAP  and  non-­‐LEAP  participants.    This  indicates  that  the  LEAP   participants  had  more  interaction  with  the  LPCs.  However,  it  is  also  highly  likely  that  the   respondents  were  members  of  the  LPCs  and  therefore  rated  themselves  higher.   Figure  7  Level  of  effectiveness  of  LPCs The  perception  of  effectiveness  of  the  DPCs  was  lower  overall  when  compared  to  the  LPCs,   with  47.1%  of  LEAP  participants  rating  them  very  effective,  compared  to  35%  of  non-­‐ LEAP  participants.  However,  43.1%  of  LEAP  participants  and  42.6%  of  non-­‐LEAP   0   20   40   60   80   100   120   140   160   Buret   Eldoret  East   Eldoret  West   Keiyo  North   Keiyo  South   Kericho   Kericho  East   Kericho  West   Molo   Nakuru   Nandi   Nandi  North   Nandi  South   Rongai   Son9k   ￾Tinderet   Transnzoia  East   Transnzoia  West   Wareng   Yes   No   Don't  Know   Existence  of  Peace  CommiMees   0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   Very  effec9ve   Effec9ve   Somewhat  effec9ve   Not  effec9ve   N/A   Percentage  frequency   Level  of  effecOveness   EffecOveness  of  LPCs   %  Non-­‐ par9cipants   16 participants  perceived  them  as  being  effective.    Less  than  1%  of  both  LEAP  and  non-­‐LEAP   participants  viewed  the  DPCs  as  being  non-­‐effective  (see  Figure  8  for  a  breakdown  of   perceptions  of  DPCs  by  LEAP  and  non-­‐LEAP  participants).     Figure  8  Level  of  effectiveness  of  DPCs In  spite  of  the  perceptions  of  the  effectiveness  of  the  peace  committees,  when  asked   whether  they  had  ever  referred  a  dispute  to  the  peace  committees,  only  31.8%  of  LEAP   participants,  and  10.1%  of  non-­‐LEAP  participants  reported  having  done  so  (see  Figure  9 for  a  percentage  of  disputes  referred  to  peace  committees  by  LEAP  and  non-­‐LEAP   participants).    The  higher  percentage  of  LEAP  participants  referring  disputes  to  the  peace   committees  reflects  both  a  higher  awareness  as  well  as  a  higher  trust  of  the  peace   committees  of  those  who  were  part  of  the  program.  In  spite  of  the  overall  level  of  dispute   referrals,  it  is  important  to  note  that  the  peace  committees’  roles  were  not  exclusively   dispute  resolution,  but focused  also  on  training  of  community  members,  early  warning   and  community  dialogues.      The  DPC  members  also  played  a  critical  role  in  recruiting   individuals  to  join  the  disciplined  forces1.    In  Kericho  West/Belgut  district,  the  DPC  were   used  to  ensure  the  recruitment  of  police  and  the  armed  forces  were  fair  and  transparent.   They  also  vetted  candidates  during  the  interview  process.     Figure  9  Disputes  referred  to  peace  committees  by  LEAP  and  non-­LEAP  participants                                                                                                               1 Police, Army, Kenya Forest Service, etc. 0   10   20   30   40   50   Very  effec9ve   Effec9ve   Somewhat  effec9ve   Not  effec9ve   N/A   Percentage  frequency   Level  of  EffecOveness   EffecOveness  of  DPCs   %  Non-­‐ par9cipants   31.8%   10.1%   68.2%   89.9%   0   20   40   60   80   100   %  Participants   %  Non-­‐participants   Percentage  frequency   Respondents   Disputes  referals  to  Peace  Committees   Yes   No   17 Number  of  public  fora/educational  events  to  teach  public  about  peace  process The  program  targeted  40  public  fora/educational  events  to  teach  the  public  about  peace   process,  and  was  able  to  complete  42  during  the  first  two  years  of  the  program.         The  LEAP  II  baseline  survey  in  2010  found  that  respondents  were  generally  confident  in   the  ongoing  peace building  efforts,  with  33%  being  very  confident,  and  53%  being   confident.    In  the  evaluation  survey,  70.3%  of  LEAP  participants  responded  that  they  felt   there  were  strong  local  mechanisms  for  peace,  as  compared  to  59.3%  of  non-­‐LEAP   participants  (see  Figure  10),  demonstrating  the  higher  confidence  of  LEAP  participants  in   the  local  peace  mechanisms. Figure  10 Strength  of  local  mechanisms  for  peace In  the  focus  group  and  interviews,  most  of  the  participants reported  that  the  local   mechanisms,  especially  the  various  level  peace  committees  (district,  divisional  and  local)   had  been  strengthened  by  the  Mercy  Corps  activities.      However,  they  also  emphasized   that  the  starting  baseline  was  low  thus  more  work  is  needed  at  various  levels.   In  addition,  it  was  reported  that  currently  the  status  of  the  district  peace  committees  is   uncertain  in  the  new  government  structure. MC  was  an  instrument  of  change  and  buried  itself  into  the  communities.  They  did   what  others  were  not  doing  –  building  capacity.  Many  of  the  DPC  members  are  not   educated,  and  so  they  had  to  find  ways  to  get  the  information  across  to  them  in  a  way   that  they  were  able  to  understand  and  then  share  with  their  communities.  Women   can  teach  the  women  and  men  the  men,  youth  with  the  youth.  So  the  strategy  of  using   the  DPCs  as  TOTs  paid  more  dividends  and  people  were  more  interested  in  the   training. Dr.  SK  Wanguru,  Nakuru  County  Peace  Monitor The  LEAP  II  program  was  also  attributed  with  increasing the  level  of  women  and  youth   participation  in  the  peace  committees  at  all  levels.    Mary  Njoki,  the  current  chairperson  of   the  Wareng  DPC  stated: Before  the  DPCs  didn’t  have  women  on  them,  and  they  didn’t  even  allow  women  to   play  any  part  of  them.  The  community  saw  it  was  only  for  the  men  or  the  elders.  So   when  Mercy  Corps  came,  they  said  even  women  can  be  a  chair  and  it  was  more successful  when  the  women  come  out.  So  Mercy  Corps  have  made  us  to  become   strong.  Now  for  me,  I  am  a  chairperson  for  the  whole  district.  Before  this  would  not   have  been  possible.  Now  we  know  how  to  talk  to  people  at  the  grassroots.  And  the   grassroots  recognize  that  we  are  very  strong. 0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80   %  Participants   %  Non-­‐participants   Pecentage  frequency   Respondents   Strong  local  mechanisms  for  peace   No   Yes   18 The  LEAP  II  project  also  took  a  number  of  DPC  members  on  a  cross-­‐site  visit  to  Wajir,  to   learn  more  about  what  the  peace  committee  there  had  been  able  to  accomplish.    It  was   clear  from  the  focus  group  discussions  that  this  visit  had  been  an  inspiration  to  the   participants,  both  those  who  were  able  to  go  to  Wajir,  and  those  who  were  not  able  to   participate.  In  particular  was  mentioned  the  self-­‐sustainability  of  the  Wajir  peace   committee,  and  how  they  had  been  able  to  resource  funds  and  support  from  a  wide  variety   of  sources;  private  sector,  NGO  and  government. Recommendation  1:    More  work  is  needed  to  establish  the  peace  committee  structure   within  the  new  governing  structure.    The  LEAP  program  was  able  to  lay  a  solid  structure   at  the  various  levels,  from  the  DPC  to  the  local  level.  However,  with  the  new  County   government,  the  roles  of  these  various  peace  committees  are  unclear.    USAID  should   continue  to  work  with  the  peace  committees  and  the  National  Steering  Committee  as  they   work  through  these  issues. Lessons  Learnt  1:    Cross-­‐site  visits  are  an  effective  way  for  DPCs  to  learn  from  each  other   and  share  challenges  as  well  as  strategies  for  overcoming  them. Result  1.3  District  leaders  gain  new  leadership  and  consensus-­‐building  skills  to  resolve   problems The  LEAP  II  program  not  only  focused  on  training  of  the  peace  committees  and  local  peace   actors,  but  it  also  trained  district  leaders  in  conflict  resolution  and  consensus  building.     The  consultant  was  able  to  meet  with  four  District  Commissioners  (DCs)  and  one  assistant   to  the  County  Commissioner.  In  all  cases,  the  DC’s  reported  that  the  LEAP  II  program  has   provided  them  with  new  skills  as  well  as  provided  resources  for  conflict  mediation  and   consensus-­‐building.      The  program  focused  on  some  key  areas  along  district  and  county   borders,  for  example  the  between  Kisumu  and  Kericho  counties,  where  the  PEV  in  2008   was  particularly  violent,  and  where  cattle  raiding  between  the  Luo  and  Kipsigis  continues   to  provoke  violence  between  the  communities.  The  program  was  reported  to  have  a  direct   impact  upon  reducing  violent  conflict.    Jamlik  Mbuba,  the  DC  for  Belgut  assessed  that  there   had  been  an  85%  reduction  in  crime  and  ethnic  conflict  since  2010: We  have  a  very  vibrant  DPC  in  this  district –  it  surely  has  assisted  me  in  bringing   peace  and  sanity  within  this  region.  Most  times  we  have  meetings  between  the  DPC   and  the  Nyakach  DPC,  we  bring  them  together  and  I  work  with  Mercy  Corps  on  this.   Mercy  Corps  has  taken  us  for  trainings,  and  also  to  facilitate  meetings.  For  example   before  the  elections  when  people  expected  fire  to  outbreak,  on  two  or  three  occasions   we brought  the  communities  together,  and  Mercy  Corps  provided  a  facilitator  for   sensitization.  They  also  supported  peace  barazas,  sporting  activities  and  gave  t-­shirts   with  peace  messages  to  all  three  communities  in  the  district. Likewise,  the  Sigowet  DPC  reported  that  they  have  been  able  to  work  closely  with  the  DC   in  order  to  stop  the  escalation  of  conflict  caused  by  cattle  raiding  across  the  border: One  time  some  animals  were  stolen  from  Nyakach,  and  some  people  came  and   torched  one  house,  and  people  wanted  to  fight.  But  they  went  to  the  peace  committee   19 and  complained  and  the  peace  committee  told  them  not  to  fight  and  to  rely  on  the   police/law.    So  they  waited  and  the  DC  came  and  addressed  it  and  they  calmed  down.     The  project  had  targeted  training  300  people  in  conflict  mitigation  and  resolution  skills,   and  over  exceeded  this  target  for  a  total  of  330  participants.      During  the  LEAP  II  program,   39  disputed  were  recorded  as  having  been  resolved  by  the  program  participants,   exceeding  the  target  of  32.    With  the  LEAP  II  program  winding  down,  concern  was   repeatedly  expressed  regarding  the  continued  support of  the  peace  actors  to  continue   address  the  inter-­‐communal  conflict.    While  some  of  the  DPCs  felt  that  the  ending  of  the   LEAP  II  program  would  severely  curtail  their  ability  to  continue  addressing  conflicts  in   their  communities,  a  number  felt  that  the  training  and  capacity  building  they  had  received   would  enable  them  to  continue  to  perform  their  duties,  although  they  would  be  limited  in   terms  of  logistics  and  quick  response.    A  participant  in  the  Sigowet  DPC  stated: Last  Friday  we  had  another  issue  –  some  goats  were  stolen,  and  the  peace  actor  went   in  and  negotiated  and  returned  the  goats.  So  they  are  been  accepted  at  the   community  level,  and  wherever  they  talk  they  are  being  heard.     Recommendation  2:   USAID  should  work  closely  at  the  County  level  to  support  greater   integration  between  the  District  and  the  County  level.     The  district  level  authorities  were   an  important  part  of  the  LEAP  II  program.  However,  their  status  is  unclear  in  the  new   County  government.    Unless  their  relationship  with  the  County  is  clarified,  there  is  risk   that at  best,  the  training  and  support  to  the  district  level  could  be  lost,  or  at  worst  the  lack   of  clarity  can  cause  conflict.   Result  1.4    32-­‐40  district  dialogue  forums  conducted  that  bring  groups  together  to  discuss   and  resolve  joint  problems. One  of  the  key  activities  of  the  LEAP  II  program  was  to  bring  communities  together  in   dialogue  fora  in  order  to  address  issues  that  had  driven  the  2008  PEV  and  could potentially  drive  inter-­‐communal  conflict  in  the  lead  up  to  the  2013  elections.    The   program  had  targeted  having  32  events,  and  over  exceeded  this  target  by  three  events  for   a  total  of  35  events.    Focus  group  participants  and  key  interview  informants  all  reported   that  they  had  participated  in  a  number  of  dialogues  at  various  levels,  whether  at  the   county,  district  or  sub-­‐location  level.    The  dialogues  that  were  held  in  the  local   communities  were  reported  to  have  attracted  a  broader  spectrum  of  participants,  than   those  held  in  the  towns  in  hotel  venues.    Many  of  the  dialogues,  especially  those  at  the   border  areas,  addressed  issues  related  to  cattle  raiding,  which  can  sometimes  escalate  into   larger  inter-­‐communal  conflicts  if  not  adequately  addressed  by  the  authorities.     People  do  listen  because  there  were  some  incidents  when  cows  were  stolen  from   Nyakach,  and  found  hidden  in  the  bush  near  my  neighbor  and  the  youth  from  that   community  were  arrested  and  the  people  wanted  to  kill  them.  The  people  from  Kericho   needed  to  revenge.  We  had  a  dialogue  with  the  OCS  and  the  Chief  and  the  people   cooperated  and  they  didn’t  take  revenge.  If  Mercy  Corps  had  not  trained  the  peace   actors  on  how  to  resolve  conflict,  the  conflict  could  have  escalated.  Sigowet  DPC 20 The  community  forums  attracted  much  larger  crowds  than  were  anticipated  in  the   program  planning.  While  the  project  had  targeted  240  attendees  at  the  events,  the  project   recorded  over  990  actual  attendees.    In  addition,  there  were  a  number  of  joint  activities   with  other  organizations,  which  also  attracted  much  larger  numbers.     In  the  end  of  project  survey,  33%  of  LEAP  participants  reported  that  they  had  attended   three  or  more  peace  events,  as  compared  to  21%  of  non-­‐LEAP.    Only  4%  of  LEAP   participants  and  8%  of  non-­‐LEAP  participants  stated  that  they  had  not  attended  any  peace   event  (see  Table  2  below  for  the  breakdown  of  attendance  at  peace  events,  as  well  as  the   different  types  of  events  that  the  respondents  attended).    It  is  interesting  to  note  that  90%   of  non-­‐LEAP  participants  reported  that  they  were  either  a  facilitator  or  moderator  in  the   events,  which  indicates  they may  have  misunderstood  the  question.   Table  3  Attendance  at  peace  events Response Participants Non-­‐participants >4 10% 8% 3  to  4 23% 12% 1  to  2 63% 72% Number  of  Peace  events 0 4% 8% Peace  Dialogue 28% 28% Peace  Campaigns 33% 30% Civic  Education 33% 28% Type  of  Peace  events Peace  Tournaments 5% 13% Event  Participation 7% 4% Leader/Organization 7% 4% Facilitator/Moderator 77% 90% Role  at  Peace  Events PC  Member 9% 2% In  all  areas,  the  dialogues  were  seen  as  critical  activities  in  addressing  issues  in  the  lead  up   to  the  elections.    The  facilitation  by  Mercy  Corps  in  terms  of  logistical  support,  as  well  as   the  training  provided  to  the  different  participants  was  vital  for  the  dialogues  to  be   effective.    Pastor  Abednego  Lwandanyi,  the  DPC  chair  Trans  Nzoia  East  gave  the  example   of  Kabolet  and  Munyaka  in  his  area: In  Kabolet  and  Munyaka  there  is  a  marginalized  group  of  people  who  live  there.  They   were  often  used  as  a  go-­between  by  Pokot  to  go  into  people’s  homes  and  steal  cattle.   In  2008  over  19  people  were  shot  dead  in  this  area,  including  pastors.  Many  houses   and  shops  were  burnt  down,  women  were  raped,  over  3000  animals  taken.  Mercy   Corps  supported  us  to  facilitate  several  dialogues  in  the  area  to  discuss  the  issues   faced  by  the  community  there. Many  of  the  DPCs  reported  that  they  plan  to  continue  the  dialogues  without  Mercy  Corps   support,  although  it  will  be  difficult.     Lessons  Learnt  2:    Dialogues  and  trainings  should,  as  much  as  possible,  be  held  at  the  local   level  rather  than  in  hotels  or  in  the  main  town.  This  allows  for  wider  participation  and   more  ownership  of  the  process. 21 Result  1.5  Early  warning  and  response  systems  established  in  8  districts   During  the  main  part  of  the  LEAP  II  program,  according  to  the  respondents  in  focus  groups   and  interviews,  the  main  early  warning  activities  were  primarily  training  the  peace   committees  and  other  leaders  in  early  warning  and  early  response  from  the  8-­‐targeted districts.        During  this  period,  consultations  were  held  with  key  stakeholders  including  the   NSC,  CEWARN  and  partner  CSOs  in  the  establishment  of  a  credible  local  system,  building   upon  the  NSC’s  national  EWER  system,  including  the  SMS  #108  platform.    In  May  2011,   187  people  from  across  the  8  districts  were  trained  in  conflict  prevention  and  in  the  NSC   EWER  system.    Members  of  the  DPC  who  participated  in  the  Wajir  exchange  trip  were  also   able  to  see  how  an  effective  EWER  system  was  operating  in  northern  Kenya. During  the  extension  period,  the  project  continued  to strengthen  the  community-­‐based   early  warning-­‐early  response  (EWER)  system,  expanding  it  to  covering  all  17  districts  (the   entire  Trans  Nzoia  county,  Bomet,  greater  Nandi  and  Nakuru  Counties).      In  addition  it   added  the  component  of  working  with  other  organizations  on  the  country-­‐wide  Uchaguzi   platform  (See  Result  1.2  in  Section  4  below  for  more  discussion  on  the  EWER  program   during  the  cost-­‐extension). Result  1.6  District  and  provincial  leaders  increase  interaction  through  multi-­‐district  and   regional  forums.   The  2010  baseline  survey  found  that  48%  of  DPC  members  reported  that  they  had   interacted  with  the  provincial  leaders  at  least  three  or  more  times  in  the  past  six  months,   and  33%  had  interacted  with  them  1-­‐2  times.    In  the  EOP  survey,  over  53%  of  DPC   members  reported  they  had  interacted  with  the  provincial  leaders  three  or  more  times  in   the  past  six  months,  while  30%  said  they  had  met  them  1-­‐2  times.    This  shows  a  10.4%   change  for  more  than  three  times,  and  a 1%  decrease  for  1-­‐2  times  (see  Figure  11).     However,  it  is  important  to  note  that  the  evaluation  survey  included  areas  that  had  been   added  during  the  cost-­‐extension  and  therefore did  not  participate  in the  capacity  building   activities  during  the  main  period  of  the  program,  which  may  have  skewed  this  result. Figure  11  Interaction  between  district  leaders 0   10   20   30   40   50   60   >4   3  to  4   1  to  2   0   Met  PC  Member   Met  NSC  Official   Met  Provincial  Leader   22 In  the  focus  group  discussion  as  well  as  the  key  informant  interviews,  the  networking  and   relationships  built  between  the  various  levels of  leadership, from  the  sub-­‐location  to  the   provincial  level,  was  reported  as  being  a  critical  part  of  maintaining  peace  in  the  lead  up  to   the  elections.    