SARI/ENERGY PHASE III FINAL EVALUATION March, 2011 This publication was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared by David Altus Garner, Team Leader; Linda Kalver, Co-Team Leader; Gopinath Iyengar, Sr. Energy Analyst; and Devendra Adhikari, Sr. Energy Analyst through Social Impact. SARI/ENERGY PHASE III FINAL EVALUATION DISCLAIMER The authors’ views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government. This document is available in printed or online versions. Documents are also made available through the Development Experience Clearing House (www.dec.org). Additional information can be obtained from: Social Impact, Inc. 2300 Clarendon Boulevard Arlington, VA, 22201 Tel: (703) 465-1884 Fax: (703) 465-1888 info@socialimpact.com This document was submitted by Social Impact, Inc., with Management Systems International, Inc, to the United States Agency for International Development under USAID Contract No. RAN-I-00-09-00019-00. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation i ACRONYMS ADB Asian Development Bank AIT Asian Institute of Technology CASA-1000 Central Asia-South Asia 1000 CEB Ceylon Electricity Board COP, DCOP Chief of Party, Deputy Chief of Party DABS National Public Utility for Power IEA International Energy Agency KI Key Informant LRC Lighting Resource Center at Rensselaer, USA M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MOU Memorandum of Understanding MW Megawatt NEA Nepal Electricity Authority NPTI National Power Training Institute NREL National Renewable Energy Laboratory RCL Regional Center for Learning REC Renewable Energy Certificates SAARC South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation SARI/E South Asia Regional Initiative for Energy SMB Social Merchant Bank TA Technical Assistance TAPI Trans-Afghanistan Pipeline USEA United States Energy Association USG United States Government WB World Bank WISER Women’s Institute for Sustainable Energy Research WRI World Resources Institute ii SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation TABLE OF CONTENTS ACRONYMS........................................................................................................................................................................ i EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................................................. iv Introduction................................................................................................................................................................... iv Objectives....................................................................................................................................................................... iv Background.................................................................................................................................................................... iv Impact (and outputs and outcomes).......................................................................................................................... iv Conclusions..................................................................................................................................................................... v Relevance.................................................................................................................................................................... v Effectiveness.............................................................................................................................................................. v Efficiency .................................................................................................................................................................. vi Sustainability ............................................................................................................................................................ vii Project assistance completion date (PACD) extension....................................................................................viii High Priority Recommendations.............................................................................................................................. viii Overarching Goals, and Sharpening Project Focus.........................................................................................viii Expand SARI/E IV’s Advisory Board...............................................................................................................viii Decentralize Project Staffing ................................................................................................................................. ix Strategic Plans and Work Planning Sessions....................................................................................................... ix Centers of Excellence.............................................................................................................................................. ix The Northeast Portion of the Sub-Continent—a Potential Model................................................................. ix Harmonization and Governance Issues for Regional Energy.......................................................................... ix Wind Energy.............................................................................................................................................................. x 1. INTRODUCTION.................................................................................................................................................. 1 Background on the South Asian energy sector......................................................................................................... 1 Evaluation methodologies............................................................................................................................................ 4 IMPACTS (including outputs and outcomes)................................................................................................................ 4 Findings........................................................................................................................................................................... 4 Cross-border movement of energy ........................................................................................................................ 5 Clean Energy.............................................................................................................................................................. 6 Regional Markets....................................................................................................................................................... 6 SARI III Training...................................................................................................................................................... 6 Centers of Excellence............................................................................................................................................... 7 Technical Assistance (TA)....................................................................................................................................... 8 Conclusions, Impacts.................................................................................................................................................... 8 Relevance.............................................................................................................................................................................. 9 EFFECTIVENESS..........................................................................................................................................................11 EFFICIENCY...................................................................................................................................................................12 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation iii SUSTAINABILITY.........................................................................................................................................................19 PROJECT ASSISTANCE COMPLETION DATE (PACD) EXTENSION......................................................21 General Recommendations for SARI/E Phase IV.....................................................................................................21 Higher priority recommendations............................................................................................................................. 22 Secondary recommendations.....................................................................................................................................25 Tertiary recommendations..........................................................................................................................................27 Appendix 1: Summaries of Impact of SARI III, by Country ...................................................................................29 Afghanistan—Summary of Impact........................................................................................................................... 29 BANGLADESH—Summary of Impact .................................................................................................................29 Bhutan—Summary of Impact ...................................................................................................................................30 Maldives—Summary of Impact................................................................................................................................. 30 Nepal—Summary of Impact......................................................................................................................................30 Pakistan—Summary of Impact..................................................................................................................................31 Sri Lanka—Summary of Impact................................................................................................................................ 31 India—Summary of Impact .......................................................................................................................................32 Appendix 2: List of Possible SARI/E IV activities for Pakistan.............................................................................34 Appendix 3: Illustrative list of possible Mini-grid Micro-Hydro Sites in Nepal....................................................36 Appendix 4: A list of Indian organizations working with SARI/Energy ................................................................ 38 Appendix 5: People Consulted and/or Interviewed..................................................................................................39 Appendix 6: Summary Write Up: Center of Excellence, Regional Center for Lighting ......................................53 Appendix 7: Evaluation, Scope of Work .....................................................................................................................54 Appendix 8: Background Quantitative DATA relating to training .........................................................................60 FIGURES AND TABLES Figure 1: Percent of Population with Access to Electricity………………………………………………....2 Figure 2: South Asian Countries: Total Installed Capacity of Grid Electric Energy...............................................2 Figure 3: South Asian Countries: Per Capita Consumption of grid electricity........................................................3 Table 1: Status of Selected Cross-Border Projects in South Asia...............................................................................5 Figure 4: Possible approach to decentralization……………………………………………………………16 iv SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation EXECUTIVE SUMMARY INTRODUCTION From November 8 through December 31, 2010, a four-person team representing Social Impact (SI) and sub￾contractor, Management Systems International (MSI), evaluated Phase III of the South Asia Regional Initiative for Energy (SARI/E). The team was composed of David Garner (team leader), Linda Kalver (co￾team leader), Senior Energy Analyst Gopinath Iyengar, an Indian national from Bangalore and Devendra Adhikari, Nepalese citizen, also a senior energy analyst. After initial preparations in Washington, D.C. and New Delhi, the team divided into two smaller sub-teams. One team traveled to Sri Lanka, the Maldives, Bangladesh and India. The other traveled to Nepal, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Bhutan. Typically, the team spent three to five days in each country doing interviews. The teams traveled more than 20,000 air miles in the region, and interviewed approximately 175 stakeholders and key informants. The judgments and conclusions that follow are largely the result of this travel and the interviews. OBJECTIVES The objectives of the evaluation were to: (1) determine the overall impact of SARI/E activities; (2) test the continued validity of the program hypotheses; (3) explore the extent to which the program strengthened institutional capacity, promoted dialogues and coalitions, and the formation of regional networks and centers of excellence to influence decision makers; and (4) recommend whether the next phase of SARI/E should be undertaken. BACKGROUND According to the International Energy Agency, sixty percent of the people of South Asia have no access to electricity, and between 800–900 million people still depend upon biomass for cooking. Individual countries’ total installed capacity of grid energy varies hugely across the region. India, for example, has an installed capacity of nearly 160,000 MW, while the Maldives has an installed capacity of only 160 MW. However, when one looks at the consumption of power, India consumes only 566 kilowatt hours per capita, and consumption figures decrease precipitously as one moves out towards the periphery of South Asia. Nepal consumes ninety kilowatt hours per capita; Afghanistan consumes only thirty-eight. IMPACT (AND OUTPUTS AND OUTCOMES) What was the impact of activities implemented under SARI/E (Phase III)? • Cross border energy. Today, sub-regional grids are in the process of being established, gradually, across certain parts of the subcontinent. At least five have benefited from SARI/E’s support. • Clean Energy. NREL has completed important wind and solar mapping exercises in seven countries. This has already facilitated installation of thirty MW wind power plants in Sri Lanka. Other important initiatives involving clean energy include two centers of excellence: one for micro hydro in Nepal, and a second for lighting efficiency in Sri Lanka. • Regional Markets. In 2008, India established a platform for the short-term sale and purchase of electricity. Under SARI/E’s exchange program, power sector officials from Bhutan and Bangladesh recently were oriented to these trade mechanisms in India. They are now exploring the establishment of similar power exchanges in their countries. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation v • Training: SARI/E Phase III trained 1450 trainees (seventeen percent of whom were women) for nearly 10,000 total person-days of training, at a cost of $8.6 million. Cost per participant averaged approximately $6000. The average cost per training day was $900. CONCLUSIONS Overall, the impact for SARI/Energy has been significant, particularly for a regionally oriented process-type Program with difficult to measure outcomes or results. One of SARI/E’s most significant impacts has been the development of networks among technical personnel working in the energy sectors in South Asia. These individuals now know one another and this network extends across borders. This represents a major step forward. Are partners meeting their responsibilities under their contracts or grants? Conclusion Are partners planning their individual activities with the broader objectives and sub-objectives in mind? : Yes. Partners are fully meeting their contractual responsibilities. Conclusion: Partners would like to work more closely together. If future project planning systems are modified, they can formulate better work plans addressing larger objectives. Relevance Are the original hypotheses upon which the program was designed still valid? Conclusion Does the SARI/E program continue to respond to needs in the region? Has the program positioned itself to take advantage of emerging opportunities to promote greater cooperation in energy and regional stability? : Yes. The original hypotheses remain valid, and relevant. Conclusion In light of current needs and opportunities for regional cooperation in energy, is there a need for an extension of the SARI/E program to meet the program objectives? : SARI/E remains fully relevant to the needs of the region and has positioned itself to take advantage of emerging opportunities. Conclusion: Yes, there is a clear need for extending SARI/E to meet program objectives. Effectiveness To date, has the program management structure been effective in ensuring maximum coordination of activities under SARI/E so to avoid duplication of effort? Conclusion Are there gaps in coordination that potentially hinder the achievement of results, or which fail to take advantage of synergies among individual activities? : The evaluation found no evidence of duplication of effort among implementing partners, in part because partners are largely working in separate areas. Capacity building or training by a contractor will sometimes overlap with efforts by another contractor who might be responsible for providing analytical and technical support. This is different from duplication. Conclusion: Both the coordination and monitoring and evaluation (M&E) functions can be improved through the use of different organizational modalities. Planning among partners can be vi SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation more collaborative. Monitoring and evaluation activities can be expanded to enhance feedback loops. Efficiency If possible, determine if results achieved under SARI/E are being produced at an acceptable cost compared with alternative approaches accomplishing the same objectives. Conclusion What alternative approaches exist which could achieve results at greater efficiency and what mechanisms can be recommended for implementing the alternative approaches? : Different service providers provide different kinds of training. The United States Energy Association’s (USEA) training costs, for example, typically include substantial international travel, which helps account for the difference in average cost per participant; Tetra Tech’s training is done in the region (USEA $7,356 per participant, versus Tetra Tech’s $4,817). On balance, the evaluation team concludes that SARI/E costs for training appear reasonable. Training could be carried out less expensively, if more were done virtually, through on-line teaching or video teleconferencing. This could lower costs, but might impact one of the most important collateral benefits of SARI/E training, which involves face-to-face encounters among professionals working in the power sector. This cross-border networking function has provided good value for money to date, and has laid the foundations for possible enhanced regional connectivity under Phase IV. Conclusion How well have implementing partners worked as a team to coordinate work plans and activities to achieve the overall objectives of the SARI/E program? : SARI/E can improve its overall planning procedures. Implementing partners can jointly prepare a five-year strategic plan at the beginning of the program, and conduct routine, joint planning sessions. SARI/E -sponsored centers of excellence can expand and improve their outreach using more web-based communications and video teleconferencing. Over time, the WISER Center might move from retail to wholesale service provision, and become an apex body for training key stakeholders. Both Nepal’s Regional Center for Excellence in Micro Hydro and the Center for Lighting in Sri Lanka should look for multiplier effects in their outreach efforts, as well as for new ways to market their services and fund their programs. In Phase IV, the need for technical assistance may increase. Addressing the unique needs of each country may require a more tailored approach. Conclusion Have technical assistance, training, and partnerships been targeted at the appropriate beneficiaries to ensure the greatest impact to advance the policy dialogue to support regional energy cooperation? : Partners report they have not been able to work together as closely as they would like in order to coordinate work plans and activities to achieve overall SARI/E goals and objectives. Conclusion To what extent have the outputs from technical assistance, training, and other SARI/E funded activities been utilized by targeted beneficiaries? : One key informant explicitly said that service provision should become “more demand driven, by countries’ needs, rather than supply driven by the project.” Most TA, training and partnerships targeted government officials and/or technical personnel working in the power sector. This contributed to one of SARI/E’s biggest accomplishments: over the past several years, these individuals have established good working relations that now easily reach across international boundaries. As SARI/E moves to Phase IV, it may want to target a higher percentage of policy makers and political leaders, perhaps focusing on harmonization of high-level, cross-border, power￾related regulatory and commercial issues that could be important to policy makers. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation vii Conclusion Have best practices been taken up by additional individuals who received information from targeted beneficiaries? : More than fifty percent of the stakeholders who were interviewed indicated that they had participated in one or more SARI/E events. While participants clearly benefited on an individual basis, and while the sector as a whole also benefited, institutions that SARI/E sought to help sometimes may not have benefited as much as they could. SARI/E IV may need to explore mechanisms that build upon and consolidate training results, perhaps by encouraging countries to form permanent working groups to deal with important issues. SAARC offers one platform to do this. Further, SARI/E IV may need to decentralize its staffing in order to develop a better and more nuanced understanding of individual institutions. Under SARI/E IV, deputy chiefs of party, stationed in the three major regions that compose SARI/E, working under the overall direction of a chief of party, may develop an improved sense of specific institutions, as well as identify key individuals who could benefit from more training. Conclusion Have SARI/E activities supported or complemented activities sponsored by other donor partners, such as the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank (ADB) in South Asia? : Virtually every stakeholder who had attended a SARI/E -sponsored event described best practices being taken up and applied in their country. Many described cascading impacts from adopting best practices. Conclusion Measuring program impact requires the existence of good performance monitoring systems at the level of individual partners, as well as at the level of program management. Have systems been established internally for tracking, monitoring, and reporting on results attributable to SARI/E activities and do these systems utilize independently verifiable information. : SARI/E activities have supported or complemented activities sponsored by other donors in South Asia, including the World Bank and the ADB. In some cases, they have led other donors into potentially important new activities, like social merchant banking in Nepal. Conclusion: Implementing partners have put systems into place to measure outputs. The evaluation team found less information that sought to measure results, or impacts. The systems in place allow for outputs to be independently verified, but little emphasis has been placed on establishing systems that independently verify results. Because so many important SARI/E program outputs and results are process-related, or somewhat intangible, it is a significant challenge to define indicators that can measure incremental progress towards longer-term goals.1 It is an even bigger challenge to determine the relevant proportions that are directly attributable to SARI/E. Sustainability Are the results of SARI/E activities sustainable in terms of creating institutional capacity and filling gaps on behalf of the program’s key beneficiaries? Conclusion: Two SARI/E initiatives should become financially sustainable: (1) the Regional Center for Lighting in Sri Lanka and (2) the micro hydro operations in Nepal. WISER has a social and civic agenda centered on women’s empowerment. It may not become financially self-sustaining. The biggest gap, however, is institutionalizing dialogue among the countries of the region at the techno￾political level. For multilateral exchanges, more work remains to be done. Multilateral forums where countries routinely speak to one another at the technical, policy, and political levels have yet to be 1 Tangible results such as actual cross-border energy trade are composed of many discrete individual steps that take time to fructify. In many cases, this typically could take 10-15 years. viii SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation fully institutionalized. Facilitating such exchanges may become an important informal niche for SARI/E IV. What evidence has there been of host countries . . . promoting networks and forums and advocating the best practices developed and disseminated under SARI/E? Based on results to date, are these activities likely to engender sustainable development impacts after USAID funding has stopped? Conclusion: Host countries are actively taking ownership of “best practices” they learn from SARI/E -sponsored programs. To some degree, cross-border activities are commencing on a bilateral basis. These should be sustainable, largely because they are economically critical for the future of South Asia. Without SARI/E, however, there is a chance that larger cross-border dialogue (networks and forums) would diminish, or progress towards cross-border understanding could slow down. Project assistance completion date (PACD) extension What is the need for an extension of the SARI/E PACD to meet the overall program objectives? Conclusion: Interviews with key stakeholders across the region show a strong need for extending SARI/E’s PACD, in order to meet the program’s overall objectives. What should be the new timeframe, program focus, and direction under Phase IV? Conclusion: USAID should look at a five-year PACD extension for SARI/E Phase IV, from 2012 to 2017. SARI/E IV should be orientated toward tangible, practical outputs and results, some of which are described immediately below. HIGH PRIORITY RECOMMENDATIONS Overarching Goals, and Sharpening Project Focus The overarching goal for SARI/E IV should be that all activities should continue to support a South Asian Regional2 Initiative for Energy, and should promote energy security. Expand SARI/E IV’s Advisory Board SARI/E’s Advisory Board should meet twice a year. Membership should include representatives from the Department of State. Suitable national experts in regional energy issues might also be considered for membership. This could become one way to institutionalize further the role of SARI/Energy over time. 2 “Regional” in the context of SARI/Energy should continue to mean that a project activity impacts upon two or more countries in South Asia. Project or program activities that are unique to one country typically would fall under USAID’s bilateral programs, rather than SARI/Energy. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation ix Decentralize Project Staffing USAID should actively explore decentralization and move part of the project staff outside India. One model would involve three expatriate deputy chiefs of party (DCOP), working under the continued direction of a chief of party (COP). D/COPs would oversee three sub-regions within the larger SARI/E framework: 1. The Northeast, composed of Nepal, Bhutan, Northeast India, and Bangladesh, with a D/COP resident in Kathmandu or Bangladesh (wherever prospects for cross-border program activities are deemed highest in the near to medium term); 2. The South, composed of Southern India, Sri Lanka, and the Maldives with a D/COP based in Colombo; and 3. The West, composed of Pakistan and Afghanistan, with a D/COP to be stationed in Islamabad. Strategic Plans and Work Planning Sessions Although implementing partners are working in separate areas, there is a need for them to act synergistically. Partners need to coordinate better, consult frequently and integrate more closely their work plans and activities. Strategic plans, work plans and task orders should be approached holistically. SARI/E IV should hold joint work planning sessions once a year, assembling implementing partners, country coordinators, and other key stakeholders for a two to three day workshop and work-plan development session. Implementing partners should jointly prepare a five-year strategic plan, updated yearly. Annual work plans should also be prepared jointly, showing proposed activities. SARI/E IV should continue to use a task order system to allow programmatic flexibility, but this should be combined with work plans that clearly focus the program on the strategic objectives of cross-border energy and clean energy. Centers of Excellence SARI/E IV should continue to support the centers for excellence since they promote cross-border regional linkages and in the longer term may help promote further regional integration. However, the centers should seek enhanced multiplier effects, including things like Web-based virtual training and video teleconferencing reaching out to stakeholders in multiple countries, in order to expand their outreach capacities. Given the huge population of South Asia, it is useful, but inadequate, for the centers to focus on face-to-face training. They need to find ways to take better advantage of social media and other emerging technologies that will expand capacity to reach out to a greater number of potential beneficiaries across the subcontinent. The Northeast Portion of the Sub-Continent—a Potential Model Over the next decade, Bhutan, Northeast India, Nepal and Bangladesh will increasingly link their energy networks together, with the Indian grid serving as the glue. This proto-network, for which SARI/E began laying the foundations almost ten years ago, will grow over the coming decade. SARI/E IV should support this development, and the model it may represent for the subcontinent. Harmonization and Governance Issues for Regional Energy Over the next decade, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Nepal, and Northeast India will need mechanisms to help them begin to harmonize energy policies. They will need systems to deal with energy-related governance issues, including technical matters, regulatory issues, tariffs, etc. Countries will require technical assistance to put x SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation into place institutional structures to allow meaningful electrical connectivity, and cross-border energy trade. SARI/E IV can design specific task orders to help the Northeast move towards such goals. Wind Energy Wind energy is taking off economically in India. SARI/E IV should continue to support the development of wind energy, perhaps through the establishment of teams comprised of specialists in wind energy development. It could sponsor prefeasibility studies, and may need to become involved with policy dialogues relating to rate structures, economic studies, project finance, power evacuation, grid interaction and stability, etc., to help policy makers in countries like Pakistan assess the feasibility of harnessing wind energy. Such a team could become an important roving service delivery mechanism, supporting further developments in wind energy across South Asia. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 1 1. INTRODUCTION The objectives of the SARI/Energy Phase III Evaluation included the following: (1) determine the overall impact of SARI/E activities; (2) test the continued validity of the program hypotheses; (3) explore the extent to which the program strengthened institutional capacity, promoted dialogues and coalitions, and the formation of regional networks and centers of excellence to influence decision makers; and (4) recommend whether the next phase of SARI/E should be undertaken. In pursuit of these objectives, from November 8 until December 31, 2010, a four-person team evaluated SARI Energy’s Phase III. After a few days of initial preparation in Washington, D.C., where team members interviewed spokespersons for the three, primary implementing partners: TetraTech, USEA and NREL. The team then met in person in New Delhi for the first time and spent a few more days talking with USAID and other key stakeholders, including representatives from Tetra Tech, the only implementing partner with staff on the ground in South Asia. Two members of the team took a brief trip to Udaipur, to visit an Indian vendor involved in training trainees from Afghanistan. After that, the team divided into two smaller sub￾teams. One team traveled to Sri Lanka, the Maldives, Bangladesh and India. The other traveled to Nepal, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Bhutan. Typically, the Team spent three to five days in each country doing interviews and meeting with stakeholders. The team then reconvened in New Delhi to synthesize its findings and consolidate materials for this evaluation report. The members of the team traveled more than 20,000 air miles in the region, visiting all eight participating countries and interviewing 175 stakeholders and key informants. Many of the judgments and conclusions in this report are the result of these efforts. A preliminary debriefing was delivered to USAID on the December 16, 2010. This evaluation report is organized around the twenty questions that were given by USAID in the initial “Scope of Work for the Evaluation” (See Appendix 7). The methodology follows normal evaluation procedures, generally listing findings (representing statements of fact), followed by conclusions, which are the team’s judgments about the findings that address each question raised in the scope of work. The final section of the report includes Recommendations, which derive from the preceding findings and conclusions. BACKGROUND ON THE SOUTH ASIAN ENERGY SECTOR According to International Energy Agency, 60% of the people of South Asia have no access to electricity, while somewhere between 800–900 million people still depend upon biomass for cooking, a family’s most basic need for energy. The percentage of population having access to grid-based electricity in each of the eight South Asian countries is shown in Figure 1, below. 2 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation Figure 1: Percent of Population with Access to Electricity3 Percent of Population with Access to Electricity 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Maldives Bhutan Sri Lanka India Pakistan Nepal Bangladesh Afghanistan Individual countries’ total installed capacity of grid energy varies hugely across the region. India, for example, has installed capacity of nearly 160,000 MW, while the Maldives has installed capacity of only 160 MW. The countries’ annual production of grid energy is shown in Figure 2, ranked from greatest to least. India’s capacity is excluded from the graph—to include it would so distort the graph that all other countries’ annual capacity would become unreadable. Figure 2: South Asian Countries: Total Installed Capacity of Grid Electric Energy 3 Primary Source: Earth Trends, an information portal of World Resources Institute (WRI), which cites the International Energy Agency (IEA) in 2006 as the original source of information. Other sources like the ADB and the WB give somewhat different figures. Access to energy is not easy to measure. The evaluation team believes that the WRI/IEA figures are somewhat more reliable. Figures for Bhutan and the Maldives were not available on the Earth Trends web page. We have used data taken from their respective country web pages. The revised figures for these countries are Bhutan sixty-seven percent (ninety-seven percent in urban and fifty-six percent in rural areas as per Bhutan Broadcasting Service, BBS). For the Maldives, the figure is ninety-seven percent (194 out of 199 islands have access to electricity) as per . Today, due to electrification programs in South Asian countries, population with access to grid electricity may have increased by approximately five percent over the past five years, since 2005. To complicate the story further, in Nepal, the estimate of population having access to electricity, including both solar and micro hydro, is now about fifty-six percent. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 3 However, when the actual populations of South Asian countries are analyzed, and one looks at per capita consumption of power, the story is substantially different from that shown in Figure 2. In Figure 3 (below), for example, Maldives is ranked first at 1,372 kilowatt hours per capita, with India consuming only 566 kilowatt hours per capita, because it has such a large population to serve. After India, consumption figures continue to drop precipitously as one moves out towards the periphery of South Asia, with citizens of countries like Nepal and Afghanistan consuming only ninety and thirty-eight kilowatt hours per capita, respectively. To put South Asia’s overall consumption of electricity into a somewhat larger context, in the United States, annual consumption of grid electricity is approximately13, 650 kilowatt hours per capita, or more than 25 times India’s annual per capita consumption. Figure 3: South Asian Countries: Per Capita Consumption of grid electricity The team also sought to look at effective demand for power across South Asia, but there appears to be no reliable methodology for computing such data. Various estimates exist of effective demand by country, but they are not internally consistent. To put demand into context, however, in Afghanistan, where annual total power production (including imports) is about 700 MW, the chairman of the national power utility4 estimated effective demand already to be about 5000 MW, or more than 700% of power currently available. Similarly, in Nepal, experts working in the power sector said that while annual maximum production (during the monsoon months) was about 800 MW, effective demand for Kathmandu alone was about 1000 MW in the winter,5 and they suggested that suppressed national demand was about 1800 MW. According to the Integrated Energy Policy Report released in July 2006 by the government of India's Planning Commission, in order “. . . to deliver a sustained growth rate of 8% through 2031-32 and to meet the lifeline energy needs of all citizens, India . . . needs to increase its primary energy supply by three to four times and, its electricity generation capacity by five to six times of its 2003–2004 levels. India's commercial energy supply would need to grow at 4.3% to 5.1% annually.” The report also observes that by the year 2030, Indian power generation capacity must increase to nearly 800,000 MW, from its current, installed capacity of 160,000 MW. In simple mathematical terms, this would amount to adding more than 600 MW every week for the next twenty years and represents an investment of U.S. $400–$500 million per week. Clearly, this is not 4 Dr Jalil Shams, in an interview with SARI Evaluation Team, Kabul, Afghanistan, December, 2010. 5 Power production in Nepal actually goes down to about 250 MW in the winter, because most of Nepal’s power comes from hydro, which is seasonal, primarily during the monsoon. 4 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation sustainable and India will need to look at alternatives that include increased energy efficiency and renewable power development, as well as energy imports from its neighbors. In the absence of better methods for estimating future demand, at least it is possible to say that effective demand across South Asia already is many times the currently available supply. This represents the overarching justification for SARI/Energy. EVALUATION METHODOLOGIES The evaluation team used a mixed-methods approach to evaluate SARI/E. This approach offers a high level of rigor and empirical validity to support evaluation analysis and conclusions. This evaluation required the following steps: • The team examined project and program documents, reinforced by data from structured key informant (KI) interviews and site visits in the eight countries visited by the team. • Informal case studies of emerging energy transfers were analyzed to understand the dynamics of this process. This approach provided for triangulation of data points. It analyzed quantitative and qualitative data to identify main causal factors as well as potential constraints. • Interviews were conducted with at least two members of the team present, including one expatriate and one professional from South Asia. Duplicate notes were taken for all meetings. • When the two teams were traveling,6 • The team also maintained an ongoing dialogue with USAID project and program staff during the course of this evaluation. they remained in daily contact via Internet, and conducted an ongoing dialogue about potential findings and conclusions. Multiple drafts of the evaluation report were circulated as it was being written, with opportunities for all team members to incorporate their comments and observations. • The balance of this report seeks to answer USAID’s specific questions about SARI/Energy, Phase III, taken from the “Scope of Work” found in Appendix 7. The final section of this evaluation includes specific recommendations for how to move forward with SARI/Energy, Phase IV. IMPACTS (INCLUDING OUTPUTS AND OUTCOMES) FINDINGS Section 2 and its subsections below seek to answer the original question posed: “What has been the impact of activities implemented under SARI/E, specifically for the Phase III period from FY07-FY11?” Appendix 1 provides one-page summaries of SARI/E impacts by country. Additional impacts are discussed below. 6 The Northern tier team, composed of David Garner and Devendra Adhikari, traveled to Udaipur and then to Nepal, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and back to Delhi. The Southern tier team of Linda Kalver and Gopinath Iyendar traveled to Sri Lanka, Mali, Kerela, India, and Bangladesh, before returning to New Delhi. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 5 Cross-border movement of energy Today, sub-regional transnational grids are being established slowly across certain parts of the subcontinent. Some illustrative examples include several mentioned below. The first several examples simply suggest movement—towards transnational interconnections that are in place, are planned or are being discussed— that will gradually link the subcontinent together over the next few decades. The last five, however (underlined), have benefited from SARI/E’s support. Table 1: Status of Selected Cross-Border Projects in South Asia COUNTRIES MW STATUS NOTES Bhutan – India 1,000 MW Operational. Bhutan – India 10,000 MW Under construction. Construction to be completed by 2020. Uzbekistan – Afghanistan 300 MW Completed. USAID played major role in this project. Uzbekistan – Afghanistan – Pakistan 2,500–3,500 MW Under discussion. India – Pakistan 500–2,500 MW Under discussion. Both governments fully aware. CASA-1000 1300 MW, of which 1,000 MW would go to Pakistan , Kyrgyzstan & Tajikistan to Afghanistan – Pakistan Under discussion. SARI/E played major advisory role to Govt. of Pakistan. India – Nepal 140 km 400 KV transmission line. MOU signed. SARI/E prepared the way. WB and Govt. of India are now funding. Undersea cable India – Sri Lanka 500 MW MOU signed. SARI/E prepared way; now under technical study. India – Bangladesh 500 MW MOU signed. Under tech study. SARI/E prepared way; ADB to provide some funding. Sub-regional grid Nepal, Bangladesh, India, Bhutan SARI/E has laid the foundations. This may be starting to happen. 6 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation Clean Energy NREL has completed important wind and solar mapping exercises in seven countries. This has already facilitated installation of thirty MW wind power plants in Sri Lanka, with sixty MW under construction. This wind data is now being reviewed by the power sectors of several other countries for possible future actions. In some cases, more detailed studies are being performed in countries like Afghanistan and Pakistan. Other important initiatives involving clean energy include two centers of excellence: one for micro hydro in Nepal, and a second for lighting efficiency in Sri Lanka. Regional Markets In 2008, India established a platform for the short-term sale and purchase of electricity under private-sector auspices. There are now two private power exchanges in India, overseeing a trade of 30,000 MWhs/day at very competitive rates. The government of India issues renewable energy certificates (REC) to generators of clean energy, which permits them to trade at competitive rates on the power exchanges. SARI/E was one of the first programs to appreciate the utility of such ventures in supporting the expansion of energy markets in the region. Under SARI/E’s exchange program, power sector officials from Bhutan and Bangladesh recently came to India and were oriented to the techniques involved in such trade mechanism. They are now exploring the establishment of similar power exchanges in their respective countries. At the present time, energy trading accounts for one-and-a half to two percent of power generation in India. With cross-border trade among member countries planned through the SARI/E program, however, the power exchanges in India expect to see tremendous growth opportunities for energy markets. SARI/E III Training Both Tetra Tech and USEA conducted extensive training during the course of SARI/E, Phase III. The outputs, number of participants, number of training days, cost per participant and per training day, and total costs for the two programs are summarized below. The first table provides an aggregated total for both programs. The subsequent tables provide individual breakdowns by implementing partner. SUMMARY OF TRAINING COURSES BY TETRA TECH AND USEA PARTICIPANTS TRAINING DAYS COST PER PARTICIPANT COST PER TRAINING DAY TOTAL COST MALE 1206 6993 $5,659 $976 $6,824,684 FEMALE 244 2549 $7,449 $713 $1,817,545 TOTAL (or average) as appropriate 1450 9542 $5,960 $906 $8,642,229 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 7 TRAINING COURSES BY TETRA TECH Participants Training days Cost per participant Cost per training day Total cost Male 635 4711 $4,116 $555 $2,613,804 Female 162 2186 $7,562 $560 $1,225,060 Total (or average) as appropriate 797 6897 $4,817 $557 $3,838,865 TRAINING COURSES BY USEA Participants Training days Cost per participant Cost per training day Total Cost Male 571 2282 $7,375 $1,845 $4,210,880 Female 82 363 $7,225 $1,632 $592,484 Total (or average) as appropriate 653 2645 $7,356 $1,816 $4,803,364 Centers of Excellence Regional Center for Excellence in Micro Hydro, Nepal: This center, still being formed, has not yet formally opened its doors. However, the center expects to see the mountainous parts of South Asia— particularly Afghanistan, the northern parts of India and Pakistan, and probably Bhutan— as potential markets for its services, which will allow the further dissemination of micro hydro technologies across the region. WISER (Women’s Institute for Sustainable Energy Research), located in Kerala, is a center of excellence for women in the energy sector. It nominally opened on March 22, 2010 and came into operation in the last quarter of that year. The Energy Management Center, within the state government of Kerala, India has allotted workspace for its laboratory and offices. WISER, with 200 volunteers, seeks to reach out to women throughout the region through teleconferencing, websites, and other media. It also networks with other women’s energy organizations in the region and around the world. The center promotes energy conservation and clean energy, as well as trains women for employment in the electricity sector. It includes an outreach program to women, particularly poor rural women, and conducts training programs in electrical wiring and meter reading. WISER will also facilitate financing for women to establish small businesses that depend on electricity. Regional Center for Lighting (RCL), Colombo, Sri Lanka. Opened in April 2009, this center has already conducted two programs for participants from the region. RCL has initiated a load research study involving 3,000 households. It has also submitted a proposal to ADB for a program to replace incandescent lamps with CFLs in 2,000 households. The center expects to earn revenue through its laboratory testing facilities and technical services for studies, research, etc. The government of Sri Lanka has allotted it space in the 8 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation international convention complex. An office will be ready by January 2011 (for more on RCL, see Appendix 6). Technical Assistance (TA) • Bangladesh: SARI/Energy facilitated an exchange program for Bangladeshis to visit the India Energy Exchange, followed by exchange programs at the ministerial level. An MOU was recently signed between Bangladesh and India for a 500 MW interconnection. ADB has announced funding for part of the interconnection. • Maldives: SARI/E supported a pre-feasibility study for island interconnection. The study revealed economic and environmental benefits to interconnecting the electric power systems of some of the atolls that make up the Maldives. Tender documents for a pilot program are under preparation. • Nepal: SARI/E provided technical assistance to the Nepal Electricity Authority (NEA) on the various implementation documents now being used for negotiations by Nepal with India on the planned 140 km 400 kV double-circuit transmission interconnection. SARI/E’s assistance covered both commercial and legal aspects, but did not involve support for direct negotiations between the two countries.7 An MOU has been signed, and the World Bank is expected to fund this linkage, with additional funding from the Government of India. • Pakistan: SARI/E provided technical assistance to the Government of Pakistan on the Central Asia-South Asia 1000 (CASA-1000) interconnection from Tajikistan to Pakistan. This involved special investigations and reports prepared by the subcontractor in Pakistan (HB Pakistan) directly to the government of Pakistan. • Sri Lanka: SARI/E’s TA in Sri Lanka involved a pre-feasibility study for the undersea hookup between Sri Lanka and Southern India, which has resulted in an MOU signed between India and Sri Lanka for the High Capacity Power Transmission Link. The TA has also resulted in the establishment of the Sustainable Energy Authority under the Ministry of Power, Sri Lanka. • India: India has received no technical assistance. Instead, as India has learned how to become a donor country, it has become a resource for technical assistance for the SARI/Energy project. A list of more than thirty Indian companies and organizations that have contributed to SARI/Energy programs to date is given in Appendix 4. CONCLUSIONS, IMPACTS Based on the work done during Phase III, the impact for SARI/Energy overall has been quite significant, particularly for a regionally-oriented, process-type program with difficult-to-measure outcomes or results. The impact around the Subcontinent has varied from country to country. SARI/E, Phase III has been operating longer and it seems to have had somewhat greater impact in countries like Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, the Maldives, and Sri Lanka than countries like Pakistan or Afghanistan.8 7 After helping to prepare the ground, SARI/E recused itself from direct involvement in negotiations between the two countries, because of a need to remain neutral among the countries of South Asia. Perhaps SARI/E’s 8 Although this may change in Phase IV. SARI/E’s capacity building of the Afghan power sector, for example, should strengthen DABS, the national public utility for power, and allow it to discharge its technical and commercial operations more effectively. A list of possible initiatives involving Pakistan is given in Appendix 2. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 9 most significant impact has been in the development of networks among the technical personnel working in the energy sectors in South Asia. These individuals now know one another; this network extends across international borders, and this represents a major step forward for South Asia. Are partners meeting their responsibilities under their contracts or grants? Findings: The SARI/E evaluation team visited all eight SARI/E countries and interviewed approximately 175 stakeholders. Monthly and annual reports, contracts, and other project documents were reviewed. Partners are all preparing individuals work plans. Conclusions Are partners planning their individual activities with the broader objectives and sub-objectives in mind? : These interviews, plus reviews of assorted project documents confirm that Implementing Partners are fully meeting their contractual responsibilities. Findings: Partners are planning their individual activities within the terms of their own contracts. However, every partner has mentioned that they felt somewhat stovepiped, and would like the opportunity to work more closely with other implementing partners, during the development of annual work plans, for example, in order to better address the broader objectives of SARI/Energy. Partners referred back to SARI/E Phase II, where they felt they had had the opportunity to interact to some degree, but, even here, they indicated that interactions were too limited to permit optimal integration of their separate planning processes. Conclusion: Partners would like to work more closely together, and would be better able to formulate work plans that address larger objectives if Phase IV’s planning systems are modified to allow for this to happen.9 RELEVANCE Are the original hypotheses upon which the program was designed still valid? Findings The original MOU between the governments of India and the United States gives a very clear articulation of the hypotheses, as follows: : A memo to the files dated February 15, 2006, says the SARI/E program was approved in FY 2000 by ANE “…to promote mutually beneficial energy linkages among the nations of South Asia.” Whereas, SARI/Energy encourages regional energy development, cooperation, and expanded trade in energy resources by: (1) facilitating dialogue among key energy players; (2) strengthening the institutional capacity to make decisions in sustainable energy development; (3) fostering private investment in national and trans-national energy infrastructure; and (4) creating and strengthening regional forums, networks, and associations to disseminate best practices and improve cooperation in energy development.10 9 One reason SARI/E III did not have partners meet as often as they had met under SARI/E II was due to the steep reduction in its program budget. Project management believed that they should spend more money on TA and training, rather than on programmatic work that would require its various partners to travel and meet. Perhaps SARI/E IV can resume the practices of SARI/E II in this area. 10 Sources: “Memorandum to The Files,” on the subject of “Program Support Office Determination of SARI/E Program Requirements,” dated February 15, 2006, and “Memorandum of Understanding between the Government of the United States 10 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation Conclusion Does the SARI/E program continue to respond to needs in the region, and has the program positioned itself to take advantage of emerging opportunities to promote greater cooperation in energy and regional stability? : The original hypothesis upon which the Program was designed remains valid, and relevant. Findings: The SARI Team interviewed stakeholders in all eight countries. Essentially, they unanimously report a continued need for SARI/Energy. Stakeholders repeatedly reported that as a consequence of SARI/Energy, they have come to know their counterparts working in similar positions in the energy sectors of neighboring countries, and have developed a much better understanding of the energy situation in neighboring countries. Regulators have gotten to know regulators. People working in power generation know their counterparts. All the countries of the region have begun to appreciate the need for energy security through the development of indigenous energy resources, promotion of energy efficiency, diversification of energy supply, and cross border trade. These are all major issues that SARI/E III has been advocating for the region. Conclusions In light of current needs and opportunities for regional cooperation in energy, is there a need for an extension of the SARI/E program to meet the program objectives? : SARI/Energy remains fully relevant to the needs of the region. It has positioned itself to take advantage of emerging opportunities. More significantly, it has helped to cause some of these opportunities to emerge by its continued support for cross-border dialogue, primarily among the technical experts working in the power sector. The cross-border discussion involving the movement of 500 MW between India and Bangladesh is one example; the construction of 140 km of 400 kV high-tension connections between India and Nepal is another. This important dialogue has now laid the groundwork for further, higher-level dialogue among South Asian political leaders and policy makers in the energy sector. SARI/E Phase III has clearly helped to lay the groundwork for further progress under a proposed Phase IV. Findings • In the Northeastern corner of the Indian subcontinent, the team found evidence suggesting that Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh and Northeast India are beginning to form what might become a regional power pool over the next few years. This development has the potential to become an important model for the rest of the subcontinent. : • An MOU has been signed between India and Bangladesh for 500 MW of power exchange. • A “Minute of Meeting” has been signed between Nepal and India in November, 2009 on power trade cooperation involving a 400 kV double circuit 140 km cross-border transmission line between Dalkebar (Nepal) and Muzaffarpur (India). • The Sri Lanka-to-India undersea connection facilitated by a SARI-funded pre-feasibility study is making progress. • Some cross-border power movement, from Central Asia (Uzbekistan) into Afghanistan (300 MW), is already happening. • High-level discussions relating to power movement are going on between or among Uzbekistan, Afghanistan and Pakistan. The evaluation team was told by senior government officials in Kabul, for example, about government-to-government discussions that could involve 2,500 to 3,500 MW of thermal power coming from Uzbekistan and going to and through Afghanistan and on to Pakistan. • The CASA-1000 dialogue continues. of America and the Government of the Republic of India Regarding the South Asia Regional Initiative Energy Program,” dated December 12, 2001, page 1. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 11 • The Trans-Afghan Pipeline (TAPI) accords for a 1700 km gas pipeline were signed in December 2010 in Ashkabat, Turkmenistan by the presidents of Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Turkmenistan, and the minister of energy for India. Final pricing agreements between Turkmenistan and India for TAPI gas are scheduled to be negotiated by February 2011. • There is even some very quiet discussion about a possible power exchange between Pakistan and India. Discussions by the evaluation team with a senior Pakistani energy advisor working with the Ministry of Water and Power in Islamabad confirmed that high-level discussions are happening, involving the possible export of 500 MW from India to Pakistan as soon as next summer (2011) and the possible export of an additional 2,000 MW within the next two years. Conclusions: The SARI evaluation team concludes that there is clear need for an extension of the SARI/E program in order to meet important program objectives. Some important activities are beginning to achieve traction. The platform that SARI/E provides has enabled country officials to exchange views informally on potential opportunities and tactics as they seek to advance cooperation. SARI/E has provided impartial advice, which provides further momentum to such regional energy collaboration. In the future, as the centers of excellence grow and mature, collaborative research among regional stakeholders can be facilitated and strengthened. EFFECTIVENESS To date, have the program management structure and the adopted implementing tools (contracts, cooperative agreements and USG inter-agency vehicles) been effective in ensuring maximum coordination of activities under SARI/E to avoid duplication of effort? Findings: The evaluation team found no evidence of any duplication of effort among the implementing partners. Conclusions: There is no evidence of duplication, in part because the partners largely work in separate areas. The training work involving both Tetra Tech and USEA, for example, seems to have been entirely complementary, not duplicative. The program management structure to date, and implementing tools involving a contract, a cooperative agreement, and a USG interagency agreement have not lead to optimum coordination between or among the three primary implementing partners. However, this does not seem to be a direct result of the program management structure or the contracting vehicles. The Tetra Tech contract specifically calls for “integrated planning initiatives.”11 Are there gaps in coordination that potentially hinder the achievement of results, or which fail to take advantage of synergies among individual activities? (e.g., are training and technical assistance activities coordinated and sequenced so that they benefit from each other?) In any case, the problem of suboptimal coordination can be addressed through the adoption of some revised planning modalities, explained in more detail below (see recommendation #5). Findings • Implementing partners expressed concerns about coordination, particularly in the area of planning. NREL repeatedly said that they did not know enough about what the other partners were doing. They felt they were not linked sufficiently into the planning and program design process. Tetra Tech and USEA also expressed a need for improved inter￾partner coordination. : 11 “Implementing Partners … will focus on program progress review and planning, (including development and coordination of the integrated work plan)…. ” PA Government Services Contract, 1 May, 2007, p. C–15. 12 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation • The three implementing partners functioned as co-equals. There was no prime-sub relationship. Tetra Tech, the institutional contractor, described itself as actually being slightly below the two knowledge partners, USEA and NREL. In any case, the partners all bring important, different, and complementary skills to the table. • USEA reported that, now that they host the SARI website, they feel they have a somewhat better understanding of the overall program. • The M&E functions of SARI/E Phase III were not very robust. Conclusions: Although implementing partners work in separate areas, they could act synergistically. Partners could coordinate better, consult more frequently, and integrate their work plans and activities. Strategic plans, work plans and task orders could be approached more holistically. Coordination and the M&E functions both can be improved through the use of different organizational modalities. Planning among the partners can be done in a more joint or collaborative manner. Monitoring and evaluation activities can be expanded to provide an enhanced feedback loop on program performance, which could allow for enhanced program integration. EFFICIENCY If possible, determine if results achieved under SARI/E are being produced at an acceptable cost compared with alternative approaches accomplishing the same objectives. Findings • The total number of individuals trained under USEA and Tetra Tech’s programs for Phase III was 1450, at a total cost of about $8.65 million. The total number of person-days of training under SARI III was 9542; the average cost-per-training day, approximately $900. Approximately seventeen percent of all trainees were women. See Section 2.4.1, SARI III Training, for more detail on overall training costs, and Appendix 8. : • USEA trained more than 650 trainees, for a total of 2654 training days. USEA’s average cost per training day was $1800. Most of this training was international, conducted outside the Indian subcontinent (for further details, see Appendix 8). • Tetra Tech trained approximately 800 trainees, for a total of almost 7000 training days. Tetra Tech’s average cost per training day was $556.6012 • For Afghan training, it actually costs less to train Afghans from the national public utility (DABS) in India than it would cost to train them in Afghanistan, because of security issues. (for further details of Tetra Tech’s training activities, see Appendix 8). • The three implementing partners were chosen under different procurement systems to carry out different tasks. PA Consulting won a competitive RFP, USEA has a cooperative agreement, and NREL has an inter-agency agreement. Thus, these firms and organizations each have somewhat different cost structures. Conclusions 12 As a benchmark, for purposes of comparison, an estimate of the cost per training week (one student for one week) at National Power Training Institute, India (NPTI) is about $860, which includes room and board but not transportation. : While there are differences among the different training service providers, there are also differences in the kinds of training provided. USEA’s training costs, for example, typically included substantial international travel, which helps to account for the difference in cost per participant ($7356 for USEA, and $4817 for Tetra Tech). Tetra Tech’s training is done locally, in the region, and even for them, costs vary by season, by country, and by hotels that happen to be SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 13 available. On balance, without having conducted a financial audit, the evaluation team concludes that the costs for training appear reasonable. More broadly, the contracting mechanisms employed by SARI/E, Phase III are subject to normal USG procurement rules and regulations. A future project design or a future RFP might result in a different mix of partners, or the choice of a different institutional contractor, either more or less expensive. On balance, the contracting mechanisms chosen for SARI III seem reasonable, and short of trimming the number of training days, or reducing the levels of technical assistance, the evaluation team sees no obvious ways to increase the levels of program efficiency or of training, so long as the same program or training modalities are employed. Training could be carried out less expensively, for example, if more training were done through virtual methods like on-line teaching, or through video teleconferencing.13 What alternative approaches exist which could achieve results at greater efficiency and what mechanisms can be recommended for implementing the alternative approaches? This could lower costs, but may also impact upon one of the most important collateral benefits of the SARI training, which is the face-to-face encounters among the various professionals who work in the power sector in South Asia. This cross-border networking function is judged to have provided good value for money to date, and has laid the foundations for possible enhanced connectivity under Phase IV. In the future, SARI may want to explore a mix of different training options, depending on the particular goals a specific training course is expected to meet. Conclusions:14 In the future, SARI can improve its overall planning procedures. It can have future Implementing Partners prepare a five-year strategic plan, for example, at the beginning of the program, perhaps coupled with a ten-year visioning exercise that seeks to anticipate what may happen to the South Asian energy sector over the coming decade. It can build in routine, joint The WISER Center may want to move from retail to wholesale service provision, and seek to become more of an Apex body for training key stakeholders, who in turn can help multiply the outreach across South Asia. Both the micro hydro center in Nepal and the Center for Lighting in Sri Lanka should look for multiplier effects in their outreach efforts, as well as new and better ways to market their services. They can also look at various ways to raise funds to support their programs. Social marketing techniques may have some utility, and might be worth exploring. Technical Assistance in Phase IV may increase, and may require a more tailored approach to address needs unique to each country. planning sessions with the implementing partners on a yearly basis. For such an exercise, implementing partners and other key stakeholders should be convened at a neutral location—like Colombo or Kathmandu—for a two- to three-day planning workshop. Some of the scheduled time at such a planning workshop should be left deliberately unstructured, so partners and other stakeholders have ample opportunity for informal discussions of shared common challenges and opportunities. The SARI-sponsored centers of excellence can expand and improve their outreach through use of more Web-based communications. This may involve enhanced websites, as well as expanded distance learning, preferably by using tools like interactive video conferencing. 13 SARI/E looked at utilizing distance education for utility personnel in the far reaches of Afghanistan. It was found to be feasible to beam programs from one country, with the teacher(s) in virtual contact with students in other countries. The technology for such “distance education” exists and increasingly is being used in India by groups like the Indira Gandhi National Open University. SARI Phase IV may be able to take advantage of such systems. Certainly, the centers of excellence one day may be able to offer such distance education as part of their routine service delivery. 14 These conclusions are actually recommendations which simply seek to answer the question posed: “What alternative approaches exist which could achieve results at greater efficiency. . . .” More discussion of these program implications are found in the recommendations section of this evaluation. 14 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation How well have implementing partners worked as a team to coordinate work plans and activities in the interests of achieving the objectives of the overall SARI/E program? Findings: Partners report that they have not been able to work together as closely as they would like to achieve the overall SARI/E program goals and objectives. Conclusion Have technical assistance, training, and partnerships been targeted at the appropriate beneficiaries to ensure the greatest impact in advancing the policy dialogue in support of regional energy cooperation? : Under SARI/E IV, partners could be encouraged to become more proactive about planning and joint decision making. Findings: SARI/E’s invitations for training typically go to governments. Governments, in turn, are supposed to look for appropriate candidates. Often, they merely propose their own candidates from within the government, rather than sending the requests to people in the energy sector to find appropriate technical candidates. The evaluation team heard these reports in Sri Lanka, India (at NPTI) and Nepal. The team also heard concerns about too much heterogeneity or diversity in some classes from some SARI/E trainees. Some of the training programs in Nepal were pulled together very quickly, and may not have had optimum beneficiary attendance. There were repeated requests in almost all countries visited for more carefully focused training and technical assistance targeted to the specific needs of specific institutions. One key informant in Bhutan explicitly said that service provision should become “more demand Training during Phase III involved both policy formulation and in various technical matters. driven, by countries’ needs, rather than supply driven by the project.” 15 Conclusion: During the course of Phase III, most of the TA, training and partnerships targeted government officials and/or technical personnel working in the power sector of various SARI/E countries. This was appropriate for SARI III, and contributed to one of the program’s biggest impacts: over the past several years, these individuals have been able to get to know one another, and have established good working relations that now easily reach across international boundaries. While these beneficiaries were the appropriate targets for training during Phase III, as SARI/E moves towards Phase IV, it may become useful to target a higher percentage of policy makers and political leaders, who can lead South Asia to increased levels of connectivity.16 Furthermore, the project can move beyond the government and ask relevant companies (production, transmission, distribution, etc.) to recommend candidates for technical engineering training. 15 The team was not able to determine the ratio between policy-related training and technical training but, somewhat impressionistically, policy-oriented training may have been perhaps twenty percent of the total. This ratio can be clarified, and might impact upon strategies for Phase IV. 16 Some observers have pointed out that the participation of higher-level officials, including political leaders, is a challenge, especially from the bigger countries such as India and Pakistan. This challenge might be met in two ways: (1) targeting critical activities that involve the government of India, and/or Pakistan; and (2) working more closely with SAARC. For example, Afghan Deputy Minister of Energy Mr. Wali Sherzoi’s December 2008 visit to Delhi paved the way for high-level discussions with senior officials and political leaders in India and led to SARI III’s subsequent involvement in DABS training. Also, a visit in October 2009 by the secretary of ???? from the government of Bangladesh led to a meeting between his counterpart in the Ministry of Power and contributed substantially to the MOU subsequently signed on cross-border trade between the two heads of state when the prime minister of Bangladesh visited Delhi in December of that year. In terms of working more closely with SAARC, in the past, SARI made several overtures to SAARC, but these were always gently brushed off. SARI IV may need to continue such overtures, or find ways to work around SAARC in the near term, until the political winds eventually change direction. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 15 To what extent have the outputs from technical assistance, training, and other SARI/E funded activities been utilized by targeted beneficiaries? Findings: More than fifty percent of the key informant stakeholders interviewed by the evaluation team in eight SARI/E countries indicated that they had participated in one or more SARI/E events.17 Everyone interviewed expressed strong appreciation for the training, and in all cases indicated that they had benefited from it. Virtually all stakeholders expressed the view that getting to know their counterparts in other nearby countries was important, and indicated that they valued the opportunity to exchange views and learn from one another. Furthermore, learning also comes from having groups of officials from SARI/E countries visit a region outside the subcontinent, such as South Africa, Europe, or North America, where they can learn how those countries’ regional energy markets function. Such settings provide context, structure, and opportunities for exchanges of views. Conclusions In some cases, for some kinds of training programs, the same individuals were nominated repeatedly. While this may offer some benefits in continuity, there could also be benefits for SARI and for the region from further diversification. Finally, SARI/E IV may need to decentralize its staffing, so that it can develop a better and more nuanced understanding of the individual institutions it seeks to help. : While each appears to have benefited as an individual, and while the sectors as a whole benefited from this training and technical assistance, sometimes the institutions that SARI/E sought to help may not have benefited as much as they might have. For training visits outside of the region, such international travel sometimes provides a setting, a context and a structure for exchanges of views. However, the absence of follow-up mechanisms means that gains made are not always consolidated. SARI/E IV may need to explore mechanisms that allow for more consolidation, perhaps encouraging countries to form permanent working groups to deal with important trans￾border issues. 18 Figure 4 shows one possible approach to decentralization. 17 Interviewees typically did not specify, and often did not seem to know, whether they had attended a SARI/E I, II, or III-era event. Such divisions represent an internal USAID and project-specific framework. Many outside stakeholders are unaware of such project-specific distinctions. 18 Under SARI/E Phase IV, deputy chiefs of party, stationed in the three major regions that compose SARI/E, working under the overall direction of the chief of party, may be able to develop an improved sense of the needs of specific institutions, and the specific individuals who may best benefit from training. This is discussed in more detail in “Recommendations”, Section 8. Specifically, see Recommendation #3. 16 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation Figure 4: Possible approach to decentralization What evidence is there that best practices have been taken up by additional individuals who received information from targeted beneficiaries? Findings: The evaluation team found multiple examples of best practices being taken up by trainees, and of subsequent downstream cascading effects. In Afghanistan, for example, one engineering professor was invited to a SARI-sponsored workshop on renewable energy. When he returned to Kabul, he introduced a course at Kabul University on renewable energy. After some time, more courses were added. Over the past few years, this program has trained approximately 1000 Afghan engineering graduates. These graduates, in turn, have provided the trained manpower for implementing most of the renewable energy programs in Afghanistan. Similar stories were told in Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. In Sri Lanka, the finance director reported that the finance division of the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) improved its management information system (MIS) with better reporting systems as a direct result of SARI training. A professor of mechanical engineering from the University of Moratuwa in Sri Lanka has introduced ‘Lighting’ as a subject in the postgraduate programs at his university after he visited the Lighting Resource Center (LRC) at Rensselaer, USA under a USEA exchange program. Part of the WISER program focuses on the training of trainers. A young Afghan woman, who had attended a program at WISER, told the evaluation team that she is now actively engaged in starting an Afghan women’s NGO to train women in more efficient energy usage. A young woman regulator in Bhutan who had been trained at multiple SARI events, and was going off to another one in January, spoke eloquently about how much she had benefited, and how the Bhutanese authorities were applying what she and others had learned, in order to improve power regulations in Bhutan. Conclusions: While the reports are largely anecdotal, virtually every stakeholder interviewed by the evaluation team who had attended one or more SARI-sponsored event told similar stories. Nepal Deputy Chief of Party Sri Lanka Deputy Chief of Party Pakistan Deputy Chief of Party India Chief of Party Maldives Afghanistan Bhutan Bangladesh SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 17 Repeatedly, they described best practices being taken up and applied in their own countries, and they often described a cascade effect. They repeatedly described learning from one another in the context of what works in South Asia. This group learning clearly is one of the major impacts of the SARI program, for which SARI deserves substantial credit. To what extent have SARI/E activities supported or complemented activities sponsored by other donor partners, such as the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank in South Asia? Findings: SARI/Energy’s support of S3IDF19 in Nepal directly led to the design and subsequent ADB approval of a technical assistance project, “Increasing Access to Energy in Rural Nepal.” The ADB project has been designed to implement S3IDF's social merchant bank (SMB) approach, with an initial focus on an improved water mill program. Much of ADB's documentation for the project draws directly from SARI III’s work, and the project would not otherwise have been launched since ADB and other major donors generally are not in a position to underwrite design efforts for innovative, pro-poor clean energy projects. This ADB project is now underway.20 Additional Findings • The India-Bangladesh cross-border cable was stimulated by the SARI program, and is now being partially funded by ADB. : • The 140 km 400 kV double circuit transmission line between Muzaffarpur, India and Southern Nepal, which is an indirect output from the SARI program, is now being funded jointly by the World Bank and the Government of India. • CASA-1000, if it goes forward, will be funded primarily by the World Bank. • Based on a SARI/E sponsored project development workshop in October 2010 in Colombo on “Wind Power Take Off in South Asia,” the ADB representative announced a $2 million TA facility to finance feasibility studies in the region on grid interactive wind farms. Target countries include Bhutan, Nepal, Bangladesh and Pakistan. • In Sri Lanka, the World Bank has approached the Regional Center for Lighting as a potential donor to help it establish a lighting certification and testing center for South Asia. Conclusions Measuring program impact requires the existence of good performance monitoring systems at the level of individual partners, as well as at the level of program management. Have systems been established internally for tracking, monitoring, and reporting on results attributable to SARI/E activities and do these systems utilize independently verifiable information. : SARI/E activities have supported or complemented activities sponsored by other donors in South Asia, including the World Bank and the ADB. In some cases, they have led other donors into potentially important new activities like Social Merchant Banking in Nepal. 19 S3IDF is an NGO specializing in social merchant banking. 20 ADB funding for the project is $933,000. The Nepalese government’s contribution is USD $170,000. The project also includes a USD $500,000 revolving fund. Details are available at: 18 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation Findings: Implementing partners have put systems into place to measure outputs. Data is routinely available on people trained, by specialty, by gender, and by country, for example. There is proper documentation on Technical Assistance and the training that has been delivered. The Evaluation Team found little information that sought to measure cumulative impacts by Partners, or among Partners. The systems in place allow the outputs to be independently verified, but little emphasis has been placed on establishing systems that independently verify or aggregate results. Conclusions: SARI/E is an ongoing, process-type program. Tetra Tech keeps track of many energy indicators by country. USEA has an extensive database of its trainees. Measuring program impact, however, is different from measuring project outputs. For example, we might see a change in fuel mix toward cleaner energy, but it would be unclear how much might be attributed to SARI III training, or how much to the activities of unrelated organizations like NGOs, or simply to changes in the larger economy of South Asia. In addition, because so many of the important SARI program outputs, results and impacts are process-related, or somewhat intangible, it is particularly difficult to define measurable indicators, much less determine the proportion to attribute to SARI. How can systems be designed, for example, to measure the strength or importance of cross-border networking? How much value attaches to the fact that people in the energy sector in neighboring countries now know one another, when they did not several years ago? How much of this networking is directly attributable to SARI? How can these almost intangible issues of attribution be properly decoded and tracked? How can systems be put into place to track the aggregation of results over time? This will represent an important challenge for SARI IV. 21 21 The key program element with the potential for having the greatest impact is cross-border trade. It can impact energy security, climate change and improve access to energy. However these projects take a long time from concept to commissioning – a project cycle time of 10-15 years is common. In the absence of such an outcome within the PACD of the program, SARI/E IV will need to be creative in establishing verifiable indicators that can be measured and monitored. These indicators should be able to track the contribution of SARI/E to potential cross-border project(s) that are moving along classical project cycles. An Angel for the Nepalese Power Sector “SARI/Energy has been an angel for the Nepalese energy sector. A few years ago, the whole sector was stuck. But because of SARI, we’ve been able to work with our Indian counterparts in the energy sector. SARI laid the foundations. It initiated dialogue when all the countries were in a confused state. Now we are starting to trade energy. This technical dialogue also gives some comfort to our politicians. After we’ve discussed the technical issues among the professionals [in nearby countries] we can make better recommendations to our policy makers. Energy trades and markets are starting to move ahead. Clean energy has also been donor driven. In villages we are replacing kerosene with solar and biomass. Wind and solar are starting to become grid connected. The Region will need a few years to fully consolidate some of what SARI has done. Now we are initiating some legal reforms here in Nepal. These are all real contributions, and much of this is based upon SARI’s work.” —Joint Secretary, Ministry of Energy, Government of Nepal SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 19 SUSTAINABILITY Are the results and impact of SARI/E activities sustainable in terms of creating institutional capacity and filling gaps on behalf of the program’s key beneficiaries? Findings Based on extensive interviews around the Region, the evaluation team found SARI/E beneficiaries reporting the following: : • A joint secretary in the Ministry of Energy in Nepal said that, “SARI Energy has been an angel for the Nepalese power sector.” [See text box, previous page] • The Regional Center for Lighting in Sri Lanka expects to be self-sustaining within two years. Revenue comes from the manufacturers or importers who want certification for their products. If demand is sufficient, this could support the organization, and make it self￾sustaining. The center has its own business plan and looks for international donors as well as seeking fees-for-service. It also has membership fees. • Nepal’s Regional Center for Excellence in Micro Hydro has drafted a business plan. It appears to be taking on the important role of marketing Nepal’s expertise in micro hydro. • WISER has the following objectives: increased access to energy, energy efficiency, and the empowerment of women. It has expressed ambitions to become self-sustaining. However, the director is paid as a subcontractor to Tetra Tech, and the premises have been donated by the Energy Management Center, an arm of the state government of Kerala. WISER is also seeking other donor funding to sustain its activities. • Conclusions Two of the initiatives that SARI/E has been supporting largely have a business and market agenda, and thus should become financially sustainable: the Regional Center for Lighting in Sri Lanka and the micro hydro operations in Nepal. WISER, for its part, has a social and civil agenda centered around women’s empowerment. It has no current activities that can lead to any meaningful financial income. It can promote energy efficiency and, more significantly, empower women. However, it may not have the potential to become financially self-sustaining, and it probably will have to rely upon donor funding for continuing operations. : The centers all fill important functions, and each is unique, serving the developmental needs of civil social, business, and market transformation. They enable an individual country to display a technology or best practice to the rest of the region at which they excel. This creates a sense of pride and ownership and enables countries to treat each other as equals, irrespective of the huge disparities that may define their energy sectors. The biggest gap, however, is institutionalizing the dialogue between and among the countries of the region at the techno-political level. In some cases, once SARI/E or other groups have helped to break the ice, it appears that individual governments, on a bilateral basis, are sometimes forming permanent working groups to address certain technical issues. For example, such a working group appears to have been established between Bangladesh and India to work on trans-border energy issues. However, more work remains to be done at the more complex level of multilateral exchanges. Multilateral forums, where countries routinely speak to one another at the technical, policy, and political levels, have yet to be fully institutionalized. SAARC exists, and by its own standards, it has been relatively active in the energy sector.22 22 The most recent ministerial-level meeting on energy was on climate change, held in Bhutan in July 2010. The SAARC energy center in Islamabad is also relatively active, but has not yet achieved much visibility and is constrained by its own internal operating systems, somewhat like the United Nations. For example, it now conducts ministerial-level meetings on energy. Over the next decade, informal bodies may need to be 20 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation established in various corners of the Indian subcontinent to deal with the harmonization of various issues connected with trans-border power transfers between and among selected countries. 23 Facilitating or nurturing such development might become an important niche that SARI IV can fill, working informally What evidence has there been of host countries taking ownership of the SARI/E program, including promoting the networks and forums and advocating the best practices developed and disseminated under SARI/E? Based on results to date, are these activities likely to engender sustainable development impacts after USAID funding has stopped? until such a time as SAARC or some other, more formal organization begins to address these matters. Findings • In Nepal (see text box, above, “An Angel for the Nepalese Power Sector”), the Nepalese government has taken ownership of important technical data and has internalized certain confidence-building measures from SARI/E, and now has signed an MOU (technically a “Minute of Meeting”) with India to proceed with the construction of 140 km of 400 kV power transmission. : • In Afghanistan, from interviews it is clear that the National Public Utility for Power (DABS) which has been the principle recipient of SARI/E’s training is actively internalizing the results of this training and incorporating them into the evolving new institution. Various groups are also conducting further studies on the feasibility of harnessing wind power. • TA in Sri Lanka involved a pre-feasibility study for the undersea hookup between Sri Lanka and Southern India, resulting in an MOU, signed between India and Sri Lanka, for the high￾capacity power transmission link. The TA has also resulted in establishment of the Sustainable Energy Authority under the Ministry of Power, Sri Lanka. The Ministry of Power and Energy reports that the Regional Center for Lighting (RCL) will be brought directly under the Ministry with cabinet approval, which allows it to seek donor funding from the World Bank, ADB, etc. To date, thirty MW of wind power has already been constructed, and an additional sixty MW is under construction. • In the Maldives, SARI/E supported a study that confirmed the feasibility of inter￾connecting the electric power systems of some atolls. Tender documents for a pilot program are under preparation. • In Bhutan, regulators and others clearly are internalizing and using what they have learned from SARI/E -sponsored training events. • In Pakistan, SARI/E has provided important technical advice to the government that supports its ongoing CASA-1000 negotiations. The government is also assessing the important implications of the NREL wind-power studies. Conclusion 23 SAARC represents a formal structure for regional governance and cooperation. SARI’s comparative advantage rests with its abilities to operate informally, as a bilaterally-funded initiative. The evaluation team expects that over the next decade, a Regional Energy Commission or something like it will need to be established for the four countries of Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, and Northeast India. SARI IV may be able to facilitate movement towards this important long-term goal. It is probably beyond SARI’s formal remit and mandate to push formally for this to happen. However, at an informal level, it can lay the groundwork until the governments themselves or SAARC formalize the process. : Host countries are actively taking ownership of best practices they learn from SARI/E - sponsored programs. To some degree, cross-border activities are beginning on a bilateral basis (meaning between two countries), and these activities are expected to be sustainable, largely because they are economically critical for the future of South Asia. Without SARI/E, however, there is some chance that the larger, cross-border dialogue (networks and forums) would diminish, or progress towards cross-border understanding could slow down. Continuing to strengthen these SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 21 cross border networks—particularly among the higher policy makers and political leaders—may become an important goal for SARI/E Phase IV. PROJECT ASSISTANCE COMPLETION DATE (PACD) EXTENSION The original program framework envisaged that the SARI/E program would be implemented through a two-phased approach. Subsequently the PACD was extended until September 2011 under Phase III of the program. What is the need for an extension of the SARI/E PACD to meet the overall program objectives? Findings: Key stakeholders across the region expressed a strong need for an extension of SARI/E. Conclusion What should be the new timeframe, program focus, and direction under Phase IV? : There is a high need for extending the PACD in order to meet the program’s overall objectives. Recommendation Under Phase III, SARI/E’s resources were allocated at a ratio of approximately fifty percent cross border, forty percent clean energy, and ten percent markets development. For SARI/E Phase IV, it might want to review allocation decisions with members of the advisory board, implementing partners, and other key stakeholders. Some observers believe that the need for markets will develop in a significant way only : USAID should look at a five-year PACD extension for SARI/E Phase IV, from 2012 to 2017. The new project itself should seek to look a decade into the future to attempt to anticipate where the South Asian energy sector is going, in order to best position program activities for Phase IV. SARI/E IV should be orientated toward tangible practical outputs and results. These include: (1) increasing energy security through cross-border trading; (2) increasing generation overall through the development of clean and renewable energy sources, including wind and micro hydro mini grids; (3) saving energy through energy efficiency and demand-side management (DSM); and (4) supporting decreases in emissions. A secondary result of these objectives should be increased access to energy, since increased energy availability and security will promote efforts to strengthen the grids (in order to transmit higher loads) and will encourage electric utilities to seek additional customers. after USAID may also want to explore the growing importance of water and climate change and their potential impact upon South Asia. Trans-border water practices are closely connected with energy usage, as well as population growth, increased agricultural and industrial usage, down- stream flooding, and climate change. These all have significant potential to impact the future energy situation across South Asia. the physical infrastructure is in place to allow for energy transfers. Monitoring and evaluation systems may need to be augmented. Further observations about future programming implications are provided below. GENERAL RECOMMENDATIONS FOR SARI/E PHASE IV Following the specific requirements of the Scope of Work, this evaluation has sought to assess: 1. The validity of the hypotheses underpinning the strategy; 2. The appropriateness of the implementation strategy in reaching the program’s objectives; 3. The cost-effectiveness and impact of activities implemented by SARI/E partners; 4. The extent to which the program strengthened institutional capacity; 22 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 5. The extent to which the program promoted information-based dialogue and coalitions related to energy sector reform; and 6. The extent to which the program supported the formation of regional networks and centers of excellence for sharing best practices in an effort to influence decision-makers deliberating over energy sector market reforms, cross border trade, and clean energy applications. The specific findings and conclusions relating to these objectives have been described in the previous sections. This final section of the main evaluation report provides specific recommendations, primarily targeted at a prospective Phase IV for SARI/Energy, that grow out of the findings and conclusions given above. These recommendations are clustered into three categories: (1) higher priority recommendations, (2) secondary recommendations, and (3) tertiary recommendations. HIGHER PRIORITY RECOMMENDATIONS 1. Overarching goals and sharpening project focus. The overarching goal for SARI/E should be that all activities proposed in strategic plans, work plans and task orders should meet the criteria of supporting a South Asian Regional24 Initiative for Energy and promoting energy security. SARI/E Phase IV should actively seek to target its primary goals: cross-border movement of energy, clean energy, and energy markets. The next phase of SARI/E needs to move beyond targets of opportunity and develop more focused strategies that support the program’s larger objectives. To the extent possible, it should continue with its policy of supporting activities that involve two or more countries in the region. If specific requests for individualized training or technical assistance begin to increase, however, then the need to meet an individual country’s need will need to be balanced carefully against SARI/E IV’s current mandate of addressing regional energy needs. 2. Expand SARI/E IV’s advisory board. SARI/E IV’s advisory board should meet twice a year to provide enhanced overall direction to the project. The board’s membership should be expanded to include suitable representation from the U.S. Department of State. Suitable national experts25 in regional energy issues might also be considered for membership. National candidates should be individually selected by mission directors, based on each mission’s best judgment about who could add value to promoting a regional energy initiative, or contribute constructive dialogue about regional energy exchanges. These national representatives initially might be given observer status to the advisory board. If the idea of their participation begins to develop traction and legitimacy over time, then sometime in the future it might be possible to turn the guidance and direction of SARI/E over to a board composed entirely of national representatives. This could be one way to institutionalize further the important role of SARI/Energy, as the region moves to higher levels of regional integration.26 3. Decentralize project staffing: USAID should actively explore decentralization mechanisms that encourage parts of the project to move physically out beyond Delhi. Such decentralization could help encourage host country buy-in and enhance SARI’s presence at national levels in individual countries, while continuing to support the overall objectives of regional energy development, consistent with SARI/E’s core mandate. It will be important for SARI/E’s Phase IV senior 24 “Regional” is defined as involving two or more South Asian countries. 25 One or two International experts in regional energy issues might also be considered for membership. 26 In some cases, senior policy makers might be asked to participate through virtual mechanisms like video-teleconferencing, which will grow in popularity and effectiveness over the life of SARI IV. This mechanism might also be used to bridge some differences between countries like India and Pakistan. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 23 management and advisory board to keep any potential tensions between working at a national and regional levels in suitable balance. One possible model would involve recruiting three expatriate DCOPs, working under the overall direction of a COP, who would continue to reside in New Delhi. The D/COPs would each oversee one of three Sub-Regions within the larger SARI/E framework:27 • The Northeast, composed of Nepal, Bhutan, Northeast India and Bangladesh, with a D/COP resident in Kathmandu or Bangladesh, wherever the prospects for cross-border activities are deemed to be higher in the near to medium term; • The South, composed of Southern India, Sri Lanka, and the Maldives with a D/COP based in Colombo; and • The West, composed of Pakistan and Afghanistan, with a D/COP stationed in Islamabad. • 4. Resource allocation ratios: Under Phase III, Tetra Tech estimated SARI/E’s resources to have been allocated at a ratio of approximately fifty percent cross border, forty percent clean energy, and ten percent markets development. For SARI/E Phase IV, resources may need to be allocated somewhat differently, based upon the results of the initial Phase IV strategy exercise (see below), and the judgments of the implementing partners, advisory board, and other key stakeholders. Some stakeholders point out that the need for markets will develop in a significant way only after the physical infrastructure is in place to allow for energy transfers. 5. Strategic plans and work planning sessions: Although implementing partners work in separate areas, there is a need for them to act synergistically. Partners should coordinate better, consult more frequently and integrate their work plans and activities more effectively. Strategic plans, work plans and task orders should be approached holistically. Implementing partners should prepare a five-year strategic plan, revised and updated yearly. The advisory board should formally approve the strategic plan. Annual work plans should then be prepared, showing proposed activities. SARI/E Phase IV should hold joint work planning sessions once a year, where implementing partners, country coordinators, and other key national stakeholders are brought together for a two-to-three day workshop and joint work plan development session. If Implementing partners are not able to prepare joint work plans (for legal reasons, for example) , then they should be encouraged to prepare parallel work plans that reinforce one another and enhance overall program coordination and integration.28 These sessions should allow sufficient unstructured time for informal exchanges of information and brain storming about future program directions. SARI/E Phase IV should continue to use a task order system to allow for programmatic flexibility, but this should be combined with annual work plans that seek to focus the program more clearly on strategic goals and objectives of cross-border energy and clean energy. SARI/E should also produce an annual report, prepared jointly by all relevant implementing partners, and written for a general audience. Some copies should be printed for physical distribution to selected audiences around the subcontinent, as well as for virtual dissemination through web pages.29 27 See Figure 4, “Possible Approach to Decentralization” for an illustrative figure showing this proposed structure. The project may want to consider employing a consultant 28 This kind of integrated planning was called for in the Contractor’s Scope of Work, which said, “Implementing Partners Meeting . . . will focus on program progress review and planning, (including development and coordination of the integrated work plan). . . .” PA Government Services Contract, dated May 1, 2007, p. C–15. 29 The cover for SARI’s annual report, 2009 says, “This publication was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared by PA Government Services Inc.” It does not mention the work of other partners, and is written like a U.S. government report for a U.S. government office. It may serve a contractual requirement, but it does not perform an effective outreach function of describing the work of SARI/Energy to a larger, non-US government audience. SARI program management might want to review annual reports prepared by private corporations that help explain to stockholders what it is that their corporation actually does. Some annual reports are better than others, but the best ones often tell a compelling story. SARI/Energy has a compelling story to tell. It should seek ways to tell it that go beyond the 24 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation Bangladesh to Import 1,000 MW Power from Nepal Himalayan News Service, Kathmandu, November 24, 2010 “Bangladesh wants to import ,000 MW of power from a hydroelectric plant in Nepal. . . . A seven-member [Bangladeshi] delegation . . . visited Nepal two days ago to deal with . . . transit and import of electricity. According to the Bangladeshi media, the supply of power will start within next two- three years. One of the delegation members said . . . a target has been fixed to generate 3,500 MW power in next two or three years at the initial stage of the project. . . .” to help with social communications to ensure that SARI/E’s annual report is written from SARI/E’s regional strategic perspective, and not just mechanically generated to serve the priorities of one or more implementing partners. 6. Centers of excellence: The three centers, beginning to leverage local government and other donor support, and are beginning to deliver results. SARI/E IV should continue to support them, since they promote cross-border regional linkages and in the longer term may help promote further regional integration. However, the centers should seek multiplier effects, in order to expand their outreach beyond physical exchanges. Web-based and video teleconferencing outreach approaches should be actively explored and encouraged. SARI/E IV might consider having an organizational or institutional development expert on staff, at least for the first two to three years, who could support the growth and development of centers of excellence and other key, energy-oriented institutions across the region. It may also prove useful to explore social marketing mechanisms to enhance the outreach capacity of the centers. Social marketing for energy-efficient strategies and products might represent an important opportunity. 7. The Northeastern portion of the subcontinent—a potential model: During the life of SARI/E IV, the four countries of Nepal, Bhutan, Northeast India and Bangladesh will slowly begin to link their energy networks together, using the Indian grid as the glue to make this happen. At certain times of the year, more than 1,500 MW of power is already being exported from Bhutan to India, and smaller amounts of power are being traded between India and Nepal. Bhutan is on track to export 10,000 MW by 2020. Private sector businessmen in Nepal report that 6,000 MW are “in the pipeline” for potential export to India. A delegation from Bangladesh recently was in Nepal, looking to export 1000 MW through India. This emerging network could constitute an important cornerstone of a SARI/E IV strategy. This network, for which SARI/E began to lay the foundations almost ten years ago, will grow over the coming decade. SARI/E should position itself in Phase IV to support this important emerging [Sub]-regional network, and the model it may represent for the rest of the subcontinent. 8. Harmonization and governance issues for regional energy. Over the next decade, the four countries of Bhutan, Bangladesh, Nepal and Northeast India will need mechanisms to help them harmonize and coordinate energy strategies and policies. They will need systems to deal with energy￾related governance issues, including technical matters, regulatory issues, tariffs, etc. Countries will require technical studies and technical assistance to put into place institutional structures that allow meaningful electrical connectivity, and cross-border energy trade. SARI/E IV can design specific task orders to help the Northeast region of the subcontinent to address such goals. SARI/E should use its standing in the region as an important, legitimate, and neutral player to convene seminars, standard formats of many U.S. government publications. Implementing partners should be encouraged to work together to write such an annual report. 󲐀󲐀󲐀󲐀󲐀󲐀󲐀󲐀󲐀󲐀󲐀󲐀󲐀 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 25 workshops, and to support future working groups that can enhance levels of international cooperation and coordination among the four countries over the next decade. SARI/E’s explicit strategy should involve an incremental systematic approach, helping technical staff of the various agencies in the four countries to come together, build trust, and exchange data and perspectives. Over the next five years, cross-border regulatory issues may become increasingly important. The countries will also require technical assistance and technical studies to put into place informal governance structures. The idea of establishing informal groups that can harmonize the power systems in contiguous countries may serve as a useful organizing principle. SARI/E IV can initiate specific task orders that help the Northeast region move towards such a goal. 9. Wind Energy. Wind energy is beginning to take off economically in India. India already captures somewhere between 11–12,000 MW of wind energy, most of which feeds back into various regional grids. SARI/E III laid the groundwork for an expanded emphasis upon wind energy through its important wind energy mapping efforts with NREL. SARI/E IV should continue to support the development of wind energy, perhaps through the establishment of teams that are specialists in wind energy. It can sponsor pre-feasibility studies, and might become involved with a policy dialogues relating to rate structures, economic studies, project finance, power evacuation, grid interaction and stability to help policy makers in countries like Pakistan come to terms with the feasibility of harnessing wind energy. A SWAT team could become a roving service delivery mechanism, to support further developments in wind energy across South Asia.30 Pakistan could become an important target for such assistance (see Appendix 2). SECONDARY RECOMMENDATIONS 1. Mini-grids:31 Over the past thirty years, Nepal has developed significant expertise in the area of micro hydro. SARI/E III has now laid the foundations for a center of excellence for micro hydro, which will formally open its doors sometime early 2011. This is an important initiative and under Phase IV, this support should continue. However, individual micro hydro facilities do little to contribute to addressing regional power needs until they connect together. Today, Nepal has a small number of pilot initiatives underway to connect individual micro hydro facilities into mini-grids (see Appendix 3). This represents an important step forward, for individual villages and, potentially, for the larger power needs of the region. Over time, these mini-grids, when situated in places relatively close to appropriate high-tension power lines, can be connected into the growing national grid that is spreading across parts of southern and central Nepal. These larger grids, in turn, are becoming part of the electrical highway that will allow power to flow between countries. SARI/E IV should support experimentation with mini-grids and their connection into the larger emerging national grid across Nepal. This does several things. It helps to justify SARI/E’s work with micro hydro, because it clearly fits SARI/E’s overarching mandate to provide a South Asian REGIONAL initiative for energy. It supports clean energy. It is also important for Nepalese villages (and potentially villages in Northern 30 The partnership between ADB and SARI/E in advancing wind power projects in South Asia has significant promise in promoting investor/developer and country interests in establishing wind farms in countries like Sri Lanka, Nepal, Bangladesh, Bhutan and Pakistan. SARI/E is being called upon to provide assistance to enable local financing institutions to appraise project proposals, assess risks and negotiate lending terms. 31 A mini-grid is as an independent network that links together several micro hydro systems, or other sources of power. Mini￾grids can operate in an isolated mode and simply connect a few villages together, or in some cases if they are located in the right place, they may be connected to the national grid. A list of eighteen potential mini-grids that merit further exploration in Nepal is given in Appendix 3. 26 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation India, Pakistan, Bhutan, and the mountains of Afghanistan, too). Many of these micro hydro systems now installed in a village operate only a few hours a day. However, if connected into mini￾grids, which are connected in turn into national grids, these villages could begin operating their micro-systems twenty-four hours a day. Preliminary estimates suggest that small villages using such micro-hydro systems could begin earning revenues of 2–3 million Nepalese rupees per year, which could be used to fund various village development schemes and programs. Thus, micro-hydro systems could become an important revenue source for rural mountain villages, as well as a potential additional source for national- and supra-national-level power for South Asia. However, its implementation period is very long—even longer than cross border trade that involves selective integration of national grids of two neighboring countries. 2. NGOs and civil society groups. SARI/E Phase IV should support NGOs and civil society groups to help them understand the energy challenges that confront South Asia. This might involve support for selected Think Tanks that have shown interest and/or expertise in energy-related issues. Some NGOs are concerned with clean energy applications (energy efficiency, renewable energy) and their potentially positive impact on energy security, improving energy access to the under served, and mitigating greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Involving selected NGOs in cross-border exchanges or forums as well as training and orientation to key energy issues should be explored. To impact cross￾border trade and energy markets, SARI/E should support dialogues with groups such as the South Asia Forum of Infrastructural Regulators.32 While it will be challenging, over time it could prove useful to work with civil society and other groups to promote the development of broader coalitions, which in turn can promote understanding of energy issues among the general public, and urge policy makers to move forward with programs supporting enhanced connectivity and clean energy.33 3. Journalism training. Earlier phases of SARI/E worked with journalists to try to orient them to the benefits of using energy more efficiently, the role of clean energy, and the potential for cross-border energy trades. SARI/E IV should resume this initiative, and devote some small percentage of its assistance to working with journalists to promote more public dialogue on the importance of cross￾border and clean energy usage. Work with journalists can be linked with the recommendation above (see #2), involving work with civil society and the NGO communities in key countries, or sub￾regions of South Asia. 4. Small-grants program. During SARI/E Phase III, the small-grants program was somewhat scattered in its approach. For Phase IV, the idea of small grants should be preserved, but the overall number of grants should be reduced and the value or range of prospective sizes should be expanded, along with the expected duration. Grants could be awarded in tranches for longer periods, extending over three years, for example, contingent upon satisfactory performance. They should be awarded strategically. More flexibility should be created for issuing small grants, and they should directly and explicitly support the larger goals and objectives of SARI Energy. They should not become part of a program to make a small number of potential beneficiaries feel good.34 The dollar range per grant should be expanded, so it extends from perhaps $50,000 to $300,000, depending on the particular purpose for which a small grant was being requested. If Phase IV adopts a more decentralized approach, then the D/COPs should be delegated authority to solicit (and perhaps award) small grants.35 32 SARI/E IV’s plans to establish the South Asia Transmission Users Network (SATURN) represents an important step. The D/COPs might also work with the centers of excellence to solicit proposals for small 33 USAID for a period of approximately 10 years in the 1990s supported a project called “Implementing Policy Change,” or IPC. This project worked with various policy change initiatives, and developed a wide range of intervention strategies, which are amply described on USAID websites. Case studies and other materials are also available from the MSI website. 34 The total beneficiaries of the small grants program under Phase III totaled 53,000, or approximately 0.0035% of the population of the subcontinent. 35 Subject to the normal procurement requirements of grants under contracts, of course. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 27 grants. However, it will be important to avoid fissiparous tendencies. Small grants should continue to serve the larger goals of SARI/E IV. They should not become a tail that wags the dog. The advisory board should keep the opportunity costs of issuing and monitoring small grants in mind when approving annual work plans. 5. Enhanced project-level indicators. SARI/E IV should require the implementing partners to propose indicators that go beyond simple output measures. Such indicators, inter alia, should seek quantitative as well as qualitative ways to measure progress towards regional energy integration. These indicators should be linked with SARI/E’s five-year strategic plan, annual work plans, and task orders, and should involve all implementing partners. For Monitoring and evaluation, SARI/E IV should build in a more systematic M&E capacity. For example, SARI’s senior management and the project’s advisory board should commission external monitoring and evaluation activities from time to time during the life of project. Provisions can be built into the institutional contractor’s contract so that evaluations could be carried out by external parties through the project’s task order system. SARI/E Phase IV should be designed to benefit from improved feedback loops. It should also formulate an enhanced performance management plan (PMP), with inputs from all implementing partners. 6. Regional Standards. Standards for improved light bulbs being developed in Sri Lanka should become available to all countries in South Asia. Bangladesh, among others, has expressed a clear need for such standards and for using the Lighting Center of Sri Lanka to conduct product testing. More broadly, South Asia may find a growing need for regional standards for energy products and energy transfers over the next decade. SARI/E IV should keep this potential need in mind as a possible move to promote further regional connectivity. TERTIARY RECOMMENDATIONS 1. Additional Kinds of Energy. While SARI/E has to date looked primarily at the generation and distribution of electrical energy, energy involves more than just electricity. When appropriate, SARI/E IV might consider supporting other kinds of energy development with regional implications. The proposed Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India gas pipeline (TAPI) could provide one such possible opportunity. 2. Trade fairs. India hosts several national-level trade fairs, where private manufacturers set up booths and show off their wares. Phase IV should take advantage of such trade fairs by sending selected representatives from around the region to attend. Such exercises might be combined with work planning sessions or other mechanisms that promote cross-border learning by SARI/E stakeholders. In some cases, vendors from outside India [for example, Nepalese Micro-hydro] might be encouraged to demonstrate their capabilities at such Trade Fairs. 3. Commercialize Nepal’s center of excellence for hydro power and link it to South Asian markets. The Center of Excellence for Micro hydro power in Nepal sees South Asia as a large potential market for its services. SARI/E can play a role in linking Nepalese service providers to South Asian markets, including Afghanistan, the northern parts of India and Pakistan, and perhaps certain remote parts of Bhutan. SARI/E III supported the preparation of a business plan for the center. The ownership of this business plan should reside with the host institution, which is a consortium of local institutions.36 They should be given authority to implement the plan. SARI/E IV should support the process of turning the center of excellence into a real business. 36 Includes Alternative Energy Promotion Centre, Kathmandu University, Nepal Micro hydropower Development Association, etc. 28 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 4. Work with Asian Institute of Technology. South Asia is becoming an economic hub where energy issues play an increasingly important role. The demand for human-resource capacity in the energy sector is growing. To address SARI/E’s long-term goals, a pool of well-trained experts is a prerequisite. SARI/E IV might consider supporting the establishment of a South Asian center for energy technology, which could become a knowledge hub for the region. Such a center could conduct short- and long-term programs, including on-line diploma, and degree-level courses. For Phase IV, it might also be worth nurturing a long-term relationship with other institutions like the Asian Institute of Technology (AIT) in Bangkok. 5. Linkages with Central and Southeast Asia. Since SARI/E is beginning to expand beyond the confines of South Asia, SARI/E IV should include budgetary allocations that support periodic coordination between USG programs that are working in Central Asia and Southeast Asia. The sub￾region of Pakistan and Afghanistan, for example, is already engaged with Central Asia through the Northeast Power System (NEPS) in Afghanistan, which currently imports 300 MW from Uzbekistan. If CASA-1000 goes forward, this would expand the linkages between Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Afghanistan and Pakistan. Other, larger projects are being discussed, including the TAPI project, which was recently signed by three heads of state in Turkmenistan earlier in December 2010. 6. Trans-border water issues and climate change. USAID might explore the growing importance of water and climate change and their potential impact upon South Asia, building upon their experience with trans-border energy work under SARI/E I, II, and III. Trans-border water practices are closely connected with energy usage, as well as population growth, increased agricultural and industrial usage, increasing urbanization, down- stream flooding, and climate change. These all have significant potential to impact the future energy situation across South Asia, as well as larger geostrategic relationships among countries. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 29 APPENDIX 1: SUMMARIES OF IMPACT OF SARI III, BY COUNTRY AFGHANISTAN—SUMMARY OF IMPACT A major part of SARI/Energy’s work in Afghanistan has been for capacity building of the power sector. In this regard 197 persons were trained in 12 courses, 3113 person-days of class time. Initially the topics were broad, but continuing work with the stakeholders in Afghanistan steered the course to skills - based training for DABS personnel. • In Phase 3 of SARI/Energy 246 Afghans participated in 27 workshops, conferences, and courses. • There were three Small Grants awardede in Afghanistan. • NREL conducted wind studies in Afghanistan. This initial data is now being refined through further studies some of which are being funded through other bilateral USAID projects. BANGLADESH—SUMMARY OF IMPACT The Evaluation Team spent 5 days in Bangladesh and interviewed 40 people in the power sector, academia, the press, and the private sector, concerning the impact of SARI/E-3. Many of the interviewees had directly benefited from the program, primarily from training and exchange programs. In Phase 3 of SARI/Energy, 119 Bangladeshis participated in 18 workshops, conferences, and courses. The trainees spent a total of 589 training days, or a bit less than 5 days per person. There were also five Small Grants awarded in Bangladesh. The electric power sector in Bangladesh is both bureaucratic and politicized. Thus, it is difficult for energy professionals to get their ideas implemented. The national regulatory body, BERC, is relatively new, and tariffs are not generally reflective of real costs. Almost every interviewee had “recommendations” for SARI-4, but these primarily concerned improvements in the power sector of Bangladesh. Most recommendations did promote energy efficiency, and renewable energy. In addition, there was interest in attracting private sector investment, and in trading natural gas. There is a government–owned private institution, IDCOL, which facilitates financing of small private-sector projects in renewable energy. One notable achievement resulted from an exchange program under SARI III, in which Bangladeshis visited the Indian Energy Exchange. This was followed by exchange programs at the ministerial level. Subsequently an MOU was signed between Bangladesh and India for an interconnection. ADB has announced funding for part of it. The Power Grid Company has recommended that interconnections for natural gas be pursued as well. DESCO, the distribution company for North Dhaka, credits SARI III with improving their Management Information System. Power Cell, a think tank within the Ministry of Power and Energy (MoPE) was involved in the prefeasibility study by PGCIL for wind power, but they thought that the study was not conducted at sufficiently high altitudes to provide convincing information to investors. They expressed interest in a more comprehensive wind assessment in SARI-4, because they believe that an additional 5 MW of wind power could be connected to the grid. In addition, they expressed interest in solar mapping to explore the feasibility of developing solar energy. The Team visited two academic institutions. One, Bangladesh University of Engineering & Technology (BUET) has a Center for Energy, which has a laboratory for testing and certifying electrical equipment. This department provided a resource person on energy efficient lighting for a program on women in Dhaka. The organization Grameen Shakti is dedicated to the promotion of women in energy; they provided a resource person for a Women-in-Energy program in Pakistan. The team interviewed a journalist, who is the founder and Editor of Energy & Power, a fortnightly magazine. He has been involved with the SARI program since 2000, attending workshops and study tours in every phase. He spoke about the need for outreach through print and electronic media. He praised SARI-2 for 30 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation introducing a program for energy journalists, which was helpful in networking with journalists from the region. He said that SARI programs have been very useful for constructive dissemination of information, and he has reported much of this in his magazine. His recommendations for SARI-4 focused on expanded outreach, including: (a) reviving programs for energy journalists, in order to curb negative reporting; (b) mobilizing NGOs; (c) educating MPs, ministers, teachers/academicians; (d) including provincial people from NE states of India in forums and discussions; and (e) continuing to publish SARI News. BHUTAN—SUMMARY OF IMPACT • In Phase 3 of SARI/Energy 21 Bhutanese participated in 11 workshops, conferences, and courses. • One Small Grant was awarded in Bhutan • NREL conducted wind studies, which are now being reviewed. MALDIVES—SUMMARY OF IMPACT Maldives has around 200 inhabited islands. The country depends entirely on imported fuels to meet their energy needs. Most power generation is concentrated in Male, the capital city. SARI impacts are given below: • A submarine cable interconnection prefeasibility study has been carried out in 2009-10 to provide a techno-economic analysis of interconnecting power generation facilities involving different islands. The tender documents are now under preparation to implement some of the recommendations from this study. • 28 persons from local utilities have attended training over a period of 174 days at a total cost of US$ 114,409. This participation has improved technical awareness on issues concerning power generation, transmission, distribution, and renewable energy technologies. NEPAL—SUMMARY OF IMPACT Nepal has been an active participant in the SARI/E Phase III program. SARI III supported Nepal by providing various training opportunities: 77 people participated in various training activities. SARI also supported the establishment of a Regional Center of Excellence in Micro-hydro (RCEMH), and supported 12 small grant projects. The impacts from the SARI/E activities -- some of which are direct and some are indirect – are described below: • India and Nepal signed a “Minute of Meeting” of stakeholders on power trade cooperation between Dalkebar (Nepal) and Muzaffarpur (India) Cross Border double circuit Transmission Line Project on November 8, 2009 in Kathmandu, Nepal. • The Regional Center of Excellence in Micro Hydro (RCEMH) was launched in April 2009. AEPC has been promoting mini-grid formation among selected pilot mini/micro-hydro schemes, seeking to make it feasible for them to become connected to the national power grid. • The government and utility officials indicated that training provided by SARI/E was instrumental in enhancing their knowledge in power trade negotiations and how to enter into a dialogue with their Indian counterparts. The technical professionals felt that they were able to provide better information to politician for decision making in cross border power trade issues because of SARI’s on-going support. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 31 • As a part of Small Grant Program, SARI/Energy’s support of S3IDF in Nepal directly led to the design and approval of an Asian Development Bank (ADB) TA (technical assistance) project, “Increasing Access to Energy in Rural Nepal” (Project # 43299- 01). The ADB project is designed to implement S3IDF's social merchant bank (SMB) approach in Nepal, with an initial focus on an improved water mill program. ADB funding for the project is USD 933,000. The Nepalese government’s contribution is USD 170,000, The project includes a USD 500,000 revolving fund. Much of ADB's documentation for the project draws directly from SARI/Energy’s work and the project would not have otherwise been launched as ADB and other major donors are generally not in position to underwrite design efforts for innovative pro-poor clean energy projects. Following a competitive procurement, ADB selected S3IDF to assist it in the ADB project.37 • NREL conducted preliminary wind survey studies in Nepal. A total of 12 projects were supported as a part of Small Grants Program, for which a total of US$233,475 was provided. A total of more than 3,000 individuals were direct beneficiaries of the small grants, with an average cost of US $ 73 per direct beneficiary. PAKISTAN—SUMMARY OF IMPACT Some activities in Pakistan are on-going as part of SARI/Energy’s program. SARI III supported Pakistan through training: -- 23 people attended various training and exchange programs, in addition to those who received training by NREL. Pakistan directly benefited from advisory services related to the CASA-1000 initiative. It also received 2 small grants. Further direct and indirect impacts from the SARI/E activities are described below: Pakistan received technical, financial, and legal advisory support for its participation in CASA-1000. Under this framework, concessional, power purchase and transmission service agreements were analyzed, a techno￾economic feasibility study was prepared, and a final model was drafted. • A total of US$122,871 was provided for training for 23 participants from Pakistan. • Pakistan also participated in SAWIE and various Executive Exchange Programs. • Two projects were supported as a part of Small Grant Program, for which a total of US $43,603 in grants was provided. A total of 200 people were direct beneficiaries of the programs at an average cost of US$218 per direct beneficiary. • NREL conducted important wind survey studies, which are now under technical review. SRI LANKA—SUMMARY OF IMPACT Sri Lanka has benefitted substantially from SARI III. Impacts are briefly described below: • A prefeasibility study was done under SARI and follow up activities have now resulted in an MOU between the Governments of India and Sri Lanka to undertake a technical feasibility for establishing viability for a high capacity transmission power link (HCTPL). • The SARI training on software for power simulators for Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) engineers has benefited both the operation and maintenance of power plants • The training of CEB’s accountants has also improved the Management Information Systems (MIS) in the Financial Departments. • 37 The ADB project is now underway and details are available at: http://pid.adb.org/pid/TaView.htm?projNo=43299&seqNo=01&typeCd=2. 32 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation • The Power Ministry’s participation in SARI’s clean coal technologies programs helped achieve capacity additions that are helping to meet increased power demands in the country. A 3 x 300 MW coal based power plant has been planned for the western coast and the first phase of 300 MW is likely to be commissioned in 2011. Another 2 x 250 MW + 1 x 500 MW coal based power plants are proposed by NTPC, in India on the eastern coast. • The wind power resource mapping exercise by NREL carried out under SARI helped the country’s public utility understand the implications of grid stability for interconnections. This study has now allowed the utility to install 30 MW wind power plants. Another 60 MW is under construction. The ministry hopes to add 10% additional capacity from renewables. They have initiated a World Bank sponsored technical study to assess the grid’s capability to take >90 MW of additional wind power. On the advice of SARI technical experts, the Power ministry has set up a Sustainable Energy Authority (SEA) in 2007 to oversee renewable energy and energy efficiency activities. • SARI helped set up a Centre of Excellence in Colombo as a Regional Centre for Lighting (RCL) in 2009 under the newly formed Sustainable Energy Authority (SEA). The University of Moratuwa, the only technical university in Sri Lanka is closely associated with RCL and SEA in implementing its activities. The knowledge partner for this venture is the Lighting Research Centre at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, New York, USA. • SARI has provided repeated opportunities to officials in the utilities and other energy experts in the renewable energy sector to network with their counterparts in member countries and receive technical support and advice as needed. • Tetra Tech trained a total of 246 persons for a total of 1095 person days of training at a cost of US$784,548. In addition, some Sri Lankans have also visited Spain and the Philippines under the USEA exchange program. • Four projects were approved under the small grants program with USAID contribution of US$66,432 and a matching contribution from the awardees of US$78,784 bringing the total project cost to US$145,216. INDIA—SUMMARY OF IMPACT The SARI project is based in Delhi. The institutional partner, Tetra Tech, has an office in Gurgaon, from which it administers activities in the eight SARI countries. India is learning how to be a donor country. As such, it serves more as a resource for technical assistance for the SARI/Energy project than a recipient country. Tetra Tech has identified 33 Indian entities that have contributed to SARI/Energy programs. [See appendix 4.] In Phase III, Indians participated in 10 workshops, conferences, and courses. Sixteen Small Grant Programs were awarded in India. The Women’s Institute for Sustainable Energy Research (WISER) was created by SARI/Energy in partnership with the Energy Management Center of the Government of Kerala, Trivandrum. It is discussed separately in the body of the report. The Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) was established in June 2008 as a private body to provide a platform for trading electricity; it is also a platform for trading clean energy, from producers that have been certified by the CERC as renewable. It has 725 registered members and is funded by registration fees, annual fees, and deposits, in addition to service charges. It trades about 1.5-2% of the power generation of the country, which represents 85% of the market share of power traded over private power exchanges. It also trades renewable energy certificates (RECs) based on carbon credits, according to requirements initiated by the GoI. It believes that SARI III has increased its business. It looks forward to further increase in business under SARI IV through the development of cross-border training in the South Asia region. NPTI is a not for profit training center under the Ministry of Power, with its own campus. Under SARI III, NPTI provided training to Afghan students in customized courses, as subcontractors to PA Consulting. They SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 33 also provided one course in Afghanistan. They credit SARI with the growth of their facilities. They look forward to further expansion in SARI IV, because they think SARI will do more to promote communications with other South Asian countries. ELCOMA is an association of lighting manufacturers. Their membership represents about 80% of the lighting market, and they are supported by member dues. They establish quality standards for light bulbs. Lighting accounts for 18% of energy consumption. They credit SARI’s thrust in energy efficiency for an increase in the business of their members. In 2005, they sold less than 25M CFL bulbs. In addition to SARI’s initiatives, they promoted CFL themselves, using print and electronic media, and they provided guarantees. The result was successive yearly increases of total sales of 300M; they expect to sell 450M this year, which may start to strain their production capacity of 500M. They also credit the regional thrust of SARI, which has resulted in the increase in their percentage of exports of CFL, from 2% in 2005 to 12% currently. SARI has increased the demand for exports to Sri Lanka. Pakistan, too, would like to import bulbs from India, but they are prevented by political differences. Nevertheless, Pakistan has developed an understanding of the importance of quality control. 34 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation APPENDIX 2: LIST OF POSSIBLE SARI IV ACTIVITIES FOR PAKISTAN USAID/Pakistan has proposed a possible buy-in to SARI, to help the Mission handle some of the developmental issues that transcend the geographical borders of Pakistan itself. Such potential activities are important for Pakistan, since securing suitable sources of energy may require the country to reach into Afghanistan and beyond into Central Asia. A preliminary listing of possible initiatives that USAID/Pakistan might find it useful to support through an expanded SARI/Energy Phase IV program is given below. USAID Pakistan – Possible Buy-ins for SARI Initiatives: 1. Further Wind Resource Assessment to be taken to next step to conduct a bankable study of the Wind Resource Assessment for sites in Excellent Category for Afghanistan and Pakistan. As a background the supply/demand of Electric Power status in Pakistan and Afghanistan. • Identify sites most suitable for grid connection with load balancing requirement. • Identify the site for off grid development should also be identified. The data is available on NREL homer toolkit for hybrid least cost power generation for off grid communities. 2. Advisory Services for TAPI Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan and India gas pipeline. The consultant will verify the gas reserves potential working with GoT and Gasprom. The Advisors will be for Turkmenistan, Afghanistan and Pakistan. 3. Advisory Services for Cross Border Energy Trade between countries. Currently it is CASA-1000 and be prepared for energy export from India to Pakistan moving to a goal of a South Asia – Central Asia Grid. 4. Identify communities for off grid electrification in the contiguous region of Afghanistan and Pakistan. • Conduct a study Assessment the Mini/micro Hydel assessment for these communities and have data available in the NREL Homer Toolkit. • Identify two communities in each county (Pakistan, Afghanistan) for a pilot. Conduct a series of application workshops to leverage hydel success in Nepal and Solar experience in Bangladesh -- Grameen Shakti. • The off grid electrification will run simulations on Homer Toolkit for least cost power options and finalize the optimum mix of wind/solar/hydel or other sources. • Conduct Public and Private sector workshops to build capacity in off grid electrification on a sustainable basis. 5. Electric Sector Reform Executive Exchanges and Workshops to familiarize Pakistani Power Sector professionals in Best practices, successes and lessons learnt in South Asia –particularly India. These will be conducted in travel logistic friendly venue – i.e. Dubai. 6. Biodiesel Executive Exchanges and Workshops to familiarize Pakistani and Afghan Public and Private sector personnel in Best practices, successes and lessons learnt in South Asia –particularly India. These will be conducted in travel logistic friendly venue – i.e. Dubai. In addition, provide Advisory services for application to specific region and facilitate application literature and material and equipment found most suitable. Provide a local Biodiesel expertise for assistance in applications 7. Solar Energy Executive Exchanges and Workshops to familiarize Pakistani and Afghan Public and Private sector personnel in Best practices, successes and lessons learnt in South Asia –particularly Bangladesh. In addition, provide Advisory services for application to specific region and facilitate application literature and material and equipment found most suitable. Provide a local solar expertise for assistance in applications. 8. Mini/Micro Hydel Executive Exchanges and Workshops to familiarize Pakistani and Afghan Public and Private sector personnel in Best practices, successes and lessons learnt in South Asia –particularly Nepal. In addition, provide Advisory services for application to specific region and facilitate application literature and material and equipment found most suitable. Provide a local Mini/Micro Hydel expertise for assistance in applications. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 35 36 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation APPENDIX 3: ILLUSTRATIVE LIST OF POSSIBLE MINI-GRID MICRO-HYDRO SITES IN NEPAL SN District Number of Sites Combined Capacity (kW) 1 Bajura 4 259 2 Doti 4 121 3 Achham (Cluster 1) 5 146 4 Achham (Cluster 2) 6 228 5 Bhajhang 10 250 6 Dailekh 5 66 7 Kavrepalanchkow 6 205 8 Sindhupalchowk (Cluster 1) 7 183 9 Sindhupalchowk (cluster 2) 6 84 10 Dolakha 6 183 11 Dhading (Cluster 1) 7 93 12 Dhading (Cluster 2) 4 70 13 Myagdi 10 201 14 Taplejung 6 328 15 Panchthar (Cluster 1) 9 139 16 Panchthar (Cluster 2) 6 206 17 Kaski 3 65 18 Baglung 5 235 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 37 38 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation APPENDIX 4: A LIST OF INDIAN ORGANIZATIONS WORKING WITH SARI/ENERGY A list of Indian organizations that have contributed to SARI/Energy programs is given below: • Andhra Pradesh Central Power Distribution Company Limited (APCPDCL), Hyderabad • Andhra Pradesh Transmission Company (APTRANSCO), Hyderabad • Bangalore Electric Supply Company (BESCOM), Banagluru • BSES Rajdhani, New Delhi • BSES Yamuna, New Delhi • Calcutta Electric Supply Company (CESC), Kokata • Central Electricity Authority (CEA), New Delhi • Center for Wind Energy Technology (C-WET) • Central Institute of Rural Electrification (CIRE), Hyderabad • Central Institute of Mining and Fuel Research (CIMFR), Dhanbad • Central Power Research Institute (CPRI), Bengaluru • Electric Lamp and Component Manufacturer’s Association (ELCOMA), New Delhi • Energy Management Center (EMC) of Kerala, Trivandrum • Essun Reyroyalle, Hosur • India Electrical Equipment Manufacturer’s Association (IEEMA), Delhi and Mumbai • India Energy Exchange (IEX), New Delhi • Institute of Coal Management (ICM), Dhanbad • Institute of Wind Energy Research (InWEA), Delhi • Kotson Transformers, Ltd., Agra • Larson and Tubro, Coimbatore and Ooty • Mercados EMA SA of India, New Delhi • Moser Baer, New Delhi • National Power Training Institute (NPTI), Faridabad and Bangalore • National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC), New Delhi and Noida • Power Grid India Limited (PGCIL), New Delhi and Gurgaon • Power Trading Corporation (PTC), New Delhi • Punjab Energy Development Agency (PEDA), Chandigarh • Secure Meters, Gurgaon and Udaipur • Suzlon Energy, Ltd., Coimbatore and Pondicherry • Transformers and Rectifiers, Limited, Ahmedabad • Vijai Electricals, Limited, Hyderabad • Dakshinanchal Vidyut Vitaran Nigan, Limited, Agra • Yadav Measurements Pvt Ltd, Udaipur SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 39 APPENDIX 5: PEOPLE CONSULTED AND/OR INTERVIEWED Team 1 Last Name First Name Designation Organization Address Cell Phone Telephone Fax Email Nepal 1 Upadhy aya Anup Kumar Joint Secretary Ministry of Energy Singh Durbar, Kathmandu 977 9841531075 - - - 2 Upadhy aya Deepak Kumar General Manager Nepal Electricity Authority Ratna Park, Kathmandu - 977-1-4153034 977 -1- 4153079 man@man.org.np 3 Pandey Ram Chandra Director Nepal Electricity Authority Ratnapark, Kathmandu - 977-1-4153034 977 -1- 4153079 rcpandey@mos.co m.np 4 Buda Sher Bahadur Executive Director Nepal Micro￾hydropower Development Association Teku, Kathmandu - 977 1 4231024 nmhda@nt c.net.np 977 1 4231024 5 Devkot a Krishna Prasad Member Secretary Nepal Micro￾hydropower Development Association Teku, Kathmandu - 977 9851013375 977 1 4231024 nmhda@ntc.net.np 6 Koirala Janak Treasurer Nepal Micro￾hydropower Development Association Teku, Kathmandu - 977 1 4231024 977 1 4231024 nmhda@ntc.net.np 7 Shresth a Subarna Das Chairperson Independent Power Producer Association Nepal Heritaz Plaza, Kamaladi, Kathmandu 977 98510 49432 977 1 4240975 977 1 4240975 info@ippan.org.np 8 Gangol Pradeep Executive Director Independent Power Producer Association Nepal Heritaz Plaza, Kamaladi, Kathmandu - 977 1 4240975 977 1 4240975 info@ippan.org.np 40 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 9 Neupa ne Apar Independent Power Producer Association Nepal ` 977 98510 93163 977-1-552 1864 977-1- 5539380 Apar.neupane@snp ower.com 10 Chaula gain Narayan Executive Director Alternative Energy Promotion Centre Khumaltar, Lalitpur 977 9851111006 977 1 5539391 977 1 5539390 Narayan.chaulagain @aepc.gov.np 11 Poudel Bharat Coordinator Center of Excellent Micro￾hydro, AEPC Khumaltar 977 9851108540 977 1 5539391 977 1 5539390 Bharat.poudel@aep c.gov.np 12 Ghimir e Dilli Chairperson National Association of Community Electricity Users￾Nepal Pulchowk, Lalitpur 9841 506488 977-1-5009152 977-1- 5009152 dilli@naceun.org.np 13 Sharma Puja Engineer National Association of Community Electricity Users￾Nepal Pulchowk, Lalitpur - 977-1-5009152 977-1- 5009152 pooja@ naceun.org.np 14 Adhika ri Krishan Senior Corresponden ce National News Agency Singh Durbar 9841212585 - - - 15 Timilsin a Netra TV/Radio Reporter - - - - - - 16 Dawadi Shiva Reporter Rajdhani Daiky - - - - - 17 Thapa Bhola Dean Kathmandu University Dhulikhel - 977-011- 661399 977-011- 661443 bhola@ku.edu.np 18 Chhetri Bhupendr a Head of Department Kathmandu University Dhulikhel - 977-011- 661399 977-011- 661443 bbs@ku.edu.np 19 Baral Bibek Asst. Professor Kathmandu University Dhulikhel 977-011- 661399 977-011- 661443 bivek@ku.edu.np 20 Pradha n Gyanendr a Lal Executive Chairperson Hydro Solutions Syombhu, Kathmandu - 977-1-4434003 977-1- 4672601 gyanendra@hydro￾solutions.org 21 Shresth a Chij Kumar Director, World Education Kathmandu & Bandipur, Nepal SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 41 Last Name First Name Designation Organization Address Cell Phone Telephone Fax Email Pakistan 1 Gringer Jeffrey D. Economic Officer Embassy of the United States of America Diplomatic Enclave Ramna￾5, Islamabad. 