In  addition,  the  links  across  districts,  including  the  districts  that  were  not   formally  part  of  the  LEAP  II  program  (for  example  Kisumu), were  also  reported  as  being   very  critical,  especially  when  dealing  with  issues  at  the  border  areas.     Mercy  Corps  has  trained  us  to  manage  the  conflict,  but  also  there  was  the  networking   to  be  very  strong.  When  they  call  us  in  together  for  training,  you  would  meet  the   different  people  from  different  districts  so  that  we  now  have  a  network  and  now  we   know  each  other  can  call  each  other.  Mary  Njoki,  Chairperson,  Warange  DPC Objective  2:  Sponsor  community  dialogues  and  implement  joint  development  projects  that   build  bridges  among  divided  communities  and  demonstrate  tangible  benefits  to  cooperation   The  LEAP  II  program  implemented  a  number  of  different  types  of  projects  that  focused   upon  building  relationships  and  trust  between  the  communities  in  the  Rift  Valley.    These   included  community  connector  projects,  cash  for  work  (C4W)  projects  and  income   generating  projects  (IGA).  In  the  cost  extension  the  project  also  included  a  number  of   quick  impact  projects  (QIP).   While  the  community  connector  and  C4W  projects  were  designed  primarily  with  peace   building  in  mind,  the  IGA  programs  also  included  an  economic  empowerment  aspect  as   well.    Some  of  the  C4W  groups  also  pooled  the  cash  they  received  in  order  to  purchase   assets  to  strengthen  the  groups’  income  generating  capacity.     Result  2.1  64  communities  engage  in  dialogue  to  promote  reconciliation  and  identify   projects  for  implementation   The  project  had  targeted  80  events  related  to  reconciliation  during  the  first  two  years  of   the  program,  and  was  able  to  exceed  this  target  by  four  additional  events.      At  the   reconciliation  events,  the  project  had  targeted  2400  participants,  but  recorded  over  4435   attendees.    Many  more  people  attended  the  events  than  was  anticipated in  the  design  of   the  program,  indicating  that  the  targeted  communities  were  determined  to  have  peace.   The  LEAP  team  designed  the  timing  of  the  events  to  be  community-­‐friendly,  for  example,   many  were  planned  to  happen  in  the  evenings  when  people  were  less  busy.    However,  the   high  levels  of  unemployment  may  have  also  contributed  to  the  large  numbers  of   participants,  as  the  events  gave  the  community  a  venue  for  discussing  the  difficulties  they   were  facing.  A  member  of  the  Molo  DPC  stated: Every  week  we  have  had  dialogues  –  on  Friday  we  have  one  at  another  place,  last  week   we  were  in  two  places.  It  depends  on  the  sub-­location which  communities  are  involved.     Also  Molo  is  a  cosmopolitan  area,  no  one  place  has  only  one  community.    In  most  places   you  have  very  many  different  ethnic  groups  so  you  include  all  the  communities.   23 Result  2.2a  64  community  and  district  projects  are  implemented  that  demonstrate  tangible   benefits  to  cooperation.   The  project  implemented  64  joint  reconstruction  projects,  meeting  the  project  target.  The   community  connector  projects  were  the  direct  result  of  community  dialogues;  the   communities  the  consultant  met  had  a  great  sense  of  pride  and  accomplishment  in  the   community  projects.    These  projects  took  on  symbolic  meaning  for  the  communities,   representing  their  joint  collaboration  and  work  in  implementing  the  activity.    In   particular,  the  connector  bridges  were  mentioned  as  having  deep  symbolic  meaning  for   communities  who  had  previously  been  in  conflict. Figure  12  Community  Connector  Bridge,  Sachangwan At  a  place  called  Sachangwan  a  bridge  was  removed  during  the  clashes  and  later  it   was  rebuilt  with  support  from  Mercy  Corps.  So  when  the  bridge  was  removed,  the   community  from  one  side  could  not  move  to  the  other  side  of  the  river.  Now  that  the bridge  is  there,  the  two  communities  can  interact  and  buy  and  sell  from  each  other.     That  was  a  very  successful  project  and  people  were  very  happy  with  it.  The  DPC   mobilized  and  involved  the  youth  from  both  sides  to  provide  the  manpower  for  the   bridge.  Molo  DPC  focus  group Lessons  Learnt  3:  Community  connector  projects,  especially  those  that  build  a  visible   structure,  such  as  bridges,  can  be  symbolic  representations  of  reconciliation  processes. Result  2.2b  Community  members  show  increased  willingness  to  cooperate  across  conflict   lines.   Across  the  board,  in  both  the  focus  group  discussion  and  the  interviews,  it  was  felt  that  as   a  result  of  the  LEAP  program,  there  was  greater  inter-­‐ethnic  cooperation  in  the  targeted   communities.  However,  many  felt  that  while  there  was  greater  cooperation,  the  deeper   issues  between  the  communities  had  not  yet  been  resolved,  and  there  was  potential  for   24 these  issues  to  re-­‐emerge  in  times  of  tension.    So,  while  they  felt  that  there  was  currently  a relative  peace,  they  felt  that  it  was  now  time  to  address  the  deeper  reconciliation  issues   between  the  communities. People  have  not  yet  been  completely  reconciled.  So  there  is  something  we  have  not  yet   accomplished.  For  example  my  father  and  my  brother  were  killed  during  the  PEV.   People  are  still  bitter,  and  we  have  not  had  time  to  reconcile  these  issues.  Now  we   have  peace,  but  now  we  need  to  have  reconciliation.  We  have  Kikuyu  and  Kalenjin   who  are  still  fighting  –  but  we  need  to  help  them  come  together  and  bring  the  issues   out  between  them.      Trans  Nzoia  DPC In  the  end  of project  evaluation  survey,  the  respondents  were  asked  a  series  of  questions   regarding  their  level  of  trust  with  others  of  different  ethnic  communities.    In  terms  of  joint   activities,  they  were  asked  whether  they  had  engaged  in  various  activities  during  the   previous  three  months.    Overall  the  survey  found  that  interactions  between  the  ethnic   communities  were  common,  with  the  highest  number of  interactions  being  in  the  market   and  trade  activities,  the  lowest  in  politics  and  community  activities.2    Interestingly,  in  the   2010  baseline  survey,  the  Kisii  community  was  listed  as  the  community  that  most  other   communities  interacted  with,  while  in  the  2013  survey,  the  Kalinjin  were  rated  higher (see   Figure  13  below).    Also,  in  2010,  the  respondents  listed  conflict  levels  with  other   community  members  as  being  higher  (as  much  as  20%  with  Kisii,  and  10%  with  Luhya),  in   the  2013  survey,  levels  of  conflict  with  other  ethnic  communities  were  all  rated  as  being   lower  than  5%.   Figure  13  Interaction  across  Ethnic  Lines Respondent  were  also  asked  to  rate  how  much  they  trusted  members  of  other  ethnic   communities  (see  Figure  14  below).    In  the  baseline  survey  in  2010,  Kalenjin  were  rated   the  lowest  with  only  60%  of  respondents  stating  they  trust  them  “to  a  great  extent”  or  “to   some  extent”  combined.    In  the  EOP  survey,  60%  stated  they  trusted  the  Kalengin  “to  some                                                                                                                 2 The community activities mentioned here would be events such as funerals, marriages etc. 0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80   90   100   Market/Trade   Social   Farming   ￾Poli9cs   Work     Community   Group     ￾Conflict   Kalenjin   Kikuyu   Kisii   Luhya   Luo   InteracOon  Across  Ethnic  Divide 25 extent”,  while  33%  stated  they  trusted  them  “to  a  great  extent.”    The  highest  levels  of  trust   were  for  the  Luhya  community  at  79%.      In  the  2013  evaluation  survey,  the  Kalenjin  were   rated  the  highest  levels  of  trust,  with  60%  stating  that  they  trust  them  to  some  extent,  and   33%  stating  that  they  trust  them  to  a  great  extent.    The  Luhya  community,  however,  was   rated  as  lowest  in  the  2013  survey  as  compared  with  the  other  ethnic  communities. Figure  14  Trust  between  ethnic  communities The  respondents  were  asked  to  rate  how  comfortable  they  would  feel  if  someone  from  the   other  ethnic  groups  were  contesting  for  elective  post  in  their  communities  (see  Figure  16).     Again,  the  Kalenjin  community  scored  higher  than  the  other  communities,  with  over  95%   saying  they  would  be  comfortable  or  very  comfortable  if  a  member  of  the  Kalenjin  was   contesting  for  elective  post  in  their  communities.    This  could  reflect  that  the  Rift  Valley  is   the  traditional  homeland  of  the  Kalinjin  community  and  they  are  the  dominant   community.    In  addition,  they  made  up  the  majority  of  the  respondents  to  the  survey.     However,  survey  respondents  were  told  NOT  to  rate  their  own  ethnic  group,  so  this   should  not  have  changed  the  percentages.  The  lowest  tolerance  was  for  the  Luo   community,  with  less  than  5%  stating  that  they  would  feel  very  uncomfortable  if  a  Luo were  to  run  for  politics  in  their  community  (see  Figure  15  below).  This  could  have   reflected  the  political  climate  at  the  time  of  the  survey,  which  was  shortly  after  the  2013   elections,  which  was  contested  by  Riala  Odinga.  However,  they  did  not  rate  much  lower   than  the  Luhya  or  Kikuyu. 0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   ￾Kalenjin   Kikuyu   Kisii   Luhya   Luo   To  a  great  extent   To  some  extent   To  a  small  extent   Not  at  all   Trust  Across  Ethnic  Lines 26 Figure  15  Tolerance  in  politics The  2013  survey  asked  respondents  whether  they  felt  that  members  of  other  communities   excluded  them  from  participation  in  a  variety  of  activities  (see  Figure  16).    A  similar   question  was  asked  in  the  2010  baseline  survey,  with  the  Kikuyu  feeling  the  most   excluded  by  the  Kalenjin  across  the  board.    In  the  2013  survey,  respondents  felt  the   Kikuyu  excluded  them  most  in  education,  and  the  Kisii  in  health  activities.      However,   there  were  no  strong  discernible patterns. Figure  16 Exclusion  by  other  ethnic  groups Respondents  were  asked  to  rate  the  level  of  interest  that  members  of  other  ethnic   communities  had  regarding  sustainable  peace.    In  the  2010  baseline  the  non-­‐Kalenjin   respondents  rated  the  Kalenjin  as  the  least  interested  in  peace.    In  the  2013  survey,  the   Kalenjin  were  rated  as  the  highest  (69%  being  very  interested,  and  28%  being  somewhat   interested),  while  the  Luhya  were  rated  as  being  least  interested  (see  figure  17  below).     0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   ￾Kalenjin   Kikuyu   Kisii   Luhya   Luo   Very  Comfortable   Comfortable   Uncomfortable   Very  Unconfortable   Don't  Know   0   2   4   6   8   10   12   14   16   Educa9on   Health   Transport   Celebra9ons   Loans   Kalenjin   Kikuyu   Kisii   Luhya   Luo   27 Figure  17  Interest  in  sustainable  peace  by  ethnic  group Recommendation  3:    More  work  is  needed  to  address  the  deep  divisions  between  ethnic   communities  in  the  Rift  Valley.    Although  the  elections  were  peaceful  and  the  survey   results  show  an  increase  in  tolerance,  in  most  interviews  and  focus  groups  it  was   mentioned  that  the  underlying  tensions  have  not  been  resolved  and  could  erupt  again given  the  right  political  context.   Result  2.3  Joint  monitoring  teams  are  established  for  all  projects.   For  each  of  the  64  community  connector  projects,  a  joint  monitoring  team  was  established   and  trained  by  Mercy  Corps  from  members  of  the  community.      During  the  focus  group   discussions,  a  number  of  participants  mentioned  their  role  in  the  joint  monitoring   programs,  and  the  importance  of  the  training  received.    This  strategy  also  helped  to  build   community  ownership  for  the  projects.    Albert  Githuka,  the  Chair  of  the  Kikuyu  Elders   Peace  Initiative  (KEPI)  stated: Mercy  Corps  has  been  able  to  encourage  community  participation  in  the  program, which  is  very  crucial  for  peace.  They  didn’t  bring  ready-­made  projects,  or  their  own   agenda  to  the  table.  And  because  of  that  approach,  people  owned  the  program  and   they  saw  it  was  their  responsibility  to  bring  peace.   Objective  3:  Support  youth  integration  and  address  a  key  cause  of  violence  through  youth   leadership  training  and  income  generation  activities   The  third  objective  of  the  LEAP  II  program  focused  on  working  with  youth,  who  had  been   widely  utilized  to  perpetrate  violence  during  the  2008  post  election  violence,  between   communities.    This  objective  was  dropped  in  the  cost  extension  because  of  the  Yes  Youth   Can  (YYC)  program  that  Mercy  Corps  began  to  implement  in  the  Rift  Valley in  March  2011.   In  Objective  3,  Mercy  Corps  worked  closely  with  a  number  of  location  partners,  including   the  Kericho  Youth  Centre  (KYC)  in  Kericho,  the  Wareng  Youth  Initiative  (WYI)  in  Eldoret,   and  the  Peace  and  Development  Forum  in  Nakuru.    These  local  partners  worked  closely   0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80   ￾Kalenjin   Kikuyu   Kisii   Luhya   Luo   Very  Interested   Somewhat  Interested   Somewhat  Disinterested   Very  Disinterested   Don't  Know   28 with  the  youth  self-­‐help  groups  (YSHG)  in  order  to  strengthen  their  capacity  and  manage   the  cash  for  work  and  income  generating  activities. Result  3.1  Organizational  capacity  of  local  partner  and  YSHGs  strengthened   The  LEAP  II  program  sought  not  only  to  build  the  capacity  of  the  YSHGs,  but  also  the   capacity  of  the  local  implementing  partners.    At  the  beginning  of  the  program,  an   organizational  capacity  assessment  was  done  with  each  implementing  partner,  and  a   capacity  building  strategy  was  developed  and  implemented.  Unfortunately,  there  was  no   follow-­‐up  capacity  assessment  of  the  local  partners,  and  therefore  it  is  difficult  to   quantitatively  measure  their  improvement  in  each  area.       However,  the  consultant  was  able  to  meet  with  all  three  implementing  partners,  and  they   all  reported  that  they  felt  their  capacity  had  greatly  improved  through  their  partnership   with  Mercy  Corps.    The  areas  of  improvement  mentioned  were  in  financial  management,   policy  and  strategy,  human  resources,  monitoring  and  evaluation.    In  addition,  the  Wareng   Youth  Initiative  members  stated  that  they  had  learned  more  about  the  reform  process  in   Kenya,  which  helped  them  in  their  peace  building  work. The  local  partners  worked  closely  with  the  YSHGs,  building  their  capacities  and  managing   the  cash  for  work  and  income  generating  activities.    As  the  local  partners  received  capacity   building  training  from  Mercy  Corps,  they  were  then  able  to  cascade  the  training  down  to   the  youth  groups  that  they  were  managing.    However,  there  were  various  challenges working  with  the  local  youth  groups,  particularly  the  literacy  levels  and  capacity.  As   Daniel  Ronoh  of  the  Kericho  Youth  Centre  reported: One  challenge  in  the  project  in  proposal  writing  was  that  we  discovered  that  literacy   levels  were  low  amongst  the  youth,  especially  in  Kipkelion.  So  despite  the  trainings  in   proposal  writing,  they  were  not  able  to  conceptualize  the  project.  Only  one  or  two  in   each  group  were  able  to  read  and  write.  Many  youth  still  uneducated  and  illiterate  in   the  rural  areas,  we  had  to  adapt  the  curriculum  to  suit  the  different  locations.  (Daniel   Ronoh,  KYC) One  of  the  planned  indicators  in  the  PMP  was  measuring  the  change  in  contributions   raised  by  partners  and  YSHGs.  However,  this  was  difficult  as  there  was  no  baseline   regarding  the  levels  of  funding  for  each  group.      In  the  meetings  with  the  local  partners   and  some  of  the  YSHGs,  it  was  clear  that  they  had  been  able  to  increase  their  overall   income. The  Kericho  Youth  Centre  had  been sourcing  funding  for  their  health  related  activities   through  PEPFAR,  AMREF  and  the  government  (NAC-­‐TOA)  before  their  partnership  with   Mercy  Corps.    However,  through  the  LEAP  II  program  they  were  able  to  expand  their   activities  to  include  peace  building,  and  increase  their  funding  directly  related  to  this  new   sector.    Their  first  grant  from  the  LEAP  II  program  was  to  implement  a  90,000  KSH  cash-­‐ for-­‐work  project  with  the  youth  in  their  organization  in  2010.  They  then  established  an   agreement  with  Mercy  Corps  and  became  a  local  implementing  organization  for  the  LEAP   II  program,  managing  10  C4W  and  10  IGA  programs  with  YSHG  in  the  Kericho  area. Through  the  LEAP  II  program,  the  Wareng  Youth  Initiative  transitioned  from  being  a   Community  Based  Organization  (CBO)  to  a  Non-­‐Government  Organization  managing  other   29 YSHGs.    Through  the  program,  they  supported  25  groups  in  5  districts  within  3  counties   (15  in  Uasin  Gishu,  5  in  Elgeyo  Marakwet,  and  5  in  Nandi  County).    They  reported  that   they  have  also  been  able  to  source  additional  funding  from  Media  Focus  and  Kenya   Transition  Initiative  (KTI).   The  Peace  and  Development  forum  (PDF)  was  established  in  October  2010  with  the  goal   of  working  closely  with  the  youth.  Their  first  grant  was  with  Mercy  Corps.    They  reported   that  as  a  result  of  their  work  on  the  LEAP  II  program,  their  capacity  has  increased  and  they   were  able  to  access  funding  from  Chemonics  as  well  as  the  National  Steering  Committee (NSC).    The  PDF  was  not  included  in  the  LEAP  II  cost  extension  because  of  the  limits  of   funding  and  the  decision  not  to  work  directly  with  the  youth.   It  was  difficult  to  find  information  regarding  the  fundraising  of  the  YSHGs,  with  the   exception  of  the eight  groups  that  the  consultant  was  able  to  visit  in  May  2013  (see  Annex   4  for  a  list  of  projects  visited).    Of  the  eight  groups,  three  (Kapsoya  Border  Youth  Group,   Kesses  Youth,  and  Kichawir  Upendo)  reported  having  been  able  to  access  additional   funding  from  the  government  and  other  organizations  (i.e.  CRS).     The  Kesses  youth  group  was  particularly  successful  after  receiving  an  initial  IGA  grant   from  LEAP  II  for  78,000  KSH  (equivalent  at  that  period  to  $1000  USD)  for  the  purchase  of   150  chairs  and  utensils  to  rent  out  to  local  communities  for  functions  and  celebrations.   They  have  since  been  able  to  generate  additional  funds  to  purchase  a  quarter  acre  plot,   and  they  have  purchased  an  additional  50  chairs.  In  addition,  they  received  a  loan  from   the  Ministry  of  Youth,  as  well  as  a  loan  for  two  green  houses  for  tomato  production  from   AMERAN.    They  have  additional  plans  to  purchase  a  100-­‐seater  tent  and  build  houses  for   rent  on  their  quarter  acre  plot.  A  member  of  the  Kesses  group  stated: The  IGA  project  from  Mercy  Corps  was  the  seed  for  all  our  other activities;  we  have   received  a  grant  and  loans  from  the  Ministry  of  Youth  and  now  have  many  different   activities  and  are  a  role  model  for  other  youth. Figure  18  Kesses  Youth  Group  greenhouses 30 Recommendation  4:    Follow-­‐up  Organizational  Capacity  Assessments  of  the  LEAP  II   partners  should  be  included  in  any  future  work  with  these  partners,  or  in  the  USAID  peace   building  evaluation,  using  the  LEAP  II  assessments  as  a  baseline. Result  3.2  Young  people  gain  new  skills  that  help  them  earn  an  income  and  address  daily   challenges   A  key  focus  of  the  LEAP  II  program  was  in  building  the  economic  empowerment  capacity   of  the  YSHGs  through  trainings  and  workshops.    All  groups  visited  mentioned  the   numerous  training  sessions  they  had  received  from  Mercy  Corps  and  the  local   implementing  partners  though out  the  program,  notably  the  financial  literacy  training  and   the  entrepreneurship  training.  In  particular  the  financial  literacy  training  was  reported  to   instill  in them  with  the  confidence  to  access  additional  funding  and  even  take  loans,  which   they  had  feared  to  do  earlier.    As  a  member  of  Kesses  Youth  stated: We  used  to  fear  loans,  but  with  the  Mercy  Corps  financial  literacy  training  we  learned   how  to  take  risks  and  how  to  manage  the  loans.   Youth  from  Uasin  Gishu  also  stated  that  as  a  result  of  the  LEAP  II  program,  they  were  more   aware  of  the  funding  available  from  the  government,  and  that  government  funding  was   more  accessible  to  them  than  in  the  past: Mercy  Corps  also  made  the  government  wake  up  to  assist  the  youth,  they  ashamed  the   government  and  now  they  are  coming  in  to  see  how  they  can  support  the  youth.   Before  the  MC  came  to  assist  the  groups,  the  youth  were  not  willing  to  come  together,   but  now  they  are  very  interested  to  come  together  and  assist  the  youth  and  the   tournaments  –  young  ladies  and  men  come  together  and  have  discussions  and  work   together. The  project  had  planned  to  train  480  young  people  in  leadership,  consensus  building  and   economic  skills,  and  met  this  target  by  training  481  youth.   Most  of  the  groups  reported   having  gained  important  skills,  especially  in  financial  literacy  and  management  that  they   use  both  as  a  group  as  well  as  in  their  own  individual  income  generating  projects.  They   also  reported  an  increase  in  government  support  to  youth  as  a  result  of  the  project.     In  the  2013  survey,  youth  were  asked  how  many  times  they  had  organized  collective   action  for  any  community  cause.    Twenty-­‐nine  percent  of  LEAP  participants  reported   involvement  in  3-­‐5  activities  compared  with  12%  of  non-­‐LEAP  participants.  However,   more  non-­‐LEAP  participants  reported  participation  in  1-­‐2  activities  than  LEAP   participants  (see  Figure  20). 31 Figure  19  Youth  participation  in  community  action In  an  August  2012  survey,  youth  were  asked  how  they  expected  their  economic  condition   would  be  in  twelve  months.    Of  those  surveyed,  77%  expected  their  condition  to  be  better,   19.9%  expected  it  to  be  the  same,  and  2.9%  thought  it  would  get  worse.3    In  the  2013  end   of  project  survey,  a  similar  question  was  asked,  with  marginally  better  results.    In   addition,  the  data  was  disaggregated  by  those  who  participated  in  the  LEAP  II  program   and  those  who  did  not.  Of  the  LEAP  II  participants,  86.2%  expected  their  condition  to  be   better,  while  12.9%  expected  it  to  be  the  same.  The  non-­‐LEAP  participants  were  similar,   although  1.9%  expected  their  condition  to  be  worse,  10.6%  expected  it  to  be  the  same,  and   86%  expected  it  to  be  better  (see  Table  4).      This  shows  a  10.7%  increase  over  the  one   year  from  the  August  2012  survey  to  the  end  of  project  survey. Table  4  Anticipated  economic  condition  in  twelve  months Response LEAP  II  Participants Non-­‐LEAP  participants Worse 0 1.9% Same 12.9% 10.6% Better 86.2% 86% I  don't  know 0.9% 1.4% Total 100 100 Result  3.3a  Youth  implement  at  least  40  C4W  activities  that  promote  community   development.   Forty  C4W  activities  were  planned  and  implemented  during  the  first  year  of  the  LEAP  II   program,  which  focused  on  implementing  an  activity  that  promoted  positive  relationship   between  ethnic  communities  and  also  promoted  community  development.  The  project   had  anticipated  having  600  youth  participate  in  the  C4W  activities,  but  over  exceeded  this   target  with  800  participants. The  consultant  was  able  to  visit  three  groups  that  had  implemented  a  C4W  project:  the   Mukinyai-­‐Borop  Connection  Bridge  in  Nakuru,  the  Kichawir  Upendo  Group  in  Kericho,  and   the  Kapsoya  Border  Youth  Group  in  Uasin  Gishu.      In  addition,  she  was  able  to  meet  youth                                                                                                                 3 This survey was done at the end of the LEAP II program, and focused primarily upon youth. 0   10   20   30   40   50   60   >5   3  to  5   1  to  2   0   %Par9cipant   %Non-­‐par9cipant   32 in  Molo,  Uasin  Gishu,  Nandi  and  Trans  Nzoia,  where  additional  C4W  activities  were   mentioned.       The  composition  of  most  of  the  groups  implementing  the  C4W  projects  were  inter-­‐ethnic,   although  a  few  were  mentioned  which  involved  only  one  ethnic  group  due  to  the  ethnic   composition  of  their  community.  However,  they  reported  that  they  still  sought  to  engage   with  youth  from  other  communities  in  their  activities.    Some  of  the  groups  decided  to   donate  a  portion  of  the  C4W  individual  income  to  their  group  and  use  it  as  a  seed  fund  for   additional  activities,  while  others  used  the  income  for  their  individual  needs. Result  3.3b  Youth  feel  like  they  are  making  a  positive  contribution  to  their  communities.   In  the  2010  baseline  survey,  17%  of  respondents  believed  that  youth  participated  in  crime   or  violence  most  of  the  time  (10%)  or  always  (7%).    In  the  2013  end  of  project  survey,  the   perceptions  of  youth  participation  in  violence  decreased  significantly,  with  less  that  2%   believing  that  youth  participate  in  violence  most  of  the  time  or  always  (see  Figure  20 below).    Only  35%  of  LEAP  participants  felt  that  youth  participated  in  violence  sometimes,   with  even  lower  percentage  of  non-­‐LEAP  participants  (24.5%).    It  is  unclear  why  a  higher   percentage  of  LEAP  participants  felt  that  youth  participated  more  in  violence  than  non-­‐ LEAP  participants. Figure  20  Perceptions  of  youth  participation  in  violence In  the  focus  groups  and  interviews,  the  participants  reported  that  the  youth  had  taken  an   active  role  in  the  communities  and  were  seen  in  a  much  more  positive  light  now  than  in   2010.    Their  involvement  in  community  projects,  C4W,  as  well  as  the  EWER  activities  had   transformed  the  communities’  perception  of  them  as  perpetrators  of  violence.  In  the  youth   focus  group  in  Molo,  one  participant  stated: Now  young  people  being  involved  vibrantly  in  the  programs,  but  previously  the  youth   were  seen  as  the  problems.  But  after  seeing  the  initiative  of  the  young  people,  it  has   increased  respect  and  trust  of  the  young  people  in  Molo.  And  now  the  community  sees   them  positively  and  they  have  been  brought  close.  Now  they  make  sure  that  youth  are   0   5   10   15   20   25   30   35   40   45   50   Always   Most  of   the  9me   Some9mes   Rarely   Never   Don't  Know   %Par9cipants   %Non-­‐Par9cipants   Youth  ParOcipaOon  in  Violence 33 integrated  into  the  DPCs,  even  before  this  was  in  the  constitution.  Previously  youth   were  seen  as  drunkards  and  hopeless  people  with  no  future.    But  now  it  is  easier  to   integrate  into  the  committees  and  we  are  appreciated  there.   As  was  found  in  the  2010  baseline,  the  main  reason  given  for  youth’s  involvement  in   violence  or  crime  was  the  lack  of  livelihoods  (see  Figure  21  below). Figure  21  Reasons  for  youth  involvement  in  crime  or  violence. The  data  was  also  analyzed  using  two  additional  statistical  approaches  in  order  to   examine  propensity  to  violence.  First,  we  used  propensity  score  matching  (PSM)  in  an   attempt  to  move  towards  assessing  causal  impacts  of  the  program  and;  second,  we  used   multiple  regression  analysis  to  assess  correlations  between  program  interventions,  the   intermediate  and  the  long-­‐term  outcomes.  The  regression  analysis  was  done  in  two-­‐steps.   The  first  part  analyzed  the  correlations  of  the  program  components’  (Peace  Dialogues,   Youth  Multi-­‐Ethnic  events  etc.)  with  intermediate  outcomes,  such  as  interaction,  trust  and   security.  The  second  part  looked  at  correlations  between  intermediate  outcomes  and  the   long-­‐term  outcome  (propensity  for  violence)  (See  table  5  for  the  regression  table). Propensity  Score  Matching constructs  a  statistical  comparison  group  by  modeling  the   probability  of  participating  in  the  program  on  the  basis  of  observed  characteristics  that   are  unaffected  by  the  program.  The  method  matches  every  participant  with  its  closest   match  among  non-­‐participants  based  on  observable  characteristics  not  affected  by  the   program  (such  as  gender,  household  location  etc).  The  idea  is  if  two  individuals  are  (close   to)  identical  in  every  way  except  for  their  treatment  status,  then  any  difference  in  the   outcomes  will  be  attributable  to  the  program.  As  a  precursor  to  the  findings  in  this  section,   it  is  important  to  note  that  we  did  not  have  enough  pre-­‐program  characteristics  to  match   on  in  order  to  make  clear  conclusions  about  the  effect  of  the  program.  These  findings   should  therefore  be  treated  as  suggestive. 4                                                                                                               4 There were two key limitations to this analysis. First, the lack of suitable variables to match on in the Propensity Score Matching made making causal interpretation problematic. Secondly, the regression analysis does not lend itself to causal interpretation. All we can say is that significant variables move together with the outcome variable. 0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80   Developing   Bad  Behaviors   Follow   Tradi9on  of   Conflict   Ins9gated  by   Others   Lack  of   Livelihood   Other   34 Findings: • LEAP  II  participants  that  were  matched  to  similar  non-­‐participants  had significantly  higher  levels  of  trust. • However,  there  were  no  significant  difference  between  participants  and  non-­‐ participants  with  regards  to  interaction,  security  and  propensity  towards  violence. Table  5:  Analysis  of  Determinants  of  Youth  Propensity  Towards  Political  Violence   in  the  Rift  Valley5 Behavioral Attitudinal Full  model-­‐Controlling  for   ethnicity  and  location Full  model-­‐Controlling  for   ethnicity  and  location VARIABLES Odds  ratios   (p-­‐values) Odds  ratios (p-­‐value) Attended  peace  building  meeting(s)(Yes=1) 0.63 0.54 (0.313) (0.334) Training  in  conflict  management  (Yes=1) 5.16*** 0.27* (0.001) (0.066) Member  of  self-­‐help  group  (Yes=1) 0.37** 0.89 (0.043) (0.834) Training  from  business  rep  (Yes=1) 2.67** 0.87 (0.049) (0.834) Income 0.84 1.35* (0.144) (0.052) Rate  relative  economic  condition 0.56* (0.056) Economic  Optimism 1.46 0.58 (0.378) (0.293) Interact  with  members  of  other  ethnic  groups 0.27*** 1.94 (0.000) (0.169) Nationalism  vs.  tribalism 0.25** 0.11*** (0.011) (0.003) Trust  in  members  of  other  ethnic  groups 0.74*** (0.008) Gender  (Male=1) 2.63** 2.64* (0.020) (0.082) Age  group 1.28 0.88 (0.292) (0.707) Education  level 0.67*** 0.76 (0.007) (0.145) Rural  (Rural=1) 0.99 0.54 (0.991) (0.340) Disputes  (Yes=1) 3.21*** 0.48 (0.005) (0.209) Constant 1.21 5.28 (0.879) (0.349) Observations 421 406 pval  in  parentheses ***  p<0.01,  **  p<0.05,  *  p<0.1                                                                                                               5 This analysis was compiled by Ruben Grangaard from the EOP survey data 35 Results  Step1:  Regression  Analysis  of  Intermediate  outcomes  (Youth  only) Multiple  regression  analysis  was  first  carried  out  on  the  three  main  intermediate   outcomes;  trust,  interaction  and  security.  The  advantage  of  multivariate  regression  is  that   we  are  able  to  isolate  the  effect  of  one  variable’s  effect  on  the  outcome  variable,  while  not   allowing  for  cofounding  variables  to  interfere.   Findings: • The  existence  of  peace  committees  in  the  area  of  the  respondent  is  correlated  with   higher  levels  of  trust  and  interaction. • Higher  levels  of  community  action  among  youth  are  correlated  with  higher  levels  of   trust. • Having  attended  peace  training  is  associated  with  a  lower  probability  of  perceiving   insecurity  as  a  threat  to  one’s  livelihood. • Unemployment  is  correlated  with  significantly  lower  levels  of  interaction. • Multi-­‐ethnic  youth  events  and  civic  education  for  peaceful  election-­‐events  are   correlated  with  higher  probability  of  perceiving  insecurity  as  a  threat  to  one’s   livelihood.  While  this  was  opposite  of  the  expected  sign,  this  might  reflect   successful  targeting,  i.e.  these  interventions  were  targeted  to  more  insecure  areas. Results  Step  2:  Regression  Analysis  of  the  Long-­term  Outcome  (Entire  sample) Step  2  involves  a  multiple  regression  model  of  the  three  intermediate  outcomes  against   the  final  outcome,  propensity  towards  violence. Findings: • Trust  is  a  highly  significant  predictor  of  lower  propensity  towards  violence. • Interaction  is  a  highly  significant  predictor  of  lower  propensity  towards  violence. • Security  is  not  a  significant  predictor  of  propensity  towards  violence. Result  3.4a  Youth  identify  and  implement  at  least  40  income-­‐generating  activities.   The  LEAP  II  program  also  included  forty  income-­‐generating  activities,  which  targeted youth  groups  in  the  communities.  As  with  the  C4W  activities,  the  IGAs  had  two  main   objectives:  a  peace  building  objective  of  increasing  interaction  between  ethnic  groups,  and   an  economic  empowerment  objective  of  increasing  the  income  of  group  members.    The   local  implementing  partners  worked  closely  with  the  youth  groups  to  identify  and  develop   proposals  for  the  activities.    Forty  projects  were  selected  and  implemented  during  the  first   two  years  of  the  program. The  project  had  targeted  200  youth  to  participate  in  the  IGA  activities,  but  the  records   showed  that  there  were  actually  731  youth  involved.    The  involvement  of  the  youth  in  the   IGAs  was  much  higher  than  anticipated  as  the  youth  groups  were  larger  (average  of  15-­‐20   people/group)  and  more  members  of  the  groups  were  involved.  During  program  design  it   was  not  anticipated  that  at  most  half  of  the  group  members  would  participate,  but  in  most   cases  all  members  of  the  group  were  involved  in  the  IGAs.    Overall,  there  was  much  higher   interest  in  the  IGA  activities  than  had  been  anticipated. 36 The  consultant  was  able  to  visit  five  groups  that  had  implemented  IGA  activities  during   the  first  two  years  of  the  program  including  Kesses  Youth  Group,  Kapsoya  Border  Youth   Group,  West  Indies  Youth  Group,  Kichawir  Upendo  Group,  and  Hekima  Development   Skills.      Initially,  the  local  implementing  partner  supporting  Hekimia  Development  Skills   felt  that  the  group  was  a  failure  because  of  leadership  issues.  However,  the  group  was  able   to  overcome  its  leadership  struggles,  and  had  set  up  a  successful  business  packaging  and   selling  Amaranth  herbs  in  Nakuru  town.    The  added  value  of  the  packaging  enabled  the   group  to  increase  their  income  significantly,  and  six  members  of  the  group  (from  a  total  of   15  members)  had  the  potential  of  earning  up  to  23,000KSH/month  through  the  sales  of   the  product,  with  an  additional  700KSH  (total  3000  KSH)  given  back  into  the  group  on  a   monthly  basis. 6 Figure  22  Member  of  Hekima  Development  Skills  in  kiosk  selling  Amaranth The  IGAs  experienced  a  number  of  challenges  in  their  implementation.  The  key  challenge   mentioned  by  the  local  implementing  partners  as  well  as  the  youth  groups  themselves  was   the  issue  of  leadership  within  the  group.    Many  of  the  groups  had  been  formed  as  merry-­‐ go-­‐round  savings  groups  with  small  amounts  of  funds  being  managed  by  the  group  on  a   monthly  basis.  Some  groups  found  that  when  the  opportunity  for  a  larger  grant,  up  to  the   equivalent  of  $1000  USD,  it  caused  some  difficulties  within  the  group  especially  with   regards  to  leadership.  The  transitory  nature  of  urban  youth  made  group  cohesion   difficulty  and  it  was  challenging  for  groups  in  those  areas  to  work  with  them  on  an   ongoing  basis.    Finally,  it  was  mentioned  that  managing  IGA  activities  in  a  group  setting   had  less  economic  impact  than  grants  to  individuals,  and  therefore  the  potential  economic   empowerment  was  hampered  by  the  peace-­‐building  objective.                                                                                                                 6 It was not possible to get actual income of the participants, but the figures provided were based upon projections based upon the amount of product each participants received to sell on a quarterly basis. 37 One  IGA  group  reported  that  their  chairperson  had  successfully  competed  in  the  elections   and  was  now  an  MP  for  the  area,  something  they  took  as  a  group  accomplishment.   Lessons  Learnt  4:  Adding  finances  to  a  successful  group  has  the  potential  to  create   internal  problems,  if  not  properly  managed. Lessons  Learnt  5:    youth  groups,  particularly  urban  ones,  are  often  transitory,  as  youth  go   off  for  education  and  employment  in  other  parts  of  the  country.    Planning  activities  with   the  youth  needs  to  take  this  transitory  characteristic  into  account. Lessons  Learnt  6:    economic  activities  as  a  group  are  not  always  as  economically   successful  as  individual  projects,  but  have  a  higher  potential  for  building  community   connectors  if  the  groups  are  ethnically  mixed. Result  3.4b  Private  sector  mentors  support  youth  entrepreneurs   The  project  was  to  engage  twenty  private  sector  mentors  to  support  the  youth   entrepreneurs  in  their  IGA  activities.  According  to  the  eighth  Quarterly  report,  27  mentors   were  engaged.7      However,  most  of  the  youth  in  the  focus  groups  could  not  identify  any   mentors.  It  is  likely  that  in  the  project  activities  the  term  “mentor”  was  not  used,  and   therefore  they  were  unfamiliar  with  the  concept.     The  local  implementing  partners  reported  that  it  was  difficult  to  identify  and  work  with   the  private  sector,  who  only  wanted  to  be  mentors  if  they  saw  a  financial  incentive,  for   example  of  the  group  would  produce  a  product  that  the  mentor  could  market  or  sell.      It   was  easier  to  get  the  local  business  people  to  attend  forums  and  one-­‐off  events  to  share   their  expertise,  but  not  to  have  them  commit  for  any  long-­‐term  mentoring  relationships.     Mentors  from  the  NGO  sector,  such  as  Technoserv  and  Digital  Opportunity  Trust  were   more  willing  to  commit  to  longer  term  mentoring  relationships.  In  addition,  it  was   mentioned  in  Nandi  that  the  Tumaini  Women  Youth  Group  had  been  successful  in  setting   up  a  poultry  business  had  been  a  mentor  for  a  number  of  other  youth  groups  in  the   program.   Lessons  Learnt  7:  Linking  youth  with  private  sector  mentors  is  challenging  if  the  potential   mentors  do  not  see  a  tangible  benefit  to  their  business.    More  work  is  needed  to  enlighten   the  private  sector  on  the  importance  of  peace  in  their  communities,  and  the  potential  that   youth  have  to  contribute  to  this  peace. In  the  2013  end  of  project  evaluation  survey,  youth  were  asked  to  share  their  average   monthly  income.    The  greatest  difference  in  income  between  LEAP  and  non-­‐LEAP   participants  was  found  at  the  mid-­‐range  of  income  generation:  24%  of  LEAP  II                                                                                                               7 The  LEAP  II  M&E  Specialist  provided  the  following  list  of  mentors:  DSTV,  Ministry  of  Trade,  Dorep  Poultry,   Private  Consultants,  Kenya  Bureau  of  Standards,  other  successful  youth  groups  (i.e.  Molo  emerging  for   Peace),  Equity  Bank,  Ministry  of  Industrialization,  Delamere  Farm  Ltd  (Nakuru),  Eldoret  Chambers  of   Commerce  and  Industry,  Ministry  of  Agriculture  –  Agri-­‐business,  Ministry  of  Youth,  Youth  Fund,  Business   Services  Development  Centre,  Jua  Kali  Association,  ICIPE,  Farmers  Choice,  Ministry  of  Fisheries,  Ministry  of   Trade,  Africa  Hunny,  OptiPik  Business  Consultants,  Municipal  Council,  Square  deal  (Tailoring),  Christopher   Bee  Limited  (Eldoret)  and  VetsChik  Limited.   38 participants  reported  an  income  of  6001-­‐9000  KSH  per  month,  as  compared  with  only   12%  of  non-­‐LEAP  participants.   At  the  higher  income  levels,  the  difference  between  the   LEAP  and  non-­‐LEAP  participants  was  negligible.  Also  of  note,  while  19%  of  LEAP   participants  were  unable  to  give  an  estimate  of  income,  35%  of  non-­‐LEAP  participants   were  unable  do  so,  indicating  a  higher  level  of  financial  literacy  for  LEAP  participants    (see   Table  6  for  a  comparison  of  income  by  LEAP  and  non-­‐LEAP  average  monthly  income).   Table  6  Youth  average  monthly  income Response LEAP  II  Participants Non-­‐LEAP  Participants N/A 19% 35% Ksh  0 5% 68% Ksh  1-­‐3,000 10% 8% Ksh  3,001-­‐6,000 13% 14% Ksh  6,001-­‐9,000 25% 12% Ksh  9,001-­‐15,000 13% 9% Ksh  15,001-­‐18,000 6% 6% Ksh  18,001-­‐21,000 2% 2% Above  Ksh  21,000 8% 8% Total 100 100 Result  3.5  8  youth-­‐produced  success  stories  published  or  aired  on  local  media.   The  project  had  targeted  having  eight  public  information  campaigns  to  support  the   peaceful  resolution  of  conflicts  in  the  first  two  years,  but  was  able  to  over-­‐achieve  this   target  and  held  twelve.   4.  Cost  Extension  Results The  project  was  initially  planned  to  be  two  years,  with  an  end  date  of  June  2012.  However,   with  the  2013  elections  approaching  it  was  granted  a  one-­‐year  $1  million  cost-­‐extension   to  address  key  issues  in  the  run  up  to  and  during  the  election  period.  The  goals  and   objectives  of  the  cost-­‐extension  were  narrowed  down  from  the  first  two  years,  with  an   overall  goal  of  strengthening  the  capacity  of  local  actors  and  institutions  in  targeted   counties  to  develop  and  advance  sustainable  peace,  reconciliation  and  norms  of   nonviolence  based  on  justice,  accountability  and  equality.  The  cost-­‐extension  removed  the   objective  that  focused  on  youth  empowerment,  but  had  a  more  concentrated  focus  on   EWER,  in  which  the  YYC  youth  bunges  were  incorporated. The  geographic  focus  of  the  cost  extension  was  also  shifted,  with  Elgeyo  Marakwet   dropped,  and  Trans  Nzoia  and  Bomet  added.    During  the  cost-­‐extension,  the  project  was   implemented  in  19  districts  in  six  counties  of  the  Rift  Valley: • Uasin  Gishu  County:  Eldoret  West,  Eldoret  East,  Wareng,   • Nandi  County:  Nandi  North,  Nandi  South  (Aldai),  Tinderet,  Nandi  E.,  Nandi  Central   • Trans  Nzoia  County:  Kwanza,  Trans  Nzoia  West,  Trans  Nzoia  East • Kericho  County:  Kericho  West,  Kericho  East,  Kericho  Central,  Kipkelion  W   Kipkelion  E 39 • Nakuru  County:  Nakuru,  Molo,   • Bomet  County:  Sotik. Due  to  the  “hot-­‐spots”  at  the  border  areas,  the  project  spilled  over  into  the  neighbouring   counties  of  Kisumu  and  Kisii,  although  they  were  not  formally  included  in  the  program.   Figure  23:  Map  of  project  area Objective  1:  Strengthen  transformational  platforms  that  prevent  and  respond  to  local   conflicts  that  threaten  to  destabilize  the  region.   The  cost-­‐extension  built  upon  the  gains  made  in  the  LEAP  II  in  building  the  capacity  of   local  conflict  mitigation  actors  including  the  peace  committees,  and  by  establishing  an   early  warning  early  response  system  (EWER).   Result  1.1  Reach  of  DPCs  and  LPCs  extended  to  address  emerging  inter-­‐community  tensions   In  the  cost-­‐extension,  the  project  continued  to  work  at  a  number  of  different  levels  with   the  Peace  Committees,  from  the  local  level  (village  peace  committees)  to  Location  peace   committees,  to  Divisional  PC,  and  finally  District  Peace  Committees.  Some  of  the  peace   committees  were  already  established  when  the  project  started,  while  others  were   established  throughout  the  life  of  the  project. Not  only  did  the  program  engage  with  the  peace  committees  at  various  levels  and  the   youth,  but  they  also  engaged  with  other  community  structures  such  as  elder’s  groups  (for   40 example  the  Nandi  Kaburwo  Council  of  Elders),  women’s  groups,  and  religious  leaders.    In   the  household  survey,  respondents  were  generally  confident  in  the  effectiveness  of  the   conflict  actors  across  the  board.    Local  politicians  had  the  lowest  rating  of  effectiveness  by   the  respondents,  but  still  over  60%  viewed  them  as  either  effective  or  very  effective,  while   Religious  leaders  and  Elders  had  the  highest  ratings  of  effectiveness  (see  Figure  24  for   respondent’s  perceptions  of  conflict  mitigation  actors’  effectiveness).     Figure  24  Perceptions  of  effectiveness  of  conflict  mitigation  actors Result  1.2  Strengthened  early  warning/early  response  mechanisms   The  cost-­‐extension  had  targeted  the  training  of  165  women  and  335  men  in  conflict   mitigation  and  conflict  resolution  skills.    However,  because  of  the  use  of  the  DPCs,  LPCs   and  the  youth  bunges  as  TOTs  in  their  communities,  the  reach  was  much  greater.  In   addition  the  project  worked  in  more  districts  than  anticipated,  because  of  the  split  of  some   districts,  but  also  because  the  project  spilled  over  into  neighboring  districts  (i.e.  Kisii  and   Kisumu),  and  joint  trainings  held  with  the  DPCs  and  LPCs  from  these  additional  districts.     During  the  cost  extension,  over  3799  women  trained  and  4928  men  trained  by  the  end  of   March  2013.     Building  upon  the  work  started  in  the  first  two  years  of  the  program,  there  were  two   complementary  EWER  systems  in  the  cost  extension,  one  was  community  based  and  was   largely  driven  by  monitors  at  the  community  level,  youth  bunge  bright  spots,  the   DPCs/LPCs  and  the  LEAP  staff.  The  second  system  was  the  Uchaguzi  SMS  platform,  which   was  implemented  by  a  number  of  national  and  international  organizations.      During  the   election  period,  two  EWER  hubs  were  established,  one  in  Molo  hosted  by  NRC,  and  the   second  in  Eldoret  hosted  by  IOM.  Three  data  officers  and  one  data  verifier  (for  a  total  of  8   officers)  were  trained  via  Skype  and  stationed  in  each  hub.  These  officers  were   responsible  for  processing  the  alerts  that  were  received  through  both  community  EWER   system  as  well  as  through  the  Uchaguzi  SMS  platform.   During  the  election  period,  the  EWER  hub  was  operational  around  the  clock  from   February  31st  to  March  9th.    While  it  was  anticipated  that  the  data  officers  would  rely  upon   0   10   20   30   40   50   60   Elders   DPC   LPC   Women   Youth   Leaders   Local   Poli9cians   Religious   Leaders   Very  effec9ve   Effec9ve   Not  effec9ve   Don't  Know   41 the  Uchaguzi  platform  for  alerts,  over  90%  of  the  alerts  came  from  the  community   monitors  and  the  youth  bunge  bright  spots.    The  data  officers  kept  in  regular  touch  with   the  monitors,  with  an  average  of  50  calls/day. Overall,  the  Uchaguzi  SMS  platform  was  not  perceived  as  being  as  trustworthy  as  the   community  EWER  system.    An  early  warning  monitor,  who  worked  on  both  systems  in   Nakuru  reported: The  Uchaguzi  SMS  system  was  not  really  seen.  What  the  community  regarded  as   effective  was  direct  call.  The  SMS  took  too  long  for  response.  But  if  you  called  there   was  direct  feedback.  The  SMS  also  was  suppose  to  provide  confidentiality  –  but  when   someone  wants  to  authenticate  the  information  they  need  to  get  back  to  the  person   who  sent  the  SMS  and  so  it  was  not  seen  to  be  really  confidential.  People  assumed  that   if  you  communicated  with  someone  on  phone  action  will  be  taken.  With  an  SMS  you   don’t  know  if  who  has  received  it  or  what  action  they  will  take. The  main  challenges  with  the  Uchaguzi  platform  was  the  lack  of  segregation  of   information  by  region,  which  meant  the  data  officers  had  to  sift  through  the  information  to   get  the  relevant  information  for  their  region.      As  a  result,  a  lot  of  the  information  that  was   sent  to  all  the  hubs  was  irrelevant  to  the  districts  and  resulted  in  irrelevant  information   overload.  In  addition,  there  was  a  24-­‐hour  delay  between  when  alerts  were  sent  and  when   the  data  officers  in  the  hubs  received  them.  While  the  information  from  the  monitors  was   verified  and  acted  upon  immediately,  the  information  from  the  SMS  platform  was  received   too  late  to  be  responded  to  in  a  timely  manner.    Finally,  the  SMS  platform  was  less   sustainable  than  the  community  early  warning  system.      The  Uchaguzi  platform  scaled down  on  March  9th,  2013,  but  in  the  focus  group  discussions  with  the  DPCs  and  LPCs,  as   well  as  with  some  of  the  EWER  monitors,  it  was  reported  that  those  trained  in  the   communities  continue  to  share  early  warning  information  with  the  relevant  authorities.       In  terms  of  capacity  building,  almost  all  participants  in  the  focus  group  discussions  as  well   as  the  government  and  police  interviews  reported  that  they  had  gained  new  skills  and  a   greater  understanding  about  early  warning  and  how  to  respond  to  conflict  in  their   communities.      Central  to  the  community  EWER  system  were  the  relationships  and  trust   that  was  built  between  the  local  administration  (DCs,  police,  etc)  and  the  communities. Although  for  the  most  part  the  elections  were  peaceful,  in  some  instances  the  EWER   structures  prevented  conflicts  from  escalating,  for  example  along  the  Nandi/Kisumu   County  boarder  and  in  Molo. Lessons  Learnt  8:  Establishing  trust  and  strong  relationships  is  central  to  an  effective   EWER  system. The  end  of  project  evaluation  survey  asked  respondents  if  they  were  involved  in  EWER   activities,  and  what  roles  they  played.    Most  mentioned  that  they  played  a  role  in   monitoring  at  the  community  level.    Of  note,  there  was  little  difference  between  the  roles   played  by  LEAP  participants  and  non-­‐LEAP  participants,  with  almost  70%  identifying   themselves  as  community  monitors  (see  Figure  25). 42 Figure  25  Role  played  in  EWER Objective  2:  Promote  peaceful  elections  through  education  on  the  reform  process  and  the   benefits  of  non-­‐violence   The  LEAP  II  cost-­‐extension  had  a  number  of  activities  targeted  at  promoting  peaceful   elections  including  civic  education  around  the  new  constitution,  peace  caravans   promoting  peaceful  elections,  and  a  door-­‐to-­‐door  campaign  by  women  in  “hot  spots”  to   promote  peaceful  elections.  Overall,  the  elections  in  March  2013  were  primarily  peaceful,   however  it  is  difficult  to  attribute  the  peaceful  nature  of  the  elections  primarily  to  the   LEAP  II  program,  as  there  were  a  number  of  other  critical  factors  contributing  to  the   stability,  particularly  the  political  coalition  between  the  two  major  ethnic  communities  in   the  Rift  Valley;  the  Kikuyu  and  the  Kalenjin.     In  the  end  of  project  evaluation  survey,  respondents  were  asked  whether  there  was   politically  instigated  violence  in  their  communities  in  the  past  six  months.  Most  of  the   communities  said  no,  with  only  significant  political  violence  reported  in  Kericho.  In  Sotik,   Molo,  Eldoret  East  and  Buret  very  low  levels  of  political  violence  were  reported,  with  none   reported  in  the  remaining  districts  (see  Figure  26  below). Figure  26  Politically  instigated  violence  in  communities 0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80   Monitoring   Transmigng   info  to  MC   Transmigng   info  to  DPC   Responding   to  the  EWM   Other   %Par9cipant   %Non-­‐par9cipant   Role  in  EWER 0   20   40   60   80   100   120   140   160   Buret   Eldoret  East   Eldoret  West   Keiyo  North   Keiyo  South   Kericho   Kericho  East   Kericho  West   Molo   Nakuru   Nandi   Nandi  North   Nandi  South   Rongai   Son9k   ￾Tinderet   Transnzoia   East   Transnzoia   West   Wareng   Yes   No   PoliOcal  Violence  in  Community 43 Lessons  Learnt  9:  Establishing  an  Early  Warning  System  needs  to  start  at  least  a  year minimum  in  advance  of  elections  in  order  to  ensure  the  systems  are  fully  functional  and   relationships  and  trust  are  established.  Longer-­‐term  projects  will  establish  more   sustainable  structures. Lessons  Learnt  10:  As  a  key  part  of  community  early  warning  systems  is  the  relationships   between  the  administration  and  the  community,  ongoing  training  is  needed  to  ensure  that   as  officials  are  transferred  out  their  replacements  are  able  to  continue  to  support  the   system. Recommendation  5:  USAID  and  the  other  donors  should  begin  planning  for  the   establishment  of  an  effective  and  sustainable  EWER  system  for  the  2017  elections,   building  upon  the  systems  and  results  that  have  already  been  established.   Result  2.1  Electorate  is  more  knowledgeable  on  reform  efforts  consistent  with  Agenda  4  of   the  2008  peace  agreement. One  key  anticipated  result  of  the  LEAP  II  extension  was  to  educate  the  targeted   communities  in  the  reform  efforts  of  Agenda  4  of  the  2008  peace  agreement  and  the  new   government  structures  within  the  2010  constitution.    The  project  had  targeted  civic   education  for  5000  women  and  10,000  men  during  the  cost-­‐extension.  The  actual   numbers  far  exceeded  this  target,  with  over  26,868  women  and  13,726  men  having   received  voter  and  civic  education  by  the  end  of  March  2013.    This  much  larger  number   was  attributed  to  the  use  of  the  peace  caravans  and  targeting  civic  education  in  densely   populated  areas  during  market  days.    The  LEAP  team  also  used  the  media  and  distributed   IEC  materials  and  pamphlets  to  get  out  the  civic  education  messages,  although  those   reached  by  these  activities  are  not  included  in  the  figure  above. The  baseline  in  2010,  50%  of  respondents  stated  that  they  understood  the  reform  agenda   very  well  or  well.    In  the  end  of  project  evaluation  survey,  77%  of  respondents  reported   that  they  understood  the  constitutional  reforms  well  or  very  well  (see  Table  7  below). Table  7  Level  of  understanding  of  constitutional  reforms Level  of  understanding Percent Very  well 32% Well 45% Somewhat 17% Not  at  all 4% Don't  know 1% Total 100.0 However,  there  was  a  significant  difference  between  LEAP  and  non-­‐LEAP  participants  in   the  2013  survey  when  it  came  to  their  understanding  of  the  constitutional  reforms,  with   45%  of  participants  stating  that  they  understood  the  reforms  very  well,  as  compared  with   44 only  22%  of  non-­‐LEAP  participants.    However,  more  non-­‐LEAP  participants  stated  that   they  understood  the  reforms  well  or  somewhat  (see  Figure  27  below). Figure  27  Understanding  of  Constitutional  reforms  by  LEAP  and  non-­LEAP  participants When  it  came  to  questions  on  the  details  of  the  reforms,  overall  fewer  respondents  felt   that  they  understood  the  legal  and  institutional  reforms  very  well,  and  again  the  LEAP   participants  overall  felt  that  they  understood  the  reforms  better  than  the  non-­‐LEAP   participants  (see  figure  28  below).    This  could  reflect  the  TOT  methodology  of  the  civic   education  which  training  participants  to  train  the  community.   Figure  28  Understanding  of  legal  and  institutional  reforms Very  well   Well   Somewhat   Not  at  all   Don't   know   %Participants   45.5   43.3   9.5   1.3   0.3   %Non-­‐participants   22.5   46.2   23.3   6   2.1   0   5   10   15   20   25   30   35   40   45   50   Percentage  frequency   Participants/Non-­participants  understanding  of     Constitutional  reforms   %Participants   %Non-­‐participants   Very   well   Well   Somew hat   Not  at   all   Don't   know   %Participants   26.7   51.1   15.5   3.7   3   %Non-­‐participants   16.4   40.4   24.4   13.7   5.1   0   10   20   30   40   50   60   Percentage  frequency   Participants/Non-­participants  understanding  of  legal     and  Institutional  reforms   %Participants   %Non-­‐participants   45 Overall,  respondents  reported  that  most  people  are  now  in  support  of  the  reform  effects,   but  that  they  lack  the  understanding  about  how  it  will  happen,  and  are  especially  confused   as  to  how  they  see  the  leadership.    All  groups  stated  that  a  lot  more  Civic  Education  is   needed  at  all  levels,  from  grassroots  to  top  leadership.     Recommendation  6:    USAID  and  other  donors  need  to  prioritize  Civic  Education  around   the  Constitutional  reforms  at  the  grassroots  level.  As  communities  are  empowered  with   the  knowledge  regarding  their  constitutional  rights,  they  will  be  able  the  challenge  (and   educate)  the  political  leadership  who  were  reported  to  be  confused  regarding  the   constitutional  reforms.   Result  2.2  Events  and  information  campaigns  to  promote  non-­‐violence,  especially  around   the  elections. Through  the  various  peace  caravans,  the  celebration  of  Peace  Day  in  September,  and  other   election  related  activities,  the  LEAP  project  promoted  non-­‐violence  within  the  19  districts   in  the  six Counties.     The  original  target  of  the  cost-­‐extension  was  to  reach  1065  women   and  2135  men  with  the  non-­‐violence  messaging.  However,  the  LEAP  project  greatly  over   exceeded  this  number,  with  3314  women  and  3018  men  reached  by  the  peace  messages.     In  particular,  the  World  Peace  Day  celebrations,  which  were  done  in  collaboration  with  a   number  of  other  national  and  international  organizations  reached  a  very  large  number  of   community  members.    The  LEAP  extension  had  targeted  100  events  between  conflicting   communities.    This  was  exceeded  by  11  events  during  the  project  with  111  community   dialogues  being  held  in  the  main  ‘hot  spots.’ It  was  difficult  to  measure  the  change  in  community  understanding  regarding  the   detrimental  effects  of  conflict  to  the  development  of  their  communities,  although  a   number  of  survey  questions  sought  to  get  at  this  information.    In  the  baseline  survey,  36%   of  respondents  said  they  had  been  prevented  from  investing  in  their  livelihoods  because   of  insecurity.    The  most  affected  groups  were  the  Kikuyu  (54%),  Kisii  (46%)  and  Luo   (44%).    In  the  end  of  project  evaluation  survey,  only  16.3%  of  respondents  stated  that   insecurity  had  prevented  them  from  investing  in  their  livelihoods.    Also  of  interest,  a higher  percentage  of  Luo  community  members  reported  that  insecurity  had  prevented   them  from  investing  in  their  livelihoods  than  the  other  communities,  and  overall,  women   reported  a  greater  impact  of  insecurity  on  their  livelihoods  than  men  (see  Figure  29 below) Figure  29  Impact  of  insecurity  in  investment  in  livelihoods 0   10   20   30   40   ￾Kalenjin   Kikuyu   Kisii   Luhya   Luo   Male     Female   46 Respondents  were  also  asked  if  they  avoided  any  areas  because  of  insecurity  in  the  past   three  months.  In  the  baseline  survey,  the  activity/location  most  avoided  because  of   insecurity  was  visiting  friends  or  relatives.    The  end  of  project  survey  found  that  the  most   avoided  place  was  the  market,  more  women  reported  avoiding  areas  because  of  insecurity   than  men (see  Figure  28  below). Figure  28  Areas  avoided  because  of  insecurity Lessons  Learnt  11:  Large  functions  reach  a  much  larger  audience  with  peace  messages.   However  it  is  difficult  to  measure  the  effectiveness  of  the  large  venues  where  many   different  activities  are  ongoing. Result  2.3  Stories  about  reconciliation  documented  and  disseminated  through  Talking  Circles The  project  had  targeted  20  media  stories  during  the  cost-­‐extension  period,  and  by  the   time  of  the  evaluation  32  stories  had  been  disseminated,  over  exceeding  the  target  by  12 stories.   Table  8  outlines  the  different  stories  generated  during  the  cost-­‐extension,  the   Media  houses  involved,  and  the  medium  used  to  disseminate  the  stories. Table  8  Media  stories  during  the  LEAP  II  cost-­extension  period Story Media  House Medium #  of  Stories   Biblia  Husema  Broadcasting Radio 3 Fish  Fm Radio 3 1. Stories  generated  from   talking  circles Kass  Fm Radio 3 BHB Radio 2 Fish  Fm Radio 2 2. Peace  messages  before   supreme  court  ruling Kass  Fm Radio 2 3. Stories  generated  from   LEAP  Journalists  field  visit Kass  Fm Kass  Tv Biblia  Husema The  People  Daily K24 Standard  Newspaper The  Star Radio Tv Radio Newspaper Tv Newspaper Newspaper 3 3 2 2 2 1 4 TOTAL 32 0   2   4   6   8   10   12   14   16   Market   Water   Field/Farm   Animals   Income   Genera9ng   School   Medical   care   Visi9ng   friends   %Male   %Female   47 Result  2.4  Quick  impact  projects  foster  cooperation  during  the  election  season. The  cost-­‐extension  had  planned  to  implement  a  number  of  quick  impact  projects  (QIPs)  in   order  to  foster  greater  cooperation  across  ethnic  lines  during  the  election  period.     However,  because  of  delays  in  the  submission  of  environmental  assessments,  only  24  of   the  planned  42  projects  were  implemented.  See  Table  9  for  a  breakdown  of  the  projects   approved  and  implemented,  and  those  not  implemented. Table  9  Quick  impact  projects  planned  and  implemented 17  approved  and  implemented Most  of  these  involved  purchase  of  tents  and  chairs. 7  Approved  and  not   implemented These  projects  involved  livestock  raring  and  horticulture.   This  by  extension  would  have  meant  use  of  pesticides  and   other  agricultural  chemicals  and  required  additional   environmental  procedures  that  the  intended  beneficiaries  did   not  have  the  technology  nor  capacity  to  mitigate  the  use  of  the   chemicals.  In  addition,  the  environmental  requirements  were   too  costly. 18  not  approved Most  were  road  and  bridge  reconstruction  project.  They   required  design  drawings  and  inputs  of  experts  that  would   was  too  expensive  given  the  budget.  The  ministry  of  roads  had   provided  designs  for  the  projects;  however  they  were  generic   and  not  detailed  enough  as  per  USAID  requirements. The  project  had  targeted  involving  2000  women  and  4000  men  in  the  quick  impact   projects.  While  500  women  and  1000  men  had  participated  in  the  process  of  identifying   the  projects,  and  in  training  as  project  monitors,  by  the  end  of  the  project  only  2400   participants  had  participated  in  the  QIP,  because  of  the  reduction  of  the  number  of   projects  implemented.   When  the  consultant  was  undertaking  the  qualitative  data  collection  in  May  2013,  none  of   the  projects  had  been  implemented,  and  the  project  team  has  just  heard  back  on  the   environmental  assessments  and  was  in  the  process  of  sharing  the  results  with  the   communities.  There  was  a  high  level  of  disappointment  by  the  communities  that  had  not   had  their  activities  approved,  and  it  had  the  potential  to  undermine  the  trust  built   between  the  LEAP  staff  and  the  targeted  communities.     Lessons  Learnt  12:  Quick  Impact  Projects  should  have  been  prioritized  at  the  beginning  of   the  cost-­‐extension,  rather  than  left  to  the  end  of  the  project  cycle. Lessons  Learnt  13:  it  would  have  been  more  effective  to  submit  the  environmental   assessments  on  a  rolling  basis,  rather  than  as  one  large  group  of  projects  for  approval  at   one  time. Recommendation  7:  Mercy  Corps  or  USAID  should  seek  for  mechanisms  to  support  the   community  activities  that  were  developed  in  order  to  maintain  the  trust  that  the   communities  had  established  through  the  process  of  development  of  the  QIPs.    This  could   be  through  other  funding  mechanisms  such  as  KTI  or  future  programming.   48 The  cost-­‐extension  sought  to  increase  engagement  in  going  activities  between  members  of   other  communities.  Because  of  the  reduction  of  the  number  of  QIPs,  there  were  fewer   opportunities  for  inter-­‐ethnic  engagement.    However,  the  2013  end  of  project  survey   found  that  a  larger  percentage  of  LEAP  participants  were  aware  of  youth  multi-­‐ethnic   activities  than  non-­‐LEAP  participants,  with  73%  reporting  at  least  one  or  more  activity,  as   compared  with  55%  of  non-­‐LEAP  participants  (see  Figure  28  below) Figure  30  Multi-­ethnic  youth  activities  in  communities 0   10   20   30   40   50   60   >5   3  to  5   1  to  2   0   %Par9cipant   %Non-­‐par9cipant   Youth  MulO-­‐Ethnic  AcOviOes 49 5.  Synthesis Overall,  respondents  in  the  qualitative  research  reported  that  there  have  been  generally   peaceful  elections  in  all  areas,  although  it  was  difficult  to  attribute  the  peaceful  nature  of   the  elections  directly  to  the  LEAP  II  program  and  cost-­‐extension.  Other  factors  were   reported  as  being  equally  important,  particularly  the  coalition  between  the  two  political   parties,  which  was  seen  as  a  coalition  between  the  two  dominant  ethnic  groups  in  the  Rift   Valley,  the  Kalinjin  and  Kikuyu.    Some  respondents  reported  that  if  there  had  been  no   coalition,  there  would  have  been  significantly  more  violence.  However,  almost  all   participants  stated  that  they  were  much  better  prepared  this  time  to  address  the  potential violence  and  would  not  have  been  caught  unawares  had  this  happened. While  peace-­‐building  and  conflict  mitigation  structures  were reported  as  having  been   strengthened  through  the  LEAP  II  program  in  the  cost-­‐extension,  and  the  elections  passed   peacefully,  most  participants  agreed  that  the  root  drivers  of  conflicts  have  not  yet  been   adequately  addressed.  For  example  the  land  issue,  poverty  and  underemployment  were  all   cited  as  continuing  drivers  of  conflict  between  the  communities.   Among  the  various  peace  committees,  administration  and  local  communities  there  was  a demonstrably  increased  awareness  on  the  causes  of  conflict  in  the  communities,  and   increased  capacity  to  monitor  it  in  a  more  systematic  manner.  In  addition,  the  relationship   enabling  response  had  been  established  in  most  communities  visited.   Overall,  there  was  a  strong  sense  of  ownership  by  the  participants  of  the  program,  and   they  expressed  pride  in  what  they  felt  they  had  accomplished  throughout  the  life  of  the   LEAP  II  program.    Youth  in  particular  expressed  that  they  felt  empowered  through  the   program,  and  rather  than  being  seeing  as  a  problem,  as  they  had  been  in  2007/8,  they  now   felt  to  be  key  peace  actors.    The  project  was  also  successful  in  building  trust  between   different  key  actors,  from  the  community  level  to  the  provincial  levels. There  were  mixed  messages  on  the  sustainability  of  the  DPCs.    Due  to  the  new   government  structure,  their  role  in  the  future  of  the  new  County  structure  is  unclear.  Also,   some  of  the  DPCs  are  very  dependent  upon  Mercy  Corps  support,  while  others  reported   that  they  would  continue  with  support  from  the  government  or  by  setting  up  as  CBOs. Most  of  the  projects  visited  had  strong  potential  for  sustainability,  and  the  groups  were   continuing  on  in  their  activities.  The  various  trainings  provided  for  the  groups  by  Mercy   Corps  as  well  as  the  local  implementing  partners  were  important  for  increased  confidence   as  a  group  expansion  of  their  activities.   The  EWER  system  was  able  to  adequately  monitor  the  2013  elections,  but  the  long-­‐term   sustainability  of  the  system  is  not  viable  currently.  The  Uchaguzi  platform  was  not   successful  and  suffered  a  number  of  challenges,  and  while  the  community  EWER  was   more  effective,  it  is  reliant  upon  both  knowledge  and  the  relationships.      As  leadership  is   transferred  out,  they  may  lose  those  relationships,  but  the  knowledge  will  remain. 50 Challenges The  project  faced  a  number  of  challenges  in  the  implementation  of  the  program.  The  ones   mentioned  most  frequently  was  the  fact  that  other  organizations  paid  sitting  fees  for   attendance  at  workshops  and  conferences,  which  is  against  Mercy  Corp  policy.  This  made   attracting  attendees  to  LEAP  II  activities  challenging,  especially  if  there  was  another   training  or  workshop  at  the  same  time.  However,  some  participants  stated  that  they  would   attend  the  other  workshop  to  receive  the  sitting  fee,  and  then  proceed  to  the  Mercy  Corps   workshop  to  receive  the  training.     Another  challenge  was  the  changing  government  structure,  which  created  uncertainty  in   the  communities  and  the  government.  For  example,  the  Districts  do  not  really  exist  within   the  new  County  structure,  and  as  a  result  the  role  of  the  DPCs  is  unclear  in  the  new   government  structure.    Because  of  this,  some  County  governments  were  reported  to  be setting  up  their  own,  parallel,  peace  structures,  duplicating  the  DPCs. The  Uchaguzi  platform  faced  a  number  of  challenges  in  its  implementation,  including  the   inability  to  send  alerts  to  the  specified  region,  and  overwhelming  the  data  officers  with   excessive  information.  In  addition,  the  24-­‐hour  delay  in  sending  in  alerts  made  the   information  generated  useless  for  early  response. In  the  C4W  and  IGA  projects,  the  groups  faced  a  number  of  challenges  particularly  around   group  cohesion  and  leadership.  Some  of  the  groups  were  able  to  overcome  these   challenges,  while  others  fell  apart,  especially  when  external  finances  were  introduced  into   the  group.  A  number  of  examples  were  cited  where  the  group  leader  took  over  the  IGA  as   his  own  private  business,  cutting  out  the  rest  of  the  group.    However,  where  the  leadership   was  committed,  there  were  excellent  results.     With  regards  to  the  cost-­‐extension,  the  delay  in  the  submission  of  environmental   assessments  to  USAID,  and  the  more  stringent  environmental  assessments  of  the  QIP   projects,  meant  that  only  17  of  the  planned  42  projects  were  implemented.    The  LEAP   team  should  have  submitted  the  proposals  much  earlier,  and  if  possible,  should  have  not   submitted  them  all  in  one  batch  to  the  environmental  officer. Recommendation  8:  USAID  should  set  one  common  policy  regarding  sitting  fees  for   trainings  and  workshops,  preferably  not  allowing  them. Recommendation  9:  Peace  building  needs  a  much  longer  period  to  gain  sustainable  peace   in  areas  with  historic  grievances  between  communities.    A  two  year  program  at  best  was   able  to  strengthen  some  of  the  structures  needed,  but  to  adequately  address  the  deep   roots  of  the  conflict,  more  time  is  necessary. Recommendation  10:  Environmental  assessments  needs  to  be  based  on  realistic  on-­‐the-­‐ ground  context  and  simplified  for  community  based  projects  that  are  low-­‐risk. Recommendation  11:  Consistency  in  application  of  USAID  standards  needs  to  be  applied   (i.e.  environmental). 51 Lessons  Learnt Lessons  Learnt  1:    Cross-­‐site  visits  are  an  effective  way  for  DPCs  to  learn  from  each  other   and  share  challenges  as  well  as  strategies  for  overcoming  them. ........................................18 Lessons  Learnt  2:    Dialogues  and  trainings  should,  as  much  as  possible,  be  held  at  the  local   level  rather  than  in  hotels  or  in  the  main  town.  This  allows  for  wider  participation   and  more  ownership  of  the  process. .................................................................................................20 Lessons  Learnt  3:  Community  connector  projects,  especially  those  that  build  a  visible   structure,  such  as  bridges,  can  be  symbolic  representations  of  reconciliation   processes. ......................................................................................................................................................23 Lessons  Learnt  4:  Adding  finances  to  a  successful  group  has  the  potential  to  create   internal  problems,  if  not  properly  managed. .................................................................................37 Lessons  Learnt  5:    youth  groups,  particularly  urban  ones,  are  often  transitory,  as  youth  go   off  for  education  and  employment  in  other  parts  of  the  country.    Planning  activities   with  the  youth  needs  to  take  this  transitory  characteristic  into  account..........................37 Lessons  Learnt  6:    economic  activities  as  a  group  are  not  always  as  economically   successful  as  individual  projects,  but  have  a  higher  potential  for  building  community   connectors  if  the  groups  are  ethnically  mixed. .............................................................................37 Lessons  Learnt  7:  Linking  youth  with  private  sector  mentors  is  challenging  if  the  potential   mentors  do  not  see  a  tangible  benefit  to  their  business.    More  work  is  needed  to   enlighten  the  private  sector  on  the  importance  of  peace  in  their  communities,  and  the   potential  that  youth  have  to  contribute  to  this  peace................................................................37 Lessons  Learnt  8:  Establishing  trust  and  strong  relationships  is  central  to  an  effective   EWER  system...............................................................................................................................................41 Lessons  Learnt  9:  Establishing  an  Early  Warning  System  needs  to  start  at  least  a  year   minimum  in  advance  of  elections  in  order  to  ensure  the  systems  are  fully  functional   and  relationships  and  trust  are  established.    Longer-­‐term  projects  will  establish  more   sustainable  structures..............................................................................................................................43 Lessons  Learnt  10:  As  a  key  part  of  community  early  warning  systems  is  the  relationships   between  the  administration  and  the  community,  ongoing  training  is  needed  to  ensure   that  as  officials  are  transferred  out  their  replacements  are  able  to  continue  to  support   the  system. ....................................................................................................................................................43 Lessons  Learnt  11:  Large  functions  reach  a  much  larger  audience  with  peace  messages.   However  it  is  difficult  to  measure  the  effectiveness  of  the  large  venues  where  many   different  activities  are  ongoing. ...........................................................................................................46 Lessons  Learnt  12:  Quick  Impact  Projects  should  have  been  prioritized  at  the  beginning  of   the  cost-­‐extension,  rather  than  left  to  the  end  of  the  project  cycle......................................47 Lessons  Learnt  13:  it  would  have  been  more  effective  to  submit  the  environmental   assessments  on  a  rolling  basis,  rather  than  as  one  large  group  of  projects  for  approval   at  one  time. ...................................................................................................................................................47 52 Evaluator  Comments The  LEAP  II  program,  implemented  by  Mercy  Corp  in  the  Rift  Valley,  was  successful  and   met  its  intended  goals  and  objectives,  for  the  most  part  over-­‐exceeding  its  intended   results.  During  the  extension  period,  the  inability  to  implement  the  majority  of  the  quick   impact  projects  was  a  blot  on  the  overall  success  of  the  program.     The  strength  of  the   Mercy  Corps  staff  was  in  their  commitment  to  the  communities,  their  real  and  perceived   neutrality  in  the  communities,  and  the  levels  of  trust  that  they  were  able  to  build  with  and   between  the  participants.      Dr.  S.K  Wanguru,  the  Nakuru  Peace  Monitor,  summed  up  the   performance  of  the  LEAP  program  as  follows: When  MC  started  the  LEAP  project,  there  was  a  lot  of  perception  from  the  ground   that  they  were  supported  by  USAID  to  help  ODM  win  the  next  election.  Initially,  it   seemed  like  the  project  was  not  well  thought  out,  and  the  focus  was  not  very  clear.   But  once  they  got  on  the  ground,  the  clarity  appeared  because  they  were  willing  to   discuss  and  alter  the  direction  of  the  program.  The  staff  were  very  honest  and  humble   and  asked  for  guidance.  They  shared  reports  with  us  and  when  funds  were  not  coming   to  the  DPC,  the  little  money  they  gave  for  seminars  or  workshops  were  very  helpful   and  complementary  to  other  activities  ongoing.  They  filled  the  gap  that  others  didn’t   want  to  fill  in.  By  2012  they  were  very  well  known  and  knew  who  were  the   troublemakers. I  greatly  enjoyed  working  with  the  LEAP  team  in  this  evaluation,  and  found  them  to  be  a   deeply  committed,  engaged  and  fun  group  to  work  with.    They  were  genuinely  interested   in  knowing  how  to  improve  programming  in  the  future,  and  in  spite  of  the  evaluation   happening  in  the  last  few  weeks  of  the  program,  when  they  were  trying  also  to  finalize  a   number  of  activities,  they  willing  shared  information,  their  challenges  and  their  successes.     Special  mention  goes  to  Josiah  Mukoya  who  assisted  in  the  development  of  the  end  of   project  survey,  managing  the  administration  of  the  survey  in  the  targeted  communities,   supervised  the  entering  of  the  data,  and  generated  the  analysis.    Also  special  thanks  to   Ruben  Grangaard  in  the  Mercy  Corps  Washington  DC  office,  who  provide  additional   analysis.    The  Chief  of  Party,  Richard  Onyancha,  gave  up  a  lot  of  his  valuable  time  to  travel   with  me  during  the  field  research  part  of  the  evaluation.    The  field  staff  organized   meetings  and  focus  group  discussions  with  a  wide  range  of  community  members  and   government  officials. 53 Annexes Annex  1:    List  of  Recommendations Recommendation  1:    More  work  is  needed  to  establish  the  peace  committee  structure   within  the  new  governing  structure.    The  LEAP  program  was  able  to  lay  a  solid   structure  at  the  various  levels,  from  the  DPC  to  the  local  level.  However,  with  the  new   County  government,  the  roles  of  these  various  peace  committees  are  unclear.    USAID   should  continue  to  work  with  the  peace  committees  and  the  National  Steering   Committee  as  they  work  through  these  issues. ............................................................................18 Recommendation  2:    USAID  should  work  closely  at  the  County  level  to  support  greater   integration  between  the  District  and  the  County  level.      The  district  level  authorities   were  an  important  part  of  the  LEAP  II  program.  However,  their  status  is  unclear  in   the  new  County  government.    Unless  their  relationship  with  the  County  is  clarified,   there  is  risk  that  at  best,  the  training  and  support  to  the  district  level  could  be  lost,  or   at  worst  the  lack  of  clarity  can  cause  conflict. ...............................................................................19 Recommendation  3:    More  work  is  needed  to  address  the  deep  divisions  between  ethnic   communities  in  the  Rift  Valley.    Although  the  elections  were  peaceful  and  the  survey   results  show  an  increase  in  tolerance,  in  most  interviews  and  focus  groups  it  was   mentioned  that  the  underlying  tensions  have  not  been  resolved  and  could  erupt  again   given  the  right  political  context...........................................................................................................27 Recommendation  4:    Follow-­‐up  Organizational  Capacity  Assessments  of  the  LEAP  II   partners  should  be  included  in  any  future  work  with  these  partners,  or  in  the  USAID   peace  building  evaluation,  using  the  LEAP  II  assessments  as  a  baseline. .........................30 Recommendation  5:  USAID  and  the  other  donors  should  begin  planning  for  the   establishment  of  an  effective  and  sustainable  EWER  system  for  the  2017  elections,   building  upon  the  systems  and  results  that  have  already  been  established....................43 Recommendation  6:    USAID  and  other  donors  need  to  prioritize  Civic  Education  around   the  Constitutional  reforms  at  the  grassroots  level.  As  communities  are  empowered   with  the  knowledge  regarding  their  constitutional  rights,  they  will  be  able  the   challenge  (and  educate)  the  political  leadership  who  were  reported  to  be  confused   regarding  the  constitutional  reforms................................................................................................45 Recommendation  7:  Mercy  Corps  or  USAID  should  seek  for  mechanisms  to  support  the   community  activities  that  were  developed  in  order  to  maintain  the  trust  that  the   communities  had  established  through  the  process  of  development  of  the  QIPs.    This   could  be  through  other  funding  mechanisms  such  as  KTI  or  future  programming. ....47 Recommendation  8:  USAID  should  set  one  common  policy  regarding  sitting  fees  for   trainings  and  workshops,  preferably  not  allowing  them. ........................................................50 54 Recommendation  9:  Peace  building  needs  a  much  longer  period  to  gain  sustainable  peace   in  areas  with  historic  grievances  between  communities.    A  two  year  program  at  best   was  able  to  strengthen  some  of  the  structures  needed,  but  to  adequately  address  the   deep  roots  of  the  conflict,  more  time  is  necessary. .....................................................................50 Recommendation  10:  Environmental  assessments  needs  to  be  based  on  realistic  on-­‐the-­‐ ground  context  and  simplified  for  community  based  projects  that  are  low-­‐risk. .........50 Recommendation  11:  Consistency  in  application  of  USAID  standards  needs  to  be  applied   (i.e.  environmental)...................................................................................................................................50 55 Annex  2:    List  of  Interviews Government: • Joash  Abongo  –  Assistant  to  the  County  Commissioner,  Trans  Nzoia  County  (May  23,   13) • Christopher  Wanjao  –  DC  for  Eldoret  W.  District,  Uasin  Gisu  County  (May  24,  2013) • Jamlik  Mbuba,  District  Commissioner,  Belgut  (May  28,  2013) • Chief  Insp.  David  Apima  –  OCS  Fort  Ternan,  Kepkelion  W.  Kericho  County  (May  28,  13) • Dr.  SK  Wanguru  –  Nakuru  County  Peace  Monitor,  UNV  with  UNDP  (May  30,  13) • Dickson  Mutia  Koske  –  Nakuru  District  Youth  Officer  (May  30,  13) • Rebecca  Caroline  Asami  –  Assistant  District  Youth  Officer  (May  30,  13) • Julius  Kavita  –  District  Commissioner,  Molo  District  (May  29,  13) Partner  Organizations: • Daniel  Ronoh  –  Program  Manager,  Kericho  Youth  Centre  (May  28,  2013) • Chepchumba  Rongei  –  Finance  &  Admin  Officer  Peace  and  Development  Forum,   Nakuru  (May  28,  2013) • Lillian  Bwire  –  Program  Coordinator  for  Rural  Women  Peace  Link  (May  30,  2013) • Isaac  Sagala  –  Internews,  Eldoret  (May  30,  2013) Mercy  Corps  Staff • Ruth  Chepkemoi  –  Kericho  Program  Assistant  (May  27,  2013) • Jean  Opanda  –  Kericho  Program  Assistant  (May  27,  2013) • Caroline  Lesan  –  Kericho  Program  Officer  (May  27,  2013) • Job  Matseshe  –  Program  Officer,  Nakuru  Office  (May  29,  2013) • Jane  Kithuka  –  Peace  and  Media  Campaign  Coordinator  LEAP  (May  30,  2013) • Patropa  Okwemba  Ambuko  –  Program  Manager  Uasin  Gisu,  Trans  Nzoia  &  Nandi  (May   30,  2013) • Mary  Kakuvi  –  Program  Manager  for  YYC  (May  31,  2013) 56 Annex  3:    List  of  Focus  group  participants Nandi  Elders  Focus  Group  9am,  May  22,  13  Kapsabet,  Nandi  County • Charles  Langat  –  Community  Elder  &  Catholic  Church • Henry  Sawe  –  Community  Elder  &  retired  teacher • Marusin  Kogo  –  Member  of  Nandi  Kaburwo  Council  of  Elders  (treasurer). • Josphat  Sirma  –  Member  of  Kaburwo  council  of  Elders    (researcher),  Chairman  of   COBEN  –  Coalition  for  Peace  Network,  North  Rift • Augustine  Kisorio  –  Executive  Member  (Kaburow),  Member  of  Catholic  Justice  Peace   Commission  (CJPC). Nandi  North  DPC  leaders  &  religious  leaders,  May  22,  13,  Kapsabet,  Nandi  County • Josiah  Kilole  –  DPC  Chair  Nandi  South. • Rose  Hoyt  –  DPC  secretary  Nandi  South. • David  Mutai  –  DPC  secretary  Tenderet   • Milca  Chumba  –  Nandi  N.  Secretary  for  DPC.     • Jane  Korir  –  DPC  treasurer  Tenderet.   • Rev.  Peter  Rono  –  Peace  Mediator  and  representing  faith  based  organization.   Nandi  Youth,  May  22,  2013,  Kapsabet • Kipyego  Obed  –  Nandi  East.  Peace  Monitor • Lilian  Chelimo  –  Nandi  North  –  chairman  of  Tumaini  women  youth  group • Charity  Chepkorir  –  Nandi  North  District  Peace  monitor • Jocye  Chepkorir  –  Nandi  East  Peace  Monitor. • Rono  Daniel  –  Tenderet  District,  Peace  Monitor • Paul  Choge  –  Nandi  N.  district   Nandi  Women  leaders,  May  22,  2013,  Kapsabet • Pauline  Chelegat  –  Nandi  South,  Chemasei  location,  door  to  door  mobilizer • Rartha  Rotich  –  Nandi  East,  Assistant  Chief • Clarice  Marenya  –  Kibigori,  Kisumu  County • Rose  Akinyi  Chan  -­‐    Kibigori-­‐Chemasi  border.  DPC  member  &  village  elder • Joyce  Wangoi  Njuguna  –  Nandi  East  town,  Kablemet Trans  Nzoia  women  May  23,  2013,  Kitale • Phoebe  Baraza  –  Kiminini  TNW  door  to  door • Stella  Nyamosi  –  Cherengani  TNE  door  to  door  peace  mobililzer • Wiliborada  Khaoya  –  Saboati  TNW  door  to  door  peace  mobiizer • Janet  Wekesa  –  Saboati  TNW,  locational  Chief. • Rose  Rono  –  TNE  Cheregoni  constituency • Tekla  Otwodi  –  Tiwani  Location,  Central  division  TN Trans  Nzoia  DPC  and  Elders,  May  23,  2013,  Kitale 57 • Pastor  Abendego  Lwandanya  –  DPC  Chair  TNE  &  SDA  pastor • Jennifer  Bunyasi  –  DPC  for  TNW • Japheth  Kiptoo  –  Youth  monitor,  Cherangany Trans  Nzoia  Youth  –  May  23,  2013,  Kitale • Ben  Makete  –  Saboeta  constituency • Peter  Wanyama  –  Kwanza  District • Solomon  Wanyonyi  –  Kimimi  Constituency,  TNW • Linit  Baraza  –  Kwanza  Districte,  Youth  Bunge   • Carol  Namenba  –  Kwanza • Mark  Wafula  –  Kiminini  TNW,  Kimini  Youth  Group Uasin  Gisu  youth,  Eldoret,  May  24,  2013 • Pius  Omondi  Kapasoya  youth  group  –  Eldoret  E • James  Nganga  -­‐Wareng • Daniel  Sang  -­‐  Wareng • Mirian  Chebet  –  West  Indies  youth  gout.  Eldoret  We. • Grace  Kirwa  –  Kesses  Wareng • Ziproa  Miana  Chepteret  –  Wareng  District Uasin  Gisu  women,  Eldoret,  May  24,  2013 • Clair  Ratemo-­‐    women  leader  in  Eldoret  East  District   • Karubo  Makori  –  from  Eldoret  W.  Chairperson  Kibulgeny  location  women  leader • Anne  Gitau  –  Eldoret  E.  Ainabkoi  division.  Chairlady  of  Kapsoya  location,  al  women   registered  gropus.  Assistant  Chiar  of  peace  committee  in  Kapsoya  location. • Fanis  Wandulu  –  Wareng  District,  Uasin  Gisu.    Chairlady  Simama  Imara  mothers  group   from  Langas. • Mary  Atieno  –  from  Kapsaret  Division,  Pioneer  location,  Langas  Estate.  Village  elder   and  work  with  the  chief.  Member  of  Women  voices. Uasin  Gisu  DPC,  May  24,  2013 • Albert  Githuka  –Chair  of  Kikuyu’s  peace  inititative  (KEPI)  North  Rift. • Mary  Njoki  –  Chair  of  Wareng  District  Peace  Committee • Pastor  John  Tuwei  –  member  of  DPC  Soy  division • Henry  Kiptoo  Murei  –  Eldoret  West  DPC  Chair • Pauline  Ngunjiri  –  Secretary  DPC  Eldoret  East Religious/Opinion  Leaders  –  Kericho  (May  27,  2013) • Rose  Rutto  Martim    -­‐  Secretary  DPC • Rev.  Joseph  Sunya    -­‐  Chair  Londiani  DPC • Rev.  Charles  Omego  –  member  Londiani  DPC • Lazerous  Angwenyi    -­‐  Peace  Monitor  for  South  Rift,  DPC  Secretary  for  Kipkelion  District • Abdel  Azziz  –  trainer 58 Sotik  Women  –  Kericho,  May  27,  2013 • Anne  Chebet  –  District  Peace  Monitor • Evaline  Korir  –  Sotik  Boraba,  door  to  door  campaigner • Monica  Rono  –  Sotik  Borab,  door  to  door  campaigner • Lili  Chamogey  Ngeno  –  Sotik,  door  to  door  campaigner • Nelly  Milgo  –  Door  to  door  campaigner • Rebecca  Mosonik  –  Sotik/Borabi  –  door  to  door Sigowet  Division  Peace  Committee,  Sigowet  Location,  Kaplelartet  (May  27,  2013) • Elisha  Atebi  –Kaplelartet   • Wilson  Rugut, -­‐  Kaplelartet • Solomon  Bet  –  Sigowet • Jackline  Mora  –  Sigowet • Francisca  Chek  –  Sigowet • Korir  Mutai  –Sigowet  division. • Mary  Awini  –  District  Officer Influential  women  –  Nakuru  May  29,  2013 • Jane  Wangoi  Kariuki  –  Chief  from  Turi  location • Grace  Koskei  –  DPC  treasurer  Njoro • Therese  Ngigi  –  DPC  member  Nakuru/Lanet • Jean  Thuku  –  trainer  from  CU. • Jane  Gathogo  –  DPC    member    Nakuru  county  and  foundation  for  Women’s  rights. Early  Warning  focus  group  –  Nakuru,  May  29,  2013.  Translated  by  Anyona  Bengamin • Ann  Sabomi  –  Nakuru  east  –  Morogi  Youth  Bunge • Walter  Rotich  –  Kuresoi  North  –  Youth   • Joseph  Njogu  –  Naivsahs  Sight  and  Service  Youth  Bunge • Rev.  Jackson  Angunza  –  Molo • Anyona  Benjamin  –  Nakuru  Kapkures  -­‐    Early  Bird  Youth  Bunge. DPCs  –  Molo  Town,  May  29,  2013 • Mary  Owoko –  DPC  treasurer   • Joseph  Chagara  –  DPC  Chairman • Johnson  Mureithi  –  memer  of  the  DPC • Wairimu  Kanyri  –  DPC  member  from  Turi • Peninia  Nyabera  –  District  Peace  Monitor   • Amos  Mirau  –  DPC  Secretary • Peter  Langat  –  DPC  vice-­‐secretary Molo  Youth,  May  29,  2013 • Wairimu  Kanyiri  –  Turi    DPC • Nikolos  Kago  Ngodo  –  Sakamo  from  Sachangwni  division • John  Kanga  –  Smart  dedicated  group  in  Molo 59 • Muigai  Mburu  –Morot  Mieni  youth. • Sammy  Njuguna  –  Innovative  Theatre  for  change  outh  goup • Margret  Kihara  –Molo  Atuar  youth  group. • Elizabeth  Kariyuki  –  Molo  youth  emerging  for  change. • Bonifest  Kamau  -­‐ • Nikolos  Kago  Ngodo  –  Sakamo  from  Sachangwni  division.   Nandi  County  local  government  officers,  Kapsabet,  May  22,  2013 • Edwin  Bett  –  Tenderit,  District  Officer,  deputy  to  the  DC • Grace  Opati  –  DC  Nandi  South  –  DO-­‐1 • John  Mbugua  –  Acting  DC  for  Nandi  Central • Charles  Kitheka  –  DO1  Nandi  North  District Wareng  Youth  Initiative  Focus  Group  discussion  (May  30,  2013) • Andrew  Chemoiywo • Ascai  Jepkogei • Peter  Nganga • Irene  Jepkogei • Stephen  Mwangi • Christine  Sitati • Gideon  Koech • Caroline  Bakasa. 60 Annex  4:    Projects  visited Mobett  Community  Development  Project  (Passion  for  Peace)  –  Uasin  Gishu Type  of  support  given:    120,000  KSH    Community  Connector  Project   Simama  Imara  women’s  group  –  Uasin  Gishu Type  of  support  given:    120,000  KSH  Community  Connector  Project Kesses  Youth  Group  –  Uasin  Gishu Type  of  support  given:  78,000  KSH  IGA;  Financial  Literacy  training Kapsoya  Border  Youth  Group  –  Uasin  Gishu Type  of  support  given:  78,000  KSH  C4W  in  2011;  78,000  IGA  grant  in  2012;  Financial   Literacy  training. West  Indies  Youth  Group  -­‐  Eldoret Type  of  support  given:  78,000  KSH  IGA  in  2012;  Financial  Literacy  training Kichawir  Upendo  Group  -­‐  Kericho Type  of  support  given:  C4W  in  2010;  IGA  grant  in  2011;  Trainings  in  Financial  Literacy,   Entrepreneurship,  and  many  others. Hekima  Development  Skills  –  Nakuru Type  of  support  given:  78,000  KSH  IGA  in  2011 Mukinyai  Borop  Connection  Bridge  –  Nakuru Type  of  support  given:    C4W   61 Annex  5:    Evaluation  TOR Mercy  Corps  Rift  Valley  Local  Empowerment  for  Peace  (LEAP  II) External  Final  Evaluation  Scope  of  Work May-­June  2013 1/  Project  to  be  evaluated   Rift   Valley   Local   Empowerment   for   Peace   (LEAP   II   and   LEAP   II   Extension)   being   implemented   by   Mercy   Corps   and   partners   (Wareng   Youth   Initiative   for   Peace   and   Development   and   Kericho   Youth   Centre)   and   funded   by   the   United   States   Agency   for   International  Development  (USAID).  The  program  started  on  July  4,  2010  and  ends  on  July   3,  2013. 2/  Purpose 2a/  Purpose  of  evaluation This  is  the  final  evaluation  of  the  2  year  USAID-­‐funded  Rift  Valley  Local  Empowerment  for   Peace  (LEAP  II)  program  and  the  1  year  cost  extension.  This  is  an  external  evaluation  for   donor  reporting  purposes,  but  will  also  act  as  an  important  document  for  Mercy  Corps  and   our  implementing  partners  in  measuring  program  outcomes  of  LEAP  II  and  future  project   identification,   design   and   implementation.   Bridging   ethnic   divides   and   youth   are   important  areas  of  Mercy  Corps  Kenya’s  long-­‐term  programming  strategy,  and  the  LEAP  II program  has  helped  us  establish  our  unique  contribution  to  the  development  and  stability   of   Kenya.   The   evaluation   will   serve   as   an   important   tool   in   reevaluating   and   defining   Mercy  Corps’  strategy  in  Kenya.   The  LEAP  II  program  team,  Mercy  Corps  Kenya  as  well  as  Mercy  Corps  headquarters  (HQ)   are   directly   concerned   with how   activities   implemented   measure   against   the   program   results,  as  well  as  direct  impact/progress  and  realizing  its   final  goal.   It  is  hoped   that   the   evaluation  will  clearly  assess  the  project’s  overall  success  in  achieving  its  stated  purposes   and   results,   and   make   clear   recommendations,   based   on   these   results,   regarding   necessary  or  beneficial  future  activities  in  the  light  of  this  program.  Most  importantly,  the   evaluation   should   measure   the   sustainability   of   this   action.   In   addition,   information   collected   will   be   vital   for   the   following   parties:   1)   the   LEAP   II program   team;   2)   Mercy   Corps’  Kenya  office;  3)  Mercy  Corps’  headquarters  staff;  4)  Wareng  Youth  Initiative  for  Peace   staff  5)  Kericho  Youth  Center  staff  6)  LEAP  II Peace  Committees  and  Youth  Self-­Help  Groups;   and   7)   District/   County   Governments   and   decision-­makers   that   have   been   involved   in   the   project  8)  The  National  Steering  Committee  on  peacebuilding  and  conflict  management The  evaluation  approach  will  involve  as  many  of   the  LEAP   II team  members  as  possible,   and   be   designed   in   a   way   that   allows   the   team   an   opportunity   to   learn   about   the   importance  and   relevance   of  project  evaluation,  and  how   this   feeds  into   future  program   62 design.  Additionally,  the  evaluation  will  incorporate  tools  designed  by  Mercy  Corps’  Youth   and   Conflict   Management   team   under   the   Evaluation   and   Assessment   of   Poverty   and   Conflict   Interventions   (EAPC)   research   grant.   These   tools   examine   community   relationships  and  peace  agreements.   Findings  and  analysis  of  the   final  evaluation  will  be  compiled  in  a  report,  with  necessary   annexes.   The   final   evaluation   will   consist   of   1)   individual   surveys   with   LEAP   II participants;   2)   focus   group   discussions   with   Peace   Committees,   and   Early   Warning   monitors   and   3)   key   informant   interviews   with   relevant   local   and   government   officials   and  LEAP  II program  team.   A  timeline  for  the  evaluation  and  generation  of  the  final  report  is  provided  in  Section  8  of   this   Scope   of   Work.   Primary   users   of   the   information   generated   through   the   final   evaluation  are:   • Mercy   Corps   –   as   a   management   tool,   to   calibrate   effort   to   ensure   the   program   achieves  proposed  results;  and • USAID  -­‐  as  a  monitoring  and  evaluation   tool,   to  measure  results  against  proposed   impact  indicators/  results. Results  from  the  final  evaluation  will  also  be  shared  with: • Stakeholders  in   the   target  communities,  e.g.   the  district  and   regional  government   and  Peace  Committees,  as  a  means   of   transparency,  accountability  and  continued   cooperation  towards  shared  objectives;  and • Development   stakeholders   in   the   region,   e.g.   international   development   organizations,  institutional  donors  etc.  as  a  means  of  attracting  additional  funding   to  the  region. 2b/  Purpose  of  the  consultancy The   overall   goal   of   the   Consultancy   is   to   facilitate   and   manage   the   Mercy   Corps   final   evaluation   for   the   LEAP   II   program.   The   Consultant   will   develop   evaluation   tools,   coordinate   implementation   of   the   survey   and   analyze   its   results.   In   addition,   the   Consultant   will   lead   the   implementation   of   the   focus   group   discussions   with   Peace   Committees   and   Youth   Self  Help   Groups,   as  well   as   key  informant  interviews  with  local   government  officials  and  the  LEAP  II  program  team.  Finally  the  Consultant  will  produce  a   final  evaluation  report  for  stakeholders  as  mentioned  previously.     3/  Background In   December   2007,   Kenya   descended   into   political   violence   following   disputed   presidential  elections  between  incumbent  President  Mwai  Kibaki’s  Party  of  National  Unity   and  Raila  Odinga’s  opposition  Orange  Democratic  Movement.  Long  considered  one  of  the   most  stable  countries  in  East  Africa,  some  1,500  people  died  and  600,000  were  displaced   in   the   violence.   The   epicenter   was   Kenya’s   troubled   Rift   Valley   Province,   the   site   of   recurrent  violence  between  the  Kikuyu  and  Kalenjin  tribes  over  political  power,  economic   opportunity,   and   land.   A   power-­‐sharing   agreement   brokered   by   former   UN   Secretary   63 General   Kofi   Annan   ended   the   violence,   both   parties   expressed   a   commitment   to   peace,   and   the   new   coalition   government   agreed   to   an   ambitious   reform   agenda   that   includes   moving  two  critical  pieces  of  legislation  on  land  and  reconciliation  through  Parliament.  In   order   to   build   on   that   important   window   of   opportunity,   Mercy   Corps   and   its   local   partners,  Wareng  Youth   Initiative   for  Peace  and  Development  and  Kericho  Youth  Centre   implemented   a   2   year   $   1,700,000   and   a   1   year   cost   extension   $1,000,000   program   entitled  Rift  Valley  Local Empowerment  for  Peace  (LEAP  II)  in  Uasin  Gishu,  Kericho,  Bomet,   Nakuru   and   Trans-­‐Nzoia   counties   in   the   Rift   Valley   that   were   deeply   affected   by   post-­‐ election   violence.  LEAP   II’s  overarching  goal  is   to  strengthen   the  ability  of  local,  district,   and   provincial   structures   to   address   the   causes   of   2007   post-­‐election   violence   and   promote   sustainable   peace   and   reconciliation.   Mercy   Corps   supported   this   goal   by   pursuing   three   related   objectives:   1)   strengthen   sustainable   mechanisms   for   conflict   mitigation   and   reconciliation;   2)   supporting   community   dialogues   and   implement   joint   development   projects   that   build   bridges   among   divided   communities   and   demonstrate   tangible   benefits   to   coexistence;   and   3)   supporting   youth  integration   and   address   a   key   cause  of  violence  through  youth  leadership  training,  small-­‐scale  cash-­‐for-­‐work  community   reconstruction  projects,  and  income-­‐generation  activities.   The  LEAP  II  Extension  goal  is  to  strengthen  the  capacity  of  local  actors  and  institutions  in   targeted  counties  to  develop  and  advance  sustainable  peace,  reconciliation  and  norms  of   nonviolence  based  on  justice,  accountability  and  equality.  Mercy  Corps  is  supporting  this   goal   by   pursuing   three   related   objectives:  1)Strengthen   transformational   platforms   that   will   prevent   and   respond   to   local   conflicts   that   threaten   to   destabilize   the   region.   2)   Strengthen  Early  Warning  and  Early  Response  capacity  through  inclusion  of  youth  and  the   police  to  support  peaceful  elections. LEAP  II Goal:   Strengthen   the   ability   of   local   structures   to   address   causes   of   post-­election   violence  and  promote  sustainable  peace  and  reconciliation  in  the  Rift  Valley  province Objective   1:   Building   and   strengthening   sustainable   local   mechanisms   for   conflict   mitigation  and  reconciliation Result  1.1  Stakeholder  mapping  and  conflict  assessment  done Result  1.2  District  Peace  Committees  established  and/or  strengthened Result  1.3  32-­‐40  district  dialogue  forums  conducted  that  bring  groups  together  to  discuss   resolve  joint  problems. Result  1.4  District  leaders  gain   new  leadership  and   consensus-­‐building   skills   to   resolve   tensions. Result  1.5  Early  warning  and  response  systems  established. Result  1.6  District  and  provincial  leaders  increase  interaction  through  multi-­‐district  and   regional  forums 64 Objective   2:   Supporting   60   inter-­   and   intra-­community   reconciliation   dialogues   that   disseminate  information   about   Kenya’s  new   reform   agenda   and   contribute   to   peaceful   co-­ existence. Result   2.1   80   communities   engaged   through   dialogues   to   promote   reconciliation   and   identify  projects  for  implementation Result   2.2   Implementation   of   64   community   and   district   projects   that   demonstrate   tangible  benefits  to  cooperation Result  2.3.  Demonstration  by  community  members  of  increased  willingness  to  cooperate   across  conflict  lines Result  2.3.  Establishment  of  joint  monitoring  teams  for  all  projects Objective  3:   Support  youth  integration  and  address  a  key  cause  of  conflict  through  youth   leadership  training  and  income  generation  activities Result  3.1  Organizational  capacity  of  local   youth  association  and   youth  self-­‐help  groups   strengthened Result   3.2  Acquisition   of   new   skills   by   young   people   to   help   them   earn   an  income   and   address  daily  challenges Result   3.3   Youth   Self   Help   Group   members   achieve   greater   economic   independence   through  income  generation  activities Result   3.4   Sense   among   youth   that   they   are   making   a   positive   contribution   to   their communities Result   3.5   Youth   identification   and   implementation   of   up   to   40   income-­‐generating   activities Result  3.6  Support  of  private  sector  mentors  for  youth  entrepreneurs LEAP  II  Cost  Extension Objective   1):   Strengthen   transformational   platforms   that   will   prevent   and   respond   to   local  conflicts  that  threaten  to  destabilize  the  region.   Result 1.1 Strengthen and Expand Peace Committees Result 1.2: Expand women’s role as peacebuilders in Rift Valley. Result 1.3: Promote non-violence, especially around the election, through information campaigns. Result 1.4: Document and disseminate stories through talking circles Result 1.5: Foster cooperation across ethnic lines during the election season through quick impact projects. Objective  2):  Strengthen  Early  Warning  and  Early  Response  capacity  through  inclusion  of   youth  and  the  police  to  support  peaceful  elections Result 2.1: Strengthen Early Warning and Early Response Mechanism 65 Result 2.2: Address Early Warning Signs of Conflict identified by the EWER teams and dialogue groups through access of early warning fund. Result 2.3: Train youth bunges on Early Warning and Early Response. Result 2.4: Decentralization of Early Warning and Early Response hubs/centers Result 2.5: Stakeholders Forums and EWER planning meetings to strengthen coordination with police. 4/  Existing  sources  of  project  information   • Proposals  submitted  to  USAID • Program  Results  Framework  and  PMPs   • Baseline/midterm  survey  reports • Monitoring  information  (data  collection  instruments,  data  management  tools) • Donor  reports  (annual,  bi-­‐annual,  finance,  quarterly  narrative) • Other  project  support  information  such  as  forms,  procedures,  news  clippings  etc. 5)  Survey  Methods In   consultation   with   the   LEAP   II program   team,   Mercy   Corps’ Youth   and   Conflict   Management   Team,   and   Mercy   Corps’   Design,   Monitoring   and   Evaluation   unit,   the   consultant  will  design  a  multi-­‐method  approach  to  evaluating  the  outcomes  and  impact  of   the   LEAP   II program.   The   evaluation   will   include   both   quantitative   and   qualitative   methods,  as  well  as   surveys,   focus  group  discussions  and   key  informant  interviews.  The   consultant  will  incorporate  the  baseline  survey  and  additional  Mercy  Corps’  participatory   tools  in  the  evaluation  methodology.  One  likely  tool  to  be  incorporated  into  the  evaluation   is: • Peace   Agreement  Data   Forms/  Dispute   Resolution   forms:   which   helps   determine   how  the  Peace  Committees  used  their  skills  to  settle  disputes. Other  tools  may  be  included  in  consultation  with  technical  staff  from  Mercy  Corps  Kenya   or  YCM.   6)  Data  collection  plan In   consultation   with   the   LEAP   II   program   team,   Mercy   Corps   YCM   and   Mercy   Corps’   Design,  Monitoring  and  Evaluation  Unit, the  consultant  will  select  a  sampling  strategy  for   both  districts/counties  covered  under  LEAP   II.  The  evaluation  should  be  sure   to  balance   participation  of  Peace  Committee  members,  youth  participants  and  additional  community   members  affected   by   the   program.  Additionally,   the   consultant  will   be   sure   that  women   comprise  30%  of  the  sample  population.     7/  Team  composition  and  participation The   survey   will   be   coordinated   and   led   by   the   Consultant.   The   survey   team   will   be   comprised   of   a   number   of   surveyors,   made   up   by   Mercy   Corps   staff,   Wareng   Youth   Initiative   for   Peace   and  Development   and  Kericho   Youth   Centre   staff.  Whilst  in   country,   66 the  Consultant  will  work  closely  with  Mercy  Corps  Kenya  staff.  Mercy  Corps  will  assist  in   the   designing   of   a   database   for   the   survey,   as   well   as   entering   collected   data   in   the   database.  In  Eldoret,  the  Consultant  will  work  closely  with  the  Mercy  Corps  LEAP  II  Chief   of   Party  in   order   to   provide   a   constant   source   of   rich  insight  into   the   LEAP   II   program.   During  implementation  of  the  evaluation,  the  focal  point  for  the  Consultant  will  be  Mercy   Corps   LEAP   II   Chief   of   Party  with  additional   support   from  Mercy   Corps’  YCM   team.   The   Consultant   will   liaise   with   the   Country   Director   in   order   to   prepare   and   finalize   the   evaluation  report.     8/  Procedures:  schedule  and  logistics The  Consultant  will  commit  to  an  estimated  total  of  20  working  days.    The  practical  field   work  for  the  evaluation  will  be  conducted  in  June  2013.  The  Consultant  will  have  5  days  to   draft  the  final  document.   Result Estimated   duration   (days) 1.  Review  of  existing  information  sources  by  the  Consultant   1 2.  Action  planning  meeting  with  LEAP  II  team  to  clarify  roles  and   half-­‐day  workshop  to  familiarize  the  LEAP  II  team  with  the   evaluation  methodology  and  revisit  evaluation  questions   1 3.  Pilot  testing  and  refining  of  the  evaluation  tools  (in  training   form) 1 4.  SURVEY 5.  FOCUS  GROUP  DISCUSSIONS 6.  KEY  INFORMANT  INTERVIEWS 8 7.  Preparation  of  preliminary  findings  for  presentation  at   workshop 2 8.  Workshop  to  analyze  findings,  successful  practices  and  lessons 1 9.  Presentation  of  preliminary  evaluation  findings  to  Mercy  Corps   Kenya  and  LEAP  II  partners. 1 10.  Preparation  of  evaluation  report.  Finalize  evaluation  report  on   incorporation  of  feedback  from  key  Mercy  Corps  HQ  team   members. 5 Mercy  Corps  will  provide  logistical  support  in  the  form  of  transport,  access  to  workspace,   and  translators/facilitators  in  meetings.  Mercy  Corps  will  also  provide  human  resources  in   the   form  of  a  number  of  staff  members  who  will  be  available  to  support  the  evaluator  in   planning   and   collecting   information.   Finally   Mercy   Corps   will   provide   transport   and   facilitation  where  necessary  during  district-­‐based  evaluation  work. 9/  Deliverables The  final  product  of  this  final  evaluation  is  a  report,  ready  for  presentation  to  MC/HQ  and   USAID. 67 10/  Reporting  and  dissemination  requirements The   final  evaluation  report  will  not  exceed  30  pages  excluding  attachments  and  annexes.     Copies  of  the  report  will  be  provided  to  Mercy  Corps  Kenya,  Mercy  Corps  HQ  and  USAID.   The   final   evaluation   report   shall   be   structured   in   accordance   with   the   following   guidelines: • Cover  Page,  List  of  Acronyms • Table   of  Contents  which  identifies   page   numbers   for   the  major   content  areas   of   the  report.     • Executive   Summary   (2   pages)   should   be   a   clear   and   concise   stand-­‐alone   document   that   gives   readers   the   essential   contents   of   the   evaluation   report   in   2   pages,   previewing   the   main   points   in   order   to   enable   readers   to   build   a   mental   framework   for   organizing  and   understanding   the   detailed  information  within   the   report.     In   addition,   the   Executive   Summary   helps   readers   determine   the   key   results  and  recommendations  of  the  report.    Thus,  the  Executive  Summary  should   include:   major   lessons   learned;   maximum   of   two   paragraphs   describing   the   program,  summary  of  targets  and  intended  outcomes;  areas  of  meaningful  under  or   over  achievement;  and  possibly  a  few  lines  describing  the  action  plan  developed  to   follow   up   on  evaluation   recommendations  and   how   the  evaluation   report  will   be   disseminated.       • Rationale  for  the  Evaluation • Methodology:   sampling   method   including   strengths   and   weaknesses   of   method   used,  inclusion  of  stakeholders  and  staff,  rough  schedule  of  activities,  description  of   any   statistical   analysis   undertaken,   including   justification   and   software   package   used.    The  discussion  of  any  random  sampling  used  should  include  details  on  how   the   random   respondents   were  identified   and  invited   to   participate.     This   section   should  also  address  constraints  and  limitations  of  the  evaluation  process  and  rigor.     The   methodology   section   should   also   include   a   detailed   description   of   data   collection  techniques  used  throughout  the  evaluation.     • Results:  Organized  according  to  objectives,  results  and  indicators.       • Synthesis,   Recommendations   and   Lessons   Learned:   Make   concrete   recommendations   for   future   programme   implementation,   pull   out   organization   lessons  learned,  and  generally  comment  on  data  and  results.  Everything  presented   in   this   section   must   be   directly   linked   back   to   the   information   presented   in   the   Results  section  of  the  report.  Recommendations  that  are  not  directly  tied  to  Results   can  be  included  in  an  Evaluator  Comments  section  for  the  report. • Annexes:   data   collection   instruments   in   English   list   of   stakeholder   groups   with   number  and   type   of  interactions;  SOW,   qualitative  protocols  developed  and  used,   any   data   sets   can   be   provided   in   electronic   format,   and   any   required   photos,   participant  profiles  or  other  special  documentation  needed.   68 Annex  6:    Focus  Group  Discussion  guide Introductory questions: Please share your name and how you have participated in the LEAP program. What has been your overall impression of the program? Program Results questions: 1. What have been the key conflicts in this district over the past 3 years? 2. From your observation, did the LEAP program address the main causes of conflict/tension in the district (relevance)? If yes, in which ways? If no, what would have been more effective activities to address tensions/conflict in your district? 3. How effective are the DPCs & LPCs in your area? Has their effectiveness increased or decreased over the past 3 years? In what ways? What types of conflicts have they addressed in past 3 years? How effective have they been in addressing inter-community tensions? How effective were they during the recent elections? Will they continue to operate after LEAP II ends? 4. How effective have the District leaders been in consensus building, resolving conflicts/addressing tensions between communities? Has their effectiveness increased or decreased over the past 3 years? In what ways? What types of conflicts have they addressed in past 3 years? How effective is the interaction between District and Provincial leaders? 5. Have you participated in district dialogue forums? How effective were they? Did they resolve any key inter-community tensions/issues? 6. Is there a Conflict Early Warning System established in your area? Were you involved with it? Ifs, what was your role? What does it do? Who participates? (who collects the data, who compiles it, who does the information go to?) Did it identify and report on any emerging conflicts over past 3 years? If so, how effective was it in getting information to the right people? What was the response to the report? 7. Have you participated in dialogues between communities? If so, please describe your participation How effective the dialogue was at reducing tensions? What changes resulted from the dialogues between the communities? 8. Are you aware of LEAP supported Projects in your area? (C4W, IGA, Community Projects?) Did you participate in the project/s? How? 69 What was the impact of this project? Did it build relationships between different groups? Did the project consolidate any agreements made during dialogues? If so, how? How sustainable have these projects been? 9. Are you aware of any Youth Self Help Group projects in this district? Did you participate in one? How has your capacity increased from participation in the project? Were you linked with any private sector mentors? Did they add value to your activities/projects? 10. How willing are people in your community to interact with others of different ethnic groups? Can you give me an example of how communities are willing to interact/unwilling to interact? Has their willingness interact increased or decreased over the past 3 years? What has influenced this change (increase or decrease)? Did the LEAP project influence people’s willingness to interact across ethnic groups. 11. What ways do youth contribute to your communities? Has this improved or reduced over the life of the project? If so, did the LEAP program have any influence on this? 12. If there were different results in the elections, or if there had not been the coalition, how safe would the election process have been in Rift Valley? Did you participate/observe any events/information campaigns promoting non￾violence? How effective were they at reducing election violence? 13. What is the your perception of the reform efforts? Does the general population in Rift Valley accept these reforms? Why or why not? Ending questions: Overall, how was the interaction with the implementing organizations (MCK, local partners). Is there anything we should have talked about, but didn’t? Any other comments? 70 Annex  7:  End  of  Project  Household  Survey  Questionnaire Questionnaire NO. ………..….. Date administered ……………. Start time: ……………. End time: …………….. Dear  Sir/  Madam, Mercy  Corps  is  conducting  an  impact  evaluation  on  the  second  phase  of  the  Local   Empowerment  for  Peace  Program  (LEAP  II)  in  14  districts  in  Rift  Valley;  Eldoret  West,   Eldoret  East,  Wareng,  Nandi  North,  Aldai,  Tinderet,  Trans  Nzoia,  Kericho  West,  Kericho   East,  Kericho  Central,  Kipkelion  West,  Nakuru,  Molo  and  Sotik  Districts  of  Rift  Valley   Province.  This  program  is  made  possible  by  the  generous  financial  support  of  the   American  people  through  The  United  States  Agency  for  International  Development   (USAID). We  are  in  the  final  stages  of  LEAP  II  extension  and  evaluating  the  program’s  activities  and   impact.  We  kindly  request  you  give  some  time  in  filling  this  questionnaire.  Please  read  the   instructions  carefully  below.   Thank  you,   Mercy  Corps  Staff   Thank you, INSTRUCTIONS 1. Youth or youth group members fill SECTIONS A and B ONLY (Youth age is 18 – 35 years) 2. District or Divisional Peace Committee (DPC) Members fill SECTIONS A and C ONLY 3. Other community members fill SECTION A ONLY 4. PLEASE DO NOT WRITE YOUR NAME ON ANY PART OF THIS DOCUMENT 71 SECTION A (Please fill this out) 1. Group Type: (Tick one that apply to you) □District/Division/Locality Peace Committee member (DPC) □Youth Self Help Group (YSHG) member □Other community member 2. District 3. Division 4. Location 5. Sub Location 6. Gender: □Male □Female 7. Age (Years): □ 13-18 □ 19-25 □ 26-30 □ 31-35 □ 36 and above 8. What is your level of education? □Never cleared primary □Cleared primary □Never Cleared Secondary □Secondary (Form four) □Vocational/Polytechnic/College Diploma or certificate □University degree □Postgraduate studies 9. List the languages you speak (starting with your mother tongue) 1.______________________ 3_______________________ 2.______________________ 4. _____________________ 10. Did participate you in the Mercy Corps Local Empowerment for Peace (LEAP) Program? □1. Yes □2. No 10b. If NO, did someone in your family participate in the LEAP program. □1. Yes □2. No 11. Does a Peace Committee (PCs) exist in your district? □1. Yes □2. No □I don’t Know 11a. If yes to 11 above, which peace committee exist in this area? □1. None □2. LPC □3. DPC □5. DPC & LPC 11b . If yes to 10 above, how effective are the peace committees? Peace Committee Very Effective Effective Somewhat Effective Not Effective 72 LPC DPC 12. Have you ever referred any disputes affecting you to the Peace Committee? □1. Yes □2. No 12a. If Yes in 12 above, where did you refer your dispute to? □1. LPC □2. DPC □3. Both 12b. If Yes in 12 above what type of dispute? (TICK ONE that most apply) □1. Land □4. Family/Domestic □2. Cattle rustling □5. Political □3. Between ethnic groups □6.Other (Specify)_______________ 13. Which ONE of the following do you think is the KEY contributor to ethnic conflicts in your location in the last 6 months (TICK ONE) □1. Land related grievances □5. Unemployment □2. Tribalism □6. Poverty □3. Politics □7. None □4. Culture □8. Other(specify) ____________ 14. Have you received any peacebuilding training? □1. Yes □2. No 14a. If yes in 14 above, from whom? ____________________________ ____________________________ 15. In question 15a,b,c below, how often have you met with the following in the last 6 months? 15a. Peace Committee (PC) member from other districts □0 □1-2 times □3-4 times □More than 4 times 15b. National Steering Committee (NSC) official □0 □1-2 times □3-4 times □More than 4 times 15c. Provincial leaders (PC, DCs, DOs, Chiefs, MPs, Business leaders etc.) □0 □1-2 times □3-4 times □More than 4 times 16. During the recent elections, did you participate in any civic education for peaceful elections activity in your community? □1. Yes □2. No 16a. If yes in 16 above, how many civic education for peaceful elections events did you attended in the 3 months leading up to the elections? 73 □None □1-2 □3-4 □More than 4 16b. Referring to 16a. above, what type of events were they? □1. Peace dialogues □4. Peace tournaments □2. Peace campaigns □5. Other (Specify) _______________ □3. Civic education 16c. If you participated, what was your main role (TICK ONE that mostly applies) □1. Participant □2. Leader/ Organizer □3. Facilitator/ Moderator □4. Peace Committee Member □5. Other (specify) ______________________________ 17. Which groups or organizations are organizing useful peace dialogues in your community or district?___________________________________________________ 18. Which of the following statements is closer to your view? (Choose Statement 1 or Statement 2) Statement 1: The use of violence is never justified in Kenyan politics and development today. Statement 2: In this country, it is sometimes necessary to use violence in support of a just cause. □ 1. Agree with Statement 1 □ 2. Agree with Statement 2 19. In the past 6 months, have you personally ever used force or violence for a political cause? □ 1. Yes □ 2. No 19a. If No in 19 above, would you do this (use violence) if circumstances forced you? □ 1. Yes, I would if I had the chance □ 2. No, I would never do this 20. Are the local mechanisms for conflict mitigation, peace and reconciliation, strong enough to prevent violence from happening again in the future? □1. Yes □2. No 20a. If No, why not? □1. A lack of trust in mechanisms □2. Lack of capacity of the existing structures □3. Other (please specify)_________________ 21. How well do you understand the following Kenya's agenda 4 reforms? (Tick as applicable across each reform item) Agenda 4 Item Very Well Well Somewhat Not at all Don't know Constitutional reforms Legal and Institutional reforms Poverty and inequality 74 Youth Unemployment Land reforms 22. In your local area, how effective are the groups below in mediating conflict among ethnic communities? Put only one tick in each line. Very Effective Effective Not Effective Don't Know Elders DPC LPC Women Youth Leaders Local Politicians Religious Leaders Other 23. In the last 3 months have any of your family members been involved in any disputes with persons from outside the family? □Yes □No 23a. If yes, who was the dispute with? □Family □Stranger of the same ethnic group □Friend/Neighbor □Stranger of a different ethnic group □Police/government 23b. If yes, what was the nature of the dispute? □land/property rights □Harm to property/theft/robbery □water rights □Other (Please specify) ______________ □Issues regarding relationships 23c. How was this dispute resolved? □Not resolved □Religious leaders mediated □Directly discussed with those involved □Peace committee members mediated □Friends/family mediated □Local government officials mediated □Elders mediated 23d. To what extent were you satisfied with the resolution of this dispute? □To a great extent □To a small extent □To some extent □Not at all 24. Are there any mechanisms to alert people to a problem/possible conflict (early warning systems) in your district? □1. Yes □2. No 24a. If yes, can you name and/or describe them. ______________________________ 75 25. What role did you play in Early Warning/Early Response system? □ Monitoring at the grassroots □ Transmitting Information to Mercy Corps/Ushahidi platform □ Transmitting Information to DPC □ Responding to the Early Warning Messages □ Other (explain)_______________________ 26. Compared to neighboring communities, how peaceful or violent is your community? □1. Very Peaceful □2. Somewhat Peaceful □3. Neither peaceful nor violent □4. Somewhat violent □5. Very violent □6. Don't know 27. To your knowledge have there been any incidents of politically instigated violence in your communities in the last 6 months? □ 1. Yes □2. No 27a. If yes to 27 above, about how many incidents occurred in your community? ______________________________ 27b. If yes to 27, what happened? (check the top two most often incidents) Neighboring Own Community Communities Beating Killing Cattle raid Ambush Abduction Household theft Rape Other (specify) 27c. If yes, were women involved in perpetrating this incident? Neighboring Own Community Communities Yes, definitely Probably so Probably not No, definitely not Don't Know 27d. If yes, were youth involved in perpetrating this incident? Neighboring 76 Own Community Communities Yes, definitely Probably so Probably not No, definitely not Don't Know 28. Has insecurity in the last 3 months prevented you from investing in your livelihood? □1. Yes □2. No 29. In the last 3 months, were there any areas you avoided going to or through because of insecurity? Going to the market? □Yes □No Getting water for household use? □Yes □No Going to your field/farm? □Yes □No Moving your animals to new pasture? □Yes □No Earning money or going to work? □Yes □No Going to school/college? □Yes □No Getting medical care? □Yes □No Visiting friends or relatives □Yes □No 30. If your ancestral land was in Rift Valley, would you allow other people from other ethnic communities settle on it? □Yes □No □Undecided 31. Would you allow people from other ethnic groups settled in your ancestral land to belong to other political parties other than the one preferred by your ethnic group? □1.Yes □2. No □3. Undecided 32. How often do you interact with members of other ethnic communities? □1. Frequently □3. Rarely □2. Sometimes □4. Never 33. How many reconstruction projects has your community implemented jointly with other ethnic groups? ______________________________ 34. Below, please answer whether you have engaged in the following activities with members of other ethnic groups in the last 3 months. Please DO NOT rate whether you have done these activities with YOUR OWN ETHNIC GROUP Market/ Trade Social Farming Politics Work Community Group Conflict Kalenjin Kikuyu Kisii Luhya 77 Luo 35. How much do you trust members of the following ethnic groups …DO NOT rate whether you trust your OWN ETHNIC GROUP. To a great extent To some extent To a small extent Not at all Kalenjin Kikuyu Kisii Luhya Luo 36. How comfortable would you feel if someone from the following tribes is contesting for an elective post in your community? DO NOT rate your OWN ETHNIC GROUP Very Comfortable Comfortable Uncomfortable Very Uncomfortable Don’t know Kalenjin Kikuyu Kisii Luhya Luo 37. Do you feel that members of the following communities exclude you from participation in the following activities? DO NOT rate whether your OWN ETHNIC GROUP has excluded you. Education/ School Health Services Transport Community Celebrations Obtain a Loan Kalenjin Kikuyu Kisii Luhya Luo 38. In questions 38a,b,c,d below, how comfortable would you feel if the following things happened. DO NOT rate your OWN ETHNIC GROUP 38a. If your brother or sister married them? Very Comfortable Comfortable Neither Uncomfortable Very Uncomfortable Don’t know Kalenjin Kikuyu Kisii Luhya Luo 38b. If you worked for them? Very Comfortable Comfortable Neither Uncomfortable Very Uncomfortable Don’t know 78 Kalenjin Kikuyu Kisii Luhya Luo 38c. If you were paying them to work in your field? Very Comfortable Comfortable Neither Uncomfortable Very Uncomfortable Don’t know Kalenjin Kikuyu Kisii Luhya Luo 38d. If they were looking after your animals? Very Comfortable Comfortable Neither Uncomfortable Very Uncomfortable Don’t know Kalenjin Kikuyu Kisii Luhya Luo 39. In your opinion, how interested in sustainable peace is each of the ethnic groups listed? DO NOT rate your OWN ETHNIC GROUP Very Interested Somewhat Interested Somewhat Disinterested Very Disinterested Don’t Know Kalenjin Kikuyu Kisii Luhya Luo 40. Do youth in your community ever participate in crime or violence? □Never □Most of the time □Rarely □Always □Sometimes □Don't know 40a. If yes, why? Check the top two most often reasons □Lack of means of livelihood (job) □Follow traditions of conflict with other groups □Developing bad behaviors □Instigated by others (i.e., politicians, gangs) □Other (specify) _____________________________ 41. In questions 41a,b, below, indicate how much you agree or disagree with each statement 79 41a. Youth are responsible members of the community? □Strongly agree □Agree □Neither agree or disagree □Disagree □Strongly disagree 41b. Youth are productive members of my community? □Strongly agree □Agree □Neither agree or disagree □Disagree □Strongly disagree 42. How do women earn a living/earn money in your community? (check the top two most common ways) □Farming □Daily casual work □Livestock □House help □Small business/ Trading □Don’t earn money 43. When conflict breaks out in your community, what are the roles of women? (check the top two most common ways) □Preparing food for fighters □Encouraging fighters with songs □Tending/share raided cattle/stolen goods □Try to mediate between contending parties □Other (specify) 44. When conflict breaks out in your community, what are the roles of men? (check the top two most common ways) □Engaging with the fight □Tending raided cattle □Migrating to other areas □Try to mediate between contending parties □Other (specify) 45. Are women affected by conflict differently than men? □Yes □No □Don't know 45a. If yes, how? □They are subjected to violence like rape □Through widowhood, lose means of support □Other (specify) ________________________________ 46. In your community, are women involved in traditional conflict resolution? 80 □To a very great extent □To a great extent □Neither small nor great extent □To a small extent □To a very small extent □ Not at all 46a. If yes, how are women in your community involved in conflict resolution activities □Being part of peace committee □Advising/counseling husbands □Advising youth □Other (specify) 47. In question 47a,b below, indicate how much you agree or disagree with each statement 47a. Women should be represented in peace committees or in other conflict resolution activities? □Strongly agree □Disagree □Agree □Strongly disagree □Neither agree nor disagree □Don't know 47b. The actions of women increase conflict with other communities. □Strongly agree □Disagree □Agree □Strongly disagree □Neither agree nor disagree □Don't know 48. In your community, to what extend have women taken up active leadership roles in peace structures like DPCs? □1. To a very great extent □4. To a small extent □2. To a great extent □5. To a very small extent □3. Neither small nor great extent □ They have not 49. Indicate how much you agree or disagree with the following statement: Women should be represented in peace committees or in other conflict resolution activities. □1. Strongly agree □4. Disagree □2. Agree □5. Strongly disagree □3. Neither agree nor disagree □6. Don't know 81 SECTION B FOR YOUTH ONLY 50. Are you a member of a Youth Self-Help Group? □ Yes □No 51. What do you do for a living? □Full employment (Permanent/contractual and pensionable) □Farming □Do casual jobs if and when they come (Kibarua) □Self-employed □Self Help Group activities □Housewife □Family business (except farm) □Nothing 52. If you are unemployed, why? □Can't find a job □I am discriminated against because of my tribe □I have no connections □In School/College □I have not enough education □Other (Please specify) ___________________ 53. In general, how do you rate your economic conditions compared to those of other Kenyans? Better, the same, or worse? □Worse □Same □ Better □ I don’t know 54. Looking ahead, do you expect your economic conditions to be better, the same, or worse in twelve months time? □Worse □Same □ Better □ I don’t know 55. If employed, what is your average income per month? □Ksh. 0 □Kshs 9,001-15,000 □Kshs. 1-3000 □Kshs 15,001-18,000 □Kshs 3,001-6000 □Kshs 18,001-21,000 □Kshs 6,001-9,000 □Above Kshs 21,000 56. How much income do you need per month to cover personal and family expenses? □Ksh. 5,000 □Ksh. 20,000 □Ksh. 10,000 □Ksh. 25,000 □Ksh. 15,000 □Ksh. 30,000 and above 57. If you can't meet monthly expenses, how do you make ends meet? □Ask Parents □Handouts from Politicians 82 □Ask Relatives □Do casual jobs (Kibarua) □Depend on Friends □Other (specify)_________________ 58. How often do you have to ask others for financial help? □Daily □Weekly □Monthly □6 times a year□Not at all 59. Within the last year, how many times have youth in your community organized collective action for any cause? □None □1-2 times □3-5 times □More than 5 times 60. How many multi-ethnic youth activities have been held in your community in the last year? □None □1-2 times □3-5 times □More than 5 times 83 SECTION C FOR DPC's ONLY 61. What type of dispute did your group resolve most often? (TICK ONE) □Land □Family/Domestic □Cattle rustling □Political □Between ethnic groups 62. What type of dispute did your group resolve second most often? (TICK ONE) □Land □Family/Domestic □Cattle rustling □Political □Between ethnic groups 63. Have you received any peacebuilding training? □Yes □No 64. If yes, from whom? ____________________________ ____________________________ 65. In question 65a,b,c below, how often have you met with the following in the last 6 months? 65a. DPCs from other districts □0 □1-2 times □3-4 times □More than 4 times 65b. Provincial leaders (PC, DCs, DOs, Chiefs, MPs, Business leaders etc.) □0 □1-2 times □3-4 times □More than 4 times 65c. The National Steering Committee □0 □1-2 times □3-4 times □More than 4 times 84 THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME 85 Annex  8:    (separate  file)  Data  Set.