92-301- 8544890 92-51-208- 2956 - gringerjd@state.gov 2 Qazi Tariq Ex- Chief Executive National Transmission & Dispatch Company Ltd. 414 WAPDA house, Lahore 0333- 4088111 - - - 3 Memon Muhamma d Yousaf Former Additional Secretary Ministry of Water and Power Government of Pakistan, Islamabad - - - ymemon_pk@yahoo.com y_memon2001@hotmail.com 4 Masud Jamil (Dr.) Director Hagler Bailly Pakistan (Pvt.) Ltd. 39 Street 3, E7, Islamabad 44000 +(92345)85 5 3015 +(9251)26 10200-07 +(9251)26 1 0208-09 jmasud@haglerbailly.com.pk 5 Qureshi Manzar Naeem Division Manager, Energy Programs Hagler Bailly Pakistan (Pvt.) Ltd. 39 Street 3, E7, Islamabad 44000 92 345 300 +(9251)26 10200-07 +(9251)26 1 0208-09 mqureshi@haglerbailly.com.p k 6 Gembol Michael Energy Adviser Power Distribution Improvement Program, IRG www.pdip.pk Islamabad 92 336 513 5338 - - mgembol@pdip.pk 7 Ghane m Joseph Energy Adviser Power Distribution Improvement Program, IRG Islamabad 92 336 513 5334 - - ighanem@pdip.pk 8 Hussian Syed Country Coordinator SARI/E Islamabad - - - - sfhussain@dsi.net.pk 9 Masood Khalid Retired Senior Civil Serv’t, NWFP Peshawar, Pakistan 42 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation Last Name First Name Designation Organization Address Cell Phone Telephone Fax Email Afghanistan 1 Farouq Ghulam Deputy Minister Ministry of Energy and Water Darul-Aman Road, Kabul - - - 2 Shams Jalil Chief Executive Officer Da Afganistan Breshna Sherkat Chaman Houzouri, Kabul - - - - 3 Hairam Gulla Jan Chief Operating Officer Da Afganishtan Breshna Sherkat Chaman Houzouri - - - - 4 Alami Mirwais Chief Commercial Officer Da Afganishtan Breshna Sherkat Chaman Houzouri +93 (0) 786860 000 - - Mirwas.alami@dabs.af 5 Wardak Abdul Rasool Country Coordinator SARI/E Kabul USAID, Kabul - - - - 6 Abawi Mehboba Community Development and Gender Officer UN/FAO UN/FAO Ministry of Agriculture +93 706 169 813 - - Iwl.afghanistan@yahoo.com 7 Azimi Ali. M. Chief of Party Afghanistan Clean Energy Program USAID/IRG, Kabul +93 (0) 797 808 806 - - aazimi@acepaf.com. 8 Keith David Vice President Tetra Tech 4601 North Fairfax Drive, Arlington, USA 703 380 2582 703 387 2127 703 387 2160 David.keith@tetratech.com 9 Piawera y Hayatullah Tetra Tech 0799340 973 0786 191 146 - Piawery1@yahoo.com 10 Rahimi Hosay Project Manager Geres (energy NGO) Afghanistan H# 2 St# 2, Dehbori, Sara-e￾Ghazani, Kabul +93 (0) 700 1387 45 - - h.rahini@geres.eu SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 43 Last Name First Name Designation Organization Address Cell Phone Telephone Fax Email Afghanistan 11 Ramin Mohamma d Riaz Head of Construction Department Geres Afghanistan H# 2 St# 2, Dehbori, Sara-e￾Ghazani, Kabul +93 (0) 799 19 70 83 - - r.rameen@geres.eu 12 Breuil Owen Contry Director Geres Afghanistan H# 2 St# 2, Dehbori, Sara-e￾Ghazani, Kabul +93 (0) 799 118 304 - - afghanistan@geres.eu 13 Arya Ahmad Saboor Energy Unit/Head Engineering Department National Solidarity Program, Ministry of Rural Rehabilitation and Development, Kabul Tashkilat Street, Darul Aman Road, Kabul +93 (0)700 281 216 - - eng_arya@yahoo.com 14 Javid Sultan Ali Head of Energy for Rural Development for Afghanistan National Area Based Development Program Ministry of Rural Rehabilitation and Development,M RRD Building, Darulaman Compound, Kabul +93 (0) 799 03 64 56 - - sultan.javid@mrrd.gov.af 15 Durrani Nasir Dep Minister Ministry of Mines 0700 258 130 NDurrani2 0@ hotmail.co m;NDurra ni@mom.g ov.af 16 Shariff Mohamma d S. Associate Prof. Kabul University Jamal Mina, Kabul +93 (0)700 29 32 45 - - sharifimohd@gmail.com 17 Neuling R. Bruce Economic Officer Embassy of the United States of America Kabul +93 (0) 799 797 538 +93 (0) 700 108 364 - neulingBX@state.gov 18 Hansen John F. Director, Energy and Water Division U.S. Agency for International Development East Compound, US Embassy, Great Masood Road, Kabul +93 (0) 793 550 128 - - jhansen@usaid.gov 44 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation Last Name First Name Designation Organization Address Cell Phone Telephone Fax Email Afghanistan 19 Nims Matthew Deputy Division Chief, Water and Energy U.S. Agency for International Development East Compound, US Embassy, Great Masood Road, Kabul +93 (0) 799 117 674 - - mnims@usaid.gov 20 Krishna n G. Krish Senior Energy specialist U.S. Agency for International Development 1325 G. Street N.W. Suite 400 Washington DC - (202) 219 0238 - gkrishnan@usaid.gov 21 Rahimi Azizullah Director Rural Enterprise and Energy Department Ministry of Rural Reconstruction and Rural Development - - - rahimi.azizullah@gmail.com. 22 Assefy Homayou n Sardar Retired diplomat Karte Char 0799 401 401 0707 401 401 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 45 Last Name First Name Designation Organization Address Cell Phone Telephone Fax Email India 1 Padmanaban S Director, Senior Energy Adviser SARI/E, Senior Energy Advisor USAID, American Embassy, Chanakyapuri - 2419 8469 2419 8454 spadmanaban@usaid.gov 2 Thomas Mercy K. Regional Project Coordinator SARI/E USAID, American Embassy, Chanakyapuri - 91 11 2419 8567 91 11 2419 8454 methomas@usaid.gov 3 Bhutad Amol Program Management Specialist SARI/E USAID, American Embassy, Chanakyapuri - 91 11 2419 8693 91 11 2419 8454 abhutad@usaid.gov 4 Samal Chandan K. Project Development Specialist USAID USAID, American Embassy, Chanakyapuri - 91 11 2419 8038 91 11 2419 8454 csamal@usaid.gov 5 Lal Charushila Program Development Specialist USAID USAID, American Embassy, Chanakyapuri - 91 11 2419 8399 91 11 2419 8612 clal@usaid.gov 6 Range Shubh Kumar Project Ccoordinator Social Impact Inc. India - 91 9810999918 - - shubhndavid@yahoo.com 7 Sharma Parul Senior Manager Research Sambodhi Research and Communicatio n Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi Lajpat Nagar, New Delhi 9198119014 11 parul@sambodhi.co.in 8 Soto M. Erin Mission Director USAID, American Ambasssy, - 91 11 2419 8400 91 11 2419 8454 esoto@usaid.gov 9 Warfield Elizabeth Deputy Mission Director USAID American Ambasssy, Chanakyapuri - 91 11 2419 8400 91 11 2419 8454 - 10 Hajny Michael Chief of Party Tetra Tech DLF Cyber City, Gurgaon, Haryana 91 9650811660 91 124 4737400 91 124 4737444 Michael.hajny@tetratech.co m 11 Pattanaik Sabyasachi Senior Technical Tetra Tech DLF Cyber City, Gurgaon, Haryana 91 9818066004 91 124 4737400 91 124 4737444 Sabyasachi.pattanaik@tetrat ech.com 46 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation Advisor 12 Wells John Bruce Clean Energy Access Adviser Tetra Tech DLF Cyber City, Gurgaon, Haryana 91 99108 80918 91 124 4737400 91 124 4737444 Johnbruce.wells@tetratech. com 13 Mongia Nandita Principal Technical Advisor Tetra Tech DLF Cyber City, Gurgaon, Haryana - 91 124 4737400 91 124 4737444 Nandita.mongia@tetratech. com 14 Kathuria Vinita Manager Outreach and Events Tetra Tech DLF Cyber City, Gurgaon, Haryana - 91 124 4737400 91 124 4737444 Vinita.kathuria@tetratech.c om 15 Jain Ajay Technical Specialist, Energy Consultant Tetra Tech DLF Cyber City, Gurgaon, Haryana 91 9717623555 91 124 4737400 91 124 4737444 Ajay.jain@tetratech.com 16 Bhati N. K. Managing Director Yadav Measurements Private Limited RIICO Bhamashah Industrial Area, Udaipur - 0294 2650127 0294- 2650129 Nandkishore.bhati@ymllabs .com 17 Vyas Balmukun da Asst. General Manager Yadav Measurements Private Limited RIICO Bhamashah Industrial Area, Udaipur - 0294 2650127 0294- 2650129 Balmukunda.vyas@ymllabs.c om 18 Joshi Manish Manager￾Marketing Yadav Measurements Private Limited RIICO Bhamashah Industrial Area, Udaipur - 0294 2650127 0294- 2650129 Manish.joshi2@ymllabs.com SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 47 Last Name First Name Designation Organization Address Cell Phone Telephone Fax Email Bhutan 1 Wagdi Yeshi Director General Depart of Energy, Ministry of Economic Affairs Post Box 106 Thimpu. 17640974 +975 2 322505 +975 2 323555 +975 2 335122 ywangdi@druknet.bt 2 Choeda Ngawang Deputy Executive Engineer PCD, Depart of Energy, Ministry of Economic Affairs Post Box 106 Thimpu. - +975 2 322505 +975 2 323555 +975 2 335122 - 3 Gyeltshen Mewang Head/Chief Engineer Renewable Energy Division, Depart of Energy, Ministry of Economic Affairs Post Box 106 Thimpu. - +975 2 322505 +975 2 323555 +975 2 335122 - 4 Tshering Nima Officiating Chief Executive Officer Bhutan Electricity Authority - - - - - 5 Choden Deki Chief Tariff Officer Bhutan Electricity Authority - - - - - 6 Yonzen Bharat Tamang Managing Director Bhutan Power Corporation Ltd. P.O.Box 580, Thimpu - (+975) 2 336082 (+975) 2 331988 bharattamang@bpc.bt 7 Wangmo Rinchen Conservation and Development Coordinator Royal Society for Protection of Nature P. O. Box 325 Thimpu +975 17604192 +975 2 322056 +975 2 323189 rwangmo@rspnbhutan.org 48 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation Team II: Sri Lanka, Maldives, Kerala, India, & Bangladesh Date Time Name Organization Location 10-Nov 10:00 Mr Mike Ellis Former COP, SARI/E, Phase III Tetratech Arlington, USA 15:00 Dr Russel DeLucia Chairman [by phone] S3IDF Boston, USA 12-Nov 9:00 David Renne Program Director NREL Shannon Cowlin SARI Project Manager NREL 12:00 John Hammond USEA Sarah Blandford USEA 15-Nov 10:00 S Padmanaban Director USAID SARI E Regional office US Embassy, Delhi India Charanshila Lal Program Development Specialist USAID/ India US Embassy, Delhi India Amol Bhutad Program Development Specialist USAID SARI E Regional office US Embassy, Delhi India Chandan K Samal Program Development Specialist USAID/ India US Embassy, Delhi India Mercy K Thomas Regional Project Coordinator USAID SARI E Regional office US Embassy, Delhi India Elizabeth Warfield Dep Mission Director, USAID US Embassy, Delhi India 16-Nov 11:00 Ms M Erin Soto Mission Director USAID/ India US Embassy, Delhi India 13:00 Mr Michael Hanjy COP, SARI/Energy, Phase III Tetratech Gurgoan, Haryana, India Mr. Sabyasachi Pattanaik Sr Technical Advisor, SARI III Tetratech Gurgoan, Haryana, India 17-Nov 9:00 Mr John Bruce Wells Clean Energy Access Advisor, SARI III Tetratech Gurgoan, Haryana, India 12:00 Dr Nandita Mongia Principal Technical Advisor, SARI III Tetratech Gurgoan, Haryana, India 15:00 Ms Vinita Kotharia Manager, Outreach & Events, SARI III Tetratech Gurgoan, Haryana, India 18-Nov 12:00 Mr Shyam Sujan Secretary General ELCOMA New Delhi, India Mr HS Mamak Advisor ELCOMA New Delhi, India 12:00 Mr JSS Rao Principal Director NPTI Faridabad, Haryana, India Ajay Jain Technical Specialist – Energy Consultant, SARI Tetra Tech Ms Bhakti Bhowmik Specialist – Outreach & Events, SARI III Tetra Tech Ritesth Kumar Singh Senior Associate, SARI III Tetra Tech 19 Nov Mr SK Choudhary Director (Corporate Planning) NPTI Faridabad, Haryana, India Ms Manju Senior Faculty NPTI Faridabad, Haryana, India 15:00 Mr Rajesh K Mendiratta Vice President - Business Development Indian Energy Exchange New Delhi, India SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 49 25-Nov 9:00 Ms Ramani K Nissanka Director Regional Centre for Lighting Colombo, Sri Lanka 11:00 Mr Upali Daranagama Additional Secretary (Planning & Development) Ministry of Power & Energy Colombo, Sri Lanka 15:00 Mr Damitha Kumarsinghe Director General Public Utilities Commission of Sri Lanka Colombo, Sri Lanka 26-Nov 9:00 Ms Kamani Jayasekara Chief Engineer (Transmission & Planning) Ceylon Electricity Board Colombo, Sri Lanka 10:00 Mr WDAS Perera Finance Manager Ceylon Electricity Board Colombo, Sri Lanka Mr Tissa Kumara Liyanage Addl Finance Manager Ceylon Electricity Board Colombo, Sri Lanka 11:30 Mr Chandana Samarasinghe Director General SL Sustainable Energy Authority Colombo, Sri Lanka Mr MMR Pathmasiri Director (Energy Management) SL Sustainable Energy Authority Colombo, Sri Lanka 15:00 Mr Bandula Chandrasekara Programs Coordinator Energy Forum Colombo, Sri Lanka 27-Nov 11:00 Mr Damitha Samarakoon Programs Manager Practical Action Colombo, Sri Lanka 17:30 Dr Rahula Attalage Director (PG Studies) University of Moratuwa Colombo, Sri Lanka 29-Nov 8:30 Ms Priyanka Dissanayake CCO SARI/E USAID/Sri Lanka Colombo, Sri Lanka Ms Salma S Peiris Sr Program Management Specialist USAID/Sri Lanka Colombo, Sri Lanka 11:00 Mr M Lakshitha Weerasinghe Chief Engineer (System Operations) Ceylon Electricity Board Colombo, Sri Lanka Mr J Nanthakumar Chief Engineer (Operations Audit) Ceylon Electricity Board Colombo, Sri Lanka 13:00 Mr Harin Malwatte Secretary General Ceylon Chamber of Commerce Colombo, Sri Lanka Ms Gayathri Gunaruwan Sr Economist -Economic Intelligence Unit Ceylon Chamber of Commerce Colombo, Sri Lanka 15:00 Dr Tilak Siyambalapitiya Director Resource Management Consultants P Ltd Colombo, Sri Lanka 16:00 Ms Priyanhti Fernando Executive Director Centre for Poverty Analysis Colombo, Sri Lanka 1-Dec 10:00 Mr Mohammed Rasheed Chief Executive Officer STELCO Male, Maldives Mr Ahmed Niyaz Director STELCO Male, Maldives Mr Ahmed Iqbal Senior Engineer STELCO Male, Maldives Mr Azzam Ibrahim Senior Engineer STELCO Male, Maldives 11:30 Mr Hussain Niyaaz Additional Secretary Min of Foreign Affairs Male, Maldives 13:30 Mr Akram Assistant Engineer Min of Housing & Environment Male, Maldives Mr Hassan Project Coordinator Min of Housing & Environment Male, Maldives Ms Fathima Moosa 1.1.1 Assistant Engineer 1.1.2 Min of Housing & Environment 1.1.3 Male, Maldives 50 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 1-Dec Mr Asif Environment Analyst Min of Housing & Environment Male, Maldives 15:00 Mr Ali Hassan Managing Director Northern Utilities Male, Maldives Mr Ahmed Shamoon Director (Finance) Northern Utilities Male, Maldives 2-Dec 16:00 Prof VK Damodharan Vice Chairman, EMC Dept of Power, Government of Kerala Thiruvanthapuram, India Mr KM Dharesan Unnithan Director, EMC Dept of Power, Government of Kerala Thiruvanthapuram, India 3-Dec 10:30 Ms RV Jaya Padma Regional Director, WISER Dept of Power, Government of Kerala Thiruvanthapuram, India 15:00 Mr Paul Antony IAS Principal Secretary Dept of Power, Government of Kerala Thiruvanthapuram 5-Dec 8:30 Mr Dennis Sharma Dep Mission Director USAID/Bnagladesh Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Mark Visocky Actg Director, Economic Growth Office USAID/ Bangladesh Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr AKD Sher Mohammad Khan CCO SARI/E USAID/ Bangladesh Dhaka, Bangladesh 12:00 Mr Mahboob Sarwar-E￾Kainat Director General Power Cell, Power Division Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Amzad Hossain Director (Commercial) Power Cell, Power Division Dhaka, Bangladesh 13:30 Prof Shahidul I Khan Dept of Electrical & Electronics Engg Bangladesh Univ of Engg & Technology (BUET) Dhaka, Bangladesh 14:30 Md Abdus Sobhan Managing Director Dhaka Power Distribution Company Ltd Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr FM Faridul Hoque Director (Operations) Dhaka Power Distribution Company Ltd Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr ASM Seraj Uddullah Director (Engineering) Dhaka Power Distribution Company Ltd Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Mohammad Iqbal General Manager (CP&S) Dhaka Power Distribution Company Ltd Dhaka, Bangladesh 15:30 Mr Tapos Kumar Roy Addl Secretary Power Division, Min of Power, G o B Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Mohammad Alauddin Dy Secretary Power Division, Min of Power, G o B Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Siddique Zobair Sr Adviser Power Division, Min of Power, G o B Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Md Monwar Hasan Khan Sr Asst Chief Power Division, Min of Power, G o B Dhaka, Bangladesh SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 51 6-Dec 10:00 Md Rafiqul Alam Managing Director Power Grid Corporation of Bangladesh Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Md Showkat Hossain Director (Finance) Power Grid Corporation of Bangladesh Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr PK Roy Power Grid Corporation of Bangladesh Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Mohammad Hussain Director (Training) Power Grid Corporation of Bangladesh Dhaka, Bangladesh 12:30 Mr Syed Yusuf Hossain Chairman Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Md Haronur rashid Dep Director (Power) Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Zaved Choudhury Director (Gas) Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission Dhaka, Bangladesh 14:30 Mr Islam Sharif Chief Executive Officer Infrastructure Development Co Ltd Dhaka, Bangladesh 15:30 Mr Aftab ul Islam President American Chamber of Commerce in Bangladesh Dhaka, Bangladesh 7-Dec 8:45 Dr Ijaz Hossain Professor, Dept of Chemical Engineering BUET Dhaka, Bangladesh 10:00 Dr Md Hussain Monsur Chairman PetroBangla Dhaka, Bangladesh Dr Molla Md. Mobirul Hossain Director (Operations) PetroBangla Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Meer abdul Matin General Manager (Mine Operation Division) PetroBangla Dhaka, Bangladesh 12:00 Mr Mizanur Rahman Director (System Planning) B'desh Power Development Board Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Al Mudabbir Bin Anam Sub Divisional Engineer (System Planning) B'desh Power Development Board Dhaka, Bangladesh 8-Dec 9:30 Dr M Rezwan Khan Vice Chancellor United International University Dhaka, Bangladesh 11:30 Mr Abser Kamal Acting Managing Director Grameen Shakti Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Md Ahsan Ullah Bhuiyan Asst General Manager Grameen Shakti Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Md Fazley Rabbi Senior Manager Grameen Shakti Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Rezaul Islam Head of Technical Division Grameen Shakti Dhaka, Bangladesh 14:30 Mr Mollah Amzad Hossain Editor Energy & Power Magazine Dhaka, Bangladesh 16:00 Mr Masud Rahman President Canada Bangladesh Chamber of Comm & Ind Dhaka, Bangladesh 52 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 9-Dec 9:30 Mr James Ford Country Director NRECA Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Robert O Ellinger COP, REDP NRECA Dhaka, Bangladesh 11:30 Mr Qudrate Khuda Director (Finance) Dhaka Electric Supply Co (DESCO) Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Md Shahjahan Mia GM (Operation & Network Control) Dhaka Electric Supply Co (DESCO) Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr SM Habibur Rahman DGM (S&D Division) Dhaka Electric Supply Co (DESCO) Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Md Shafiqul Islam Choudhury GM (Incharge) (Procurement & Store) Dhaka Electric Supply Co (DESCO) Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Shah Alam DGM (SE & D) & Project Director Dhaka Electric Supply Co (DESCO) Dhaka, Bangladesh 14:30 Ms Denise Rollins Mission Director USAID Dhaka, Bangladesh Mr Naren Chanmugam Office Director, Economic Growth USAID Dhaka, Bangladesh SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 53 APPENDIX 6: SUMMARY WRITE UP: CENTER OF EXCELLENCE, REGIONAL CENTER FOR LIGHTING The Sustainable Energy Authority (SEA) set up under the Ministry of Power & Energy oversees renewable energy and energy efficiency activities. On the advice of SARI technical experts, the SEA helped establish a Center of Excellence in Colombo as a Regional Center for Lighting (RCL) in April, 2009. SARI provided technical help through the Lighting Research Center at Rensselaer, New York, USA. RCL plans to increase the awareness and affordability of energy efficient, reliable and clean lighting technologies: • Catalyze regional manufacturing of energy efficient lighting products • Retrain and educate the necessary workforce to create sustainable lighting SEA has already identified an area in the international convention complex for use by the RCL. The partition work is under progress and is expected to be ready by Jan 2011. The centre will also house a laboratory to undertake research work related to local needs and to develop new lighting products. The laboratory will also provide assistance in establishing standards for lighting products and issue certificates for products manufactured locally in the region. The center will conduct capacity building and awareness programs for participants from the region and demonstrate new technologies in lighting applications. One 5-day residential program was conducted with 16 participants from the region. A second program is planned in Jan 2011 at Male, Maldives. A website launched in Sep 2009 provides information to architects/engineers/consumers to contact the centre and utilize its services. A two-year business plan has been developed and submitted for approval. A proposal has also been submitted to ADB for replacement of incandescent lamps with certified CFLs in 2000 households. A load research is under way in 3000 households. An MOU has been signed with Eco Asia for joint collaboration in lighting activities. The University of Moratuwa, the only technical university in the country is also associated with the RCL to implement its activities. The RCL is likely to come directly under the Ministry of Power after obtaining cabinet approval. The Ministry will also get SAARC expert group approval to get member buy-in. 54 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation APPENDIX 7: EVALUATION, SCOPE OF WORK II. EVALUATION SCOPE TITLE Mid-Term Evaluation of the South Asia Regional Initiative/Energy (SARI/E) Program OBJECTIVE The overarching objective of this mid-term evaluation is to: • Determine the overall impact the activity has had; • Test the continued validity of the hypotheses on which the program was designed; • Assess the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of SARI/E implementation tools and management structure in meeting its objectives; and, • Explore the extent to which the program strengthened institutional capacity, promoted information￾based dialogue and coalitions related to energy sector reform, and the formation of regional networks and centers of excellence for sharing of best practices in an effort to influence decision-makers engaged in deliberations over energy sector markets reform, cross-border trade and clean energy applications; • Make recommendations on whether the next phase of the activity should be undertaken. STATEMENT OF WORK This scope of work is for an evaluation of the impact of the program, the validity of the hypotheses underpinning the strategy, the appropriateness of the implementation strategy in reaching the program’s objectives, and the cost-effectiveness and impact of activities implemented by the SARI/E partners. The evaluation will also explore the extent to which the program strengthened institutional capacity, promoted information-based dialogue and coalitions related to energy sector reform, and the formation of regional networks and centers of excellence for sharing of best practices in an effort to influence decision-makers engaged in deliberations over energy sector markets reform, crossborder trade and clean energy applications. In particular, the evaluation will assess the SARI/E program along the following criteria: 1. IMPACT: What has been the impact of activities implemented under SARI/E, specifically for the Phase III period from FY07-FY11? The evaluation team will conduct a performance evaluation of the partners in implementing their respective scopes of work. Are partners meeting their responsibilities under their contracts or grants? Are partners planning their individual activities with the broader objectives and sub-objectives in mind? SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 55 2. RELEVANCE: Are the original hypotheses on which the program was designed still valid? Does the SARI/E program continue to respond to needs in the region, and has the program positioned itself to take advantage of emerging opportunities to promote greater cooperation in energy and regional stability? In light of current needs and opportunities for regional cooperation in energy, is there a need for an extension of the SARI/E program to meet the program objectives, including a discussion of the PACD, funding levels, areas of assistance/ intervention, and program management structure? 3. EFFECTIVENESS: To date, have the program management structure and the adopted implementing tools (contracts, cooperative agreements and USG inter-agency vehicles) been effective in ensuring maximum coordination of activities under SARI/E so as to avoid duplication of effort? Are there gaps in coordination that potentially hinder the achievement of results or which fail to take advantage of synergies among individual activities? (e.g., are training and technical assistance activities coordinated and sequenced so that they benefit from each other?) 4. EFFICIENCY: If possible, determine if results achieved under SARI/E are being produced at an acceptable cost compared with alternative approaches accomplishing the same objectives. What alternative approaches exist which could achieve results at greater efficiency and what mechanisms can be recommended for implementing the alternative approaches? How well have implementing partners worked as a team to coordinate work plans and activities in the interests of achieving the objectives of the overall SARI/E program? Have technical assistance, training, and partnerships been targeted at the appropriate beneficiaries to ensure the greatest impact in advancing the policy dialogue in support of regional energy cooperat ion? To what extent have the outputs from technical assistance, training and other SARI/Efunded activities been utilized by targeted beneficiaries? What evidence is there that best practices have been taken up by additional individuals who received information from targeted beneficiaries? To what extent have SARI/E activities supported or complemented activities sponsored by other donor partners, such as the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank in South Asia? Measuring program impact requires the existence of good performance monitoring systems at the level of individual partners, as well as at the level of program management. The evaluation team will also investigate whether systems have been established internally for tracking, monitoring, and reporting on results attributable to SARI/E activities and whether these systems utilize independently verifiable information. 5. SUSTAINABILITY: Are the results and impact of SARI/E activities sustainable in terms of creating institutional capacity and filling gaps on behalf of the program’s key beneficiaries? What evidence has there been of host countries taking ownership of the SARI/E program, including promoting the networks and forums and advocating the best practices developed and disseminated under SARI/E? Based on results to date, are these activities likely to engender sustainable development impacts after USAID funding has stopped? 56 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 6. PROJECT ASSISTANCE COMPLETION DATE EXTENSION: The original program framework envisaged that the SARI/E program would be implemented through a two-phased approach. The first phase objective was proof of concept with the second phase following to implement structures and solutions to effect regional energy trade and cooperation. Under the Phase II reauthorization, SARI/E PACD was extended until September 30, 2008. Subsequently the PACD was extended until September 2011 under Phase III of the program. The SARI/E evaluation team should assess the need for extension of the SARI/E PACD to meet the overall program objectives. The team should also recommend the new timeframe and program focus and direction under Phase IV. This scope of work does not include an evaluation of complementary activities funded by other USAID operating units (such as the bilateral Missions), nor those activities funded by other USG agencies. REPORTS AND DELIVERABLES 1. Draft Work Plan and Pre-Departure Briefings. The evaluation team will develop a draft work plan prior to departure from Washington, DC. The team will meet with USAID and other contractor staff for at least three working days prior to departure for the field. 2. Oral Presentation. The evaluation team will provide an oral briefing of its findings and recommendations to the SARI/E Program Director and relevant staff in the field as well as to the respective country coordinators and other USAID staff at the conclusion of the visits to the various SARI/E participating countries. 3. Draft Report. The evaluation team will present a draft report of its findings and recommendations to the SARI/E Director before return to the United States. 4. Final Report. Ten paper copies of the final report as well as an electronic version in Word shall be submitted within five working days following receipt of comments from USAID and its implementing partners. Ten copies will be provided to S. Padmanaban, Regional Program Director, SARI/E Program, USAID/New Delhi, and two copies will be provided to PPC/CDIE/DI. The final report should include an executive summary of no more than three pages, a main report with conclusions and recommendations not to exceed 20 pages, a copy of this scope of work, evaluation questionnaires used to collect information on each of the program components, and lists of persons and organizations contacted. The final report, with executive summary and electronic files, must be received by the SARI/E Regional Program Director not later than January 15, 2011 in time for distribution at the SARI/E Advisory Board annual meeting tentatively scheduled for early March 2011. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 57 RELATIONSHIPS AND RESPONSIBILITIES The contractor will work under the guidance and general direction of Mr. S. Padmanaban, Program Director, SARI/E in the field. In the absence of Mr. Padmanaban, the contractor will coordinate their field activities and take day-to-day guidance, where necessary, from Amol Bhutad, Deputy Regional Program Manager, SARI/E, New Delhi. USAID will provide separately for the services of a Results Framework/Performance Monitoring Plan (RF/PMP) expert to assist the team, and specifically to contribute to the Performance Monitoring Plan (PMP) Indicators Annex to this mid-term evaluation, with up to two pages of text summary in the main body of the report. The evaluation team supplied by the contractor is expected to coordinate closely with the USAID RF/PMP expert, and to share information obtained throughout the evaluation period on interim results for incorporation into the PMP Indicator annex. PERFORMANCE PERIOD October 2010 through December 2010. WORK DAYS It is anticipated that a 4-person evaluation team will work for approx ten weeks for this evaluation, i.e. 1) three days in Washington, DC to read program documents, obtain briefings from USAID and implementing partner staff, and draft the evaluation work plan, and three days of consultation in Delhi; 2) two weeks working in the field that includes one week travelling between countries, one week in New Delhi, and 3-4 working days each in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Nepal, Sri Lanka and Maldives; 3) 14 days for final consultations and drafting the report in Delhi, including a presentation to USAID of the draft final report, prior to finalization, and; 4) 2 days to finalize the report. SPECIAL PROVISIONS DUTY POST New Delhi, India; Kabul, Afghanistan, Islamabad, Pakistan, Dhaka, Bangladesh; Kathmandu, Nepal; Colombo, Sri Lanka. Thimpu, Bhutan and Male, Maldives LANGUAGE REQUIREMENTS AND OTHER REQUIRED QUALIFICATIONS None ACCESS TO CLASSIFIED INFORMATION Not Applicable. 58 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation Technical Qualifications and Experience Requirements for the Evaluation Team All team members must have relevant prior experience in South Asia, familiarity with USAID’s objectives, approaches, and operations, and prior evaluation/assessment experience. In addition, individual team members should have the technical qualifications identified for their position below: U.S. Team Leader (Senior Program & Policy Analyst): The Team Leader will be responsible for coordinating evaluation activities and ensuring the production and completion of a quality report, in conformance with this scope of work, and which may become a public document for distribution among the program’s key stakeholders, including high-level U.S. government policy makers and officials, host country government officials, private sector and NGO leaders, and other audiences. In addition to proven ability to provide this leadership role, involving a technically and logistically complex program, he/she should have substantial and demonstrated expertise in evaluation techniques involving projects with technical assistance, training, advocacy, and partnership components. The Team Leader must have extensive experience with energy sector policy, sector reform, and trade development. Significant SA experience will be highly advantageous. (LOE up to 55 days) Evaluation Methods Specialist: This expert will have deep knowledge of evaluation methodologies and their practical applications. (LOE up to 55 days) Senior Environment, Energy and Natural Resources Analysts: In addition to the Team Leader and Evaluation Specialist, the contractor should propose two additional energy sector specialists that are nationals from two separate countries in the region, with substantial experience and expertise in energy sector issues in SA. Each of the energy sector specialists will be assigned to investigate one of the three thematic program activities: (1) strengthening institutional capacity, (2) promoting information-based dialogue and coalitions related to energy sector reform, and (3) the formation of regional networks for sharing of best practices in an effort to influence decision-makers engaged in deliberations over energy sector reform and cross-border trade. (LOE up to 50 days for each specialist) As a team, the energy analysts shall possess expertise in private sector energy development, as well as the four priority areas of technical assistance of Phase III of SARI/E identified in Section C-1 above, i.e.: • Cross Border Trade; • Energy Markets Formation; • Clean Energy Access; and, • Afghanistan Power Sector Capacity Building Program After initial meetings in Delhi, the team is expected to break out into two teams, one team covering Afghanistan, Pakistan, India and Bhutan and the other covering Sri Lanka, Maldives, Bangladesh and Nepal. Each team is to be composed of one U.S. member and one South Asian member. The U.S. team members are to return for their final week to Delhi for meetings with contractors and debriefing with the Mission. SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation 59 Summary Table: Labor Labor Category Level Illustrative LOE Senior Program & Policy Analyst 1 – 55days Evaluation Methods Specialist 1 – 55 days Senior Environment, Energy and Natural Resources Analyst 1 -50 days Senior Environment, Energy and Natural Resources Analyst 1 -50 days 60 SARI/Energy, Phase III: Final Evaluation APPENDIX 8: BACKGROUND QUANTITATIVE DATA RELATING TO TRAINING • TetraTech Training Appendix • USEA Training Appendix File: Copy of training appendix TT (2) Worksheet: SUMMARY COST TABLE Printed On: 3/9/2011 6:20 PM Page 1 of 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 A B C D E F G H I Nr. Event Name (August 2007 through September 2010) Date Days Trained (days) City, Country Number Trained Person-Days Trained (count) Course 1 Skills Based Program on Protection Systems 29/11/10 - 10/12/10 12 Ooty, Tamilnadu; and Hoosar, Karnataka 16 192 Training Program 2 Small Merchant Bank Model Workshop 1 Colombo, Sri Lanka 54 54 Workshop 3 Supporting Wind Power Take-off in the SARI/Energy Region 22/09/10 - 24/09/10 3 Colombo, Sri Lanka 32 96 Workshop 4 Metering Systems and Management 15/09/10 - 12/10/10 24 Udaipur, India 15 360 Training Program 5 Ceylon Electricity Board, Siemens Advanced PSA Training 13/09/10 - 08/10/10 20 Schenectady, New York, USA 5 100 Training Program 6 Ceylon Electricity Board, GECE PSA Training 12 Colombo, Sri Lanka 15 180 Training Program 7 Capacity Building Program for Accountants Involved in Restructuring 23/08/10 - 31/08/10 8 Bengaluru, Hyderabad & New Delhi, India 15 120 Workshop / Exchange Program 8 Distribution Loss Reduction 23/07/10 - 07/08/10 12 Hyderabad, India 9 108 Training Program 9 Regulatory & Policy Framework for Market Development for Renewable Energy and Solar Energy Exchange Program 20/07/10 - 23/07/10 4 Chandigarh, India 11 44 Workshop / Exchange Program 10 ADB’s Wind Power Structured Consultation 21/06/10 - 25/06/10 5 Manila, Philippines 5 25 Workshop 11 Regulatory & Policy Framework for Market Development for Renewable Energy and Wind Energy Exchange Program 14/06/10 - 17/06/10 4 Chennai, India 10 40 Workshop / Exchange Program 12 Skill Based Development Program on Transformers 07/06/10 - 19/06/10 12 Ahmedabad, India 10 120 Training 13 International Conference on The Smart Grid Vision for India's Power Sector 01/06/10 - 02/06/10 2 New Delhi, India 7 14 Conference 14 Training Program on Metering Technologies and Systems 17/05/10 - 29/05/10 12 Udaipur, India 15 180 Training 15 Light Fair 2010 09/05/10-20/05/10 5 Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 2 10 Fair and meetings 16 Regional Workshop on Micro Hydro Power Projects 20/04/10 - 23/04/10 4 Kathmandu, Nepal 16 64 Workshop 17 Capacity Development Program for the Afghan Women 22/3/10-31/3/10 9 Trivandrum and Bangalore, India 21 189 Training 18 Training of Trainers on Metering Technologies and Systems 08/03/10 - 27/03/10 18 Udaipur, India 15 270 Training 19 Regional Centre for Lighting 16/01/10 - 20/01/10 5 Bentota, Sri Lanka 15 75 Training 20 Advanced Coal Management Program 01/12/09 - 04/12/09 4 West Bengal, India 10 40 Workshop 21 Engineer's Training of Trainers - Operation & Maintenance of Sub￾station Equipment 23/11/09 - 19/12/09 24 Haryana, India 15 360 Training 22 India - Sri Lanka Wind Energy Exchange Program 03/11/09 - 06/11/09 4 Chennai, India 8 32 Workshop 23 Power Markets in India 29/10/09 - 31/10/09 3 Mumbai, India 11 33 Workshop 24 Specialization on Operation & Maintenance of Sub-station Equipment 05/10/09 - 10/10/09 6 Haryana, India 27 162 Workshop 25 Micro Hydro Power Workshop 08/09/09 - 11/09/09 4 Kathmandu, Nepal 10 40 Workshop 26 Short Term Specialization on Regulation and Commercialization 08/08/09 - 13/08/09 6 Kabul, Afghanistan 37 222 Training Program 27 6 Months Post Graduation Program in O&M on Transmission & Distribution 03/08/09 - 29/01/10 130 Bangalore, India 7 910 PG Course 28 Short Term Course on Coal Preparation by Central Institute of Mining & Fuel Research 27/07 - 02/08/2009 6 Jharkhand, India 12 72 Training Program 29 Nepal Electricity Authority - Workshop on Transmission Service Agreements 19/07/ - 20/07/2009 2 Kathmandu, Nepal 14 28 Training program 30 Indian Energy Exchange 12/07 - 18/07/2009 6 New Delhi, India 10 60 Training 31 Lighting Research Centre Training After Launch of RCEEEL 1 - 12/06/2009 10 Albany, USA 11 110 Training 32 RCEEL - Regional Centre for Energy Efficient Lighting 27 - 30/04/2009 3 Colombo, Sri Lanka 82 246 Workshop 33 MDRE, Market Development for Renewable Energy Program 15 - 16/01/2009 2 Kerala / India 9 18 Training Program 34 South Asian Women In Energy 17 - 19/11/2008 3 Dhaka, Bangladesh 69 207 Workshop 35 Regional Clean Coal Partnership 16/09 - 19/09/2008 4 Kolkata, India 28 112 Workshop 36 Indian Electricity Market Program 39682 1 Colombo, Sri Lanka 61 61 Training Programme 37 Electricity Market Development Program 18/08 - 20/08/2008 3 Bentota, Sri Lanka 28 84 Training Programme 38 Electricity Market Development Program 12/08 - 14/08/2008 3 Dhaka, Bangladesh 24 72 Training Programme 39 Electricity Market Development Program & Indian Electricity Market 05/08 - 08/08/2008 4 Kathmandu, Nepal 30 120 Training Programme 40 Market Development Renewable Energy (MDRE) Framework 23/07 - 24/07/2008 2 New Delhi / India 3 6 Training Programme 41 Women in Energy 21/4 - 25/4/2008 42 Trivandrum, Kerala / India 42 1764 workshop 42 Global Energy Market Trade Programme 25/02 - 29/02/2008 5 New Delhi / India 28 140 Training Programme Afghan Mission Forum 09/12 - 13/12/2007 1 Bangalore, Mumbai / India 3 3 Field Visit and 1 Day Workshop 450 Total (All Activities 1 thru 5) 867 7143 SUMMARY COUNT TABLE File: Copy of training appendix TT Worksheet: SUMMARY COUNT TABLE Printed On: 3/9/2011 6:44 PM Page 1 of 1 Nr. Event Name (August 2007 through September 2010) Month Starting Days Trained (days) City, Country Number Trained Male Female Afghanistan Bhutan Bangladesh Pakistan Sri Lanka Maldives Nepal India USA Canada Germany Thailand Total (Row) % Trained Program wise Number Trained = Total (Row)? 1 Skills Based Program on Protection Systems Nov-10 12 Ooty, Tamilnadu; and Hoosar, Karnataka 16 16 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 1.8% yes 2 Small Merchant Bank Model Workshop Oct-10 1 Colombo, Sri Lanka 54 43 11 0 0 0 0 54 0 0 0 0 0 54 6.2% yes 3 Supporting Wind Power Take-off in the SARI/Energy Region Sep-10 3 Colombo, Sri Lanka 32 31 1 2 2 2 4 15 2 2 3 0 0 0 0 32 3.7% yes 4 Metering Systems and Management Sep-10 24 Udaipur, India 15 15 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 1.7% yes 5 Ceylon Electricity Board, Siemens Advanced PSA Training Sep-10 20 Schenectady, New York, USA 5 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0.6% yes 6 Ceylon Electricity Board, GECE PSA Training Aug-10 12 Colombo, Sri Lanka 15 10 5 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 1.7% yes 7 Capacity Building Program for Accountants Involved in Restructuring Aug-10 8 Bengaluru, Hyderabad & New Delhi, India 15 7 8 0 0 0 0 11 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 15 1.7% yes 8 Distribution Loss Reduction Jul-10 12 Hyderabad, India 9 9 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 1.0% yes 9 g y y Energy and Solar Energy Exchange Program Jul-10 4 Chandigarh, India 11 9 2 2 2 2 0 1 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 11 1.3% yes 10 ADB’s Wind Power Structured Consultation Jun-10 5 Manila, Philippines 5 5 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 0.6% yes 11 Regulatory & Policy Framework for Market Development for Renewable Energy and Wind Energy Exchange Program Jun-10 4 Chennai, India 10 10 0 2 2 1 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 10 1.2% yes 12 Skill Based Development Program on Transformers Jun-10 12 Ahmedabad, India 10 10 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 1.2% yes 13 International Conference on The Smart Grid Vision for India's Power Sector Jun-10 2 New Delhi, India 7 7 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 7 0.8% yes 14 Training Program on Metering Technologies and Systems May-10 12 Udaipur, India 15 15 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 1.7% yes 15 Light Fair 2010 May-10 5 Las Vegas, Nevada, USA 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.2% yes 16 Regional Workshop on Micro Hydro Power Projects Apr-10 4 Kathmandu, Nepal 16 14 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 16 1.8% yes 17 Capacity Development Program for the Afghan Women Mar-10 9 Trivandrum and Bangalore, India 21 0 21 19 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 21 2.4% yes 18 Training of Trainers on Metering Technologies and Systems Mar-10 18 Udaipur, India 15 15 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 1.7% yes 19 Regional Centre for Lighting Jan-10 5 Bentota, Sri Lanka 15 11 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 15 1.7% yes 20 Advanced Coal Management Program Dec-09 4 West Bengal, India 10 10 0 4 0 2 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 1.2% yes 21 Engineer's Training of Trainers - Operation & Maintenance of Sub￾station Equipment Nov-09 24 Haryana, India 15 14 1 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 1.7% yes 22 India - Sri Lanka Wind Energy Exchange Program Nov-09 4 Chennai, India 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0.9% yes 23 Power Markets in India Oct-09 3 Mumbai, India 11 11 0 0 0 4 1 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 11 1.3% yes 24 Specialization on Operation & Maintenance of Sub-station Equipment Oct-10 6 Haryana, India 27 27 0 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 3.1% yes 25 Micro Hydro Power Workshop Sep-09 4 Kathmandu, Nepal 10 7 3 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 1.2% yes 26 Short Term Specialization on Regulation and Commercialization Aug-09 6 Kabul, Afghanistan 37 37 0 35 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 37 4.3% yes 27 6 Months Post Graduation Program in O&M on Transmission & Distribution Aug-09 130 Bangalore, India 7 7 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0.8% yes 28 Short Term Course on Coal Preparation by Central Institute of Mining & Fuel Research Jul-09 6 Jharkhand, India 12 12 0 3 0 4 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 12 1.4% yes 29 Nepal Electricity Authority - Workshop on Transmission Service Agreements Jul-09 2 Kathmandu, Nepal 14 12 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 0 0 14 1.6% yes 30 Indian Energy Exchange Jul-09 6 New Delhi, India 10 10 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 1.2% yes 31 Lighting Research Centre Training After Launch of RCEEEL Jun-09 10 Albany, USA 11 11 0 0 0 2 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 1.3% yes 32 RCEEL - Regional Centre for Energy Efficient Lighting Apr-09 3 Colombo, Sri Lanka 82 61 21 2 1 2 2 66 2 3 3 0 1 0 0 82 9.5% yes 33 MDRE, Market Development for Renewable Energy Program Jan-09 2 Kerala / India 9 7 2 0 2 0 0 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 9 1.0% yes 34 South Asian Women In Energy Nov-08 3 Dhaka, Bangladesh 69 20 49 4 2 46 3 2 1 4 4 1 0 1 1 69 8.0% yes 35 Regional Clean Coal Partnership Sep-08 4 Kolkata, India 28 28 0 4 0 5 0 5 0 0 11 3 0 0 0 28 3.2% yes 36 Indian Electricity Market Program Aug-08 1 Colombo, Sri Lanka 61 55 6 0 0 0 0 59 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 61 7.0% yes 37 Electricity Market Development Program Aug-08 3 Bentota, Sri Lanka 28 26 2 0 0 0 0 25 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 3.2% yes 38 Electricity Market Development Program Aug-08 3 Dhaka, Bangladesh 24 24 0 0 0 23 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 2.8% yes 39 Electricity Market Development Program & Indian Electricity Market Aug-08 4 Kathmandu, Nepal 30 28 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 24 3 1 0 0 0 30 3.5% yes 40 Market Development Renewable Energy (MDRE) Framework Jul-08 2 New Delhi / India 3 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0.3% yes 41 Women in Energy Apr-08 42 Trivandrum, Kerala / India 42 4 38 5 2 4 3 2 2 4 19 1 0 0 0 42 4.8% yes 42 Global Energy Market Trade Programme Feb-08 5 New Delhi / India 28 25 3 2 0 4 3 5 4 3 7 0 0 0 0 28 3.2% yes Notes: Afghan Mission Forum Dec-07 1 Bangalore, Mumbai / India 3 2 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0.3% yes 438 Checks 867 679 188 246 21 119 22 289 30 77 54 6 1 1 1 867 100.0% Date Name of Event Location Recipient Countries Males Females Total Participants Days (length of activity) 1 12/1/2004 Cross-Border Electricity Transmission & Protection Thimpu, Bhutan Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Sri Lanka 20 1 21 3 2 1/17/2005 Distribution Utility Best Practices Hyderabad, India Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Sri Lanka 19 0 19 3 3 3/21/2005 South Asia Energy Media Colombo, Sri Lanka Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Sri Lanka 25 7 32 5 4 4/18/2005 Electricity Regulation Washington, DC & Columbus, OH Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 12 0 12 5 5 6/13/2005 Cross-Border Electricity Transmission & Protection New Delhi & Mumbai, India Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 16 2 18 4 6 6/27/2005 Electricity Regulation Delhi, India Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Sri Lanka 15 0 15 4 7 7/26/2005 South Asia Energy Media Dhaka, Bangladesh Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 35 10 45 3 8 8/1/2005 Distribution Utility Best Practices Bangkok, Thailand Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 40 15 55 3 9 9/19/2005 South Asia Energy Parliamentarians Washington, DC India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 4 1 5 5 10 11/16/2005 South Asia Energy Media Delhi, India Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 16 3 19 3 11 12/4/2005 Electricity Regulation Dhaka, Bangladesh Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 21 3 24 2 12 12/14/2005 Cross-Border Electricity Transmission & Protection Kathmandu, Nepal Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Indonesia, Nepal, Pakistan 26 2 28 3 13 3/21/2006 Energy Markets Delhi, India Bangladesh, Bhutan, Nepal, Pakistan, South Africa, Sri Lanka 17 0 17 2 14 3/25/2006 Energy Markets Lahore, Pakistan Bhutan, Nepal, Sri Lanka 5 0 5 2 15 6/26/2006 Energy Markets Johannesburg, South Africa Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 14 1 15 5 16 7/31/2006 Energy Markets Sacramento, CA & Portland, OR India, Nepal, Sri Lanka 9 0 9 5 17 8/14/2006 South Asia Energy Parliamentarians Washington, DC Afghanistan, Pakistan 3 1 4 3 18 11/6/2006 Energy Markets Toronto & Calgary, Canada Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 15 0 15 5 19 2/26/2007 Energy Markets & Submarine Interconnection UK & France Sri Lanka 6 1 7 5 20 3/20/2007 Energy Markets New Delhi, India Afghanistan Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Mongolia, Nepal, Pakistan, Philippines, Russia, Sri Lanka, Tajikistan, Thailand 14 0 14 2 21 5/14/2007 South Asia Energy Parliamentarians Washington, DC Afghanistan, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 4 0 4 5 22 5/28/2007 Energy Markets Leipzig & Cologne, Germany Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 13 0 13 5 23 7/16/2007 Energy Markets New Delhi, India Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Sri Lanka 14 2 16 5 24 10/29/2007 Energy Markets Bhutan Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 20 2 22 6 25 4/21/2008 Renewable Energy California, Colorado, DC Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 12 0 12 10 26 5/5/2008 Energy Markets Australia Sri Lanka 4 1 5 5 27 8/5/2008 Energy Markets Kathmandu, Nepal Bhutan, India, Nepal 3 0 3 1 28 8/22/2008 Energy Markets Colombo, Sri Lanka Bangladesh, Bhutan, Nepal, Sri Lanka 3 0 3 1 29 9/22/2008 Energy Markets Brussels, Belgium Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Sri Lanka 8 0 8 5 30 1/12/2009 Distribution Utility Best Practices Columbus, OH Pakistan 2 0 2 12 31 3/30/2009 Cross-Border Electricity Transmission & Protection Kathmandu, Nepal Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 19 0 19 4 32 5/12/2009 Women in Energy - Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Washington, DC Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 1 11 12 9 33 6/9/2009 Renewable Energy Dhaka, Bangladesh Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Nepal, Pakistan 34 4 38 3 34 6/15/2009 Renewable Energy Colombo, Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 10 3 13 2 35 9/21/2009 Electricity Regulation Albany, NY & Washington, DC Bangladesh, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 8 0 8 5 36 10/19/2009 Renewable Energy Madrid, Spain Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 12 0 12 5 37 2/15/2010 Cross-Border Electricity Transmission & Protection Botswana & South Africa Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 15 0 15 5 38 5/10/2010 Clean Coal & CCS Pittsburgh, PA & New Haven, WV Bangladesh, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 3 1 4 5 39 7/11/2010 Smart Grid Colorado & Utah Bhutan, India, Nepal 7 0 7 7 40 8/7/2010 Energy Efficiency Sacramento & San Francisco, CA Maldives, Nepal, Sri Lanka 4 0 4 8 41 8/23/2010 Renewable Energy Manila, Philippines Bangladesh, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 14 0 14 5 42 9/12/2010 Women in Energy - Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Montreal, Canada Bangladesh, India, Nepal 0 3 3 5 43 10/25/2010 Women in Energy - Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency Islambad, Pakistan Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 5 7 12 5 44 11/30/2010 Smart Grid Saigon, Vietnam Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 12 0 12 3 45 12/6/2010 Renewable Energy Kandy, Sri Lanka Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka 12 1 13 4 45 Events 571 82 653 202 % of Total 87.44% 12.56% % of Total Cost Per Trainee Day: SOUTH ASIA REGIONAL PARTNERSHIP PROGRAM OF U.S. ENERGY ASSOCIATION COOPERATIVE AGREEMENT NO. 386-A-00-04-00195-00 - USEA, OCTOBER 2004 - DECEMBER 2010 Total Cost Per Trainee: