Title II Projects Final Evaluation F~nal Report (Volume I) CONTENT EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...........................•....•.•.....•.......•.....•.................................. I I. INTRODUCTION .....................•..•....•.......••..•....•....•..•.......•..•...••...•....• -.....•.... 1 l . l BACKGROUND TO TITLE II PROGRAM .•••.•••.••••...••••••.•.•••.••.•.•.••.••.••••.•......••••.....•••• 1 l .2 PURPOSE OF THE EVALUATION ·················· ··-···············-·····································2 l.3 FOOD SECURITY ATTHECOUNTRYLEVEL ........................................................... 2 1.4 FOOD SECURITY IN TITLE II PROGRAM AREAS .•.•.••••••••. ; .•••.••.••••..•.•..•.•.•.••.......... 6 l .5 TITLE II PROGRAM IN THE CONTEXT OF NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY . 8 METHODOLOGY ...........•..•...........•......•......•••....•..••.......•......•.•.........•......... 10 2.1 HOUSEHOLD QUESTIONNAIRE SURVEY •....•.•.•••.••••••.•••••••••••••••.•....•..•••...••.••••..•••. 10 2. J. J Sampling Frame ......................................................................................... J 0 2.J.2 Sample Design ........................................................................................... JO 2.J.3 Determination of Sample Size ................................................ : ........... , ....... JO 2.J.4 Selection of Primary Sampling Units ......................................................... J J 2.J.5 Fresh Listing of Households and Selection of Households for Interview .. J2 2.J.J Sampling Frame ................... _ ..................................................................... J 2 2.J.2 Sample Design ............................................................................................ J2 2.J.3 Determination of Sample Size ..................................................................... J 2 2. J .4 Sample Selection of Primary Sampling Units ............................................. J 3 2. J.5 Fresh Listing of Households and Selection of Households for Inierview J 3 2.2 PARTICIPATORY SEMI-STRUCTURED SURVEYS .................................................. 13 2.3 SECONDARY SOURCES ....................................................................................... 14 2.4 DATA ANALYSIS .....•...•..•••.......••.••..............•..••••.••••••.•..•••.....•.....••••..••.•.•..•..•...••• 14 2.4.J Anthropometric Measurements ................................................................... J4 2. 4.2 Comparative Analysis ................................................................................ J 5 III. TITLE II PROGRAM RESULTS .................................................................... 19 3.2 PROJECT0UTPUTS: A REVIEWOFACTIJALPERFORMANCE COMPAREDTO TARGETS ........................................................................................................... 22 3.2.J Crop, Livestock and Natural Resources Outputs ................................. 22 3.2.2 Health and Water Outputs .............................................. : .......................... 7 J 3.2.3 Physical Irifrastructure Outputs .......................•..•...................................... 76 3.3 EFFECTS ........................................................ - ................................................... 79 3.3.I Intermediate Results: Aggregate Picture .....•.............•............................... 80 3.3.2 Intermediate Results - Africare ...........•...................................................... 88 3.3.3 Intermediate Results - CARE ..................................................................... 89 3.3.4 Intermediate Results- Catholic Relief Service (CRS) ..... ._ ........................ 93 3.3.5 Intermediate Results - EOCIDICAC ....................................................... I OJ 3.3.6 Intermediate Results - Food for the Hungry International (FHI) ............ J 05 3.3. 7 Intermediate Results - Relief Society of Ti gray (REST) ........................... J 09 3.3.8 Intermediate Results - Save The Children (SCF) ..................................... J J 3 3.3.9 Intermediate Results - WVUE ................................................................... J J8 3.4 TITLE II PROGRAM IMPACTS .•..••••.•••..•••.•...••.•••••••••••••...•••••••••.••••••••..•.•..•....•.•. 123 3.4.J lntroduction .............................................................................................. J24 3.4.2 Overall Picture .......................................................................................... J 25 3.4.3 SORESULTS- AFRICARE ...•.••••.•..•..•.•.•••..••...••••.•••.••.•..••••..•.••..•.....•....••....•.. 128 .• : '• ~: -· i . :.:~ ' . c:;J r .. ! !' . ... , t:.:._i .. ..:~ .. :~ h~) 1~4~ ::·., r=:: 3.4.4 SO Results-CARE .................................................................................. 129 . 3.4.5 SO Results- CRS ....•. - .............................................•.................................. 132 3.4.6 SO Results-EOC ..................................................................................... 135 3. 4. 7 SO Results - FHI ·--·············· -················--····--······· ···································1 38 3.4.8 SO Results- REST ................................................................................... 141 3.4.9 SO Results- SCFIUSA ............................................................................ 145 3.4.10 SOResults-WVUE .............................................................................. 147 3.5 OTHER TITLE II RESULTS ••••••••••.••••••••••••••••••••••••.••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••.••••••••• 150 3.5.1 Community Participation .......................................................................... 150 3.5.2 Gender Aspects ......................................................................................... 152 3 .6 OPERA TING ENVIRONMENT ............................................................................ 152 3.6.1 Extemal ..................................................................................... ; ............... 152 3.6.2Jnternal ...................................•............................. -·················-················· 154 IV. LESSONS LEARNT: SOME DISCUSSION ............................................ 155 4.1 RELEVANCE AND APPROPRIATENESS •••..••.•••..••.•.••.••••••••••••••••••.•••.••••••••••••••••••• 155 4.1.1 Crop and Livestock Production ................................................................ 156 4.1.2 Health .......•................................................................................................ 159 4.1.3 Natural Resources .................................................................................... 160 4 .2 SUSTAINABILITY OF TITLE II ACTIVITIES AND RESULTS •••••••••.•.•..••..•••••••.•.•••.. 161 4.3 SELF-RELIANCE AT THE HOUSEHOLD LEVEL ••••••••••.••••••••••••••••••••••..••••••••••••••••• 162 V. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ............................................ 163 5.1 ASSUMPTIONS VIOLA TED .................................................................................. 163 5.2 MAIN FINDINGS ••••• -........................................................................................... 163 5.3 LESSONS LEARNT •••.•••.••.••..••.....•.....•....••...•••.•••••••••••••••.•••.•.•.••....•....••....•••••••.•.. 165 5 .4 RECOMMENDATIONS ........................................................................................ 169 I ~ . /':! ~~~ -.:51 ·~%1 \ ' ... ;'R:; :-:~~! ··-.·: ~/~.i :·~~A .~~ :f;;. ~~ .:.;.::;t ~~::. ~ ::::·· •. : .. ;:-:~ .... :;..,: '·! ·- ; ,, ' .. ·- 7 f 1 §3'\ ;:;~; . ~. : :. .. "' ~~ §] < ....... ···:.1 ~ ;~ ~ ; •' ! .. . , i .. ~ ; ·} .. ~-- List of Tables Table 3. I: Actual Performance of Crop Production Related Activities Compared to Plan - Africare Table 3.2: Crop Production Related Activities of CARE Table 3.3: Outputs of CARE Soil and Water Conservation Activities in I 997/98 - 2000/01 Period Table 3.4: Selected Conservation Related Survey Results in CARE Projects Table 3.5: Crop Production Related Activities of CRS (Oi-omia, Tigray & Harari) Table 3.6: Outputs of CRS Soil and Water Conservation Activities in the Period I 997 /98 - 2000/0 I Table 3.7: Selected Conservation Related Survey Results in CRS Projects Table 3.8: Actual Performance of Crop Production Related Activities of EOC Table 3.9: Outputs of EOC Livestock Activities in the 1997 /98 - 2000/0 I Table 3. I 0: Outputs of EOC Soil and Water Conservation Activities: I 997 /98 -2000/01 Table 3. I I: Selected Conservation Related Survey Results in the EOC Projects Table 3.12: Crop Production Related Activities ofFHI Table 3.13: Output of Livestock Activities ofFHI Projects in the 1997/98- 2000/01 Period Table 3.14: Outputs of FHI Soil and Water Conservation Activities in the Period 1997 /98 - 2000/01 · Table 3.15: Selected Conservation Related Survey Results in the FHI Projects Table 3.16: Crop Production Related Activities of REST Table 3.17: Outputs of REST Livestock Activities in the 1997 /98 - 2000/01 Table 3. I 8: Outputs of REST Soil and Water Conservation Activities in the Period I 997 /98 - 2000/01 Page 22 24 ~ 27 29 30 32 35 37 40 42 45 48 50 52 53 54 56 ·58 , ~ ' ~-!~~: ... - Page .-::;. Table 3.19: Soil and Water Conservation in Central Tigray Zone 59 t~~:~~ "- .::: Table3.20: Selected Conservation Related Survey Results in the REST 60 . ·' Projects .- .; Table 3.21: Output Compared to Plan for Livestock Activities in the Period 62 I 997/98- 200-01 - SCF/USA Projects ,. .·' ,;;:i Table 3.22: Crop Production Related Activities of WVI 64 m~ ,JD.;.. Table 3.23: Outputs of WVl/E Livestock Activities in the Period 1997 /98 - ·"":·~·1. 66 -~~ ::i.~ 2000/01 ·.·:~~~ ·-·~ -?J Outputs of WVl/E Soil and Water Conservation Activities in the :;:j~ Table3.24: 68 . ~:; Period 1997/98 - 2000/01 ::.:~ i~ :rq Table 3.25: Selected Conservation Related Survey Results of WVl/E Projects 70 ;,!'-::..: .:~.~-:- . . ·'.".: ~~ ~3 -~.:-/! :--:~::-:-:: ..... 'S Table 3.26: OAP/Title II Health Interventions 72 ·1 :-:-t~ \;--~. ~ . ~· Table 3.27: Major Health Outputs the Cooperating Sponsors 74 . ; Table 3.28: Major Water Outputs the Cooperating Sponsors 75 . :- Table 3.29: CS Performance in Physical and Social Infrastructures Plan vs 77 Actual for the Period 1998/99 - 2000/0 I ... Table 3.30: Results on IRl indicators 82 .. { : . •,·~ . .. Table J.3 I: Values on Three of the Five Indicator oflntermediate Result Two 84 Table 3.32: Results on IR3 indicators 86 Table 3.33: IR 1 Results of CARE Title II Projects 90 ... ·.·: ~-~~~ ..: .. _ -:~-, Table 3.34: Changes between 1997 and 200 I in Respect to Ownership of 91 -...... Livestock, Physical Asset and Luxury Food Items added for ;~.~~; ; CARE Project ...... . . ' Table 3.35: IR3 Results of the CARE Title II Projects 92 ., -~ .. Table 3.36: IR I Results of CRS Title II Projects 95 -·~"-~ ::::. :~ ,~,~ 97 .. ·:-! Table 3.37: Changes between 1997 and 2001 in Respect to Ownership of ' .. -: Livestock, Physical Asset and Luxury Food Items added for CRS . . Project Table 3.38: IR3 Results of the CRS Title II Projects 99 -~;.~ ~?5 ·J ~ ;~ \·-:- J;\·_-.... E~: ' I ~ ·•. :~:-.· : ~-~:?. Page ,. = . . : Table 3.39: IRI Results ofEOC/DICAC 102 Table 3.40: Changes between 1997 and 200 I in Respect to Ownership of 103 Livestock, Physical Asset and Luxury Food Items added for EOC Project ;. Table 3.41: IR3 Results of the EOC Title II Projects 104 ··z:C"" Table 3.42: IRI Results ofFHI Title II Projects 106 ~;~j :=::. -:.: . . Table 3.43: Changes between 1997 and 2001 in Respect to Ownership of 107 .. . Livestock, Physical Asset and Luxury Food Items added for FHI -:-! . ' Project -~¥~ Table 3.44: ~~~:· IR3 Results of the FHI Title II Projects 108 :-~~ ~~,· Table 3.45: IRl Results of REST Title II Projects 110 ---· . . . .. . Table 3.46: Changes between 1997 and 2001 in Respect to Ownership of 111 Livestock, Physical Asset and Luxury Food Items added for REST Project Table 3.47: IR3 Results of the REST Title II Projects 112 Table 3.48: IRI Results of SCF/USA Title II Projects 114 Table 3.49: Changes between 1997 and 2001 in Respect to Ownership of 115 Livestock, Physical Asset and Luxury Food Items added for SCF /USA Project Table 3.50: Average Milk Production in Liben and Filtu 115 ~~ Table 4.51: Lactating Cows, Camels and Goats in Liben and Filtu Wereda 116 ·-:-~ Table 3.52: IR3 Results of the SCF/USA Title II Projects 117 Wi .:·_·; .. Table 3.53: IR I Results of WVl/E Title II Projects 120 ' Table 3.54 : Changes between 1997 and 200 I in Respect to Ownership of 121 :·· : . ..... Livestock, Physical Asset and Luxury Food Items added for WVI . ::; Project .;:.-~ .. .., Table3.55: IR3 Results of the WVE/E Title II Projects 122 ·~· :. ~~.:.:..-? · .... ~ - Table 3.56: Project Funds and Resources Actually Availed Compared to Plan 129 Table 3.57: Length of Food Shortage and the Extent of Use of Severe Coping 131 Strategies in 2000 in CARE Title II Projects '1 (?JI ~: '%'\ ,-- -i . I ·. ! Page ::·it! Table 3.58: Child S_tunting in 2001 Compared to 1997 for CRS Title II Projects 132 Table 3.59: Length of Food Shortage and the Extent of Use of Severe Coping 134 Strategies in 2000 in CRS Title II Projects Table 3.60: Child Stunting in 1997 and 2001 in EOC Title II Projects 135 ;. .;-;.f Table 3.61: Length of Food Shortage and the Extent of Use of Severe Coping 137 ~ ~ Strategies in 2000 in EOC Title II Projects ... Table 3.62: Child Stunting in 1997 and 2001 in FHI Title II Projects 138 . . Table 3.63: Length of Food Shortage and the Extent of Use of Severe 140 .: :: t•: Coping Strategies in 2000 in FHI Title II Projects )~ ~ Table 3.64: Child Stunting in 1997 and 2001 in REST Title II Projects 141 ~~ !!,fj-.. .~ .. Table3.65: Length of Food Shortage and the Extent of Use .. of Severe Coping 144 . Strategies in 2000 in REST Title II Projects Table 3.66: Child Stunting in 1997 and 2001 in SCF/USA Title II Projects 145 Table 3.67: Length of Food Shortage and the Extent of Use of Severe Coping 147 Strategies in 2000 in SCF/USA Title II Projects Table 3.68: Stunting Prevalence in 1997 and 2001 in WVl/E Title II Projects 147 .. Table 3.69: Length of Food Shortage and the Extent of Use of Severe Coping 149 Strategies in 2000 in WVI/E Title II Projects Table 3.70: Project Funds and Resources Actually Availed Compared to Plan 153 Table 5.1: A summary of SO and IR results of Title II projects by CS 166 § ~~ - . .. List of Figures ... .. Figure 1 : Stunting Prevalence in 200 I Compared to 1997 127 Figure 2: Food Shortage in 2001 Compared to 1997 127 ... Figure 3: The Use of Severe Coping Strategies in 1997 and 2001 127 . .. Figure 4: Factors Influencing Nutritional Status of a Typical 157 .. Ethiopian Rural HH and Their Inter-relationships Figure 5: OAP Activities under Implementation to Improve 158 Nutritional Status of a Project Household ·~-::· ~: ·: ·:· t~~ fl},·· ; ! 'l 1 i ~ .. ... ~ ........ ~ ··.·;·, ACSI: AIDs: ANC: CBOs: CHA: CRS: CS: CSA: DAP: DHS: DPPM: DSA: EARO: EGS: ENI: EOC: EPI: FFW: FAO: FGD: FHI: FP: FSS: GDP: Ha./ha.: HH: IDD: IR: Kg./kg.: Km./k:m.: MCH: Acronyms Amhara Credit anq Saving Institution Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Antenatal Care Community Based Organizations ;. Community Health Agency Catholic Relief Service Cooperating Sponsors Central Statistic Authority Development Activity Proposal Demography and Health Survey Disaster Prevention and Preparedness Management Development Studies Associates Ethiopian Agriculture Research Organization Employment Generation Scheme Ethiopian Nutritional Institute Ethiopian Orthodox Church Expanded Program of Immunization Food for Work Food and Agricultural Organization Focus Group Discussion Food for Hungry International Family Planning ,I"·· Food Security Strategies Gross Development Product Hectare Household Iodine Defiency Disorders Intermediate Result Kilogram Kilometer Mother and Child Health NA: NGO: PA: PRA: PSU: PVO: REST: SCF/USA: SNNP: SPO: STDS: TBA: TTBA: TLU: : ... USAID: r:::1 VAD: WHO: t ·• ft~ . l WVI/E: ,. I -i L Nutritional Anemia Non-Government Organization Peasant Association Participatory Rural Appraisal Primary Sampling Units Private Voluntary Organization Relief Society of Tigray Save the Children Federation USA Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples Strategic Project Objective Sexually Transmitted Diseases Traditional Birth Attendants Training Traditional; Birth Attendants Tropical Livestock Unit United States Agency for International Development Vitamin a Deficiency World Health Organization World Vision International Ethiopia ;. I :: ··-~ . _-j : .. : ··--1 : ! !·. l Executive Summary Introduction This is the final report on the final evaluation ?f the first cycle Title II Program in Ethiopia. Title II Program is a multi-sectoral, food security-focused development initiative. It has urban and rural chapters. The latter, the subject of this report, operates in agriculture, natural resources, rural physical infrastructures, health and water. Geographically, it covers all the regions of the country but the Afar and Beneshangul-Gumuz Regional States. It operates a total of 39 rural projects located in 17 zones and 39 woredas. These projects reach about 78, I 00 rural households or about 430,000 people. Eight international and local NGOs implement the Title II Program. They are Africare, ·· .. ~. CARE-Ethiopia, Catholic Relief Services, Ethiopian Orthodox Church, Food for the Hungry International, Relief Society ofTigray, Save the Children (US), and World Vision-Ethiopia. Seven of these NGOs are among the biggest in the NGO community in Ethiopia in terms of countrywide program scope and capacity. USAID-Ethiopia provided the'tlnancial and food aid resources needed to run the projects. Title II Program in Ethiopia seeks Increased Household Food Security for its beneficiaries as the strategic objective (SO). Food security is central to the Government Five-Year Development Program. Poverty Reduction Strategy is the anchor of Government Development Strategies. Thus, Title II program strategic objective and the anticipated results dovetail well with the country's development goals. Title II has also set out to attain five intermediate results': Increased agricultural production; increased household income; improved health status; natural resources-base maintained; and enhanced emergency response capacity. Quantitative indicators have been specified and agreed upon to monitor results. The implementing NGOs and the donor carried out a baseline survey in 1997 to establish benchmark values on the selected indicators. The Title II major activity areas include rehabilitation of natural resources through physical and biological conservation measures, rural roads, irrigation, health, domestic water, agriculture (crop and livestock), income generation, and capacity building (mainly farmers' training). The importance of the activity areas in terms of budget allocation seems to follow that order. The program is about to wind up it first cycle of operation and thus the need to carry out this end of project evaluation. The indicators selected to quantitatively determine the extent of achievement of the strategic objective and the intermediate results and the 1997 baseline values on these indicators are the bases of this evaluation exercise . ·' ... .. I t J i:~~q: · I . ;:· .~ ; .... -.... :i ;:~~1- --. ~ -~ .. · ;. Methodology The main findings of this evaluation are based on a dataset obtained from a household structured survey. A total of7040 rural households were involved in the survey. A stratified two-stage cluster sample design was used.The project woredas were treated as a stratum and PAs formed the primary sampling units. The PA number was taken from the 1994 Population and Housing Census as adjusted by CSA for 2000 to accommodate changes regional governments make to the size of PAs. The sample size was based on: • Proportion of stunted children aged 6-59 months obtained from the 1997 Title II baseline survey; • Proportion of children aged 6-59 months per household, sourced from the 1994 Population and Housing Census; • Confidence interval of90% Three PAs were selected for the survey in each project woreda. Two PAs covered in the 1997 baseline survey were automatically chosen and the third was chosen by probability proportional to size. In projects not covered in 1997 survey, three PAs were randomly selected. From a freshly prepared list of households in each sample PA, 60 households were systematically selected with a random start. Opinions were gathered from the major stakeholders (communities key informants, government offices) using pre-prepared guide questions. Regarding data analysis, three indices of nutritional status: height-for-age, weight- for-age and weight-for-height Z-scores of the children were computed to estimate the overall prevalence of stunting, underweight and wasting, respectively, using the WHO/CDC/NCHS reference values. A cut-off point of less than - 2 SD was considered low nutritional status and values greater than or equal to -2 SD normal. The Z- scores were calculated with the help of appropriate software packages Cross-tabulation analysis is done to observe any association between SO indicators and selected livelihood variables. Limitations Several problems were encountered during the data coJlection stage, which could have a bearing on the quality of data. The first is that households show a lot of impatience as well as reluctance to have their children measured. Mothers tend to involuntarily interfere with the measuring instruments while attempting to quieten the crying baby. This increases the chance to misread measurements. In future DAP evaluations, it seems prudent to separate the nutrition survey from other tasks of the evaluation and also accord more time to complete the survey. The question of manageability of the evaluation was in itself an important limitation. There are several points that make Title II Program in Ethiopia unique, so to speak. It operates more or less similar interventions using more or less same strategies or approaches in humerous places having different socio-economic backgrounds. It involves eight non-governmental ii ;-~ .. --s ...... · """"" ·r .... j 'fl L: ~ . . ! t'"-~ !- j ·. .. , ;..-~ ! ! l _; ~ C:.l r"':'l j ,. , :_;; Cl:':l ~ Fl r-:' l .. r-·-· ,. f ·~ .... 1..: 1-.:J ~ l (i l: .. • ffi - ~ "l ~ > ·: $.~ A' '°" ~ ~j~:i ~g · ··-1 organizations not exactly embracing same approaches to development, and also not having identical policies, strategies, operating procedures, etc. It has rural and urban programs. The fact that the evaluation has not reflected this uniqueness was a limitation. This report, in the opinion of the evaluation team, would have benefited immensely from breaking the sum total of the evaluation work into some more manageable parts (examples: urban, rural; nutrition, other interventions; pastoralist, mixed farming; cereal staple, tuber staple; and/or other combinations) and contracting out the job to two or more independent evaluating teams. Such an approach could be less cost-effective. But the trade-off between cost saving and q'uality compromise could have been rewarding. Title II Results Three types of inter-related results are distinguished. The first is the extent to which the projects have accomplished the activities they planned. The second is the extent to which the projects have managed to realize the five intermediate results (IR) contained in the Development Activity Proposals (DAP). The third is the degree to which the projects have attained the strategic objective Outputs The main findings in this regard are: 1. There were activities planned but not implemented at all mainly because of external factors, government policy in particular. The more important of these in terms of achieving intermediate results and the strategic objective included input credit in EOC and REST projects, saving and credit programs targeting women (EOC projects for example). 2. Although there are significant, intra- and inter-sectoral and intra- and inter - CS variations, yet in most cases accomplishments exceeded targets. 3. Considering a performance level of below 80% of the plan not satisfactory, the major activities that fell into this category were: Activity area Where it happened • . Irrigation (design, construction CARE (Hararghe) and other pre-operation activities) CRS canal construction in Kombolcha and Gulomekeda EOC canal improvement and pond construction (Wadla and Endamehoni) • Livestock (feed development and FHI, EOC provision of livestock) • Biological conservation in CARE, EOC, FHI WVIIE communal areas • Physical conservation of measures CRS, EOC, FHI, REST Ill .• .1:;.: . , ••• _.I :'. ~~ 1 .<·! ··::. .J ,.,. . . ·1 .. · .. -- 1 ··. I '.;:~ 1 :l ~".1 -~£.-.~; ·:'·i .. '·:1 '":'"~ .. .......... Activity area • Vegetable production/demonstration Micro nutrient supply, latrine construction, and health post construction • EPl/mothers • Water development for domestic use Roads Where it happened CARE, EOC, WVl/E FHI SCF CARE, SCF and WVI/E Africare, CARE, CRS (maintenance only) 4. The major problem for under-performance in the above mentioned areas as well in ·others was inadequate and delayed delivery of finance and commodities needed to carry out the activities. · :--.·~ ' · 5. The provision of other inputs such as personnel (type and number), transport at the sites in particular, logistics and backstopping services was satisfactory. 6. Through Title II support a considerable number of community assets were created including: . • Over 450 ha of land was brought under irrigation • About I 052 km of rural road was oonstructed • About 663 km of rural road was maintained • About 442 different types of water systems were constructed and made operational for domestic purpose • About 2 I ,446 ha of land was enclosed for rehabilitation • Some 24,500 km of various types physical soil and water conservation structures were constructed. Based on sample inspection, this evaluation found the standards (quality) of the above infrastructures satisfactory. Intermediate results The summary table below provides a comparison, where data available, between the baseline (I 997) and 2000 of the intermediate results by indicators selected for the purpose and by CS. The table indicates: J _ Productivity of the five major cereals grown in the project areas has shown a considerable increase in 2000 compared to the base year in all CS and almost in all projects. It is believed that the conservation and irrigation initiatives of the projects made a contribution to the productivity improvement. Rainfall in 2000 was much IV q ' m. u B l3 .. [.: ~ 0 a R 0 0 0 e I m D m ' r. 0 ·t > i1 m( ( 1 $ ~ I . . ; • 't ·:···-1 . f --i :J :- i I :._.; - - . ~ • ;r., •. ;-:;· !K~i ·( t:i ; i _·:j ·: I I : i j . ·-I ·i . ~::;. I' .-. ... ~ ... ·;..«\ .. , ;.·,: .-:-·. .~: . -~ . ·• :: 1 ·· ... .... more favorable than in 1997 and this obviously positively impacted crop yield. It is difficult to ascertain that the productively level attained in 2000 can be sustained . 2. Percentage of households that used chemical fertilizers in 2000 increased in CARE and EOC project PA's, while it decreased in CRS, FHI and WVI/E project PA's in comparison to the base year. There are no baseline data to do a similar comparison for the rest of CS projects. The increase as well as the decline are attributed to events that · took place within the fertilizer sector itself, and it is believed the projects had little, if any, role in the observed change. It should be noted that more Title II beneficiaries used fertilizer in 2000 (26.6%) o.ver 1997 (21 %). 3. Percentage of households that used improved seed in 2000 increased over 1997 in CRS and EOC projects, while decreased in CARE, FHI, and WVl/E projects. No baseline data are available for the rest of CS to monitor change. Some of the projects provided improved seeds to beneficiaries, and where there is decline, it is reasoned that it is because of non-project factors such as high price, inefficient delivery, lack of credit, etc. Here also, at the Title II level there was an increase in 2000 ( 12.5%) over 1997 (5.9%). 4. Percentage of farmers who adopted improved farming practices rose in FHI and WVJ/E projects, while it declined in EOC projects in 2000 compared to the base year. There are no baseline data for other CS. At the Title II level, there was an increase in 2000 (48%) over 1997 (35%). 5. Livestock ownership declined in all CS but SCF in 2000 over 1997. In most cases the change was significant The reason for decline is difficult to point at. Lack of feed and poor livestock health services could account for the change. On the other hand, the increase in SCF projects could be attribut~d to the improved water supply from the projects and also because of customary stock building tradition of the pastoralists following a major destocking due to natural causes like the 1998/99 drought1. Livestock is an important well-being indicator both for mixed farmers and pastoralists and the decline might be an indication of the lack of overall improvement in the welfare of the project communities. 6. There has not also been any significant change in terms of physical asset ownership or in the percentage of households that never consumed luxury food items (meat., fruits and the like) between the base year and 2000. 7. The values of indicators chosen to monitor progress in the health area show that overall there has been positive development since the base year. Prevalence of diarrhea decreased, children under-weight improved and water coverage increased . There was decline in the amount of water consumed per household. Although strong evidences are lacking, there are observations indicating that the reduction in the amount of water used from protected sources could be due to low awareness and unaffordable water charges. 8. Assuming that areas enclosed for treatment mean communal land reclaimed through physical and biological means, there have been impressive results at REST, EOC and 1 SCF/US doubts the credibility of the figure. It thinks it is too high. Effort was made to further clean the data, but the result was the same. v ·; . ' ·! ! .. . ! . l . ! . i . ! ... _ ... ...... !..,; .. to a lesser extent at CARE and FHI. These figures cannot be compared with the base year for lack of data. 9. It is observed that in almost all Title II project woredas there some capacity to regularly monitor the imminence of any possible disaster. Crop surveys are regularly conducted. Food and livestock prices are monitored. Title II projects have been assisting in the surveys as well as in price monitoring. Impacts The summary table below also provides figures on the three indicators selected to measure the achievement of the Title II strategic objective. The table reveals • The nutritional status of children looked better in 2000 compared to 1997 in many of the Title II projects. There is reason to believe that project activities such as promotion of vegetable production, feed and other livestock programs, improved ; .·access to water, health services, and improved access to markets contributed to the _._._improvement in the reduction of stunting prevalence. However, there are no strong evidences sup.porting whether the results could be sustained . • In the overwhelming majority of the projects, the length of the period households experienced food shortage had decreased significantly in 2000 compared to 1997. The basis for the decrease might not be structural changes in the production systems or sustainable income rise from dependable-sources. Rather, it could be because 2000/0 l was relatively a better agricultural year. In other words, better food availability, access and the attendant reduction in food shortage in 2000 is difficult to wholly attribute to the projects, and it is not certain whether it can be sustained . • There has not been any significant change over the life of the projects in terms of the use of severe coping strategies. In fact, the overall picture (all projects considered) the situation in 2000 worsened compared to 1997 in this regard. Other Title II Results l. Title II projects had a number of interventions intended to build capacity, notably at the household level. There were multi-sectoral training programs in which thousands -~ of farmers participated. Arguably the beneficiaries are today better informed and more .-·knowledgeable about production techniques, conservation, sanitation, water management, irrigation management, etc., than they were before Title II projects. 2. In nutrition, food shortage, use of severe coping strategies female-headed households benefited less than male-headed households 3. Women participation in FFW programs was high, especially among projects in Tigray. · 4. Women hold high appreciation for the project-supported water programs in all project areas. VI n " t h1 · l ' -:·.i ~ _; : . -~· . ~! rn -_~: 5. In decision making, the role women play is encouraging on such issues as what and when to sell, how ·to use the income from sale. Joint decision on cash crop sale is over 60% for all CS. The joint decision is equally strong (55%) on the application of revenue from cash sales. 6. Women participation in existing CBOs leaves much to be desired. 7. There is a tremendous appreciation for health care and mobile EPI programs the projects assisted. This would benefit women by bringing the facility to their locality, avoiding long distance travel. Major Operating Constraints 1. The teamwork between government offices and Title II project in most projects leaves a lot to be desired. To a large extent this stems from the lack of legislation that clearly stipulates the roles ofNGOs in development as well relief operations. 2. The Proclamation to Regulate Micro Finance issued in 1996 was not anticipated at the time of designing OAP, and that must have had implications on the first and second Intermediate Results. The attainment of these results was contingent on the provision of credit for agricultural inputs and for income generation activities focusing on women. These were not implemented because of the micro finance regulation. 3. Most of the finance of the project operation came from monetized food aid commodities. All CS's reported availing the fund has been irregular and inadequate. 4. Drought, ·shortage and irregularity of rainfall seriously constrained performance with ramifications for impacts almost in all project areas, but more visibly on REST, FHI, SCF/USA, East Shoa CARE/CRS/WVI/E projects. 5. With regard to community participation, there is still much to be desired. Participation did not exceed labor and material contribution, collaboration in the provision of infonnation to monitoring and evaluating groups, and membership in various functional committees (water, health, irrigation, etc.). Lessons Learnt I. CS stakeholders, communities and relevant government offices alike, strongly believe that project interventions address the priority development needs and have a strong relevance to improving household food security. 2. While this evaluation is in agreement with the stakeholders' views, it is in contention that there were activities not included (flour mills, family planning services), which could have made important contributions to food utilization aspects of household food security. 3. Food availability, the crucial constituent of food security in rural Ethiopia where mixed farming system prevails, could have been more enhanced if livestock feed development, perennial crops such as fruits, private woodlots intended for the VII I - n . . . ··:?.':! . ~ i ' :-:~· .. -...... ·~. :~~ ... market, irrigation, and horticultural crops were more emphasized in terms of program scope and resource allocation. 4. The main strategies the projects pursued are focus on food security, emphasis to conservation-based development and targeting the poor. While accepting the appropriateness of the strategies, it is argued that the inadequate attention given to capacity building at the local and community levels is not consistent with the strategies. 5. There are observations attesting that farmers are accepting that it is they themselves who should assume the lead role in conservation development to day more than before, and this is attributable to the role the projects have been playing to raise awareness. viii u 1 -.! ·': ·o￾m a - - u fl g D l I -1 'i ; ·1 D ·~ . B 0 m I a f 1 bl m .; n Ll <' ~ -~ ~ ':w ru ~ . ~;{. ·...::;1;:.:·!!1it- .... ·.· I'•'••"' •• " • • ·•• •'>"J, 1'.'o'• \,/ I :, .: ... ,:; •. ,jlJillj;j!J;:i:,, __ " __ ' ----- .".:. .. :.'! A summary of SO and IR results of Title II projects by CS "' 'j ,-!'.,"';,: . 1r- "., • " It'' ;,[- '·""1-! '',"'.' "'," '," 1 ':· ':"'11' '.'(" """. "" '."'i"J'I'" .,,. •'.'N'i•' " ;j' ;·11; ,,., n) "•': .. , ·; ·i' I'',•:;':'":/;-.•'' .,,,.' 1 · '··i··.' 1. I 11 ,.:·1'•,,f· 1 • • .':. :\ ·J '• ' 'U'"' "f l , ,'A•J-:: ... .. ... ) ' ' ,1 -::ft"A"'•,,i\';, (.;: Q.'""', ... .. ,,.·(,"' 'fl f'r'o...4 _i;, '1' ·,,'..',"' ,:: ,.· . ·-:' .,.J. .. -. . .. ::.: . .. .. ,,;:d , ...... , ,,, """'"· .. '"\' ' ' ,r.. . . jr, "., "1;i.J,1·1I 'lr,,,y i t'i':c I f>:1.1;v;\\l !•·:r .. '[ ' ·u:,;;; ' . . . ' '''""' r'-f, : .... . ;)t'., "·''. · • . · · '· .. Oo1e % I NA \ 18.6 I 52.2 I 43.7 I 56.8 I 34.3 I 66.6 I 54.5 I 85.9 I 56.5 I 11.9 I 46.1 I 45.4 I 40.5 I 65.9 I 39.6 I 61.1 I 39.5 WAI Use of severe coping 1997- strateQies 2000 - . - 124.6 - 118.5 . 78.1 - 80.0 - 96.9 - 58.3 - 90.4 99.4 length of peri.od households had food Mont shortaoe h NA 6.7 5.6 5.1 5.2 4.6 5.5 5.7 8.8 5.3 4.1 3.6 2.2 1.4 5.5 4.3 5.6 4.7 12. IR1-Jncreased Agricultural Production Barely yield Ko/ha NA NA 532 690.9 942.7 390.25 923 386 885 532 668.8 NA 872.7 201 .3 747.1 366.74 796 Wheat ' . NA NA 8.67 630 825.7 437.7 884 416 923.9 532 8.47.3 NA 584 222.4 542 447.62 782 Te ff .. .. 766.6 5.53 612.7 636 651.6 322.5 674.2 263.7 793.4 532 797 NA 693 165 591.5 320.8 698 Maize " . 581 .5 6.10 601.9 332.7 988.6 274.25 758.7 206 946.3 532 998.6 NA 322.3 238 647.8 365.5 836.5 Sorahum " ' 512.2 8.55 639.6 354.5 1051 248.7 628.7 - 833.7 532 788.8 NA 148.4 72 743.4 412.4 763.7 Overall cereal NA production Ka/hh NA 581 NA 522 NA 446 NA 516 NA 361 NA 345 329 I NA I 427 I NA I 435 Household used - fertilizers % NA 1.3 16.5 31 .6 29.8 25.5 13.25 22 22.6 6.7 - 42.5 16.1 \ 40.7 i 40.1 I 21 I 26.6 Household used improved seed % NA 0.6 38.5 22.9 3 7.9 2.9 7.3 17.8 0.82 . 12.2 - 1.65 j 1.2 I 21.5 I 5.9 \ 12.5 Used improved farming iractices % NA I 21.1 I . I 44.2 I NA I 44.1 I 53.4 I 47.8 I 29 \ 63.3 I NA I 44.4 I NA I 16.7 I 21 .3 I 83.1 I 35 I 48.o lrriQated area Ha. NA . - 145.48 - 3.3 55.3 229 5.1 9.7 NA 1.75 I NA I 0.75 I - I 8.4 I 60.4 J 398.4 3. IR2 - Increased livestock ownershiQ I TLU I - I . I 2.63 I 1.60 I 2.13 J 1.49 I 2.82 11.94 11.s1 11.40 I 3.98 I 2.14 I 2.61 I 6.o9 I 2.83 11.80 I 2.66 1 2.11 Physical asset ownershi of HH Radio No. - 0.05 0.08 0.19 0.2 0.18 0.04 0.16 0.01 0.02 0.11 0.26 0.33 0.40 0.05 0.20 0.12 0.18 • Stunting figures are as it June 200 I ,. f ' @l I " .i: J / ,.;. " •I ....... • _ , .. . .... . , ..... 1- ,,.·. S t' .: .· I I ix •••• • : : 1 •• :.:. ·:·rt!··:t:· ... . ! .. •• :. .. : .. . ,. " l " lf •" .. , r ,.,, • ' • . . i ... 1 • " ·r. . . . ... .. '.: ; .. ... ... ;, :1 .... . . .. " .. Table Wooden framed bed Cart Plouoh Watches Blankets HH that didn't add any luxurv food items 4. IR3 -lmoroved Health Status Prevalence of diarrhea occurrence among children 0-59 months old Children under weioht Households using rotected water source Deliveries attended by TIBAs HH that visited health posts twice in last six months % % Lit/da / 0.08 I 0.03 I 0.08 0.12 I 0.10 I o o.08 I 0.01 I O.Q7 I 0.02 0.14 0.50 I 1.01 I 0.03 I 0.27 0.08 0.16 0.01 I 0.01 I 0.06 0.07 I o.07 I 0.19 0.17 I 0.01 I 0.26 I o 0.04 0.35 I 0.10 I 0.25 I o.55 0.11 0.24 0.01 I o.oo 0.01 I 0.07 I o o I 0.01 I o I o 0.28 0.01 I o.04 I 0.01 I 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.62 I 1.42 I 0.83 1.06 I 0.42 I 0.83 0.79 I 0.69 I 0.52 1.17 0. 12 I o.97 I o.79 11.14 0.99 0.80 o.05 I 0.11 I o.25 0.25 I o.15 I o.05 0.08 I 0.02 I o.o3 I 0.14 0.21 0.35 I 1.79 I 0.13 I 0.49 0.18 0.38 0.17 I 0.84 I 0.48 I 0.39 I o.51 I 0.33 I o.34 I 0.11 I 0.08 I 0.46 I o.71 I 0.63 I 0.80 I 0.79 I o.67 I 0.54 I 0.48 NA I 8.0 I 64.4 I 62 I 62.5 I 62.0 I 82.2 I 80.5 I 98.2 I 91 .8 I 65.6 I 61.7 I 47.3 I 43.7 I 72.8 I 72.5 I 69.6 I 67.7 NA NA I 13 I 7.7 14 I 4.8 I 8.8 I 6.2 I 17.7 I 4.2 I 1.2 6.6 24.1 I 6.7 I 9 111.9 12.7 5.3 NA NA I 42.7 I 44.9 41.7 I 24.2 I 47.7 I 50.8 I 63.9 I 38.4 I 57.9 51 33.2 I 44.9 I 48. 1 I 37.9 45.4 41.1 NA NA 177.441 30.8 142.32 1 42.5 50.7 81.9 I 24. 94 I 26.1 I 29. 79 58.3 35.671 36.1 133.18 1 60.6 36.3 44.2 NA NA 36.7 61.8 31.6 I - I 50 39.5 69.45 I - I 32.1 NA 40 NA I NA 27.2 21.9 18.2 17.8 25 26.35 27.6 I NA I 20.5 Amountofwaterused l vi hhl NA I NA 144.42145.8 l41.51 l 34.8l36.29 [ 31.2 l32.19 [ 27.2 l39.62 1 39 155.42 138.5 137.54 134 I 40.63 135.7 5. IR4 -Natural Resource Based maintained 1. Communal land reclaimed through physical and biolooical means I Ha. 2. Soil deposited behind check dam NA I 150 I NA I 160 I NA I 32 I NA I 21,446 L 3. Soil deposited ·-- behind hillside - - - - - - - m;'J l'kim mm m::rJ .... .z,t. .:. .le: ;.., _ , : " ' ••• .. t:::l !!\"'P ... Y"" lioilo;..;"" l ·::. • > M t .. . . ..... . . x .... ... '" °i!) . :: f:::r:J I .i. • • • )i.~f~J:: .. /l. ..: .. :.:H ___ .. _:Jillf~:{ . ·:. : ~::.;~ t\)~jg~~· . -:. _.:. :~: ~ ..... ·-·~.:; ~ ... :.~ ~: .. ~.J1iliJH~;!;~ ill~~~~~1::'.:_: ~~ .. d~illili ... ·-· ..... t!n~ -E · 'i.·< .. : : :t:;:~~m: terrace 6. JR5 - Emergency Response Caoac ~ Enhanced 1. Appreciate updated disaster plan in lace NA Yes NA Yes NA Yes NA 2. Access to early warn in NA Yes NA Yes NA Yes NA Source: Baseline survey 1997 and Evaluation Survey "· ' , · ·· . ... '. Yes NA Yes : Yes NA Yes , .·' . . NA NA p;" ~h'i .;.q;f".,'1: Yes Yes • • .: • ..1 .... ... :· ,;: 11 NA Yes NA Yes NA NA Yes NA Yes NA \" Yes I Yes ... .. ... \ ..... '. ... ::.::j~ .. ... . ' l.1 . " :....:~; xi ..;·:1il1::0.1 ~?.;~~ 12 . j ':•.-. I ... j - I .~.1 J ! - :· ... Recommendations 1. Land degradation is perhaps the single most important development problems in Ethiopia. There are reliable sources that claim that economic livelihood based on agricultural production may cease to exist over the next 50 years in most project areas unless the process of degradation is reduced and eventually halted. There is strong rationale to continue placing the focus of attention both in terms of scope and resource allocation on rehabilitation of natural resources. 2. Conservation-based development in Ethiopia requires a structural change. Land use and farming practices that aggravate land degradation need to be controlled through appropriate measures, mostly action programs and policy, especially in the highlands of the Amhara and Tigray Regional States. This would require a huge investment in road infrastructure, incentives to move from annual to perennial crop economy, long term investment credit targeting livestock feed and breed development, a shift to hoe culture with the attendant change in crop program once again away from field crops to root crops, etc. The OAP programs in North Wello, South Gonder, Tigray and similar other places should be designed in this spirit. 3. An element of vital importance for sustainable irrigation is the training of fanners in various techniques of irrigation water management including proper timing and methods of application, amount required, supply schedule, water budgeting, and choice of crops and agronomic techniques. Although the degree varies, sloppiness was observed in projects where there are operating irrigation schemes. Capacity building of CBOs is critically important in such schemes, and this needs· to be focused in future programs. 4. There are signals indicating that communities are not making good use of protected water sources. One such signal is the lack of association between stunting prevalence and use of protected water sources. The same is true with households reporting vegetable production. This calls for intensified health education that any future programs need to duly note. 5. Project sustainability is a function of (1) active and authentic community participation and (2) the existence of close relationship and coordination with other agencies, including government, implementing programs similar to that of the projects. Both areas require increased attention. In the case of the first, the measures involve training, frequent follow-on training programs, leadership training, experience sharing visits, technical assistance, putting in place systems and procedures, etc. In the second it is largely having the will, determination and commitment to develop good working relation. There should be willingness on the part of the project staff to assume the lead role. Having regularly held forurris to discuss common problems, seek joint solutions and draw follow-on action plans could help. xiii ·n n · 0 !~ i: u f1 . j .. J , . ..., j ! i i ;._) n Ll ,: i ! \ \ \ \ 1 \· ' I \ 6. Construction of soil bund on grazing land that has little or no erosion problem was observed in some projects. Since it practically serves no purpose, such practice should be discouraged. 7. Indicators specified to measure project results pertaining to the IR4 are not practical and therefore not applicable .. It is suggested that the following indicators should be opted for in the future OAP. • Percentage of trees planted that established well in the communal woodlots; • Vegetation cover attained; • Native species of trees regenerated in ·the enclosed areas; and • Depth of soil trapped inside checkdams XIV l i ~ .--. J . ; ··:.· -, ·- ·'!.· I. ·. Introduction 1.1 Background to Title II Prograi:n This is a report on the final evaluation of USA ID-assisted Development Activity Proposals (DAP) in Ethiopia::. The assistance known as Title II Program focuses on food security with special attention to nutrition. The bulk of Title II assistance comes through local monetization of food aid resources obtained from the Agricultural Development and Trade Act of the US Government. Title JI Program started operation in Ethiopia in 1997 /98. Eight international and local NGOs (cooperating sponsors) currently run 52 urban and rural Title II projects in 22 zones, seven regional states, and two city administrations (Addis Ababa and Dire Dawa) 3 . Except Afar and Beneshangul Gumuz the rest of the regions are Title II Program beneficiaries. It reaches a total of some 78, I 00 rural households or an estimated number of 430,000 persons. The projects seek the objective of enhanced household food security~ · The rural ~ctivities aim at: • Raising agricultural production and productivity (crops and livestock); • Increasing household income through income generation initiatives; Improving health services in which water and nutrition feature prominently; • Conserving soils and water through physical and biological measures; and • Improving community and local capacity to more effectively respond to emergency. The urban projects place the focus on: • The provision of food to targeted households; • Physical infrastructures specially roads; • Creation of opportunities for income generation; • Skills upgrading and acquisition of new skills; • Improvement of environmental hygiene; and • Provision of sanitation facilities. Both rural and urban projects target vulnerable households. This report is on the rural part of the program. 2 The evaluation was carried out by a team of experts involving a nutritionist, an agronomist, a livestock expert, a conservationist, a health specialist, a gender expert, an economist, and a statistician. 3 The project holding NGOs are Africare, CARE-Ethiopia, Catholic Relief Services (CRS), Ethiopian Orthodox Church (EOC), Focld for the Hungry International (FHI), Relief Society of Tigray (REST), Save the Children /USA (SC/USA), and World Vision Ethiopia (WYE). fl u a ~ n LJ n Lt .. ~ S. ; . i L fl Li f! • ! Li . m a ~-;i Li a .... l ·:_ r. !:- 0 t:;_;. n ~ :• ; .{! ~= 1j < -~- ,_ 1· ' , ~~ ; 1 ?' .. e .. ~ :.1.!J.;: .:":::·, .. ·; -· ; ; ~~:.~~ .... :w ... -· ':~ - ... ! . ; 1.2 Purpose of the Evaluation The first cycle of project funding is nearing completion. Accordingly, the Cooperating Sponsors (CS) or the project holders agreed to carry out a final evaluation, which constitutes the basis of this report. As stipulated in the TOR, the final evaluation has two main objectives. The first is to determine the extent to which the projects have achieved the strategic objective (SO), "Enhanced Household Food Security". The second is to recommend practical and specific measures to better design and implement future DAPs based on the lessons learnt to date. The report is expected to contribute to the next cycle of Title II Program funding. 1.3 Food Security at the Country Level It seems in order to provide a backdrop of food security situation in Ethiopia in order to understand the contextual perspective of Title II Program interventions. The problem of food security, its magnitude, seriousness and severity is relatively well documented in Ethiopia. So are its causes and effects. Many reasons are given for the pervasive and worrisome nature of food insecurity for the large majority of urban and rural communities. Results of literature review the evaluation team has made and based on empirical experiences of members of the evaluation team, among an array of causes six seem to dwarf others. The first four are accountable for the chronic food insecurity that exists .in most, if not ali, parts of the country, obviously the extent of it varying from one place to another. The last two are the principal causes of transitory food insecurity that particularly affects relatively more marginalized areas. About 50 percent of the population is believed to be living in these areas (Food Security Strategy, 1996). The first of these causes is urban and rural unemployment. Data on unemployment are scanty in Ethiopia. But it is common knowledge that it is huge. A study carried out in 1999 in two woredas in Addis Ababa (Propride, an indigenous NGO) reveals that unemployment at the time was over 30 percent. Rural unemployment could be lower, but it is reasoned that it is a major cause of household food insecurity. The Propride survey further indicates that the communities believe that unemployment is the single most important cause of urban poverty and thus food insecurity. Secondly, abu.sive use of natural resources, especially land, has been undermining agricultural productivity. Erosion and degradation-mduced loss of soil fertility is one of the main reasons for exceedingly low crops and livestock productivity. EARO sources indicate that some 40 percent of productive soil is already lost due to degradation and unless it is considerably reduced, production could not be possible at all in the next 40 to 50 years in about 50 percent of the drought-prone and degraded areas of the country. The third factor is the long history of the country that has been characterized by the absence of good governance. The lack 2 ... ··' : I of democratic tradition did not allow authentic participation of urban and rural communities in development matters 4 • Fourth, there has been lack of people-centered development policies and the attendant failure to emancipate the overwhelming majority of rural households from the shackle of using primitive means and methods of production. Over 70 percent of farms are more than a half day walk from all weather road limiting access to markets immensely. Road density in 1996 was estimated to be 0.40 km per 1000 population and the situation has not changed much since then. Education, health and water coverages in rural Ethiopia remain disappointingly low. Although the use of chemical fertilizer has become a necessity due to loss of soil fertility almost everywhere in the country, yet a large portion of farmers located in less accessible areas do not use fertilizers for lack of defensible price support. r·Another major concern of food security is the ever increasing variability and ·unpredictability of weather, particularly rainfall. It is common knowledge that there is considerable variability and diversity in the amount of rainfall within the - country. The analysis of rainfall record in the period 1961-87 shows that variability was highest in Tigray where the coefficient of variation was 29 while the lowest was JO in Gojam (Food Security Strategy, 1996). The variability is worsening, area experiencing rainfall shortage is ever widening, and distribution of rains is changing almost yearly. In the traditionally drought -prone areas of the country, rainfall annually received and its distribution is not adequate to sustain the most drought-tolerant crops currently available. Rainfall shortage is establishing permanency in the usually drought-prone areas of the country. Finally, lack of security in the country has been an important food security factor. Wars, especially civil war, have been a major development problem in Ethiopia. The long -drawn civil war during the Derg regime and the more recent Ethio￾Eriteran conflict disrupted development and caused a huge loss of productive resources with immense implications for food security. These and other related factors led to the prevalence of severe and pervasive food insecurity in the country. Available data indicate that stunting and other :.deficiencies are rampant and serious in the country. The 1992 national rural . nutrition survey indicates that country -wise some 64 percent of the children under _,,five years of age were stunted at the time, with considerable regional variability. More than 30 percent of children experienced significant illness by their first anniversary. There were, on average, 4-5 episodes of diarrhea annually among children. Only 25 percent of the relevant population had been immunized against measles. Rural water coverage was under 10 percent, and access to health and sanitation facilities was significantly lower than water ~overage. 4 It should be noted that there have been some positive changes since government change in 1991. Among those of significance to household food security include: (1) relatively more regional autonomy; ( 2) Deregulation of grain and input markets; (3) enhanced commitment to population policy and family planning; (4) the existence of market-responsive foreign-exchange management; and (5) lr~ngthening of hum an resources al the regio nal l e v el and below. 3 n u G ~ i ... n • t t;;: i-_·j n Ll ·--~ u n E : Ll [] , ~JJ ~.,__~~ ~·~:· ~ .. -1 . • I . --~ . i ·•. ~ ·:1 ·' i ® -:·· - .: .. .. ~f~\~~~~1 ..... __ - ·: ..... -~ }}~~;::~- ~~§~~\% : ·_-.. ---. ·:· . .- ~; ... ···..=.. -. A rural nutrition survey Addis Ababa University had carried out in collaboration with Oxford University in 1996 indicates that one-third of the children in the surveyed areas were severely stunted. The prevalence of wasting was reported in 10-14% of the children. The 1996 CSA study reveals that 65% (urban 68%, rural 50%) of children were stunted. Boys were more affected than girls_ The most recent Demography and Health Survey (OHS, 2000) of CSA indicates that chronic malnutrition among children is very high; about one in two children stunted and one in four severely. The same survey reveals that wasting among children aged 5-59 months was 11 % (1 % severely) and underweight was 47% (16% severely). Among nutritional problems, \. ~~ ::~F \~}_. ... : ~· · •. 4:-~.\ ?.-~· :. •. , . . ff:~!~~-~~ ~ Eastern • South • Borena • Guraghe • Gog • Liben Gonder Woreda • (Zone 1 ?) Central • No rt Ir • East • Hadiya We/lo Hararglte • South • West . We/lo Hararglte South • EastShoa • Tye la i • West Sito a ,, , - Population of the l ! . three zones 2.8 million 3.6 million 7.6 million 6.3 million 0.15 million (CSA, 2000) (CSA, 2000) (CSA, 2000) (CSA, 2000) (Region, 200 I) There are • There are • There are . There are • There is one eight Title II six Title II twenty three Title II Projects in Projects in Title II Title II Project in the the zones the zones Projects in Projects woreda the zones in the areas In addition to these, there are Title II activities in the rural part of Dire Dawa and Harari. Title II urban programs are mainly in Addis Ababa. 0.018 million (Region, 200 I) • There is one Title II Projects in the zone There are empirical experiences suggesting that food security problems in the Title II areas are more serious in the country since most of the zones are located in drier parts of the country. However, according to the assessment the evaluation team has made the major causes of food insecurity and the attendant results are similar to the national sitliation discussed above. In spite of the fact that the drier·parts like Title II project areas are relatively less endowed, government development programs designed to address food security problems have been favoring rainfall reliable areas. Despite the bias, an attempt the evaluation team made to analyze grain production, productivity and per capita grain production in the Title II zones in the period 1999/00 - 0 I reveals that food availability from own production is not significantly lower than the national average in most cases. The results are presented below. 6 5! .. ' .. ~ .. . . r..-;: . :. . i ···i . j · .. ~!:l. ........ -.. Per capita grain production (Kg) (National average: 1999100-144 2000101 -174) Ti gray Am hara Oromia • Eastern: 117 (65%) • South Gonder: 137 (76%) • Borena : 45 (25%) 119 (66%) 153 (85%) 66 (37%) • Central: 188 (104%) • North Wello: 140 (78%) • East Hararghe: l 09 ( 61 % ) 157 (87%) 153 (85%) 136(76%) • Southern: 144 80%) • West " : 180 (103%) . 149 (83%) 210 (117%) • East Shoa: 223 (124%) 273 (152%) • West Shoa~ 203 (113%) 249 (138%) - SNNP Gambela Soma lie ,. • Guraghe: 93 (52%) • Gog Woreda: 236 (131%) Liben: 6 (3%) 127 (70%) 12 (7%) • Hadiya: 81 (45%) 148 (82%) • Wolayeta: 63 (35%) 105 (58%) N.B I. The first figure across each zone is per capita grain production for I 999/00 and the second for 2000/01 2. Figures in brackets are per capita grain production expressed as percent of the threshold (survival need) of 180 kg/person/year. 3. Except in the case of Gog (Gambella) and Liben (Somalie), the sources are CSA 1999/00 and 2000/01 Agricultural Surveys and Population Projections contained in the 1994 Population Census. The Gog and Liben figures are extrapolated from data the Woreda Agricultural Office provided to the evaluation team. 4. The figures in SNNP zones are low because grain crops are not as dom inant as in others zones where mixed fanning system is practiced. Literature review results also indicate that labor and land productivity in the Title II zones is not significantly inferior either to the regional or to the national figures. The 2000/01 CSA cereal productivity figures reveal that maize and sorghum yields (two crops more widely grown in most project areas) are close to or at par with the regional aiid national values. For example, based on the CSA survey: • Yields of teff and sorghum accounting for 44% of crop area in the Central Zone of Tigray were at about the same level as the national average. Barley and wheat (62% of crop area) yields were in fact slightly better. • In South Gonder and North Wello cereal yields (except sorghum) were lower by 26-32 percent than the regional average in 2000/01. Sorghum yield (an important crop in North Wello) was higher by over I 0 percent compared to the regional and national averages. 7 u A if} q , i· ~ ~J ;·~ ii ~ ;;: '.J; a ~ B B [j 0 n u a p 'i u a _, ' a ., a :~ 1; -~i Li 11 .. l . ~ Li . . j w '! l ( ~ "" •'!' ~ . a ' - -~! !l ;_ ~ ti \ Y.-o~~~- . ,, ~i~ 11 .: :f;.t:;; ... ·. :~ ... ·············• ::. :: :,;. :::~. -:·.:;, II ·.:::_·-::-_:_:.._:.-·_: ·--_: -";.:_ ... t l I ' ~ ·. • In the Oromiya zones, cereals yields were higher or al par with the regional figures. Even in Borena, barley (a major crop) was not any worse than the national average. • In the Guraghe and Hadiya Zones ofSNNP, cereal yields were considerably higher than either the regional or national yield figures. The opposite was true in the case of Welayita. Yield figures in 1996/97 and 1999/0 I showed the same trend. It is likely that higher family size and lower land holding account for relatively lower per capita grain production in the Title II zones, and not the significantly inferior productivity. Zonal level data on food indicators are not available. If the evidences pertaining to production and productivity discussed above are anything to go by, it is possible that the magnitude of food problem in the Title II Program zones is not considerably inferior compared to the national situation. Still, the lower per capita food production coupled with persisting rainfall shortage their selection for Title 11 interventions seems justified. The rational for selection of Title II woredas could even be stronger. It is true that the food security situation at the zonal level might not represent the realities in the Title ll woredas. Food security and nutrition data at the woreda level are even scantier, if there are any at all. But empirical observations abound that the overwhelming majority of the Title II woredas are hugely marginalized where rainfall shortage is relatively more serious and frequent, land degradation is relatively more severe, non-farm income generating opportunities are punier, soCial infrastructures like health facilities and schools are less provided with, road density is lower, etc. Because of this, the anticipation is that food insecurity in the woredas is relatively wider and more severe compared to the zones. There are empirical results confirming the anticipation. Data assembled from some woreda agricultural offices during the evaluation indicate that per capita grain production in the woredas is lower by 17 -35 percent compared to the respective zonal level figures. Because of the precarious food situation that characterizes the Title II woredas, they might benefit more from safety net programs and NGO development efforts as well as relief operations. It cannot, however, be ascertained whether such incremental benefit offsets the production loss due to disadvantages households face in these woredas. Whichever way the argument goes, there is reason to believe that the objective conditions prevailing in the Title II woredas deserve household food security enhancing development projects like those of Title II. 1.5 Title II Program in the Context of National Food Security Strategy Ethiopia has region-specific and national food security strategies (FSS). The strategies seek the attainment of sustained household food security through increased productivity and producti~m and improved opportunities to raise income. 3 .. .· . . ~ . .;~ : ... ~ ::: ... ~~- ~~- 1~~ .~--~ . ::-~J. ...... : .. -- ::- ·. The strategies place the focus on resource-poor, drought-prone and marginalized areas in each region. Moreover, the strategics advocate sustainable, consl'.rvation- . based and environmentally friendly development approach in all development efforts directed at achieving the food security objective. The preparation of Participatory Poverty Reduction Strategy is underway at the national level. Since solutions to poverty and food insecurity arc coterminous, the Poverty Reduction Strategy is bound to re-enforce the food security strategy. These strategies invite public and private sectors, PVOs and NGOs to actively participate in the designing and implementation of development programs consistent with the FSS. Title II projects, strongly subscribe to the goals and objectives of the strategies. They underpin disadvantaged areas. They underline conservation-based, sustainable development. They seek authentic community participation as an objective in all aspects of their operation. 9 u fl j,·l .. n --~ ' , :-:; ~j ;n l. l 1 l'-1 B 9 v. 9 ~ . fl L~l . n 1 u t·~ H 'l...·:l n LI f 1 Ll g n l:i m . , . . ~-l· B ,. . .. fl p Ll ,. n b ' itif ~l '· IP' t~ 1 , . ..... : 't". I .... , .. -~ . ' i . i ! -=- i . ;..;:-; !.-'J~: II. Methodology Data needed for the evaluation were obtained through (1) household questionnaire survey; (2) participatory semi-structured surveys; (3) secondary sources including project documents; and (4) personal observations of members of the evaluation teams. Each is briefly outlined below. 2.1 Household Questionnaire Survey (a) Rural 2.1.1 Sampling Frame The list of peasant associations (PA) in each woreda was obtained from the 1994 Population and Housing Census of Ethiopia. It is used for ·the selection of Primary Sampling Units (PSU)5 • To select the ultimate sampling units (households), a fresh list of households was prepared by the enumerators in the sampled PAs using a prescribed listing instruction. 2.1.2 Sample Design To meet the objectives and requirements of the survey, a stratified two-stage cluster sample design was used for the selection of ultimate sampling units. The project woredas were treated as a stratum and peasant associations formed the primary sampling units. The secondary (ultimate) sampling units were households for which the survey questionnaire was administered. 2.1.3 Determination of Sample Size To determine the sample size required for each stratum (woreda) the following ·cases were taken into consideration: The proportion of stunted children aged 6-59 months was obtafoed from the 1997 Title II Special Objective-Food Security and Nutrition Baseline Survey. The proportion of children aged 6-59 months and average household size were obtained from the 1994 Population and Housing Census. The Confidence interval of90% is con·sidered adequate. The design effect, intra-cluster correlation coefficient, response rate and coverage rate were computed from different surveys carried out by CSA, namely the 1996 and 1998 Welfare Monitoring Surveys, the 1998 Health and Nutrition Survey and the 1999 Labour Force Survey. 5 CSA updates annually changes in the constitution of PAs and woredas that has been laking place from time to time, and the 2000 adjusted frame was used in the selection . JO .·.:; .:.-1 ., . ~ ! From these cases the following results were taken as input for the calculation of the sample size: L The estimate of the proportion of stunted children aged 6-59 months= 0.61 2. Average household size+ 4.8 3. The desired precision or acceptable error= 0.1 (assumed) 4. The two-tailed value of the standardized normal deviation associated with the 90% confidence level = 1.645 (a = 0.10) The required sample size (children) for the estimation of proportion of stunted children is: n= (0.61) (0.39) 0.645)1 = 64 (0.1/ =..- From the 1994 Population and Housing Census, the proportion of children aged 6- 59 months out of the rural population was 0.17387. Hence, the expected number of children in the age group 6-59 months per household was equal to 0.8346 (0.17387 x 4.8). Accordingly, the required sample size was 17 households. As indicated above, the design was not a stratified random sample but rather a stratified cluster sample, thus the sample size required for cluster design would be smaller or larger depending on whether the cluster design was more or less efficient than the random sample design. Asswning the design effect being equal to 2, the adjusted sample size became 17 x 2 = 154 households. From the national sample surveys CSA conducted between years 1996-1999, the overall response rate was 90 - 99% and the coverage rate 95%. From these results, it is known that the response rate was 90% and coverage rate 95%. By adjusting the required sample size for both non-response and non￾coverage rates, the final sample size was fixed at 180 households (154/0.9 x 0.95). Therefore, a sample size of 180 households was required for each woreda to obtain a reliable estimate for the given precision level. . . For the 1997 Title II Special Objective-Food Security and Nutrition Baseline Survey, pair selection of PAs was made for each woreda to make the design cost￾effective. From similar surveys CSA conducted, the intra-cluster coefficient was 0.35. This indicates that households within any PSU has similar characteristics or there was much more variability between the PSUs than from within. Therefore, it was decided to select three peasant associations in each woreda to make the design more efficient than the pair selection option. Thus, the coverage was 60 households per PA. 2.1.4 Selection of Primary Sampling Units Two PA' s covered in the 1997 Base Line Survey were automatically chosen for the survey, while the third PA was selected by probability proportional to size, 11 u 0 n A . ~ ... u n u t"·1 . ' i; I.:. ~ fl u .... , .. . .\ p t;,I p t : L ~ I :;f:~ . i ; :;.:· •. :! .~~~ ~ : .. , ·;~: ' : -~-1 i =~ "~ .. !'!- · ~'~! ;~1 :~ .: ·- ·! .· ":'; ; -~ ·- · ' \;:.; .. :'.1 ., , .... .. -::: _, :~ "-' •[J :?;f~; :-::...~ Xt~ ;~~ , c:;:-;J ~"':.:'=, :;:~ ~ ·I , -. .. - ·: .. ' .,. ·~ ·:· 'i ··• -.. i' ,: . .. ; ·.: ~_; ~;1'\~ _; ::-. .:L ..... , ... .. size being total number of households obtained from the 1994 Population and Housing Census. In the case of projects not covered in the 1997 survey, three PA 's were randomly selected. 2.1.5 Fresh Listing of Households and Selection of Households for Interview In each sampled peasant association, a fresh listing of households was carried out by going from house to house numbering them serially. From the list 60 households were selected systematically with a random start_ The sampling interval for each PA was determined by dividing the total number of households by 60. The systematic random sampling technique was employed here because its application is simple and flexible, and it can easily yield a proportionate sample. {b) Urban The 200 I Title II Project Final Evaluation Survey was designed to provide data on relevant characteristics for Addis Ababa. 2.1.1 Sampling Frame The list of kebeles, which was provided by CARE-Ethiopia, was used for the ·• selection of Primary Sampling Units (PSU). For the selection of ultimate sampling units (households), a fresh list of households was prepared by the enumerators in the sample kebeles using a prescribed listing instructions. 2.1.2 Sample Design To meet the objectives and requirements of the survey, unstratified two-stage cluster sample design was used for the selection of ultimate sampling units. The primary sampling units and the secondary (ultimate) sampling units were kebeles and households, respectively. 2.1.3 Determination of Sample Size To determine the sample size required for Addis Ababa the following steps were used. I. Since similar surveys were not done before and the proportion or standard deviation of the attribute of interest was not known, the sample households required was calculated as follows: n= (404783)(1.96)2*0.25 = 384 households (0.05/ (404782)(1.96/* 0.25 12 !il :~i - ' .- ' ·. where. 404783 is the total household size as obtained from the 1994 population census. l .96 is the number of standard deviation units of the sampling distribution corresponding lo the 95% confidence level. 0.05 is the design precision level 0.25 is a constant (p=q=0.5). 2. The assumed design effect (as estimated from the 1998 Welfare Monitoring Survey, CSA) is 3, and the adjusted sample is 384 x 3 = 1152 households. 3. Adjusting the sample size for the 20% non-response rate and I 0% non￾coverage rate the sample households required for the survey is 1600. By considering the intra-cluster correlation coefficient obtained from the household surveys conducted by the CSA, the number of households interviewed per kebele for the survey was 80. Hence, 20 kebeles were cov~red and the selection of kebeles from a list provided by CARE was done using probability proportional to size, size being th~ tgtal number of households obtained from the 1994 population census. 2.1.4 Sample Selection of Primary Sampling Units The selection of kebeles was done by probability proportional to size, size being total number of households obtained from the 1994 population and housing census. The proportional allocation method was used to allocate sample kebeles to . . each wereda. The weredas are those in which the CSs have been operating). 2.1.5 Fresh Listing of Households and Selection of Households for Interview In each sampled kebeles, a fresh listing of households was carried out by visiting each housing unit. Following the preparation of a complete list of households the households were serially numbered. From the list 80 households were selected systematically with a random start. The sampling interval for each kebele was determined by dividing the total number of households by 80. The systematic random sampling technique was employed here because of its simplicity in application and flexibility, since it can easily yield a proportionate sample. 2.2 Participatory Semi-Structured ~urveys The first of such surveys was focus group discussions with three groups of beneficiaries: (1) mixed persons with age, sex, and wealth/social status considerations; (2) resource poor; and (3) women only. The plan was to have 12, (at least 5 women) 9 and 6 persons in the first, second and third groups, respectively. The application was to hold one discussion of each type per project. Numerically 40 discussions were to be held of each type in all the rural projects. That is, a total of 1080 persons (480 mixed, 360 resource poor, and 240 women 13 ~ n\ ... · f"" .. (I t- •••. :; .. -; ~ f l ' ·:···! t 1 u f1 \-.::.' Pl d ~ - A l l Li n u n u u j r;·~ i·: L.J Fl F::'"'i 0 \ :! ~ , a u .5 J ~ ~ -- -~ ~~1 l·) --~ i:...: .! £"• -~ Ll ~· ~ 1..4 :1 ""'1 .. - _, •] .,, .. .- . ' : 'l ·:.: only) were scheduled to participate in the discussions. The dis.cussion points were pre-prepared. They centered around relevance and appropriateness of project · interventions, community participation, institution capacity building, gender, and sustainability. The tum out was as planned in all cases but one. In the mixed group discussions, the percentage of women who participated was 25%, much less than the anticipated (42%). The second semi-structured survey was interviews with key informants. The survey involved all sampled PA's. The plan was to interview four reputed, elderly persons (two from each sex) in each sample PA. The persons did not need to be direct beneficiaries. The criteria for the selection were knowledge of socio￾economic realities in the particular community and a certain level of familiarity with the projects' interventions. The guide questions for the interview were again pre-prepared. The particular interest in the survey was to capture trends or changes in food availability, access, income, the state of natural resources over time. The plan was to hold 160 interviews in all the projects. The turnout was 100%. Tb.e third semi-structured survey involved agriculture and health offices and councils in the project woredas. The purpose was to monitor coordination between the project and relevant line offices, infonnation flow and feedback procedures, opinions about project perfonnance and results, sustainability, etc. Once again, the points to be raised with the woreda offices were prepared in advance. Except in a few projects, the planned interviews were held mostly with health and water officers. 2.3 Secondary Sources The 1997 Baseline Survey, together with DAP documents the CS furnished, was the principal reference to the: • Preparation of the survey instruments, notably the questionnaire; • Chapter that presents the project results . 2.4 Data Analysis 2.4.1 Anthropometric Measurements All the children between 6-59 months in the sample households were included in the anthropometric measurement. Weight was measured by using hand-operated weighing scale of 130 kg capacity to the nearest 0.1 kg, and height was measured using a Harpender Stadiometer to the nearest 0.1 cm. Length board was used for infants and children who were not able to stand. The three indices of nutritional status: height- for-age, weight- for-age and weight-for-height Z-scores of the children were computed to estimate the overall prevalence of stunting, underweight and wasting, respectively, using the WHO/CDC/NCHS reference values. A cut-off point of less than - 2 SD was considered low nutritional status and values greater than or equal to -2 SD normal. 14 ' . i I ' ~. ·: ' ! . · .. i . : ' j .-·::-{ -:! . ! ·- ; : .:·: j -... .i .: ··: The Z- scores were calculated with the help of appropriate software packages (dBase, EPl-INFO and SPSS Programs) developed by WHO and the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) (5-8). Waterlow's classification (9) are applied in the analysis. a. Normal (ZWH> - 2.00 and ZHA >-2 .00) for nonnal; b. Stunted, ZWH >-2.00 and ZHA < -2.00 for stunting; c. Wasted, ZWH< -2.00 and ZHA>-2.00 for wasting; and d. Wasted and stunted, ZWH<-2.00 and ZHA<-2.00 which is for underweight children. Height and weight of biological parents were not measured, since the requirement for the analysis was focused on children of s; 5 years. P- value of less than five percent (<5%) was considered statistically significant. 2.4.2 Comparative Analysis In 1997 the CS's carried out a baseline survey covering most Title II assisted projects. The main purpose of the survey was to provide a database needed to monitor the progress of project activities and measure their impacts. Accordingly, the survey established base-year or benchmark values for indicators the CS 's and the donor agreed upon to measure perfonnance and impacts. The indicators are shown below by the Special Objective and Intermediate Results. Special Objective: Enhanced Household Food Security in Target Areas Indicators: (a) Improved nutritional status of children (b) Decreased time household does not have sufficient food to eat ( c) Decreased use of adverse coping strategies Intermediate Result No. 1: Increased Agricultural Production Indicators: (a) Yield increase (barley, wheat, teff, maize and sorghum) (b) Overall production increase (barley, wheat, teff, maize and sorghum) (c) Percentage of households that used chemical fertilizers (barley, wheat, teff, maize and sorghum) (d) Percentage of households that used improved seeds (barley, wheat, teff, maize and sorghum) 15 l"J a : r .1 ~ n n "C. "i ~A n l1 A H> rn . ~ tfil Fl L· • ;.· 1 {. l , :,J fl u .. u D r--1 I .; L..=I ~ £g ~ p Ll 0 : . f > I ·. L-" { ·: bJ 4 D . ~ ~%1 t~ . :-:. :-: ~ ..... .. ·· • ... t . . . · .. ....... '- Intermediate Result No. 2: Increased Household Income Indicators: (a) Percentage change in the number of livestock ownership in TLU (b) Improvement in physical asset ownership of household (c) Change in income from cash crop (d) Percentage of household that added luxury food items in their diet Intermediate Result No. 3: Improved Health Status Indicators: (a) Reduced prevalence of diarrhea diseases (b) Percentage of children underweight (c) Increase in access to potable water or protected water sources ( d) Percentage of deliveries attended by trained TBAs (e) Percentage of households that visited health posts twice in the last six months (f) Percentage of households having a vegetable garden for own consumption (g) Change in the amount of the household used per day Intermediate Result No. 4: Natural Resource Base Maintained Indicators: (a) Change in the size of communal land reclaimed with physical and biological means (b) Change in the amount soil deposited behind check dams (c) Change in the amount of soil deposited behind terraces ( d) Percentage of project interventions maintained Intermediate Result No. S: Emergence Response Capacity Enhanced Indicators: (a) Whether there is an approved disaster management plan in place (b) Access to local early warning information for the target areas The special objective, intermediate results and indicators mentioned above are primarily for the rural-based projects. The quantitative analysis plan of this evaluation is almost entirely based on the above framework. That is, the variables in the framework for which the 1997 baseline survey provides benchmark figures constitute the components of the quantitative analysis of this report. Quantitative results of the evaluation survey are compared with the 1997 baseline values for all indicators, where data are available, to record changes attributable to Title II interventions. Moreover, attempt is made to cross-tabulate the indicators 16 ·:....-.. with selected livelihood and other related variables. That is, simple regression analysi~ is made between SO indicators and selected variables 6 • The variables used for the cross-tabulation include: • Sex of the head of household • Livestock ownership • Family size • Ox ownership • Episode of illness • Income from all sources • Water source • Physical assets • Vaccination status • Food availability from all sources • Age supplementary feed started • Consumption of livestock product (the proxy was meat consumption) • Age breastfeeding stopped • Amount of water consumed • Maternal education • Use of pit latrine • Practicing horticulture production • Morbidity • Land holding These livelihood variables were selected because it is hypothesized that the provision or access to social infrastructures like health services, education, family planning, etc., and ownership of productive assets like land, livestock oxen, etc, are important determinants of well-being. Accordingly the knowledge or nature of the association between these variables and SO indicators, it is hoped, could provide useful tools to the designing of subsequent Development Activities Proposals. This means that nutrition and other SO indicators have been expressed as a function of: (1) Household head characteristics (selected) (2) Asset ownership (mainly physical) (3) Food availability (4) Income (5) Access to clean water (6) Morbidity Percentage reduction in the use of severe coping strategies is one of the three indicators chosen to measure the achievement of SO. This report, consistent with the 1997 baseline survey, assumed that the following variables constitute severe coping strategies: 1. Reducing amount of meals 2. Eating wild food 3. Selling ox or cow 4. Selling camel 5. Selling non-livestock productive assets 6. Withdrawing children from school 7. Distress migration 6 Jn the meeting held between CS and the evaluation team on September 17, 200 I, it was agreed to run a multiple regression analysis to see relations between the SO results and selected livelihood variables. The client in the meantime has assigned this task to another group and this report still contains only cross-tabulation results. 17 ,., . . l j . r~ . , i .;. i:.; n I :· t '. -~ ·..:,,. r L ,., k..?.;: %"f~ . . . ; ....:~~· .. .··.· · .. · ., ~ M:l r-, : ' :-.::: , . .. ·-:.· .. 2.5 Limitations Several problems were encountered during the data collection stage, which could have a bearing on the quality of data. The first is that households show a lot of impatience as well as reluctance to have their children measured. Mothers tend to involuntarily interfere with the measuring instruments while attempting to quieten the crying baby. This increases the chance to misread measurements. In future OAP evaluations, it seems prudent to separate the nutrition survey from other tasks of the evaluation and also accord more time to complete the survey. Another issue is that households have demonstrated a lot of caution to provide information pertaining to agricultural production. Although it was not often openly expressed, yet there 'was concern that providing data on production could result in the reduction of food aid, including FFW. To supplement the information that households provide with visual observations, it could be tactical to coincide data collection time with harvest, meher harvest in particular, in the future similar evaluation. Another important limitation was that figures the project staffs provided on plan and actual results or outputs did not always tally-with those given at the head office level. Where efforts made to reconcile the difference failed, the data furnished at the project sites have been taken. The question of manageability of the evaluation was in itself an important limitation. There are several points that make Title II Program in Ethiopia unique, so to speak. It operates more or less similar interventions using more or less same strategies or approaches in numerous places having different socio-economic backgrounds. It involves eight non-governmental organizations not exactly embracing same approaches to development, and also not having identical policies, strategies, operating procedures, etc. It has rural and urban programs. The fact that the evaluation has not reflected this uniqueness was a limitation. This report, in the opinion of the evaluation team, would have benefited immensely from breaking the sum total of the evaluation work into some more manageable parts (examples: urban, rural; nutrition, other interventions; pastoralist, mixed farming; cereal staple, tuber staple; and/or other combinations) and contracting out the job to two or more independent evaluating teams. Such an approach could be less cost-effective. But the trade-off between cost saving and quality compromise could have been rewarding. 18 . - -.ui.:u- ': ... -· ..... .. ·_. i --.. . ·. •· . ' ' :3,,. . t.,: ·~ Ill. Title II Program Results 3.1 Introduction This chapter deals with the major Title II results and issues that have been influencing the performance of the projects. The results come in three forms or categories: Outputs, Effects and Impacts. Outputs refer to the physical accomplishments from the various Title II activities over the project period. The outputs are compared to targets and wherever information is available differences between targets and achievements are explained. Effects in this case refer to the five intermediate results agreed upon by and between the project holders and the donor. Progress or the lack of it is discussed using indicators specified for the purpose. Indicator values come mainly from the 1997 baseline and 200 I household surveys. The intermediate results and their respective indicators are reiterated below for convenience. {.I) Intermediate Result One-Increased Agricultural Production The six indicators under JR I are: • Increase in yield for five major cereals {kg/ha) • Increase in household grain production (kg/ha) • Households that adopted the use of chemical fertilizers (percent) • Households that use improved seeds (percent) • Increase of area under irrigation (percent) • Households that practice improved cultural practices (percent) (2) Intermediate Result Two - Increased household Income The four indicators under IR2 are: • Change in livestock ownership (TLU) • Improvement in physical asset ownership of households (percent) • Change in income from cash crops (percent) • Eating luxury food (percent) (3) Intermediate Result Three - Improved Health Status The seven indicators under IR3 are: • • • • Reduced prevalence of diarrhea diseases Percentage of children underweight Increase in access to potable water or protected water sources Percentage of deliveries attended by trained TBAs • Percentage of households that visited health posts twice in the last six months • Percentage of households having a vegetable garden for own consumption 19 'M ::.·..,. ~ ... 1 ·· • > n i ·1 iA f1 . ·"\ Ll .. ' . ' ... :i : ! ~~~ ..... .. ··l ! __ .. :. ' ~/ - .. ~-... ; • Change in the amount of the household used per day (4) Intermediate Result Four - Natural Resource Maintained The four indicators under IR4 are: • Change in the size of communal land reclaimed with physical and biological means • Change in the amount of soil deposited behind check dams • Change in the amount of soil deposited behind terraces • Percentage of project interventions maintained ·(5) Intermediate Result Fi\'e - Emergency Response Capacity Enhanced The two indicators under IRS are: • Whether there is an approved disaster management plan in place • Access to local early warning information for the target areas Finally, Impacts, the third category of results, refer to Title II achievements in respect to the Strategic Objective (SO). The agreed SO is Enhanced Household Food Security, and the three indicators selected to measure the extent of SO achievements are: • Reduction of child stunting • Reduction of food shortage • Reduction in the use of severe coping strategies To the extent possible effect and impact results are presented by project, CS and Title II (national). It is a comparative analysis between base year (1997) and end of the first OAP cycle (2001 ). 20 ~ ~ . !'~ ",.! :}_;_;_._~~-' ~ - . ·::.. .. ::..:·. ~~c.s :( ... ';. 7.'~i:-~ ~~;~ :~§~~j -~ ··' ....... ; : : : :--~j iiJ :1~ : ·;· ·-: ~:r1 ~::.~: . . i ~ ~ : . ! : ; ; i L; : .... -.. CJfJl¥{<~/1(3 S· c= r,;::=J n:rn c:::J t;':3 c:;::::: c:::i ::::::.: r::..-::J r.::-...J a:r:rm z::::J ::ma m. a· . ... . . . •:r *' :,,\ i :v · .., ,,. ·:. . ... •4·;: ... ,_ ... .... :·. " . ... !I -!~~ i ···.;..ti . ~~ :~ .. .... ..,., :.--..;:_ ., .. -~. i ' ·; : ; ,·1 :::J ·:if '···J ::~!,. -~~~ ..;<:. fi~ ,_. _! ~ .. ~ ..• • ~:;l :-:--::: ·-. ·' ,......:.: ~;.•.: ·: .. i· ~- ~i: ~-·' ~-. '"·· .• Other main observations relating to natural resources activities of the Title II Projects include: a) Maize and sorghum are major cereals cropped followed by barley and wheat at high altitudes. The mid altitudes are mostly cropped with chat, a perennial · stimulant crop. Cereal-cultivated land experiences severe erosion problem owing to the absence of ground cover, steep slopes, absence of conservation measures and seasonal intense showers. Chat-cropped lands have slight erosion because of the traditional soil and water management practices which control surface runoff and erosion. Chat planted in well cultivates and cleanly tilled ridges and basins collects runoff water and controls erosion . b) Another observation that this evaluation notes is the planting of potatoes along the contour in rows between ridges and terraces. It is a good example of conservation-based farming practice seen in the highland parts. It needs to be improved and expanded. The technique presumably was introduced during the Italian occupation according to information from the wereda agricultural office. It is a technique worth considering in any plan to improve agricultural production . c) Chat is not only a good source of income to farmers but it also is helpful for conservation. Chat performs well under better soil moisture conditions and, therefore, requires better soil and water management. The traditional Hararghie land management involves ridge and basin cultivation. The ridges and basins formed in chat farming help in harvesting moisture and erosion control, and therefore, it is a conservation-based intervention. However, since chat field is kept clean from vegetation underneath it favours splash and sheet erosion. Farmers, however, practice strip cropping to reduce runoff and soil erosion. Sweet potato, sorghum and maize are grown in strips in the mid and lowlands whereas potato is planted in the highlands. d) One other activity with the potential to contribute towards balancing the natural resource base is the supply of coffee and fruit tree seedlings to farmers. Farmers are given training in planting techniques and plantation management. e) Introduction of energy saving stoves is another area of intervention that can help reduce overexploitation of vegetation cover. f) CARE Adama operates in 27 kebeles. The project area is characterized by severely degraded upland slopes and lowlands with moisture stress. Development of water harvesting structures (birka/cistem), construction of diversion weirs for irrigation development, training in improved agricultural practices, provision of seeds and tools and moisture conservation measures (ridge and sunken bed) are a good example of conservation-based development. g) Based on results from the household survey, it seems evident that farmers' knowledge about erosion, degradation, participation in project supported conservation work, etc. was not adequate (Table 3.4). 28 I . . . . ' ·. -! ·. .· ~ ·=Y~~~/-:" ~~! =~· .. ~: ~:,-:h'~~terisd ;L:',_J: Beneficiaries who recognize soil erosion caused degradation is a roblem Beneficiaries who say they have had active individual and community participation in the project-promoted conservation programs Beneficiaries who say they planted trees with support provided by the project (technical assistance, seedlings, etc. Beneficiaries who report the presence of an area enclosure for the purpose of land rehabilitation Beneficiaries who say they are getting grass for their livestock from enclosed areas through the cut and carry system Beneficiaries who say they collect fuel wood (dried leaves and wood in the enclosures Source: Project field offices 77 49 7 3 Catholic Relief Services (CRS) Crop Production 69 74 69 37 30 11 26 38 47 9 · 20 41 5 10 3 13 76 25 62 17 CRS operates 11 Title II projects in as many woredas. Of these only four￾Fedis, Jarso, Kombolcha and Gulomekeda- have had some crop production￾related programs (Table 3.5). The activities involved training of farmers and staffs of line ministries, in soil and water conservation, irrigation canal construction. Results were mixed. While training programs were carried out almost as planned (except farmers' training in Jarso), conservation outputs were dismally lower than plan in both woredas, although the quality and appropriateness of the conservation measures leave no question to ask . . Several small irrigation schemes envisaged in the DAP have not been implemented reportedly pending the completion of a Programmatic Environmental Assessment of the small-scale irrigation schemes in the country. 29 u rn· t:"j l :" , t· p £1 74 ;.,, ... ~ i i. ~ a 29 [] 26 u . 3 n u n lJ Fl u 0 p ·I u m - < B ~ ' a ~ ! ·i 8 ·2 ~ i i f1 Ll B .4J.- .. * .. . .. ... . . . ; · ..... : .... O p,;,. ____ •••H < o , ·.:. iijif" H•:. · .. r.t ;., :' ·::::\iitili .... .. .... : .. i llliL1!:IB ··.'·:. , .. : .. •' 't Table 3.5: Crop Production-Related Activities of CRS (Oromia, Tigray & Harari11) (I) Training: • Project staff No . 9 9 100 5 6 I 120.o I 5 I 5 I 100 I 5 I • Woreda staff " 1 l 100 - 2 Fanners " 105 105 100 87 45 I 51.7 I 85 I 83 I 97.6 I 100 I Fann land Km. - - - 149 45 I 30.2 I 85 I 137.6 I 161.9 soil bunding Fann land " - - - 264.l I 38 I 14.4 I 690.6 I 92.5 I 13.4 stone bundin Composting Mj - I - I - I 263 I 114 I 43.2 I 209.6 I 30 I 14.3 (2) Irrigation: Canal Km - - - 12.7 12.0 94.5 90.0 - - 6 construction Source: Project field offices 11 CRS operates in woredas not shown in the table,. The omission is due to absence of crop production- related activities. 5 98 1.7 '! :' I 100 I 98.o 28.3 '"•: ,.,; .. :: ,;:fdihi .PE 30 .. ; ;.. ~ ~1 :-: .. ~: ; . ·i .· :. ; .. -~ ··.· ..... . Natural Resources Conservation The projects have been engaged in a wide range of conservation activities as seen in Table 3.6 below. Although the rate of performance varied from project to project, in most cases what has been accomplished was well under target, especially so with physical soil conservation measures. Low performance is attributed to irregularity in the flow of project resources. In a few case.s, it is though that some targets (construction of Fanya Juu, for example) were considered ambitious. 31 u n .. i ~ 1..} ... ., i' : ! \ F: H .. & n1· u ~ > Ll n t .: ,, .· ... . :::·;~ nnstruction 5. Stone-checkdam 6. Ye etative barrier 7. Seedling roduction 8. Transplanting 9. Micro-basin establishment ITTeed collection I I. Grass seed roduction 12. Gr:iss stin 13. Com st makin I 4. Cutoff drain 15. Grass strip ,roduction 16 Spate canal construction 17. Road construction I 8. Pond construction I 9. Roof catchment . -~~1~ ~1:. ::·:, ·:~·:!.< ... .:H!llifr~ . Wi~ ·· · :)JH U:.-.:..:·~~:~;~:~~~.-:i~~,:~.; .. ... . ' " :J.:;;t =: •. ·l: <{; :~~~f1F.. ] Table 3.6: Outputs of CRS Soil and Water Conservation Activities in the Period 1997/98 -2000/01 18 5 27.8 264 114 43.2 210 92.5 44 260 149.4 57.5 752 344 66.3 19.3 . . 12 . . . . 356 245 166.5 68 601 472.5 78.6 639 310.5 48.6 336 311 92.6 1821 -- 14 - 32 6.5 20.3 5.5 5.1 92.7 16 2.9 18.5 16 22 137.5 69.5 .. 76 68.4 90 . 7 2.9 40.7 II 10.6 96.2 94 No. 1,360,0 1,130,0 83 1,037,000 996,000 96.4 1,100,000 1,0 16,500 92.4 3,497,000 00 00 .. 1,360,0 1,122,0 82.5 959,000 454,000 47.3 I, I 00,000 1,0 16,500 92.4 573,600 439,550 76.6 3,992,600 00 00 No. . . . 232,400 76,700 33 289 137.8 47.7 207,000 108,600 52.5 439,689 K . . . . 103 61.2 59.4 108 99.5 92.2 54 64 I 18.5 265 Ha. . . . 1.75 0.9 51.4 . . . 1.75 Km. . . . 340 975 28.7 76 42 55.3 126 127.4 101.2 542 M . . . 12.6 12 95.2 90 30 33.3 102.6 Km. . . . . . . 4 12 300 8 12 Kg. . . . . . . 135 107.5 79.6 135 Km. I . I . I . I . I . . I 18 1.5 I 41.7 I I I I 18 Km. . . . . . . 8 6 75 12 10 83.4 20 No. . . . . . . . . . 6 4 67 6 No. . . . . . . . . . I I JOO I Source: Projectjleld offices " . ~>::; ~·: .. . .. _ .. %!1~Hli .. . .. ··) .. .. • ..... ,1 mi 360.9 48 63 17.7 1260.5 69.2 36.5 52.5 81.9 87.1 3, 142,500 89.8 3,032,050 75.9 I 85,437.8 I 42.2 224.7 84.8 0.9 51.4 266.7 49.2 42 40.9 12 100 107.5 79.6 I 1.5 I 41.7 I 16 I 80 r 4 l 66.6 I I I 100 32 l ... ;: ....... .1 .. ;f f'.i; .... I / I I; '• .... i. 1 I, Soil bund Km 352 150.3 42.7 I construction 2. Stone bund " 192 48 25 I construction 3. Micro-basin No. 202,000 187,500 I 92.8 I construction 4. Hill side terrace Km. 307 238.9 77.8 5. Check dam Km. 12 12 100 construction 6. Vegetative barrier " 6 6 · 100 7. Grass strip " 125 98 78.4 8. Cutoff drain " 4 4 100 9. Tree seed collection Kg. 30 30 100 10. Seedling production No. 540,000 540,000 100 11. Transplanting No. 540,000 530,000 98.2 12. Fanyajuu Km. - - - 13. Area enclosure Ha. - - - Source: Project field offices .. l.o •• ,... •.. , .•. " i.· •W "'''' .... r::..:J Ww.113 - - - - - - - - - - - - - I 870 I I I I 294,ooo I 1615? 46.8 29.8 58 5 - 281.8 - r.,· .. ... M ... :.<.• - I I I - - - - - - - - fT,•-:• 450 30 600,00 0 . ,·1:; .... . i . : .. :Jlt!tM. ... . / . ; Table 3.6 Cont'd ...... I 405.4 I 90.l I 802 I 555.7 I 69.2 I I I 192 I 48 I 25 I I I 202,000 I 481,500 I 238 307 404.4 130 34 I 113.4 I 42 I 92.8 I 220 6 35.8 596 125 156 125 4 9 225 30 30 100 540,000 540,000 100 592,16 98.7 540,000 1,130,0 209 0 00 - 281.8 150 - - 150 •. ,, "'I .,, r1• '•" '• ...... '... .• 3 .. .... . 33 c:::::J · .... , . :'.' :·H{M; c;Jra Ill ,, . ; ! . . ! :i: Other main conservation-related findings include: a) Not only conservation activities come in many forms, but they also address the priority conservation needs of the areas. The qualitative aspects of the various types of cropland conservation structures, stabilization of these structures with vegetation mainly grasses, agroforestry, pond construction, area enclosure and enrichment plantations are of high standards. The assistance the projects were providing to the establishment of small-scale private nursery is worth noting. b) Awareness of the beneficiaries about soil erosion issues is considerable as shown below (Table 3.7). c) At Golorabo, the project has developed a spring and delivered water through a pipe to a village about 400 m away. There is a water committee to manage the system. Water from the spring is also used to irrigate crops such as potatoes. A village organization manages the irrigation. Any conflict arising from water use is resolved by the village organization (Afosha), which is accountable to the Kebele Administration. Communities highly appreciate the Afosha system. They think it is very effective to resolve conflicts. The system could be used to promote community-driven conservation programs. d) Cropland conservation outputs in East Hararghe projects are relatively impressive qualitatively. Rectangular ridges and basins are formed to plant sweet potato on the ridge and chat in the basin. Biological conservation practices are introduced in the area. e) Bund stabilization with elephant/ napier. grass is undertaken widely and this has enhanced the formation of bench or nearly bench terraces, with a terrace wall of 1.5 - 2m. f) Soil bund is the most commonly practiced conservation activity followed by stone bund and stone-faced terrace in all weredas, and this is supportive. g) In a nursery established at Egu, various tree and grass species are raised. Eucalyptus spp, cupresus, acacia spp cordia spp are among the tree species being raised. The nursery further serves as a grass and fodder species multiplication site where grass species such as vetiver, elephant grass and Phalaris spp are multiplied. Flooding is a problem obstructing nursery activities. Constructing a dyke around the nursery could probably solve the problem. Another option could be to move the nursery to another site during the next DAP (if any). h) Table 3.7 reveals that the majority of the beneficiaries are aware that erosion￾caused degradation is an important problem. 34 ....... -·: -;.'"~ .... ~:· ~~ ~-: -;:.::..:: .. it~§~ · .. ·: . • . .. -· ::.=-·-~ .: ... ·.;.; ·--·· ·-1 Table 3.7: Selected Conservation-Related Survey Results in CRS Projects ... ~;_ . ... -_.·:: ._; . ._: .. Beneficiaries who recognize that soil erosion-caused 93 79 79 85 68 51 degradation is a roblem Beneficiaries who say they have had active individual and community participation in the 66 42 76 51 93 88 project-promoted conservation programs Beneficiaries who say they planted trees with support provided by the project (technical 29 20 44 27 40 71 assistance, seedlings, etc.) Beneficiaries who report the presence of an area enclosure for 63 66 78 59 74 72 the purpose of land rehabilitation Beneficiaries who say they are getting grass for their livestock from enclosed areas through the cut and carry 35 11 55 15 87 92 system Beneficiaries who say they c91lect fuel wood (dried. leaves and 5 7 50 12 64 80 wood)in the enclosures Beneficiaries who report active women participation in the conservation ro rams 89 12 53 20 86 83 Source: Project field offices Some comments on figures in Table 3.7: • The awareness of the beneficiaries on soil erosion as the cause for land degradation and decline in agricultural productivity is high (93%) in Gulomekeda (Tigray) followed by Fedis (85%). Although communities in the 35 •"' . ::>: .•. 67 94 21 97 97 80 57 f1 bl f1 u rn w -.-: !" - --~ ...... _ .. ~·: ·.;: .. : ~;~~ ~: ·-·..:-· .-.-.. · . ._ ,;.·_ project woredas are no strangers to conservation, there are observations attesting that there has been an important qualitative change. Communities accept that it is they themselves who should assume the lead role in conservation development more now than before, and the observations accredit this to the projects. • Community participation in project activities is also high in Meta (93%) followed by Gorogutu (88%). It is relatively lower in Jarso (42%). The important contribution of the projects according to observations made is that the participation is more authentic now (more decision making role) than before. • Percent of beneficiaries who are aware that area enclosure is meant to rehabilitate degraded lands is highest in Dire Dawa (97%). This is attributable to the projects' efforts . Ethiopian Orthodox Church - Development Inter-Church Commission (EOC-DICAC) Crop Production The main intervention to increase production, namely, the provision of input credit was not implemented due to the government micro-finance policy. Because of this, the projects did not have any alternative interventions aimed at improving the supply side of household food security. However, there have been numerous activities of demonstrative nature such as training, on-farm conservation in Wadla and emergency capacity enhancing in Mekdela and Endamahoni (Table 3.8). Performance in respect to these activities has been satisfactory. The plan to develop small-scale irrigation schemes in Sodo, Mekedela and Wad la did not materialize. Two irrigation schemes were planned for Endamehoni project; one has been developed but did not go operational at the time of this evaluation, and the second is still in the planning stage. Three reasons are given for under-performance in the development of small￾scale irrigation schemes. The first is that OAP did not have essential information on water bodies to be developed for irrigation or for domestic use, and in some cases the water sources did not even exist. The second is that the time envisaged in the project proposals for the completion of the schemes has not been realistic. The third was that project funds came later than planned and in less amount than expected. 36 ;:: ; /:, , .. ;,ii>:!;ll•· ,, 'g:c .. 1 >. • r .; • · »<1;; • • .. , , .w; . ' I"·'> 'ffl'J'[ij•'·<· 'l''H!!I • 1 11· 1 .,.1·· , ,,.,.,:, :A>::ii·i i:i1 A1;1: i1•ri" ,:"· :. ','.' :, ,1 •• d .. :L. . :.i._: • :·, .... 1 ftEl '" .. ...... : : .. \ : ... ..... " ' ____ ., .... " .. ::i'i\i· >}:; ': ,J:f:1:1mm:1 .: .: U? .. ... l!.:i.:.J . .t.:'; t. • .-;.. .•• .. .. / / Table 3.8: Outputs of Crop Production-Related Activities of EOC lot 2 1 Crop assessment 3 I Crop market survev 4 I Agroforestry 5 I Irrigation development 6 I Farmers training On improved agricultural Eractices On vegetable roduction On water mana ement On women skill develoEment On TAP/primary health worker 7 I CroE land bunding Soil bund Stone bund Stone bund maintenance m:;;:,J [ ,,r ........ No. No. No. No. 000' Ha. Ha. Km. No. I No. No. No. No. No. Km. Km. Km. ... 12 4 20 13 10 ISO 99 I 51 82 100 C::'::J 3 540 33.33 12 65.00 20 2 24 79 2 66.00 560 I 118 160.78 62 50 20 732.4 2186 ( ....... _ . ' I-lo .. .rlol 2 125 12 2 I 532 147 45 17 7.5 830.1 C".JJl 66.67 3 23.15 500 12 60.00 20 2.5 5.5 100.00 T 3 1 2 I 95.00 I 450 I I 124.58 I 11 o I 72.58 31 50 85 I 17 1.02 513 37.97 743 r.-rv•-, a:..,..;;u-d C;zJ 2 66.67 3 2 66.67 9 6 66.7 276 55.20 150 160 106.67 1190 561 47 6 50.00 10 8 80.00 46 18 39 17 85.00 20 19 95.00 80 61 76 119.1 4764.0 4.5 2.6 57.78 9 121.7 1352.2 0 2 6.133 111.51 21.2 60.7 6.133 10 3.2 82.2 .51 T 11.00 T 2 T 00 T 00 1 7 1 0.51 1 7.3 00 00 2 00 00 598 I 132.89 I 550 I 562 I 102.13 I 1110 I 1791 I 104.7 125 I 113.64 I 115 I 128 I 11 uo I 343 I 400 I 116.6 40 129.03 57 62 108.77 201 I 229 113.9 50 250 2 I 11.76 I 20 I 20 I 100 I 57 I 39 I 68.42 0.578 0.113 425.6 18.003 I 4.23 I 1671 I 26.081 I 1.6 951.25 128.03 854.8 457.9 / 53.s1 / 3784 / 2239.957 / 59 7 369.41 1507.6 I I I 1877.019 9 .. .... 37 m ..... i .... ;: l: :·:;, ..:. ji!~n::> ... ·:~ff~i j:: ~:ff;{'.k ,, .. ). h • -.: •• . er .. > .. ,., ;:~~~. I!:-~ • .,., .. • : . . ,i :1 Mo• • J ,..J :f~)":i!E~ ::( .· .. ·' Chcckdom Km. I I I I 11.5 I 11.4 construction Trench construction Km. Cut of drain Km. 6.6 4.722 8 1 Compost preparation T M 100 32 9 I Caoacitv building Metratogical stations No. 2 I 50.00 2 I Source: Project field offices . .. I 99. 13 I I 71.55 32.00 100 50.00 2 · v~1~lliWJ /?~~~~~ · · · :·~ .. : . :i! illiit~ : <.:: ·:~~ $ ... \,.'\i~: I 2.26R I 226.R I 100 100 I 50.00 1 ., ' J.:~·rt $ s.::© R.25 I 5.71 I 100.54 2 T I 1 .. ;;;;?,; ;. . ?:%f~~ .. ,.~f::~ . ···:.:i . .. ' ,ti m I 20.75 100.54 6.6 4.722 I 71.55 200 132 I 66.0 1 8 I 4 I 50 38 ... ~ ' . ·- ~.· .: . . · ,, .· ': -. Livestock12 Like other CS, EOC did not have much presence in livestock development. The activities it has been promoting focused on Sodo. Table 3.9 shows that performance in respect to feed development in Sodo (the most important intervention) has been well below plan (vetiver slips production I 7%, multiplication of other grass slips 2.4%). 12 EOC, FHI, REST, SCF/USA and WVl/E have had some direct livestock interventions. The scope varied from project to project. So did the tyPes of activities, although feed, health and capacity building (training) of fanners were common features of livestock programs. In many respects livestock programs aimed at enhancing the access aspect (improving household income) of household food security. For this reason and convenience apiculture (support for honey production) is included in this section. 39 ..... i ,j_ u ffl u n [j fl il :. .. r ·.-·--·· ... . , · .:, .. ....... · i .. ., .•• t 1 ..... .... ...... .... 1 .... •• .: •• • ........ } .... .. ......... ... :. · .... ... ; .. ..:_ .. ... ; ... 1 .. .. ·. · · .. ... ·. ..... .,., ...... : 'd .. :i.'. .. r: > . •;' •l• :: ... · ·::·::-:::1n : •. , .••• :.:i :·:-··-, ..... - . V cl-oosl conslruclion Grass seed multiolication center Grass seed oroduction Multiplication of other grass slios Improved grass sown on grazing lands No. " t. Million Ha. Vetiver slio oroduction I Million Source: Project field offices ., Table 3.9: Outputs of EOC Livestock Activities in the 1997/98- 2000/01 Wadfa;: ·. ·. --:;;;::: .. k .> , 'A'.cthaJ ;.t ; %' 1.: 'Pllin . r :wctfra), q·:>"' 0k -· 1 . Jlfan I .. A:ci:uiil' ·I .; I I I I 00 I I I I I I 00 I I I I I 00 100 100 100 0,15 15 1.48 0.035 2.4 198 0.42 0.072 17 '" ·-- ... -·· --.... '. ·::.,:23 fill 40 II _.-~~ ... ' . .. ·,. Natural Resources Conservation Physical conservation structures (stone bund, soil bund, hillside terracing) and seedling production and planting on communal locations dominated conservation activities of the projects. In respect to these activities outputs were well below targets. In the case of physical structures, outputs ranged between 32% and 56% of the plan. It was a bit higher with communal tree planting (afforestation). Some 63% of the planned tree planting was achieved in Endemahoni and Mekedela projects, the only two sites where there were communal tree planting operations. In all other conservation interventions, outputs were either close to target or surpassed them (Table 3.10). More importantly, outputs in many respects were increasing . consistently over the project period. Moreover, the standards or qualities of the conservations works done have been impressive . . The dominant conservation programs like construction of physical soil conservation structures, seedling production and community tree plantations wholly relied on food￾for-work. The flow ofFFW resources has been irregular and inadequate, and the ·under performance in this respect has been because of it . 41 .' /.I'.... • . . ' •. . . • •i1· , ... ' ••' ' 1'1 • • •• •:.1; .... .. ': ·· .. ·"·\ .. ·:·. > ... ... : ... . .. ,• I, ' ' t !!:ff. i' ' ........ ., ...... . . ml -·· •!.• :.: . . :.:· :. .... ; .. .: . ··' Table 3.10: Outputs of EOC Soil and Water Conservation Activities: 1997/98 - 2000/01 Nursery No. I I I 2 I 200 I 5 I 5 I 100 I 1 I I I I I 2 establishment Seed collection Kg. 115 187.65 163.17 148 193 130.4 1 55 324.42 589.85 190 178.45 9.18 508 883.55 I 173.9 Seedling 000' 1950 1422.4 72.94 920 189.6 20.61 1900 722.17 38 2800 2730.3 97.51 7570 5064.5 I 66.9 roduction 6 3 Seedling 000' 1909 1576.4 82.58 896 177.6 19.82 1820 707.66 38.88 2569 3116.0 121.30 7194 5578.2 I 77.5 distribution/ 1 8 4 I anting 2 I Communal land plantin Nursery No. 1 I 1 100 I I 100 I 1 I 100 I 4 I 3 I 75 establishment Existing nursery .75 .75 100 I I I I I I I I I I .75 I .75 I 100 expansion Seed collection Kg. 130 11 6 89.23 130 15 1 116.15 23.28 130. I 06.37 I 81.82 I 390 396.65 101.7 Seedling 000' 1300 1199.5 92.27 510 846.9 166.06 1400 190 13.57 1600 1000 I . 62.5 I 4810 I 3236.4 I 67.3 iroduction Seedlimz olantinE! 000' 1292 757.3 58.61 505 852.1 168.73 998 109.9 11.0 I 1592 25 1.2 I 15.78 I 4387 1970.5 44.9 Pitting 000' 500 681.6 136.32 505 852. 1 168.73 1012.14 181.7 17.95 997 251.2 I 0.25 I 3014.1 1966.6 65.2 4 Area closure Ha. 50 50 100 120 340 T 283.33 T T T T 1210 T 1210 T 100 1 1380 1600 115.9 Hillside terrace Km. 278 578.96 208.26 37.2 29.62 I 79.61 I 315.2 608.58 193.1 Trench Km. 200.5 154.2 I 76.9 I I I I I I I 200.5 154.2 76.9 construction Micro-basin 000' 426.7 505.32 118.43 40 177.07 T 442.68 T I I I 476.5 I 191.5 I 40.19 I 943.2 I 873.89 I 92.6 construction Cut of drain Km. 1 4.423 442.30 3 3.3 3.3 7.423 224.9 Checkdam Km 5 5.14 102.8 5 5.14 102.80 construction 3 I Demo, on soil & water conservation Micro basin 000' 1 1 100 1 1 100 Hillside terrace Km 3 7.966 265.53 3 7.966 265.53 42 ,. 4 5 ·6 i" '. ' ,. ........... I ' "---···· r. •t·"-.· .......... construction Soil bund construction Stone bund construction Bench terrace I Communal nursery Nursery establishment Seedling production I Grass seed production Center establishment Grass seed roduction Vetiver slip roduction Improve grass sown on azin Grass slip roduction Forage production on farm olant I Gully reclamation Checkdam construction Ve etative barrier I c:.o Km 0.02 Km 10 km 10 Km. I No. 2 000' 20 No. I I I Qt. J Millio I n Ha. 48 Millio 0.5 n Ha. J Km. 2 Km. Source: Project field offices ,.,..,.. ....... ...,." ......... ; 3 30.00 4.5 45.00 2.776 I 277.60 I 2 ... I I 20 I JOO I I 0.5 0.3 48 0.074 14.80 0.3 I 100 I 2. J4 107 15 .8 15 /; i ·· ·· .......... ::.-.· · .... ..... ... ..:. r···· .. : ......... .., .... .,1 I l I 2 I 100 I 20 I JOO J I JOO 1.87i 11.88 1.933 12.89 c.:=i ..... ''""I \, ... _ ... +<.:: T l I I I I 3 I 3 I 100 I 2 I I I 150 I 15 I 10 I 200 I I J I I I JOO I J I J J I. I 0.4 0.013 3.25 0.3 0.028 48 48 1.46 0.012 0.82 0.5 0.003 4 J 3 9.063 69.72 5.8 3.79 7.84 1.3 ... .... .. _;=;: ... ........ .,. '"""1 ..... 1'")''.'I .... d Table 3.10 cont'd .. ... 0.02 JO I 3 I 30.00 JO I 4.5 I 45.oo I I J I 2.776 I 277.60 I 50 I 9 I 6 I 66.67 I I 390 I 35 I 8.97 JOO I 4 I 4 JOO J JO 3.5 I. I 3 1.43 9.33 2 0,041 2.05 192 0.60 2.76 0,089 3.22 6 I 16,67 65.34 36.6 16.87 .. 46.09 J 6.3 9.773 59.96 43 " . f(" .. i 1. l3ll ' Pl ~ ... ~:f ~ ..J .. . '·:':-~~! Other observation points of significance to conservation include: ·.·• ... '. ;~~ a) The Sodo project is constructing 16 km of road - Kela to Adelle. The project has also maintained a total of 18 km of road from Jolie Mazoria to Genet and another 5 km on another route. The construction of one bridge is completed and there is another under construction. The road and bridge construction and road maintenance tally with the plan. In all cases labor-intensive technologies are used, and quality of work is rated good. All the construction and i• ~:1i; ::.:~c~ ·= maintenance programs have been conservation friendly. ~ = b) Grass seed multiplication sites are established by the project with the purpose .~~ ~~ :~:! ~ :.:!. of multiplying various grass and legume species. The seeds and splits ~:::,;'i produced are used in the stabilization of conservation structures on cultivated ;,,, "i r~,:; lands. There was oversawing on enclosed areas and on grazing lands to -~~~ 1 . : ~ !::::;; improve grazing quality and increase biomass production. The action was ,.'~ - . ·=-i commendable. Different species of grasses such as vetch, rhodes, phalaris, ·r~ ~ ~~ vetiver, elephant grass and fodder beet are raised. The organization of ~~.1 ;;; .:;::: activities, the quality of grasses and legumes, and the level of production, ~ ~ z~~ distribution methods used, etc., at the multiplication sites are impressive, - ~ . : !..!": especially in Sodo, and sensitive to conservation needs. -~-:-: f:f c) In Sodo a spring is developed near the nursery to supply water to a nearby ,~·;·; ~i village. Cattle troughs are constructed near the nursery. The catchment . i upslope is properly conserved with natural vegetation. The project is further ;".i 1t~ :'! strengthening conservation activities through enrichment plantations and area • .. ·! enclosures. ·"! .. j . : .. : d) Again in Sodo about 75 ha of communal land plantations have been developed .. , with additional 25 ha planned to be planted in the Fiscal Year 2000/01. The ~:j \ ·:-~ . - i !~: : community is given awareness on the protection and management of the ~. •f ·-· · plantation undertaken in communal lands. The project has supported the _, community to establish by-laws to enforce the protection of enclosure areas .. i and communal plantations . -~ :"I ·=--~ .:.;_:.:.! ... :.:;;;! e) In Sodo vetiver is used to develop grass strips in the conservation of cultivated $~ ti'::. lands. It is also used in the stabilization of cropland bunds. Vetch is used to ~ ~ < improving fallowlands and Rhodes grass is oversown on grasslands to ¥.:~ ':.=-!'!: := ~ improve the grazing quality while phalaries is used in oversowing and bund "'"'! ~d ~ .. stabilization. The project has planted elephant grass for stabilizing gullies. ~~ The choice of the grass types for the intended purposes is supportive. :•-- ~ ~~~~ ·.-::..:i '• t) Cordia, Eucalyptus camaldulensis and globules, Acacia spp are among the :~·1 :~~ ;· ... ; seedlings being promoted. Among the seedlings raised Eucalyptus, Rhamnus ~ X..5 and Cupresus are given to farmers for homestead and woodlot plantations :::"-~ while the other seedlings are planted on communal lands. Communal woodlots r.~-:; ..,--.. :· -~: . ..;...~ need to be encouraged in Sodo. Unlike in other parts of the country there is no ·::f .. , problem with communal plantations in the project area because of the by-laws -.~1 .. . established by idirs, which are respected and strictly observed. In the case of individual plantation, extension agents check whether adequate preparation is · •. ::.., made for planting before seedling distribution. Farmers are required to ., ·51. !--:i.-i ':,!:: 44 . -. •, . ~-. )r l I i : ..... : . I i i ·. I . · .. ,. . . -. ! ·{~: '··' !~ ' prepare the land for plantation three months prior to plantation. This is indeed encouraging, and no doubt it would contribute to improved survival rate. g) It is important that a big majority of beneficiaries in Endemahoni, Mekdela and Wad la appreciate the seriousness of land degradation. (Table 3.11). Table 3.11: Selected Conservation-Related Survey Results in the EOC Projects . · ... · .·~.::·~1.~~~~:~te~~~~~-i-· "" .... .. -: <·:·.}::~Jjf·~ ~ ;~~ -~· S:9 6:~;;;~;~ ~1~ Beneficiaries who recognize that soil erosion- caused 98 80 88 67 degradation is a rob I em Beneficiaries who say they have had active individual and @mmunity 84 89 64 17 participation in the project-promoted conservation ro rams Beneficiaries who say they planted trees with support provided by the project (technical 36 40 11 11 assistance, seedlings, etc. Beneficiaries who report the presence of an area enclosure for 37 34 30 the purpose of land rehabilitation Beneficiaries who say they are getting grass for their livestock from enclosed areas 46 5 2 through the cut and ca s stem Beneficiaries who say they collect fuel wood (dried leaves and 2 2 2 wood) in the enclosures Beneficiaries who report active women participation in the 86 88 63 4 conservation rograms Source: Project field offices 45 rn ~j .... •; t·.···; :':·: :?:..~:. :~~1 .•• I -' ·; j :.~: ~':~ -·.!'.; ""?~ ·•:j ~· -· ~.,y .. ~ ·.:~ . ;:·i ' -- .. .":: !I:1 :--~;~ ; ' r-..: ~:~.: :~~ ~. ;:·,< 1#.,) .. .·~ -:.-· . Some comments on the results shown in the above table: • The results may send a message that the need for conservation and afforestation is not significant in Sodo. Empirical observations suggest otherwise. The need is big in Sodo also, although it might be less than in the northern projects. • Individual and community participation in soil conservation activities is low in Sodo (17%) but high in Wadla (89%). In Wadla and Endamehoni participation·is high probably because ofFFW, which apparently motivates participation. • It is surprising to see only 30% of the beneficiaries reporting enclosures in Mekdela where area enclosure is one of the project's main interventions. This could partly be attributable to the low level of participation of the community while deciding on area enclosure. • Women participation is extremely low in Sodo (40%). The apparent reason for this is the tradition prevailing.in the area that does not encourage women to participate in farming activities, let alone conservation tasks, that are largely regarded as a male function. It is a challenge to positively alter the attitude . • Results on tree planting and participation in area enclosure do not seem to tally with the realities on the ground as evidenced at the time of field visit, •• especially in Endemehoni. Enclosure-related activities have been more brisk than survey results would indicate. • It is good to learn that a high percentage of fanners acknowledge the importance of erosion-caused degradation. It is a very critical development issue in the project communities. Yet, area enclosure, an important means of rehabilitation, is not featuring prominently. There could be a number of reasons for this. One hopes that the lack of community and project perception about its importance is not one among the reasons. If it were, there is reason to believe that an opportunity was missed, and it should be reversed in any next similar projects. Food for the Hungry International (FHI) Crop Production At Lay Gayint the project activities included: (1) input distribution like vegetable seeds and fertilizers (2) training intended to build capacity at the household and woreda levels, and (3) introduction of root crops such as sweet potatoes and Irish potatoes. Vegetables like onions/shallot were also introduced with the intent of improving household income. Good agricultural land in the project area is very scarce, soil fertility low, topography mostly steep, and rainfall irregular. In such a situation a move towards root crops and vegetables and away from the traditional cereal and grain production seems an intelligent decision and could positively affect food security. 46 ~ . . . ·-·.1 :--: ·.i;. ' ·: ; : · ·.:-. • l' .• ·. Small-scale irrigation development planned at two locations have been completed. This \\Ould help farmers to produce grain at least twice a year. The schemes are small with a total command area of 26 ha. The irrigation systems (water ways) are of acceptable standards. Farmers have been trained and organized to operate the scheme. The major activities in Tach Gayint include supply of improved seeds of cereals (wheat, sorghum and teft) and vegetable seeds (cabbage, carrot, beet root, swiss chard, tomato, onion lettuce) and root crops (potato, sweet potato, 'onion bulb). Accomplishment of grain seed distribution against plan was about 66%·of the plan, largely due to seed supply-related reasons like not getting the variety of seed needed and at the time required; it was I I 7% in the case of other seeds. In Tach Gayint, the project supplied chemical fertilizer, and performance was 84% of the plan. There have been a number ofother activities and in most cases performance was better than plan (Table 3.12). One of the outputs in Tach Gayint worth noting is the completion of two irrigation schemes with a combined 57 ha. of command area . At Simada activities have been similar with those of Lay Gayint Table 3.5 shows that performance was equally satisfactory, in some case like input distribution even better. Provision of sweet potatoe cuttings was only I 0% of the plan. On the other hand, the three planned irrigation schemes have been completed successfully. They were operational at the time of the visit. The schemes with a total of 46 .ha of command area are well designed and communities adequately organized and trained to run the schemes. 47 f1 . ·{ u ·.~ ! : i_j n u lJ , . ~ ~~:1: ·~i~· :i': • ·.i·,:.:·~· . .t~itl~H;~<' -.:. '..:! 1!~"'.~~t 2~~· ...:~ .... ·{.~~ -~:~j .. ~-·~ . .... ~-. .· ·· '( ' . : · "·<:-~.: :::~~! :·: . . •. . ... 'I ' ' . •·: : :};~litH ~12:1ilfill!f~~~ '.:-.~~t :.;::/:· ~i; ~~~:Jtfi.t~ ·.·. .· ... ;:· .. ; .~~·::~~~i .:: . .'." f:J·~{~ .. ,_;fJ,';'! .. ··:u . .. . - .. ill: ·.• Production-Related Activities of FHI Kg. 66 52.02 78.8 47 54.76 116.5 59 195 330.2 Fertilizer Kg. 118400 117925 99.6 147.5 123.5 83.7 102900 107900 104.9 ___ _j Seed Kg. 13700 4803 35.1 25 16.4 65.6 4000 10200 255.0 I Tools No. 100 200 200 1695 2196 129.6 1450 7502 51 7.4 Root crops Sweet potato No. - - - 15000 8300 I 55.3 I 27000 I 2050 I 7.6 cuttings • - Irish potato Kg. 66750 36397 54.5 98400 127900 130.0 34700 52200 150.4 Onion/Shallot Kg. 8000 9503 118.08 21200 27700 130.7 (3) Demonstration of field No. - - - 35 30 85.7 29 30 103.4 I crops I - >-·-------·! ( 4) Demonstration of No. - - - - - - 500 958 19 J.(l I horticultural crops I ·-··- -- ------- -·- ·- ·-·--··\ 5) Training .. - 556 486 ____ .,_87.4 ·----' • Cooperative leaders .. Farmers " 920 135 14.8 1 300 T 344 I 11 4.7 Field day " Training project " 10 10 100 239* 235* 98.3* staff -l Training woreda " 18 26 144.4 - - - I staff i (6) Small scale irrigation " 2 2 100 1 I 100 3 3 100 develoEment I * Project+ Government Staff Source: Project field office 48 " ........ ·. Livestock Livestock development and food security problems are strikingly similar among the FHI projects. Observations made during field visits and results of PRA surveys confirm this. Yet, livestock activities among the projects had significant variations. At Gubalafto and Tach Gayint, forage, introduction of income generating activities like distribution of poultry and small ruminants and training were focused. while at Simada the emphasis was placed on health and apiculture. Lay Gayint had virtually no activity. While the rational for the variation is not evident, performance rate was mixed in all of the projects. Mostly, outputs were lower than plan (Table 3.13). The performance was particularly weak with the distribution of poultry and small ruminants, an area that could possibly have a quicker return to improve access to food . 49 M u . . n u ·%:; :., .. .... -: ; .. W!g :. :: ......... ;:~~:: ;r:;;i:iHHHH:~ ;# .. • I ., •, : . ~:~: :: i:ii!Hn!l ,.· . :· .... -·: . , .};J·!}h :,.··:;1 1 1 ~::". •• · • · ··~k~.H.1 ;HJi: ftt- :··,. :. . ::J ) · . .. " ·· !~~:: ~~i ! . , ·· , I ..... ,!.. J Table 3.13: Output of Livestock Activities ofFHI Projects in th'e 1997/98- 2000/01 Period .. ; :~~~n. ·:·: . ~~ .:. ·::.::::a ~;~:: " .. ~ .·r·· ··. ~ .. ?:-.· ... ~~~ .. ~ :.u~ 8 :~~ .. ;· ; ... f~ .. ~J ;? .. ·. "iJ!· ~~~~~~:· .. ··::.. lu8 ~~ii ~~A.~A~-:.:~ \,\o l"ii.."fi: ~a~ ~awr1~ .. ' . .. ,._, · . . ·_"- : .. : :.: _ i:naua. ,. . ac aJ1n . .•.. :. •·< " "'";::.,,... .. ~r.1,.,.., ~:. . : -:;>.'t'f.ZI!>'· '· ' <)f' .C.c.~··: Ul! d1l'.i:'Jl'..< .. ·~ -U.~ ~ '1~.. ,?l~ ...... :ir.;~~~<':• '"'-''.< ~.' .... ,,. · .. : • \" .. .,. '·:h·· s .. . 'T h G ou' t , J:. ~·,:~clivlfles · :'.x;_,~?::" '~~~ '· it Plan:··'·' ;('ctilli~ fi:O'!<» :~·'· mlin~.~ r.>"': ~ciua '" \' % . · ·. Plan( · ,:,A.ctual % Plan Actual · % Provision ofapicultural tools Set 25 65 260 Provision of frame No. - 10 • Of smoker " - 9 - Other related tools " - - • '--·---·--··· ··-··-· ---·-- ···-· ·-· Provision of animal health Birr 15000 14660 97--·--·- -·--·-·· __ _ ,__ .... - equipment -·····---+----__, Provision of veterinary " 15000 12555 83 medicines Farmers training on apiculture No. 213 154 72 150 141 94 Farmers training on livestock " 305 277 91 management Farmers training of improved " - 6 • ··· livestock management Grass seed multiplication/hill Ha. 4 4 100 1420000 1106640 77.9.l side fodder olanting Forage seed provision/backyard Qt. 13.5 11.5 85 - • 1500000 % 5468 (>4.,lll _forage planting Poultry provision 600 250 4 1.6 7 ·Cockerel No. 680 249 37 - - - • • ·Pullets " 3400 1245 37 • • • -·-- • Sheep " • • - - - - 40 • 320 209 65.3 I Training on livestock " 238 46 19 • • - 250 254 I 01.6 development Training in poultry management " 120 120 100 • - - Training to animal health " 2 • • • • • -·· technician Training project staff " - • · • I 0 l 0 l 00 Training woreda line office staff " • • • 5 13 260 Provision of heifer " • • - • • • 20 • 2 . il Improved poultry breeding " - • • • • • 150 50 33 - - -- · demonstration Source: Project Field Office 50 " ~\~H~i !: .~ . ® ..... :.;. ·. ·. -~.:: '· i ; . Natural Resources Conservation Table 3.15 contains opinions of project beneficiaries on some selected conservation subjects. The percentage of farmers who report project support for tree planting is too low to believe in Simada in particular where the project has been actively supporting homestead planting. This and the lack of community￾driven demand for area enclosure seems to suggest the prevalence of low farmers' awareness about land degradation, although a big majority of interviewed farmers responded knowledge of the seriousness of the problem. The FHI conservation programs largely dealth with activities designed to rehabilitate degraded areas. Accordingly, hillside terracing, micro basins and biologically conserving the terraced areas featured prominently during the project period. In this regard, performance was satisfactory. In Lay Gayint, Simada and Gubalafto 98% of the targeted area of hillside terracing was achieved . Performance with tree planting was also high; ovei: 72% of the plan was achieved. The projects were also actively supporting farmer-based tree seedling production through micro-nurseries and individual tree planting. Outputs in this respect p~rall~led or surpassed targets. As can be observed in Table 3.14 below performance was equally satisfactory compared to plan in other conservation activities like checkdam construction, cutoff drain, and farmland terracing. Some 32 ha of area was enclosed for protection and enrichment planting in Simada; it was more than planned. But land degradation is most severe in the project areas. Productive and carrying capacity of land is already significantly curtailed. There seems to exist a gigantic need for area enclosure. The Jack of area enclosure in the projects other than in Simada, and the smallness of the plan figure in Simada are difficult to explain. 51 R Li n Ll f:;1·::: .::;· :.;.·. ~. :;:ijJLtf~fri:.~. · . ;·_;l·~~ , : . :-~ :;i;,.(h:~ il;,~;. ::i -.;, !.':JU~ .· ·'·: ·:~~~llU~::fGn{:~>~~i~{~ ·:~ ... ·.\·:·~~;~~~H~Hf~ 1Jr1,:··;~~ ,. ~: .- ~. 'I ) Table 3.14: Outputs of FHI Soil and Water Conservation Activities in the Period 1997/98 - 2000/01 70 I 68.5 I 97.8 I 94 I 115.6 I 123 I 40 I 17.34 I 43.4 I 204 I 20 1.4 construction 3. Cutoff drain .. 36 28.3 78.6 18 24.9 138.4 40 8.2 20.5 94 (i 1.4 1 I (1.5..' 4. Seedling raising No 5, 785,000 2,838,200 49.1 8,200,000 6,713,600 81.9 . . . 13.985. 551.~ I 65..' 000 00 5. Seedling planting . .. 2,800,000 2,077,400 74.2 3,300,000 2,420,300 73.4 180,000 60,000 33.4 6.280.0 4.557.7 I 72.6 00 00 6. Support for No 49 30 61.2 19 19 100 . - - 68 49 I 72 establishing private nurseries~ 7. Homestead planting No - - - 2,500,000 2,372,000 94.9 - . - 2.500.0~2.372.0 I 94. I 00%). However, trench bunding another major conservation activity, output surpassed the target. Still another major activity was tree seedling production where achievement was slightly bigger than one half of the target. Total seedlings raised in three woredas (Adama, Badawacho and Kersa Kondaliti) was over 10 million out of which only 1.4 million was distributed. The difference must have been seedlings distributed but not reported in Kersa Kondaliti, which had nearly 60% of total seedling production. 67 n d A[ .'· ·.~ g 0 . [ 1 .I j ' i [ ·) ( .. 1-: ' F-: L . . .: . ...... - .... -'"..;...., . .. ,, f -· .• '.:.:.:N .. : ·· , .... . ·. . : ,; •:" ':; . :. ·i'.'/ • .... · : ·: ;< ... ... · .. t " '" ....... . .. . . : ·" ·>!i .:,... . • . ',i: . .. "" •r •• ... ,. ..1.,• •• ,1. ,:.J Li Table 3.24: Outputs of WVl/E Soil and Water Conservation Activities in the Period 1997/98 - 2000/01 2. Tr·cnch bund .. 1540 1662 107.9 1852 T 2316.6 l 125 l - 1 - I ·I 1---38 ··- 3. Hillside terrace .. 575 159.3 27.7 538 269. 1 50 25 5 20 4. Gabbion retaining wall M, 1920 2927 152.4 1124 I - I - I - I - I - I 3044 I 2924 I % construction 5. Training in soil conservation No. - . . - - . 224 221 98.7 224 221 98.7 No. - . - . - - 208 127 61.1 208 127 (i 1.1 Km. - . . . . . 269 167.5 62.3 269 167.5 62.3 No. . . . . . . 1,068,000 378,668 35.4 1,068,000 378,668 35.4 I " . . . . . . l 068,000 218 206 20.4 . 1,068,000 21 8,206 20.4 Km. . . . . . . 230 155.I 67.4 230 155. 1 67.4 I. :::eedling raising No. 2 470 000 I 404,431 56.R 1,876 000 1,351 660 72. I 6.000.000 3.220.000 53,1___ I 0.:146.000 5.976.09 1 57.7 2 . .Seedling distribution " 2 133 800 1 404,500 65.8 - - . - . - - .. ··65.f"" T Checkdam construction Km. 52 29.5 56.7 105 90.7 86.4 40 43.7 I 09.3 197 163.9 83 4. Cutoff drain .. 38 15.4 40.5 66 148.5 225 66 42.3 64.1 170 20(1J 12 1 con$truction · - · - ·- - ·------· ----- 5. Soil bund construction " 626 162.1 25 .9 . . . - . . 626 162.1 25.9 6. Fanyajuu " 372 152.8 41.1 220 170.4 77.5 283 36.3 12.8 875 359.5 4 1 7. Stone bund " 67 67 100 . . . . . . 67 67 100 construction s.T;cnch bund .. 15 24.1 16 1.0 796 848.2 106.6 . . . 8 11 872.3 107 9. Hillside terracin No. 55.7 188.2 337.9 55.7 -- 188.2 . . . . 337:9 - . - W.Microbasin 53,750 67,340 125.3 790,400 1,013,300 128.2 . . . 844.1 50 1.080.640 128 establishment Source: Projectfield Office 68 ... " . ·. :=;~ ~F.f§ ~!?"?. :: ..... ..::! ... ~ .. ·. Soil bund is the most commonly practiced conservation activity followed by stone faced terrace in Atsbi Wcmbera, Lalay Tsed Amba, Kersa Kondality and Adama. It is considered appropriate under the circumstance. In Sodo Zuria and l-lumbo land degradation as a result of erosion and nutrient mining is a serious problem of agricultural production. Livestock production in particular is constrained by lack of grazing land. Land holding is about 0 .1 - 0 .25 ha owing to high population density (over 600 persons per square kilometer). Therefore, the overwhelming majority of the population in the area is food insecure. Moreover, the prevailing climatic irregularities cause precarious conditions for agricultural production. In some years rains fail, still in some there is unexpected heavy rain that causes flood and hail storm that devastates production. For instance in the current fiscal year (2000- 2001) there was a hail storm incidence, which caused a considerable crop failure. Cultivating of vulnerable areas (steep hills lopes) prompted by population increase leading to cropping marginal areas aggravates degradation in the area. It is observed that up to 80% slopes are cultivated on the escarpments of Mount Damota. A wide-spread clearing of previously protected natural and planted forests on Damota Mountain is a critical issue to be noted in natural resource base maintenance. This evaluation makes the following additional notes about WVI/E conservation programs: • The conservation practices are of poor quality, and the techniques applied do not suit the conditions. For example, the application ofFanyajuu prevailing in the area regardless of the soil type and rainfall cannot be justified. • The physical conservation measures the team visited at Ziga Borkoshe were of poor quality, narrowly spaced and improperly laid out and constructed. • The interventions in natural resources did not consider the land use system while planning. Structural measures not recommended for grasslands have been applied. Constructing of soil bunds on grazing land that has little or no erosion problem was observed. • The conservation activities often overlap with the fanning seasons. The nonnally accepted season for conservation is the slack period (a period after harvest to the next season ofland preparation). There seems to prevail big community awareness about the seriousness of land degradation and the attendant soil loss, specially in the Tigray project areas (Table 3.25). 69 £1 u n Li n Ll ' r.~' i : L ' . t .; k-:.: t:;;j ·.· 1 ··I ~1 ·.i ... , . . 1 . I : ~ .:·i I ~ I .. i ' ;-. ! . : ' ' .. , Table 3.25: Selected Conservation-Related Survey Results of WVJ/E Projects (Percent) WVl/E Title II froiects Ats bi Lalelay Kersa Ada in a Sod do Rumbo Characteristics Womberta Tsetse Kondaltiti .Zuria Beneficiaries who recognize that soil erosion-caused 99 97 66 57 46 47 degradation is a problem Beneficiaries who say they have had active individual and community 92 99 47 43 17 30 participation in the project-promoted conservation programs Beneficiaries who say they planted trees with support provided by -· the project (technical assistance, seedlings, 84 85 39 16 21 22 etc.) Beneficiaries who report the presence of an ar~a closure for the 65 62 3 32 8 IO purpose of land rehabilitation Beneficiaries who say they are getting grass for their livestock from enclosed areas 79 65 - 86 42 60 through the cut and carry system Beneficiaries who say they collect fuel wood (dried leaves and 0.91 - - 22 27 - wood) in the enclosures Beneficiaries who report active women participation in the conservation 97 99 22 32 8 2 programs Source: Project Field Offices 70 · . . :. :: - -~ The Table demonstrates: • It is only 16% of the respondents who say they planted trees with the project support in Adama and equally low figures of21% and 23% in Sodo Zuria and Humbo projects, respectively. Yet, WVl/E had a respectable level of involvement in tree seedling production and distribution. It is hard to explain the lack of correspondence. It perhaps tells the existence of mis-direction of seedlings or even perhaps low survival rate. • Figures seem to have a regional dimension, low in SNNP and Oromiya and high in Tigray. While the latter is understandable (strong regional government drive for natural resources rehabilitation), the low response in the South would mean the opposite. But the problem (degradation) is also profound in the South and thus a possible challenge area for future projects. 3.2.2 Health and Water Outputs Seven of the eight cooperating sponsors namely CARE, CRS, EOC/DICAC. FHI, REST, SCFiUSA and WVI/E have health components. The majority focus on water supply and health education, on issues like nutrition, hygiene and sanitation including water handling. CRS, EOC/DICAC, SCF/USA and WVl/E conduct TBA and CHA training. Some have been engaged in health care facility provision. Only two CSs, FHI and SCF/USA are involved in some family planning efforts. A summary of CS project health related activities are presented in Table 3.26. · 71 f3 l ·• •A n u n i } u r''l I' Ll n u L1 . ·· -.: ' . · ·· · · . .: ·. :.· .. · ': .. · ..... . ... .. :• ........ . ....... ... j • . .:fi. .· 2 .. '(•'. ' .:: ., . •·• • l 11'"1"1 ...: ·. . ,'" :i •• i .. ; .. Table 3.26: OAP/Title II Health Interventions E/Shoa, East & W/Hararghe E/Hararghe, E/shoa, Gurage, Harari EfI'igray and Dire Dawa E!T'igray, N/Wollo, S/Wollo, Gurage Sodo Lay a,nd Tach Gayint, Slmada, Guba-Lafto Central Tigray, EastTigray Wolayita Sodo, East Tigray, East Shoa, South Shoa Liben/Borena, Filtu/Somalia CRS EOC/ DIC AC FHI REST WVI/E SCF/ USA •· • • • • • • • • Improved Health and Nutrition Improved access to Health services Improved water supply Hygiene and sanitation education Sub-Goal 2=improved utilization of food by vulnerable groups Strategic objective 1 =Improved health status of children and mothers . Strategic objective 2= Develop sustainable community structures for romotion of health of women and children Improve health status through improved water supply, health services, consumption of vegetables Decrease malnutrition including micronutrient deficiency in children as well as pregnant and lactating mothers. Increase accessibility of RH information and services. Increase immunization coverage lncrea5e availability and use of potable water and prooer sanitation Increased access to potable water supply to alleviate the domestic work burden ofn.iral women, reduce incidence of water-borne diseases All health activities limited to raising awareness through training in Kilte￾Awlalo Increase access. to potable water Improved household health and nutrition status Increased water supply and improved water quality Increase availability of health services Source: Project Site Offices, June 2001 • • • • • • • • • • • .... _ ·-·-· . .. . . - :--:;: .. Develop springs and wells, ground catchment Nutrition education and Vil. A distribution Education on water usage, waste disposal Utilization of latrines, fuel saving stoves construction Food orocessing, oreservation and oreoaration Health education including training CHAs and TBAS Food supplementation <2, pregnant and lactating mothers. Spring protection and hand-dug wells construction of health posts. Monthly ration, immunization, ANC. training and counselin Development of springs; water management training TBAs training Education in Hygiene and sanitation Horticulture development Health oost construction as well :is orovision of eouioment & furniture. Start weaning at 4 months, Vil. A capsule distribution FP education and CBD of contraceptives, immunization. Increase (P) using potable water Increase quantity of water used per :trn Increase availability and use of sanitation facilities Develop springs Hand-Dug shallow wells Drilling of boreholes Borehole and pond construction, spring development, roof catchment Training of CHAs and TB As in nutrition sanitation water management Awareness raising in AIDs and other STDS as well as fP. Demonstration of latrine Supplementary feeding and nutrition education EPI and Vil A supplements FP in collaboration with FGAE training ofTBAs in MCH Construction.of health posts Rehabilitation of ponds with separate access for humans and animals Construction ofbirka, training in water point management, construction of a health station at Fil tu ,. 72 fl . : ' . ~ ~ ~ ·''!" •• . ' ···:: ... ' · :-.:::: ...... .,. ·. Projects· performance in respect to health interventions for the period 1997 /98 - 2000/01 are presented in Table 3.27 and 3.28 below by CS. Using the last column of the table, rating of CS performance is reviewed using a level of 80% to represent a satisfactory performance. Based on this. the performance of CRS and REST had outputs exceeding the cutoff point for all activities they have been engaged in. Although inter-CS variations are significant, under-performance is evident with the rest of the CS. The obvious question is why did this happen? There are common and CS - specific factors accounting for performing below plans. The first and perhaps the most important cause was inadequate and late provision of fund. This was a cause for frustration of project personnel and poor relation between project holders and local governments including line agencies. Moreover, prices of monetized commodities fluctuate, mostly downward, resulting in imbalance between planned and available fund. The donor response in the event of unfavorable balance is to reduce the level of activities, which could lead to program instability and reduced chance to sustain · programs. Problems stemming from monetization cut across sectors benefiting from the Title II Program. It is mentioned under the health section because it is the health programs that have relatively been more negatively affected, since cash component tends to be larger in the health interventions. Another common factor and a likely source for poor performance has been the role of communities in all aspects of projects, that is, community participation in project planning and management. The community participation is taken here in the context of ber;ieficiary involvement in decision making. Evidences obtained from focus group discussions, interviews with key informants and government officials suggest that community participation to date leaves much to be desired with all CSs, although there are variations among the CSs (in the extent of the problem). Field observations also suggest that objective conditions prevailing in the project communities would not allow authentic community participation (decision making) because community-based organizations are lacking and where available are weak. Provisions in the DAP for capacity building at the community level could not be considered commensurate with the degree of the problem. Among the CS - specific factors that have undermined project performance is the lack of good relationship between the project holders and government offices that is based on shared and common goal and objective. The tendency of discussing jointly implementation problems to seek agreed solutions has been lacking as observed during field visits. It is also observed that where the relation is more positive, for example among CRS and REST, projects performance was better in health and other sectors as well. Other problems like inadequate backstopping site project staffs, poor supervision, and inadequate health staff could also be cited as reasons for poor performance. 73 -l ·p lJ ... :it;.:J/.U;@, , -:~ ~::-::L-::!;fLi :;::~ f.:1;;y;::1;~filiJM ..... ~~fili;;~i/~ ;.::-;::: .. ~Li.. ~:.:~:: ;,:~.;-';;LL ., ·;'.':111filir~ti~ ~~s&:;di~~;:L;tr~~fat ........ "" . l .. \{~;!·- ~··. t.- -x~:.: c~~:2~] ruH ~i~~;~~TI ~Tum ~~r.:::n. c:::~:: :7 .:~~~ ~w.1~il f&1Rj ~m» . · Table 3.27: Major Health Ou.tputs of by CS · CARE Clinic construction I " I 3 I 2 I 67 I I I Health ost construction ,.. I Latrine construction I ; .. .. . I I I I I I 3 .. ~? =:3 - Ii I 2 Vegetable aardenina " 570 268 47 3138 690 22 110 294 267 408 229 I 56 I 3826 I 1491 I 39 CRS lmoroved stoves " 0 2 - 15 I 31 12061 15 I 33 I 220 113 Latrine construction " 1 1 100 15 17 0 1 113 16 19 11 9 Home visits " 104 104 100 103 103 100 80 80 100 287 287 100 Food supplement (M) Prns. 1325 1325 100 1007 1007 100 807 807 100 3139 3139 100 Food suoolement (C) " 3000 2996 100 411 9 3427 83 3897 3334 86 3509 2733 78 14523 12490 86 Health education " 1500 1592 106 2825 2505 87 2507 2257 90 2307 1945 84 9139 8299 91 1500 1404 94 1500 1123 75 1500 1187 79 1500 1056 72 6000 4800 80 EOC/ Health post construction " 2 2 100 3 3 100 - - - 5 5 100 DICAC Veoetable plots 160 60 38 380 65 17 100 123 123 640 248 39 FHI FP services Persons 1200 283 24 2130 4532 213 3492 3041 87 6822 7856 11 5 Micronutrient Suoo. II 11077 6192 59 14612 14265 98 25689 10467 41 Latrine construction No 3 4 133 45 46 102 22 0 70 50 71 Health oost construction " 4 3 75 3 3 100 3 0 10 6 60 EPl/children Persons 1033 584 57 1033 1420 137 1033 2207 214 1033 2207 214 4132 6418 155 EPl/mothers " 2000 312 16 2000 790 40 1000 1228 123 1000 1228 123 6000 3558 59 SCF 1TBA Tralninq " 35 35 100 35 35 100 70 70 100 FP IEC Material 1000 800 80 2000 3000 150 3000 3800 126 Health Post No 2 2 100 'NVl/E Latrine const. Demon " 1 1 100 I I I I 2 I 2 I 100 Source: Project Field Offices '• 74 ... . - i c.::."'.j re".;;? m:m"J ""'''!".'i .. r:::::l mm e.m1 1!!!!'7n 57 Roof catchments 4 I 2.2 I 55 I 7 I O I o I I I I I I 11 I 2.2 I 20 Pond construction II I 7 I 5 I 71 I 15 2 13 22 7 32 13 I g I 69 I 11 s 45 6 s e3 6 6 1 oo 36 - ·- -·59 l 59 65 110. 0 16 - 80 86 108 139 167 120 2 I 1 I 50 3 2 67 5 5 100 5 5 1 oo 15 ... _82.__ 100 5 4 80 10 7 70 10 9 90 26 21 81 CRS No. . . . .. . .. . .. . 1 I 1 I 100 2 2 1 oo 2 ·- 1 50 5 ·- --4· .. - --80-· EOC/ if>ICAC- Sprino and water " . · 2 2 100 5. _,_ .§ __ - .. I·· FHI Sprino Development No 4 3 7 5 15 11 67 17 16 94 15 19 126 REST SCF/ USA WVl/E Hand-duo well " 1. 2 200 13 5 38 14 7 t 50 .... ,., ____ ,_,,, .. ,_ .. _ No. 24 24 100 \298 211: 21551 41 378t ___ Hand-dug well " 48 48 100 56 40 71 39 39 100 143 127 89 Bore-hole I " 8 8 100 8 8 100 - 16 16 Trainina I Sess. I I I I I I 20 I 20 I 100 I I I 20 I 20 Pond construction I No. I I I I 2 I 1 I 50 I 1 I 1 I 1 oo I 2 I 1 I 50 I 5 I 3 100 100 60 Hand-duo well I " I I I I 2 I 1 I 50 I 1 I 1 I 100 I 2 I 1 I 50 I 5 3 I GO Birka Development I " I I I I 1 I 1 11 oo I 2 I 2 1100 I 2 I 2 11 oo I 5 5 I 1 oo Pond construction No 5 5 100 4 6 150 10 9 90 19 20 ... ... . Roof catchments " 1 1 100 2 2 100 ---· -·--·-·-· ... . ......... .. Bore-holes No. 13 7 54 7 7 100 5 - 25 14 56 7 8 114 2 1 50 9 9 100 . -· .. . .. , ,_,, __ ... ._.,, _,, 7 1 14 2 3 150 9 4 Training (water Manaaement Sess. 2 2 1100 2 2 100 Source: Project Field Offices ,. '' .1; 75 .. 'l1"l···1·1···' ....... 1··· , .. >;•1· · 1 !it::f:·. · .. : ·!( ·: : .. ·:·.::1 ,,1). p-, ,. :"• ·• '• .. .,. :· .. :. · ·· :: : · . i· .. ·:: · p , I .. : ··:-..· ·.::s .. ,::., ·: : ·.:.? .• l . . ::·: ~ _ .. .. I ·,j ~~ i J ·:-:~ .:...~ ~ ...,. ':.'"J':t .. :iJ !,"(j i:+.;1 .;:;.:J "$! ~~ -51 ~~...;·; ~~:~ ~r.: ··· ~ i ., .. ·~i ·t'\""\ ' i ;.:1 ... ) .. . : . ~ ·I ... :.j 3.2.3 Physical Infrastructure Outputs The aggregate plan (all CS) was to construct 770 km of rural road. Actually, I 052 km (36.6% higher) was constructed in the period. The situation was similar with maintenance. The plan was to do 550 km ofroad maintenance, but perfonnance was higher by about 20% (Table 3.29). The table indicates that there was a considerable inter-CS variation. Most of the increase came from REST projects. This could be due to considerable demand for such roads arising from relatively large engagement in land reclamation by all REST projects. Road density is low in most project areas even by Ethiopian standards. This immensely constrains projects' perfonnance, especially as regards conservation programs and income generation initiatives. Moreover, a considerable amount of food aid commodities can be used via FFW without affecting local food production in all project areas. There is a huge demand for FFW employment. All of this suggests that there is a strong rationale to increase the scope of road program in the upcoming DAP . 76 . 'i i· " ·. ..,;•:';u1· · • · · .. , · · '-:'i·'"''' !'ilm1a111·,1,. ,.,,. ,. i ... 1~"111lll111mnm:1 :::... · i~: «lH~U'! .-~i ·l! .: •;: ii\ .. :'.;~J;i{:ii'.! ma itbi1.;.1+w; t!:tfiim1~ll!!:!d ~ml!lhi\i :'. ... ::· ::. :. .... ·. . ... . .· :1n1~u·1;ii;"•1 wl< 1·"1 .. , •• , .... ;i"l11·r:!· .. • . ·::," 1'.;:>y1.:1'1ll .'11l·iii i1iJ'i! {i-i 1! ,if i;· ··· - ·· : ....... ~1: : .... :., u ... ·.W .....:; ~r:-:.:.~:.:: .. :-.:..:~~?; . , f1 •• I ",• . :: : . :~. l ·:: ' . Table 3.29: Outputs of Physical and Social Infrastructures by CS for the Period 1997/98 • 2000/01 1. Access Road - Road survevina - Road deslan - New road construction - Road maintenance - Orv weather Road construction - Culvert /Ford - Bridae - Wooden bridge construction - Concrete bridge construction 2. School construction 3. School maintenance Source: Project Field Office t~:~ tt-r~: r~~ .. 1 L_:.;;_J 1..:.:;; ~ "'" c:::3 Km Km Km Km Km No. !?TI;r:B 13 13 - - - - - - - r·....., 9.7 74.61 - I - 9.7 74.6 - 54 67.65 - - 58 53. 11 - 47 35.6 - - 12 8 - - 4 4 - - 4 2 - - 2 0 ~ lii.M,,,y,,;1 ~~ ,,1w c::J ·I - I - I - I - I 10 l 36 I 360 125.3 I 67.65 I 90.511 I 110.7 \· 167 I 124.7 \ 74.6 91 .6 I 41 I 67.124 1- 108.0 I 38 I 27.8 I n .2 75.7 66.7 100 I - I - I - I 6 I 0 I o I I I I I 50.0 0 77 Wc':4l ~ ~ .c:J ~~..,.fi ,.,. •. .,.~ \ll\M\k~ ..__:0 4..:J :::. ~ ~ ml ..... . .- .~:. ~}~~: .; :;.Jflim~~:~ .. ~~=~·::.:'. .... t·· .. ~.:~:'t~;L~~: ~~Ji.;fr~.:; : .. ~··· ..... ......... .. ~: ...... r:i:c,_ .. : ;~~f:;_. ;rr?. :~ fl .... .. a ;~E~~qjl! ·= ·• 1. Access Road 3d survevino Km 83 21.1 25 - Road desian Km - - - New road construction Km 105 59.1 56 - Road maintenance Km 85 82.1 97 - Orv weather Road construction Km - Culvert /Ford No. I 6 I 5 I 83 I I I - Bridge • Wooden bridcie construction • Concrete bridoe construction 2. School construction 3. School maintenance I I 20 I 16 I 80 Source: Proj ect Field Offices ., .·.·.· ................ O o ·~ .~/~~liillill~l~;~tilif: · .. ~: .: .. ~ .. R: . .:_. f ·~~ tt~t o 278 :.•:1 . .:..1~ ....... .... : :: ·!: 580 209 ~i~;;. ~ ........... . " ·...-::;:~(·· _:~:i~) - - - . ·: .. ~·~ ... .. :~ .. i¢.~Y~ ,;.: ... ·. ...... ~.; m Table 3.29 Cont'd ... 99 130 132 273 433 159 . . - 55.0 16.1 29 12 12 100 1 1 100 78 ,. I . ,..; .. ·" .. -~ ...-. .;.., ~-~ .-;- ... , ·.::: . .. ;: '!-....... CJ{Jl : 11:::: 1it ::1 ;ti!:= ... : ... : ;; ·. . ·:~· ·. .:;;i?fnH! :1, .' . '. ••• .. .!.! . : · .•1 .;1mlf·'/li'11'•:i111'!Wi"·"'n:, .;; r ·· · 1.·:ir;t;;n: ·; : ... . :: .. ~~Hlli ;~,t :L :~· .:.: : .. J . . " . '.::umt8! .. , ·:·:·:;r· m;.v ;1; O ' •'N: :'ll u~ t' i. .'· ;,, tA:·•,' · . ,; ~· ! . J ::::·~ Table 3.30: Results on IR1' indicators . .·· •; . "::~ :: ~~i ~,.8~'.U""k~m-..1·S>1, rJ., 1' ' ' I. ,.. .~ ),.,,,. , ... l ··r I.'. •· 1. ' p I, ~~$ .,~.~~~1··. 1~ •, ::r I I . ' . ·'1 l r ,., •. I &>=''"'"''~"""~'""''"'•" .,, ... -,,·~ .. "' .,, ....... r .• ,, ' • I"' w ~ - "·~~·~··,, .. ,,, .. ... It". '"··r ·rr·--· .. .... , ··rr·' "' ' I·, ,. I I ~.i,r.,(lj_ l}l:}Ty; ~ ~1~11j,_1,1Jdi' l~J,il.« , .·, t.'il~l~.:f.,J . ,, _ J~it-!;J .. ,_ .. ci. , <~,t:B ,.•. fr,\,.:1·;.13*':,: ~:...J ~ .. :l::t~ll .1. t .... {3:=.Lr. ''" :S{.sJ.;,i. :!, · u:U.i " · A UD::i " - • ~,;, ',',"fr:.Jl;>·~ .. I·:·.,~ ,• 1 •' .·. ' l ' 1' l.:,' .J·'.~: ..L· "",•) : •• ;.·,,.::_~ ... ~1-(1 ;.,_._: ,\. 11-t.. .·,,) .;;_ ·,· .,~· I•. , _ , 11t l ft/ 1~ 'r' ( •'' , ''" "'' •'~' :lr1~,- J.. ..,1· •, ,;, "· , ".ii. -__ ,,[. -.-·- , . .,,-", -.. -··1r"'""'- 'ft" .. ,-.... ,.__-~-,r,,·•7• :· ~['~-:l!"f·"'··,--; 7"--•-or- i-r;-''l':''c- -~r.~-- --- :- .. ,: ··" ,-- .--, .. ----- . , 1· -:·-e lt~·\:~ :~il1:~;,~1;r'.1:·i1•, '~1, i·':···. t ·.·, .,l~t·1' ~j' i,,• 1>'' ll· '1111,p·(~- :.;~ . )' i.~',:/ ',\, ,~1( 1;1 :::,r~ "~~l~i) :_.· ! ~- .... li/" ~ ilf1J- .._·' ~:·~~, ,1'~'·"' ·~ ·~' ·_-, ·~ .".: ~-~,,!i.r·1~t~ 1f~k'l! [@!1,). ·: ,' . , · "db-.'..· ·,_,., J!·iH:fl ~" i-lililiJ :;i ~filslri\ .. 1@ililti1b\il:J:W ltt{•J.!JiJi i!i&lf:.l!Jri,.: ffi©iJ,1l~ ;:iftili®: 1~~lOOJJ~~1J w.!.~J .• i;::l:Jr 1r • ~~1.iH i · .fJ!t": :{!ffft ~ 1. Yield ,:.i,i;mai ..: ·· . ~· ·:i IDL I - • ~ ' :: . 366.74 \. 796 j (. ~ • Barlev Ko/ha NA NA 532 690.9 942.7 390.25 923 386 885 532 668.8 NA 872.7 201.3 747.1 ... .... -Wheat NA NA 867 630 825.7 437.7 884 416 923.9 532 847.3 NA 584 222.4 542 447.62 782 ·-· - Teff 766.6 5.53 612.7 636 651 .6 322.5 674.2 263.7 793.4 532 797 NA 693 165 591 .5 320.8 698 - ·-· ·Maize I I I 581 .51 610 601 .9 332.7 988.6 274.25 758.7 206 946.3 532 998.6 NA 322.3 238 647.8 365.5 836.5 --.. • Sorqhum I I I 512.21 855 639.6 354.5 1051 248.7 628.8 . 833.7 532 788.8 NA 148.4 72 743.4 412.4 763.7 2. Overall arain oroductlon Kg/ha NA 535 NA 468 NA 488 NA 567 NA 416 NA 428 NA 559<•! NA 4801 NA I 484 3. % H.H usinQ fertilizers % NA 1.3 16.5 31 .6 29.8 25.5 12.25 22 22.6 6.7 00 42.5 00 16.1 40.7 40. 11 21 1 26.61 4. % H.H using improved 5.91 12.sl seeds % NA 0.6 9.2 22.9 3 7.9 2.9 7.3 17.8 0.82 00 12.2 00 1.65 7.2 21 .5 5. % H.H using improved agriculture practice % NA 21.1 38.5 44.2 NA 44.1 53.4 47.8 29 53.3 NA 44.4 NA 16.7 21.3 83.1 35 48.0 6. Area irri ated Ha NA . - 145.8 - 3.3 55.3 299 5.1 9.7 NA 1.75 NA 0.75 - 8.4 60.4 398.4 a) The figure seems on the high side. This is due to (1) maize, a relatlvely high yielding crop, dominated crop program in the areas and (2) area under crop/hh was relatively large. Source: 1997 baseline survey and 2001 evaluation 82 " .~ .:.~;:~ ··{.·" ~·. . ! - ...... T" ::....· . .: Intermediate Result Two - Increased Household Income (IR2) Table 3.31 below compares three of the five IR2 indicators selected to measure results for 1997 and 2000. The table demonstrates: 1. At the national or Title ll level, livestock ownership declined from 2.66 TLU/hh in 1997 to 2.17 TLU/hh in 2000. It fell in all CS's but SCF. The main reasons were lack of feed, poor weather, changing land use due to conservation measures like enclosures and overgrazing. These have been accountable to the persisting nature of feed shortage in most project areas. In the PRA seasons farmers thought that health problems were a major factor for the decline. The declining livestock ownership could well be an indicator of stagnant or retrogressive well-being in the project areas. 2. Physical asset ownership is another indictor. This report selected seven types of assets among over 16 different assets on which data was collected to observe whether households owned more or less physical assets (excluding land, livestock and trees) in 2000 than in the base year. The assets are (1) plough and cart representing the group of assets used for production; (2) table, wooden-framed beds and blanket representing the group assets that are considered most basic; and (3) radio and watch representing the group of assets considered non-essential. Table 3.31 shows that in terms of these assets, ownership deteriorated in 2000 on aggregate level, another possible indication that there has not been any reduction on the level of poverty. 3. Percentage of households that added luxury food items is.another indictor. This report took the percent of households reporting no consumption whatsoever of · items considered luxury as the proxy to monitor progress. As can be observed in the table, the results between the two years are very close. There is though a slight improvement in 2001, nearly 68% of the respondents said they did not add luxury food items against about 70% in 1997. 4. The other two indictors ofIR2 on which there are no reliable data are income from cash crop and average saving from _credit society. Cash crop has not been properly defined and data collected in 1997 and 2001 are hard to tell whether they are referring to the same thing or source. Credit societies never materialized, it seems, because of the non-implementation of credit components of Title II due to the micro-finance regulations. 83 n ,J n tJ n Ll n u f1 LI ". .... "t",'"' . .. . . · .... • .. ", .. · .. .. '' ........ ·· · " 1 ·;>'' 1·' • • , .. , .,,. .. . . · .• .. ··• .: ·:· .... ·.: :"·:' .•... : ... .· .. P>::- .. . .• .. . : : .. ; ·· ··: · ·:·:: .!: :: .. ; ..... :·· ... ... .. ... .. ::;·.: : .. ·.>j : , ·.J. encouraging because ii happens among Agnuak farmers who used to be complete strangers to improved techniques of crop production before the project. IR2 There are data on livestock ownership, physical asset ownership and luxury food items added for 200 I. Similar data are not available for 1997 for comparison. Livestock ownership is very low 0.73 TLU/hh. Anuaks, the Gambellans in Gog, are almost exclusively crop producers, and low livestock ownership is expected. IR3 Africare did not have direct health interventions. 3.3.3 Intermediate Results - CARE ·IR1 Decrease in yields of maize and sorghum in Kurfachele by 48%, and 42% respectively •• were observed in 2000 over the baseline. In Grawa maize yield was less by about 16% . but sorghum yield showed an increase of about l 0%. Improved yield situation was observed in Bedeno, where maize and sorghum yield rose by 69% and 97%, respectively (Table 3.33). The table further shows that maize and sorghum in Chiro, Gubakoricho and Kuni significantly . In Adama crop yields increased in 2000, with some remarkably. For example, teffyield in 2000 increased by about 64% over 1997. Sorghum also showed a higher yield in 2000. In Bosset, yields of teff and sorghum rose by 50% and 54%, respectively in 2000, while in maize yield decreased slightly (Table 3.33) . _Per household teff and maize declined by 16% and 42%, respectively. There are no cred~ble reasons to explain maize and sorghum yield behavior in CARE projects. For example, in Kurfachele more farmers used fertilizers, improved seeds and improved farm management practices in 2000. Yet, productivity of these crops declined. On the other hand, in Bedeno the percentage of farmers using fertilizers, seeds and improved farming practices also increased in 2000 but by less points. Yet, maize and sorghum yields increased significantly. Rainfall was rated better in 2000 than in 1997. This should have resulted in higher crop yields, but it did not. It stands to reason that the explanatory factor could be the responses the surveyed farmers gave. They might have either inflated or deflated resultc; knowingly or unknowingly. The effects of the projects on crop productivit'J and overall grain production could not be expected to be significant, since there have not been interventions to directly influence yields or overall production. 89 Pl w I 0 . • •> : {~N;r~CJ..: .. ~/:: ~r:~;;~·:< ."~t°:i .. :. ·.!: i\ :~.=tW . i~U \ .. :. . :· ... 1: • • I• .,0 ., I ... ..:r;~ .. H .. .. .. ::,~c ...... ·: . i. · '~:·! !>')~ 11tl.l,-;1li! ''f,•· ,-. · ·· l; · .: ,;H,ih..': • ~..... \:;, ........ i:,,~ lJ ·-··---·· ·- •• .i.il .. ~ • •. ·-··· ... ; ..... ...... _(~ 3J.: .. .... £::~i~~l . .1 -~'.f . ;J:~;~. : .... :; ·~:~ ~~': .~·~ ~~: !'.~ i::· am ~~:.,·<. ,...1 . ·.' , . ·. : .. :L :::' fiim · :~~t~:j~ 'f . T~~ •• ·••• .... .. .... · ••w> n;,.,,L.:J; ... j.1 ... :.:--1 ••• ~ ..·~~.:~ ~f: ..... _ .::: m " Yield of Major Crops (Kg/ha): • Barley . 479 . 681 . 223 . 193 . . 400 . 178 . 759 . 866 - Wheat . 367 . 1510 . 470 . 147 . . - - - 942 . 1000 • Teff . 2017 . 1721 - 964 1216 383 1216 . 1216 452 389 640 389 577 ·Maize 912 476 912 1538 912 769 1520 311 1520 147 1520 625 569 601 569 651 - Sorahum 720 417 720 1421 720 792 1216 698 1216 571 1216 485 516 919 516 814 Overall Crop Production (Kg/hh): - Barley . 17 - 5 - 2 . 26 . .5 . 2 - 148 . 7 - Wheat . 8 - 8 . 4 . 1.5 . . . . . 164 - 2 - Teff . - - 6 . 3 . 5.8 81 . 81 11 337 284 337 224 - Maize 85.2 56 85.2 310 85.2 86 187 168 187 55 187 180 397 229 397 416 - Sorahum 144.6 745 144.6 96 144.6 71 333 317 333 381 333 68 70 9 70 61 IMooaodog lodioator.: - % HH using fertilizers \ • I 59.8 I . I 8.5 I . I 65.0 \ 18.9 \ 13.2 [ 18.9 I 4.4 \ 13.9 I 53.1 I 40 I 32.1 I 40 I 17.2 1- % HH using I 57.0 I 2. 1 I 6.7 I 2.1 I 118.5 I 118.5 I I I I 6 I I 6 I 1 improved seeds I 2.1 63.3 7.9 4.5 42.2 1.4 0.3 1. % HH using ;improved Agri. Practices 25.7 55.3 25.7 59.3 25.7 61.0 57.0 27.6 57.0 31 .7 57.0 L 34.5 1. 30 l 31 .7 l 3_0 l 52.8 - Area irri ated ha . 63.72 - 0.4 . 33.70 . 4.8 . 0.5 - 38.6 • 0.25 3.51 - -- - · - - ---· -· - Source: 1. The source of baseline figures Is CARE 2. DSA Agricultural HH Survey Results, 2001 - in 2000 means there have not b~en enough.observation to make use of simple statistics like the mean .,. 90 : . ... ~~· • ·. 4 . ·' : . ' -·· . • i . ;.·....,:_.- IR2 The 1997 and 200 I values on livestock ownership, physical asset ownership and luxury food items added for CARE projects are presented in Table 3.34 below. Notable observations include: • Livestock ownership increased in Chiro, Grawa and Bosset in 2001over1997. In the rest of the projects ownership declined. It is hard to point out the reasons for the increase or decrease. In group discussions farmers seriously contend that livestock number is continuously declining due to feed shortage and rampant livestock diseases. Agricultural offices oflocal government tend to confinn the farmers' view . • Ownership of physical assets in terms of number per household changed very little between the two years. This coupled with declining trend of livestock ownership seems to indicate that there was no asset creation at the household level over the project period. • The situation with luxury food items added is similar to asset ownership; there was no significant change. Table 3.34: Changes between 1997 and 2001 in Respect to Ownership of Livestock, Physical Asset and Luxury Food Items added for CARE Project -Grawa l.55 2.58 0.28 0.21 42.8 45.4 - Bedeno 1.77 1.59 0.26 0.21 35.06 38.00 - Kurfachelle 1.63 1.28 0.29 0.21 39.04 42.09 (2 West Harar he - Chiro 2.28 2.97 0.47 0.30 27.6 31.75 - Guba Koricha 3.10 2.53 0.42 0.26 30.52 34.79 -Kuni 2.34 1.70 0.50 0.31 44.8 47.2 3 EastShoa - Adama 7.32 6.84 0.33 1.4 30.16 33.17 - Bosset 2.4 3.84 0.5 0.31 29.64 31.01 So~rce: 1997 baseline survey and 2001 evaluation survey IR3 All CARE projects that have registered improvements are found in cash crop (coffee and chat) areas. Bosset should have registered an improvement as well with its high income generating irrigation schemes, but this has not happened . 91 :.~~+{11~ x<<. ?"<·: . '.·:filmr;::·:: .. ; '' . ' . ~·1p11/) .• ,,>::11 "1~" .··· '.·ft); ~' 1•~11~·.::. ~ :7!. · . -r:;,.~:t~fll!li~~J l!U!!~:~ .. · :::· :.•· ~_?,,j~I :;~ ·,·. : , '. ' ,:.~,- , ;J .. :P.htillt! .. ~:i!!t:-~~!l'.!: ..... :;;._ '.:...o..:i" 1 J !' • L-~fu~i..:r.: •~·(:; 1f:, t• 0 .' ".•'j ·:,, .:,l,lf"f!'!'' . c::· ...... · ........ _ , ..... ·--·· ...... __ _ ·!·~~ C·:• •,1' '.:: :( •"··"·'.I . ·. ~ 'r, ... ·.···: . ~~· . Indicators , HEAI;;TH. 11. Prevalence of diarrhea STA'filJS .. .. ,. occurrence l'.M?t©v£Ei · : f int~~ii\~cii~ :;/_~\; J·2-:-chlldrenunder weight ·' Resu~d' '·,._,« .•. , .. 1 1 ~ ... •\F.· '::;':/ ;·,':·: ·, '. ,......,.3 ...,. H:-:-ou-s-e'""ho...,l,...,d·s· -us-:i-ng-- ·•" . !: :~tJ~ijlt .. : i :~ um ;~~ :·~q J ,·• Table 3.35: IR3 Results of the CARE Title II Projects · 6'ss# ·~Y .. : .. ·J ?;,!"_" .•.• :_:·. Adama B'asii.year : ~o::r}~'. a~~ ycar · 2001 · Unit value · · 'viliue % I • I 4.6 I - I 4.9 % 32.5 60.0 35.4 48.3 % 34.7 55.8 ___ C.;;.hiro Base year vnlue 38.4 2001 21.7 31.9 23.1 ;;?ta Gubn Korichn Base year I 2001 value lri.7 35.5 ~8.5 8.6 Kuni Base year value 47.J .......... : : · .. ;!· 2001 10.-l ~7. ~ 23.4 ... ,. . · • · rotected water sources 't" if;;'. ::~. ,:;.:: :?; 4. Deliveries attended by % • 35.4 • 37.3 •. ' 40.5 ___ J __ , 5.0 - I ,1 1JA .~:~~~~ ... ·· •. :'.i~ ::}~:tf,f trained TBAs .V · '.*~i.'~; ~~\ii:~~ -s-HH--t-h-at-v-is-i-1.e_d_h_e-al_th _____ 0_Vo---+---.--+--2-l._0__, ____ ---+--3-5-.-l -+---.---+--J-9-.---i-----t-----i-----t-- 6 ' :.: :./.r .: ·· · : · · .: posts twice in the last six "' ~ -J_ 292 1.'' .:;. • · months ;>·~- ·;~ :-!'.~f.:~ . .. :: .. :;·>--6-. _Am_o_u_n-to_f_w_a_t-er_u_s_ed ____ L_l/_da_y_/_H_H_..,__4_7_.9 _ _,__4_3 _ _,_ __ 5_0_.3 __ ...__5_5_._0_ ....... _4_5-.9---o--3-4 __ ..__4_6_.4 _ _,_ __ _ 47 ~9.J I 4~ ·'·:· ·:. :: • :·1.·-:. ~:;:.;~·P!!,?; :-t~;- ·>:· ~.rAxail'aSleli>Ts~in"ef'oS'e;' i:eTWorecia level :;\:. ~3. ~ft¥~7f .. ~t ~!?~:~:~;{·::"::;'~ ~~i:~:~ !:~~~~\~:.~~;.'.~~Xf~if~~ :: HENflTH'STA"TUS."''" IMPROVED;, .. ::. I. Prevalence of diarrhea occurrence lntetthediate Result•.; 2. Children under weight % 7. 1 47. 1 29.8 .. , ,, :O;.;: ~i0Z,fBeileno . ... .. ~~t~ i~ar ·. value" 2001 8.0 59.2 J 1.2. Table J.J5 continued ... Base year "alue 8.9 Grawn 2001 9.9 O.~ ; Nor~/~~j .. :. ··· 1.•( • .. : . ·)_t • '. [,~ ~ .;, ·.• ·' .• :·i--3-. H·-ou-s-eh_o_ld_s_u_s-in_g_p-ro-t-ec-t-ed-w-at_e_r -+---o/c-o--+---_---+--8-9. 4--4---.---41---0 ----- 55.(; sources ~··· 4. Deliveries attended bv trained TBAs I % 42.1 47.5 ... ·16.g-- S. HH that visited health posts twice in I % 21.7 19.4 26.7 the last six month 6. Amount of water used I Lt/dav/HH 31.1 57 39.4 32 36.4 55 Source: 1997 baseline survey and 2001 evaluation survey " 92 ~ ·""·-· 1 ... 1 ~~ ··:·: . ~t~ =---l - i ;.;;-.i ·. There arc baseline values for two indicators: Children under-weight and amount of waler used (source not distinguished). In respect to these two indicators the situation households face in all project locations is deplorable. Children under-weight increased in Bosset, Adama. Guba Koricha and Kuni. Water consumption decreased in Bosset, Chiro, Kuni, and Bedeno. Generally consumption in 2001 was below WHO minimum requirement by 16-53%. This is in spite of !he fact that water was and still remains one of the most important support areas. But use of safe water in project communities seems significantly higher than the national average, and the areas where projects (except Guba Koricho) showed commendable results (see Table 3.35). Some deterioration was observed in children's underweight in Adama, Guba-Koricha, Kuni, and significant deterioration in Bosset. As mentioned above, Bosset should have registered an improvement, but this has not happened; instead a decline occurred. There have been instances in the past where extra money earned from development work went mainly for drinks. Women's empowerment and more consultative family resource use could have helped. In places where there was no improvement in the percentage of households using safe water distance traveled to water sources and water charges could be factors. Mos't water development ventures impose a nominal charge. The charge, however small it might be, cou!d deter use because of low affordability. 3.3.4 Intermediate Results - Catholic Relief Service {CRS) ·. , IR1 Data on IRl indicators for CRS Title II projects in 1997 and 2000 are shown in Table 3.36 below. It reveals that there were significant productivity increases in 2000 over that of 1997 cereals, notably maize and sorghum. Over three-fold increase in maize yield was reported in several of the projects (Hundene, Fedis, Jarso). Very high sorghum productivity increase was also reported for Jarso (431 %), Fedis (I 01 %), Hundene (85%). Wheat, barley and teff yields were generally more favorable in 2000, but the changes were less dramatic. Despite the fact that there is expectation that the CRS conservation activities (rated highly qualitatively and quantitatively) could influence positively crop productivity, it is not likely that this could be the major thrust for the huge yield increases. The year 2000 was a good production year because of the favorable meher rains in amount as well as in distribution. The 'belg' rain in the year was inadequate and this affected maize and sorghum in most places but not in Hararghe. Farmers re-planted and the extended rains of the meher season resulted in relatively high maize and sorghum yields in Hararghe in particular. It seems thus evident that the favorable rainfall .in 2000 was by and large behind the high productivity increase in CRS Title II projects. Overall household production, on the other hand, did not correspond to the yield rise. The 2000 figures were in many instances lower than the baseline values. The mean area under cereal p.-oduction decreased in all projects, in some by as much as 60%. It seems evident that the decrease in cultivated area was the major reason for cereal production per household. There has not been a significant change in the proportion of households using productivity-increasing inputs - fertilizers and improved seeds. The trend was decreasing 93 fl LI '1 b a l ' ~ Ll ~~ ~~?-~ l --· i ' I ~ i ·! t ~·· ·: I .... t:··: ·.; ·; fJ .1, ' .. number of fertilizer users (Jarso, Fedis, Adama) and increasing numbers of users of improved seeds (Jarso, Gulomekeda, Hundene) in 2000. The combined influence of this on crop yields might not be much. Although there are no baseline figures to compare with, the percentage of farmers using improved cultural practices in 2000 was very encouraging, and perhaps this had some contribution to the 2000 relatively high productivity discussed above. Nearly 50 percent of surveyed farmers employed improved practices of one type or another in Hundene, Gulomekeda, Fed is, Kombulcha, and Jarso. There is reason to believe that the projects had a role (conservation programs, farmers' training). Discussions with farmers individually and in group indicate that there is a lot of appreciation for this low cost approach to increasing productivity. There are irrigation schemes here and there but the effect of this on production is yet to materialize since the schemes have either not been completed or went operational only recently at the time of the visit. To recap, it is difficult to say that the projects brought any significant change in food production to date, although it could be argued that the projects' support for conservation and.capacity enhancement at the household level might positively affect production in the futur~, perhaps in a sustainable way. 94 ..... ·;:.:: : '·. : . ·:~~;:::! . ' ..... t'l~ ·>~ . :~r;;~r~~~~;:~:tmmr. · .: ~ . ·,. ·~RUf,ff~i~''°~~~ij>/j!~Lt,1:.;.~H ·· .. :1• : •• , rl~!H~R!'·· '.., 1 ~·:: f:~;.~~ :-~ .. ~:J~~·filr~H~.~l!f; ~ftJi~t~ :.>~t~~t~~ . "· ... l ... ~: .. · ......... . : .. :::·1~{! .:: . ... · :.: ~:s~:~r.JB • I . ;' j: ... . ··: .. .: Table 3.36: IRl Results of CRS Title II Projects Yield of Major Crops (Kg/ha): - Barley 960 834.6 NA 1028 NA 700 890 - 890 . 890 00 - Wheat 760 778 NA 760 NA 639 840 . 840 - 840 00 - Teff 700 712 NA 783 NA 523 - . . . - 00 - Maize 650 745 NA 972 NA 609 430 1640 430 1584 430 - Sorghum - 766 NA 666 NA 545 490 1274 490 1355 490 I 808 Overall Crop Production (Kg/hh): ·Barley 363 145 NA 27 NA 222 133.5 1 133.5 81 133.5 00 ·Wheat 315 105 NA 76 NA 273 221.4 2 221.4 . 221.4 00 • Teff 553 345 NA 100 NA 323 . 3 . 27 . 00 • Maize 251 292 NA 580 NA 247 51 .5 105 51 .5 92 51 .5 • Sorghum 6 NA . NA 8 195.4 227 195.4 83 195.4 I 271 !Monitoring Indicators: 89 I 32.8 I NA I 6.1 I NA I 29.0 I 28 I 10.6 I 28 I 31 I 28 I 22 - % HH using fertilizers J i- % HH using Improved seeds 1 0.1 " 2.0 " 1.3 4 5.2 4 13.9 4 19.8 - % HH using improved Agri. 'Practices NA 37.3 " 29.4 " 38.1 NA 41.6 NA 47 NA I 38.5 - Area irri ated ha 0 - - . - - 0 0.88 0 0.19 0 Source: 1. The source of baseline figures is CRS 2. DSA Agricultural HH Survey Results, 2001 • in 2000 means the number of observations made were too small to make any good use of simple statistics like the mean. NA= Not Available 95 =~~ m;;: ~ C"~ II:~ ti:'~ mnll G~;:.~ ~ ~ tW"J r~~ mJil.'rJI r;-~ . t'D ~;::; ~;i::;~)l c:m ~ m . i·· . . · .. . ;· :::f:: 1 . ..... O M :-: .. . ,• Yield of Major Crops (Kg/ha): - Barley (Kg/ha) 890 833 890 - - Wheat (Kg/ha) 840 1388 840 - - Teff (Kg/ha) - 416 - - - Maize (Kg/ha) 430 1865 430 1230 - Sorghum (Kg/ha) 490 989 490 1130 Overall Crop Production (Kg/hh): - Barley 133.5 17 133.5 - -Wheat 221.4 8 221.4 - - Teff - 6 - - - Maize 51 .5 57 51 .5 164 - Sorohum 195.4 76 195.4 109 Monitoring Indicators: - % HH using fertilizers 28 15.8 28 50 - % HH using improved seeds 4 3 4 19.7 - % HH using improved Agri. I I I Practices NA 50.3 NA I 51.1 - Area 0 - 0 2.1 I Source: 1. The source of baseline figures is CRS 2. DSA Agricultural HH Survey Results, 2001 890 840 - 430 490 133.5 221.4 '· - 51 .5 195.4 28 4 NA 0 I .:!:\;. ...... .. . .. ..... ".... / .· 1465 1527 833 1541 1411 55· 151 .56 46 65 21.2 4.5 55.6 0.13 I·. ...... 410 290 - - - 89.4 31.3 - - I - i 71 4 NA 0 I ' 0 .. + M " ,) Table 3.36 Cont'd ........ 1127 890 838 963 840 551 600 - 833 909 i 430 1461 500 I 490 I 907 206 134 1 43 221 8 2 0.4 I 6 I 52 I 79 1 195 -- 35.7 0 26.8 13.4 4 5 49.1 I I 47.2 - NA - in 2000 means the number of observations made were too small to make any good use of simple statistics like the mean. NA= Not Available 96 ,. •••• ' .. I ' · - fl[ ;-~:~ j - ' -::_: .. ·,: ~; .-'·'-! ~¥.-~ ~~ : .. ·: i·-::-· -.. ·~-- ... IR2 Table 3.37 providl:s data on household livestock and physical asset ownership and consumption of luxury food items in 1997 and 200 I for CRS Title I I projects. The Table shows: • In seven of the ten projects where there arc data for 1997 and 200 I. livestock ownership declined, in some rather sharply (Hundene, Goroguttu). In three projects (Goluomekeda, Kombolcha and Fed is) livestock ownership of households increased. Like in CARE projects there are no distinctly known reasons either for the increase or decrease. Farmers are strongly. inclined to believe that herd size is decreasing due to feed and health problems, implying that livelihood means have been weakening in the project areas in spite of the Title II interventions. • There is not much difference in the level of physical asset ownership of the households between the base year and 200 I. • In almost all projects, the percentage of households who said they never consumed any luxury food item is less in 2000, but the difference is small with most projects. . . Ta\Jle 3.37: Changes between 1997 and 2001 in Respect to Ownership of Livestock, Physical Asset and Luxury Food Items added for CRS Project ,,. ~~~~ t: :.:. ~~;'; '•· -. .Projects . Ji; O.Olk ; £. .. J9§ . Geulomekeda 0.66 1.17 0.22 20.52 25.97 Adam a 2.15 2.02 1.36 34.74 39.99 Du da bora 4.51 2.99 0.52 39.38 42.9 Dodota Sire 1.33 0.37 40 Jari>o 1.56 l.08 0.27 0.20 33.78 37.8 Kombolcha 1.18 1.30 0.36 0.25 38.54 40.8 Fedis 0.76 1.30 0.23 0.20 26.12 31.20 Meta 2.78 1.64 0.47 0.25 34.64 39.00 Goro tu 2.5 1.44 0.27 0.26 43.78 48.02 Hundene 1.86 0.63 0.59 0.20 48.54 49.5 DireDawa 3.81 2.83 0.40 0.28 21.9 23.01 Source: 1997 baseline survey and 2001 evaluation survey IR3 Table 3.38 shows that CRS health performance has been impressive. Under-weight prevalence decreased, immensely in some projects. Diarrhea prevalence seems low, and percentage of households using safe water sources is high in most projects by Ethiopian standards. CRS has been focusing on children in several different ways: it was engaged in growth monitoring, provided supplemental feeding to both mothers and children. These are bound to contribute to improved nutritional status of children. Communities as well as local authorities expressed concern, especially in East Shoa, that FACS program might encourage parents to go for more children in order to obtain the monthly ration of flour and oil. 97 ; ~.~ ·i i 1 ·f:t "'"l "I :l :5J . ·;1 .. iJ ~ .:·.:1 ! . i I "l i ; l . ' . i I i ~ i ! ~~~ : ~~ ., :i l """ ~ ·.-... i ' , . .,., ;.··: : ·.i I 9 ~1 < .r.:::1 r-.::j i:'.'· fiA g}-.. ~;;-~ ::····j . ~ '.l d ' ' I :. , : I ~"J ' · . .; f:.~ ::::i :\f; r-=-i .. :. .. ' •"• ~ '· ~ . ... 1 ., .. '~ e::1 .. ... ! •. j :· .. ~, . .. There was a decline in the amount of water used by households at Dugda-Bora, Hundene, Dire-Dawa, and at a significant level in Adama. Most of the planned water development goals have been achieved. Still, water consumption (lower in 1997 by 25% to 61 % compared to WHO minimum rural requirement) declined in 2000. This should be a concern area in the future programs. 98 ;. .i··: r..::::J ·:. :. ·.: '. : 2. Children under weight 3. Households using protected water sources 4. Deliveries attended by trained TBAs 5. HH that visited health posts twice in the last six month 6. Amount of water used 2. Children under weight 3. Households using protected water :riif,,•.:··! .. 4. Dehveries attended by health posts . ; ·.; twice in the last six month \,:· J(·.';. 6. Amount of water used ... · ;'1-:'. .. t:;':;'ll ·· .. :· .J,, · .. :" .. ·,1.·': ,. .. .. 1t·::11 . . .. ·: ,• , ,· Table 3.38: IR3 Results of the CRS Title II Projects % 40.9 32.3 . . 40.4 10.8 1 54.2 l 19.4 I 57.7 l 32.6 % 56.l . 30.0 . 17.4 I . I 57. 1 I . I 4.0 % 67.4 . 91.7 . 62.2 . 73. 1 . 76.2 % 13.9 . 15.5 . 24.2 . 25.4 . 21.1 Lt/day/H 48.5 34 . 27 32.3 32 38.1 48 32.9 33 H CRS ... I % I 45.5 I 22.3 I 53.3 I 22.3 I 36.8 I 14.6 I 43.8 I 24.0 I 39.3 I 30.3 I 62.3 I 34.0 % 56.1 76.7 27.5 88.2 72.5 . 17.2 I I 53.4 % 39.1 47.4 51.4 62.7 . 58.2 I I 51.2 % 33.3 28.9 28.3 23.6 . 11.7 I I 15.2 Lt/day 35.0 47 34.4 35 57.4 35 44.1 41 61.0 26.0 /ill! I I 25 cmilli (!"' ....... ,,,,,. Ila " ·· . ' .;;:ilr. :· 99 ii1:m G : . =·~ ; •.· .., . ·! ·.; ··i f ; ..... .... · ... . .. · ····• :. r IR4 ·. Under IR4 of CRS. there arc a few observations this evaluation wishes to note. These include: I . There arc observations indicating that a significant reduction of soil loss has been attained due lo conservation activities. Farmers talk about yield increase from land treated with conservation measures. Yield increase is normally more significant in areas having moisture stress. 2. Severely degraded hillsides have been rehabilitated through area enclosures, enrichment plantations and gully stabilization measures. These activities have increased availability of wood-based products (fuel wood and construction material), though the beneficiaries have not yet started to utilize them. Procedures will have yet to be worked out for the utilization. Availability of animal feed has also increased due to area enclosures and planting of improved forage trees and grass species. The bene~ciaries use grass and fodder from area enclosures through cut and carry arrangement . 3. Project sources reveal that about 400 hectares of severely degraded hillsides have been rehabilitated through area enclosures. The rehabilitation process has been enhanced through the construction of micro-basins and enrichment plantations. The planting of forage species such as Acacia VXK7, Leucanea and Sesbaina has made these areas more productive and increased biomass. 4. Bund stabilization activity through the planting of improved forage species such as phalaris, setaria and elephant grass in addition to stabilizing the structures has helped to increase livestock feed availability. Several gullies have been treated with checkdams. 5. Traditional farming practices involving the techniques mentioned in combination with the introduced conservation practices provided effective moisture conservation and erosion control. Runoff farming practice is known in the traditional farming system where road discharge is let into farmlands to increase soil moisture. 6. Degraded land rehabilitation through area enclosure, enrichment plantation and over-sowing of grass seeds is showing a good recovery in Kombolcha. The area seems to have rehabilitated well and the natural vegetation is emerging. Farmers expressed satisfaction with the increased supply of grass from the area enclosure. There were no waged guards to protect the enclosures. It is the community that assumes the responsibility. This is good for sustainability and a good indication of the existence of sense of community ownership. 100 f.l ..... ~ _ .. __ ·.:! PJ ":.,.! ~~-·~ . ··- :· i ' ! . ' ·.-·.; 3.3.5 Intermediate Results - EOC/ DICAC IR1 Cereal yield in 2000 rose sharply over the base year in all EOC projects (Table 3.39). In terms of crop production increasing interventions, EOC projects had little to offer. Input credit was suspended. Extension services were kept at the minimal level due to government regulations. Irrigation schemes did not materialize in time to expect changes. The activities the projects had that could have some contribution to increasing productivity were soil and water conservation programs and training given to farmers. The contribution of such activities to raising crop yield does not normally occur in the short-term. It is thus evident that the very high yield differences between 1997 and 2000 could not possibly be attributed to the projects. The change was largely due to favorable amount and distribution of the meher rain in 2000 . · There has not been a significant change in the use of fertilizer and improved seeds between 1997 and 2000. Neither was this expected due to the absence of interventions promoting the use of these inputs. Except in Endamahoni percentage of households using improved farm management practices was slightly less in 2000 than in 1997, implying 'that farmers' training and conservation efforts did not result in increased application of improved cultural practices. In Endemahoni, the 1997 figure, 96%, is not credible. The analogous figure for 2000 was 40%. It is unlikely that big proportion of farmers would •• give up using improved crop growing methods in a time frame of3-4 years. Factors that · could possibly lead to such a reduction such as lack of knowledge, shortage of labor, lack of.motivation from previous experience did not occur according to empirical observations and results of discussions with farmers. That is why the credibility of the 1997 result is put to question. Practicing improved cultural practices, might not be credible . There was no change in the size of irrigated land between 1997 and 2000. To sum up, crop production and productivity in EOC projects were better in 2000 than in 1997. The difference is due to natural causes and not project- induced. 101 a u .t ; , ·. . {\:~i~i .. · "· .,: ~~·:;:_}:)!lfilYJi':/~L:::~.J:.~x,.;;~llliQ~llllilt .: .. ~ ... :: .. '... ~~----· _____ ..._:__·_ .. _._ .. ... -~1lilf'. :ik~{7~LUil1~+:.;~,~: 1 ..i: . .i..Jb~MJL_._ -·~ .. : -... .. .... :.~ :::.:, i~:·i. .)·"· I,'• ·,·· .. --·:"~~ ~~~ ~·~~ iil£1l!fi .. ~ ' ..... -~' ·.:.·:; ~~; ': Ui~~~i~~ ,/ ~~~l ~ .. ~~ .. ~ ·' Table 3.39: IRl Results of EOC/DICAC Yield of Major Crops (Kg/ha): - Barley 342 830 404 805 422 1238 393 666 -Wheat 382 841 547 745 433 1230 373 739 - Teff 273 650 477 823 258 801 282 679 - Maize 500 500 294 - 303 1025 - 757 - SorQhum 300 620 495 640 200 1452 - 890 Overall Crop Production (Kg/hh): - Barley 109 152 158 192 118 281 181 107 -Wheat 95 114 175 251 125 275 192 104 - Teff 112 147 272 41 52 12 113 158 - Maize 66 4 121 - 46 11 - 78 - Sorghum 120 75 163 2 50 16 - 44 Monitoring Indicators: - % HH using fertilizers 10.6 12.6 5 17.8 10.1 19.9 27.3 37.7 - % HH using improved seeds 5.2 6.4 4.5 8.9 2.2 8 6 - % HH using improved Agri. Practices 69 53.7 48 41 .1 96.5 39.8 56.8 - Area Irrigated (ha) 50 57.01 56.5 57 115 115.37 Source: 1. The source of baseline figures ls EOC/DICAC 2. DSA Agricultural HH Survey Results, 2001 - in 2000 means the number of observations made were too small to make any good use of simple statistics like the mean. NA= Not Available 102 ... . . ii;~;~ ··-;. ''-~~ia ' ·-· fil. . ··~ : - ~ ;~J.;:J ~ ~ :.;:§J ::_ :··! ", :~'.,:i·1m1 ·'~'~· ,l··~ '~i'r .r: t .. ,• . ·P::·: ! :t:!~:f n(:; C ' ! .,~·:· " .... •··· o ;··• ••i' o r.;; , •1' o ·t,!f' • 1 ' ·'·~':- ~:.· , .. '0 ;~,;a:,~ rJll nm1~1 UYfililHl fi]ii:'i':.! [1:u.t; [;E:~~:~~: f~C~] 2TlS:W 'ill$ rr&. : Table 3.41: IR3 Results of t)1e EOC Title II Projects tAi1lll • 1•::· ·: .: '• - ., , I I • '••"f,J . . :'. :·Endam.ehoni Wadla Mekdel:i Sodo . , .. ~9.s~ car · · 2000 ·Base ~ar 2000 Base year 2000 Hnse year 2000 . ·.~;i;,1.·... Indi.cat9rs ._ , .,_, .. · " ' .Yn(t.··,:. · :.;,.<'i;:t~•Wd~~!itid~:1:.:{3;'.:: -~1iill~_ ... : .... ... ';, . . ... :~;{fif ;s~1;· ~SlTC ~· 1· .. ·~ ·:1 tJ~f::"·~~ .. ;, :s$~~~:?~H ·" \\. ... ·: ... 'f, ..... .. ".Mr,• : ~:;_::i' m; .. 1y~ ~ti!?:~) .... ~·:.:!~~ .:. : ; ~!}!~ .'3 tm : .. Table 3.42: IRl Results of FHI Title II Projects i ;r.,0( .. :..,-,:: .;::.: :·.1lil·it.:\.d••1:.1 •. 1~:'.1;; il~' >' ... ., .... : ..:. .·,:: .. '.'!,I·;;· .· o:;:i;:1 ll!P1 ='·.·.·;: .. .,,,,1iliJ!,ll):•1 ;~: l::~tz::1 l::.lf:j'' llP~~I! ·:> ., .::::: :_ .: .· /.<~iL:· <: ··>>: ~· >·:~.: :r:~U~.<: ·~t: ::.: .> .. :/ ... < \,· ·. ~, .· · .... . ·.·· ::::}.:/ :.,. :~~J ;·:· .;·:\.: :-.- . <'. •• • :'.· · :r ~ ·: :;. .- . :-: ... _. ·1 i: ... :.·-.. :~ · .--:~> .. ~'.·! .. ~;'Vi: :,•;\c,'.· .. , ... '.> .... ,,,., :,, ·:""" ; "· i:' '. ·, ': . "·' :" ''· ', ...... :l' ': ·•t:•• u ,,;,, . '. /.•Ve:l ~ ":\\•"2'·1 ""''.:'.' :\\ ;il f':~ -:~ :;: /.· ~·~ ;"~":~-1 .. ; .... \Vif.:i ,., .. ,, .. !,. , , 1,.i . .-,~ 11 :»~: ! ;': : " k: jl' (:;,:I' 11 V~ a l(:V• ot« l1:t:._;1-...J;,' •. · ,-_.-.~·· .•...•.. 1 ···• .·. • ·. • . '·." - ·. , ,,_.·. r, t..:,..\ ,.~'.: .'" ·'· .. 111 ..... /~;.. .·1111 ,,:\ .... ,_ , .... f..:~ ...... :r.~• ~ ... \.:.. , ... t~ ~_., J~.ll.!Ji,;:J .. ·.1-._ :.r\~ J.:.n . ..... . : i. • • '-.- •. ' ~., J"'.,\:::. . ... • /'J~ ,. , Yield of Major Crops (Kg/ha): - Barley 499 986 570 938 475 798 NA 801 - Wheat 454 863 628 1056 584 947 NA 886 • Teff 274 914 407 762 374 712 NA 932 - Maize . 468 555 100.3 269 845 NA 1111 - SorQhum . 354 . 824 . 1063 NA 828 Overall Crop Production (Kg/hh): - Barley 205 68 158 37 129 62 37 - Wheat 164 138 215 89 176 56 24 • Teff 138 93 140 141 194 243 146 - Sorghum . 6 145 31 112 12 71 - Maize . 4 . . . 40 145 Monitoring Indicators: - % HH using fertilizers 24.5 6.1 24 12.2 42 7.2 I I 1.3 - % HH using improved seeds 8.5 0.6 21 2.1 42 0.6 - % HH using improved Agri. Practices 12 55.9 33 61.1 42 47.5 I I 48.7 - Area irri ated ha 7.6 . 5 . 2.7 . 2.0 Source: 1. The source of baseline figures is FHI 2. DSA Agricultural HH Survey Results, 2001 - in 2000 means the number of observations made were too small to make any good use of simple statistics like the mean. tJ• NA= Not Available :. 106 ... . . .. ~ ."'\:.··. ... ~~ ~- ... IR2 In Lay Gayint, Tach Gayint and Simada livestock ownership per household significantly declined in 200 I compared to 1997. For example, it decreased from 3.65 TLU/hh in 1997 to 1.17 TLU/hh in 2001 (Table 3.43). The rate of decrease was equally high in Simada. In Gubalafto there are no baseline data, but livestock ownership is as small as it is in the other projects. In several discussions, farmers in all the projects showed displeasure to physical soil conservation measures because they said the bunds, stone bunds in particular, breed crop pests and reduce grazing area. They attributed declining livestock ownership to feed shortage resulting from the conservation works. Table 3.43: Changes between 1997 and 2001 in Respect to Ownership of Livestock, Physical Asset and Luxury Food Items added for FHI Project Proje~ts 0.11 0.07 5.07 0.08 7.10 Gubalafto 0.07 8.00 Source: 199-7 baseline survey and 2001 evaluation survey IRJ There has been a considerable decline in diarrhea prevalence, and children under-weight, and the number of families using protected sources of water increased (except Simada). Morbidity figures look reasonable by the country's standards. All of this indicates that FHI Title II projects improved health status of the communities. FHI's engagement in family planning activities could be a major explanation for commendable health achievements. Table 3.44 indicates that the number of households using water from protected sources was I0.1% in 2000 against 6.7% in 1997 for Lay Gayint and Tach Gayint, while at Simada it actually decreased by 5.4%. The amount consumed has also been low (lower by 56% to 69% than WHO minimum for a rural household). Distance traveled to the watering points and water fees could be the deterrents. ,: 107 :·_: · · \.· u nj , . .. { ··.::i:: •" ·::~i . .. .. . '.i~~~t~··,>. ,::~: ;::~~;~.~~.;E;~~+ . :.~:-..-:~?}: . . 1;tt<:~ ... :::. :~i;!~< . r • :·; 1 ' '.'~:~~::~~: I :•11f:, •",,1',1 l•if\' ' ' ~!<• " '-'•:.U.:· , .... ".u . ...... ·-... • ....... _ :.......... _ . ;: . : . : . :: ... ,. '" " ::7~ ..:ir ,:. Table 3.44: IR3 Results of the FHI Title II Projects I. Prevalence of diarrhea occurrence 2. Children under weight 3. Households using orotected water sources 4. Deliveries attended bv trained TBAs 5. HH Lhat visited health posts twice in the last six months 6. Amount of water used Source: 1997 baseline survey and 2001 evaluation survey ' "· % % % % Lt/day /HH 55.1 13.5 88.1 33.9 20.1 23.6 52.8 15.2 27 I ·2001 4.6 69.1 35.5 68.7 48.1 28.7 35.4 16.2 12.4 74.2 58.l 79.2 52.8 18.9 - 13.5 29.3 25 33.3 26 ·.·.: . :,":"-..~ .. ".:i'd1 !q ..... - ·.J I Guba-Lafto Base year 2001 value - i. I - so-:-o- - 34.6 - 36.4 - 22.9 . 30 108 ,. :. ! ..... ~ _. ·; ' . ; '1": ••• • 3.3.7 Intermediate Results - Relief Society of Tigray (REST} IR1 Among the REST Title II projects, activities meant to directly influence grain production and productivity were limited to soil and water conservation measures, irrigation and training of farmers. It was planned to provide credit to purchase fertilizer and improved seeds. But this was not implemented. The planned irrigation schemes were not completed up to the time of the evaluation. Be that as it may, the 200 I survey results reveal that cereal yields in 2000 were comparable or close to national average yield. It is not possible to compare yield between the base year and 2000 by crop because data are not available for 1997. There are, however, data on cereal yield for all the four projects both for 1997 and 2000 (Table 3.45). REST provided the 1997 figures and they look suspicious because they are identical for all projects. If they are to be relied on, then yield differences between 1997 and 2000 are large. Cereal yields 2000 were significantly higher, about 45% in Mereb Lekhe, about 37% in Adi Aheferom, nearly 39% in Degua Tembien, and 79% in Were Lekhe. In all the four projects cereal yield increased in 2000 compared to the 1997 base I ine results. The projects have been supporting moisture conservation measures, and a lot of work has been done in this regard. This, coupled with farmers' training and the existence of a strong linkage between government agricultural extension and the projects, is •• expected to have some contribution to the yield increase in 2000. T~e percentage of farmers using improved seeds and fertilizers was high, though not compared to the 1997 figures because data are not available, but seen against the history of the use of productivity- increasing inputs in the region. The advent of fertilizer and improved seeds in Tigray is very recent due to civil unrest and past government policies. A few years ago the proportion of farmers using chemical fertilizers must have been insignificant. The evaluation survey indicates nearly 40% of the sample population used fertilizer in 2000 in Mereb Leke, 50% in Adi Ahferom, 42% in Dega Tembien, and about 40% in Were Leke. These figures were close to the national average. It goes without saying that the increase in the use of fertilizer and improved seeds contributed to the yield increase observed in 2000. There was also a positive development in respect to the use of improved farm management practices. Although there are no baseline data to compare change, in 2000 some 70% of the surveyed households in Dega Tembien used improved cultural practices of some form, 54% in Were Leke and 53% in Adi Ahferom. Finally, it can be argued that the projects contributed to the higher cereal yield obtained in 2000, although the extent of the contribution might be modest. Externalities such as favorable weather and regional government's effort to improve access to fertilizers might have accounted more for the change . 109 ~ (~ u ·~ ·' ~ :J n u .... ~~~:L :. ; (;/it • ~1;:,~•. ,• , 1, •(; :1 \i !! ;,' J~ll/'. ;v._•;.t~ I ,1., , , , ;;•;; . • '. . \.. ·~ : .. ~:T .. ~,.,~di,:A:hfcrom :., 'lJ"il'S~Y:ear ·' 2001 : '::: ~i'iu'~ Dega Tembicn Base year I 200 I value 4 .5 . I. Prevalence of diarrhea I % I • I I 0.5 I - I 7.9 r 3.5 occurrence 2. Children under weight % 54.7 60.8 83.8 65.7 59.7 3, Households using % : .... ,,., ~;;i rotected water sources 62.9 49.4 62.0 62.0 59. 9 · :·:"· :> .• h -,:, ·' 4. Deliveries attended by % • - • • i•: · .• . &\ ... · :·; . trained TBAs 27.8 29.8 35.7 64.99 ' :·.)~: \:'. A. 5. HH that visited health % - 29.4 · · · ·;-. "·;.. · post~ twice in the last six 29.6 24 ,6 111onlhs 6. Amount or Waler used ___ ., ___ _ LU day/ HH ,. ·. . . . . ,.: . 40.3 36 47 38 39.9 Source: 1997 baseline survey and 2001 evaluation survey ' ' " 17.0 --·-·····- i 35 ,. i; ' l 1/· . ..~: · n~ ~!t~ GlZ 11 2 .. ··.; ·.·· :·· . ~_: _ ....... :-} ' ., -. IR4 The communally reclaimed land is assumed to be the same as area enclosed. It is also assumed that all the physical conservation measures and communal tree planting activities took place in the enclosed areas during the project period. Compared to, the baseline values, percentage area increase of reclaimed land in 200 I is presented below: Degua Tembien Adi Ahferom Mereb Lehe Were Lehe Percent 73 65 47 26 A number of factors could account for this encouraging result. The most important of this could be the existence of high community awareness that the underlying causes of household food shortage and low productivity are soil erosion and land degradation. Moreover, there is commitment to reverse the degradation process at the government, relatively more pronounced community and household levels. Empirical observations suggest that the commitment has international support since many donors and NGOs participate in the conservation programs in one way or another. There are observations indicating that conservation and reforestation efforts have had positive effects on the environment, such as: • Reduction in soil loss • Improvement in hydro logic behavior like longer use of water bodies • Increase of vegetative bio-mass • Increase in the availability of wood-based products • Increase in moisture availability (conserved moisture in the soil) for crops • Increase in the supply of animal feed 3.3.8 Intermediate Results - Save The Children (SCF) IR1 The two Title II projects SCF implements are in pastoral locations where normally crop production does not feature prominently. It is because of this that DAP interventions were on livestock and water development. The projects had no direct role in the area of crop production (cereal and pulses), and there were no results in respect to IRI. It is, however, interesting to note that cereal production is an important economic activity and deductively an important livelihood source in Liben Woreda, Borena Zone. Maize production is also important in Filtu Woreda, Somalie Region. Survey result shows that 36% of households had maize field of0.93 ha/household in 2000. In Liben Woreda, about 46% of surveyed households grew barley, 41 % wheat, 41 % maize, and 16% teff. The reported yields in the case of barley, wheat and teff in 2000 were not significantly lower than the national average in the same year. It should also be i 13 ~~ ~ u I .,_ £J ~ p u 'J .:! 1~ . -·.; ·~J~ . _; .i . I ! ! !· .···1 noted that over 32% of the surveyed households used chemical fertilizers, 3.3% improved seeds, and over 30% improved farming practices (see Table 3.48). All of this seems to suggest that any project aiming at improving the supply side of household food security cannot ignore crop production in Liben Woreda. Table 3.48: IRl Results of SCF Title II Projects r~::11~:i~{~tJi~~l:iii!LJ*Q{ Yield of Major Crops (Kg/ha): - Barley NA -Wheat NA - Teff NA - Maize NA -Sorghum NA Overall Crop Production (Kg/hh): - Barley NA -Wheat NA - Teff NA - Maize NA - Sorghum NA Monitoring Indicators: - % HH using fertilizers NA ""% HH using improved seeds NA ~ % HH using improved Agri. Practices NA - Area irriqated (ha) NA Source: 1. The source of baseline figures is SCF/USA 2. DSA Agricultural HH Survey Results, 2001 872 NA - 589 NA 150 764 NA 150 517 NA 186 238 NA 136 205 NA - 221 NA 0.8 43 NA 0.8 119 NA · 62 1 NA 7.2 32.3 NA 0 3.3 NA 0 30.1 NA 3.4 - NA 0.75 - in 2000 means the number of observations made were too small to make any good use of simple statistics like the mean. NA= Not Available 114 r ··....- . -·- - ... ¥1~( IR2 Livestock ownership in 2001 increased in both projects. The increase in Liben was · significant. Two reasons could explain the change. The first is the project interventions, especially the improved water supply for the stock. The second is that it is common practice among the pastoralists to replace reduction in herd size a natural disaster like the 1998/99 drought might have caused. There was not much change in respect to physical asset ownership (Table 3.49). Table 3.49: Changes between 1997 and 2001 in Respect to Ownership of Livestock, Physical Asset and Luxury Food Items added for SCF/USA Project ·Projects ': .~ .. Liben Fil tu --- Source: 1997 baseline survey and 2001 evaluation survey Other Observations SCF Milk production is one of the most important indicators of livestock productivity. In pastoralist communities where livestock are a major source of food, milk productivity becomes an important indicator. Owing to this, data on milk production was sought by seasons to capture seasonal variation. Table 3.50: Average Milk Production in Liben and Filtu16 r.:- :,:""' ::• -, ... =- .. -. ---=:. ~ ~.~.·~~j '::·~c~;:;rf Y.~~ 1: :· - ~- ~ Liben Wereda: Cows Lt/day 1.34 0.37 0.826 0.470 Camels " 0.40 0.18 0.094 0.022 Goats " 0.14 0.03 0.113 0.059 Total Lt/HH 1.88 0.58 1.033 0.551 Filtu Wereda: Cows Lt/day 2.38 6.37 .664 .335 Camels 3.70 7.91 1.042 .436 Goats " 1.14 2.93 0.228 .145 Total Lt/HH 17.21 7.22 1.934 0.916 Source: 1997 baseline survey and 2001 evaluation survey N.B: Figures for 1997 look exaggerated by all accounts, empirically or otherwise. They are suspicious to say the list 16 One of the comments SCF made on the draft report was to use the 1997 baseline survey data figures it provided to the evaluation. However, the team has not been able to find data on milk production in WASS documents. 115 l . ·: ··j ...... . ..... , -·:::;! :=- ;~ . ·j I i · I I I . ! : •· ... Milk production showed high seasonal variability. The main reason for the variability is the scarcity of water and pasturage. The feed and water programs have bcet1 designed to reduce the seasonal variability. There has not been any visible contribution from the projects in this regard yet. Tablc3.51: Lactating Cows, Camels and Goats in Libcn and Filtu Wcrcda ··'. ·- t~;?7 2001 . ·• -:~- :; . Mahit'i.!: % Mature Lactating. % ··_Type .- I,~g~ting dffi~}Jj; ....... . anli.Jials fadating · femaies animals iaciating Liben Wereda I Cows I 1450 494 34.I 345 162 47 Camels i 195 64 32.8 28 14 50 Goats 690 211 30.6 90 49 54 Total 2335 769 32.9 463 225 49 Fi/tu Wereda Cows 3169 1117 35.2 112 90 80 Camels 4357 1296 29.7 125 66 53 Goats 5104 2170 42.5 186 146- 78 Total 12630 4583 36.3 423 302 71 Source: 1997 baseline survey and 2001 evaluation survey In the pastoralist areas lactating animals are a very important indicator of livestock productivity and welfare. Table 3.51 indicates that the situation has markedly improved in ... this regard in both projects in 2001 compared to 1997. Although the contribution of the projects cannot be ascertained yet it could be considerable, notably in Liben. IR3 Th.ere was a decline in the amount of water used by households at both Liben and Fil tu. These sites experienced severe droughts in 1998/99 leading to the drying up of several water sources. Percentage of households using protected water sources of 36.1 % for both Liben and Filtu was a notable achievement although change could not be monitored for lack of baseline data. The proportion of children underweight has increased by over 100% in Liben and three reasons could account for this. The first is high livestock mortality that occurred in 1998/99 which deprived, especially children, food and milk. The second is bush encroachment resulting in reduced feed (browsing materials), especially for camels and goats. Thirdly, unlike pastoralists Borena there are empirical observations suggesting that among Somalie pastoral households children do not enjoy priority in the allocation of food in the family. In addition, the water development effort has reduced migration and the community awareness about the use of clean water improved. The FFW interventions helped to reduce the foorl gap. 116 .. "·" ' '. (V"l'lll•'·"" liil1'1'•'f,11.' : .. ".:" .'j!"ii"·". '.J''• ·.l .. > . . ·:·.· .\· / l ... i ... i!.{i!l1it:t Table 3.52: IR3 Results of the SCF Title II Projects 2. Children under weight 3. Households using protected water sources 4, Deliveries attended bv trained TBAs 5. HH that visited health posts twice in the last six months 6. Amount of water used Source: 1997 baseline survey and 2001 evaluation survey .. !}- .: ••••• i+i•il, .. I""'"'.".., '""''."Pl' khl.:t -·. ·: ~ ! .... ... ' -:.::::.·.- ;;-;·: • ,_ -. - .: . - ., . IR2 Table 3.54 below indicates that in most of WVl/E projects livestock ownership declined in 2001. In fact, it is only in Adama and Kersa Kondaliti that it increased since 1997. There are no evidences to explain the increase in.these two woredas, while the decrease in the rest of them could be due to scarcer food supply and deteriorating animal health services empirically observed across the country. Ownership of physical assets showed some improvement in 2001 with several of the types monitored in the survey. But the change is not really much to think that the asset base of households has changed for the better since the launching of the projects. The remarkable change in radio ownership in Adama coupled with the increase in livestock might suggest household income rise, which farmers disclaim as evidenced during FGD household survey results also indicate falling income. Table 3.54: Changes between 1997 and 2001 in Respect to Ownership of Livestock, Physical Asset and Luxury Food Items added for WVI Project . _ Pr::oje~ts :-. 1997 Adama 39.7 Kersa Kondolati 0.58 31.56 Sodo Zureia 0.65 21.6 25.7 Atsbi Womberta 0.20 18.44 22.91 Lela 1 Tsedamba 1.12 0.14 31.01 Humbo 2.23 1.45 0.18 0.45 33.34 35.78 Source: 1997 baseline survey and 2001 evaluation survey IR3 Overall, WVI!E seem to have made some remarkable achievements. Diarrhea prevalence figures for 2000 lqok good and better than most rural areas in the country. In the Tigray projects children under-weight in 2000 were considerably high. The unrest that prevailed in the area over the last three years and persisting rain shortage could be the main factors, and not necessarily poor projects performance (Table 3.55). The amount of water used decreased in Atsbi, Humbo and Adama. It could be due to unsatisfactory achievement in respect to boreholes (56%) and hand-dug wells ( 44%). 12 1 ~~ . : ~ \ .<: .. ,_:.: ·-:. __ "') :HF~;· .. ~!: :. ;.:. • .. :::.· .. ::~;:;~ ... O• .. ~~~l:~~-: ~:::. :_ .. 00 :ffO ·- · · ·:: •• f M:M .. J.~~ :' .... l'.:~ t.' ... · . .l .. ·'· ·' ) ' ·~·: Table 3.55: IR3 Results of the WVE/E Title II Projects 1·: ... • .. • ..I : ....... . : :. ·. ·. ~- ;:: ·: ~r ~~ .. .~·,;,.::~.:;~ ·~,> ... :.c .... ·"::. .. !;;;1i ·:;,t . .Sodo:Zui!is:·•":"; '-"'.' ·::\lfumbo .. ·, -~~ .. ~· .. ·=( :'"··' ··~:::~~:~~/::~!; )'(iii~:·.1:± ·~ . . . '.'":".::r.-... ~. ~ •. '. • ...• .; . )-1•rl'-t''>' .... -;,,. t'<".11: .... ;1//.1,~ ·.· •, \\: :iB1i ila~ii'cilo'. · : : :,,A'dai:ha · :/ .. .. .... .. ~ ...... . I" . ' . I ;~l~7);~[ .~Yi:}::\?;,~: ·~· ~·.:~ ·~- :~ .'.f.:: . ·. . . ;:'B'li'se'" I 2000' Ba~ ~:·~ 2000 ·1· ·Base 'i · 2000 ~~~.h " ... !"~; litra.~ ~~~i ... ,; ~iU\,~l\1 ...• _, : •. , .. ~i'lue"'"'L :;.:,·::,:·b; ~rtliili~~ t;,'x;·:T-H '.i\Jllmi·"' :~:, ·:·:f:/ 4.4 I -~ 11 J::Il?~l.;1'J;I;• ~ '·c t I. Prevalence of 1,S:r.ATil,S:>"" .. d diarrhea occurrence % - 25.0 - 19.4 - 8.7 - 5.8 - 9.4 M~tli0¥.Boi :; 48.J 26.9 I 'ini~mi~diai~ 2. Children under % 68.6 70.0 - 69.0 45.7 37. I 39.7 24.4 46.7 38.0 . I R~sult No.));, wei~ht · 3. Households using protected water :,, .. ·.;_, sources 4. Deliveries attended • ,1 by trained TBAs % 66.8 76.8 % 34.8 28.9 6.8 62.8 80.0 56.5 86.1 17.9 17.1 30.0 30.6 ::<:.:;.''. '·;.;;;~:! 5. HH that visited ·. ::.~ ., ... ·:':.: ·;{ health posts twice in % - 33.9 • 13.3 - 24.4 - 26.7 - 30.6 .> ·'.·'. r.;:("'jj the last six months 't.:.~:; {~;y~,~ 6. Amount of water LtJday 33.7 26 29 25.8 38 28.5 33 31.4 18 . -· · ·"" used /HH Source: 1997 baseline survey and 2001 evaluation survey 76.9 I - 68.4 44.8 - 55.3 28.6 - 31.I 21.0 1"50:3 I 42.0 ... ;1': ,., _.:iii ~ 122 -- CJfJlPT'r:E(](3 ,. .. ,- ~SP,CCJ'IO:N 3 Tit{e II Ol u .... Cl> 0... 30 20 . 10 0 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 - 2 1 0 ' ·~alional 2. Africare 3. CARE- 4. CRS 5. EOC 6. FH/ 7. REST 8. SCF 9. WV/IE ; !CS) Ethiopia CSs Figure 2: Food Shortage in 2001 Compared to 1997 1. 2. National Africare ;a!I CS) 3. CARE 4. CRS 5. EOC 6. FHI 7. REST 8. SCF 9. WVl/E CSs Figure 3: The Use of Severe Coping Strategies in 1997 and 2001 B1997 l 82001 ~-~ I m 1997 !; 1 : 112001 H ' 140 -,----·----- - --··-·-·-·-·-··---·-······--------------- ···--·---·-··------·-·-··----- ---1 120 Cl> 100 IJ) C1I 80 .... c Cl> 0 60 .... Cl> n. 40 20 0 1. 2. 3. CARE 4. CRS 5. EOC 6. FHI 7. REST 8. SCF 9. VVVl/E National Africare CSs El 1997 112001 --------·-- ----- 127 :· 3.4.3 SO Results - Africare Stunting The title II project in Gambella started operation in 1999 and thus it was not included in the 1997 baseline survey. Accordingly, there is no benchmark stunting figure to compare with the evaluation result. However, Africare had carried out a nutrition survey (2000) in 1999 and stunting then was 24.3%. It was down to I 8.6% in 200 I. Cross-tabulation results indicate that there is no statistically20 significant association between stunting and any of the livelihood indicating variables. · Food Shortage Duration and Application of Severe Coping Stra~egies There are no baseline values to evaluate impact in respect to reduction in food shortage and the use of severe coping strategies. The 2001 survey results indicate: (I) On average a household in the project communities did not have adequate food supply for 4.25 months in 2000. (2) Female-headed households were worse off (4.4 months) compared to male-headed families ( 4.19 months). The difference was not statistically significant (P=.157) (3) Africare is trying to introduce ox-ploughing among the Augnak farmers, still dominantly hoe-cultured. Among the surveyed households, only 13 or 7.5% owned oxen, not necessarily used for agriculture. Those who owned ~ 2 oxen had a much shorter food shortage time (1.25 months compared to 4.5 months in the case of oxless and 5.6 months for those who owned on~ ox apiece). Assuming that ox ownership had a positive contribution agriculturally (increased food production), the promotion program is supportive. (4) Africare also distributed improved seeds and chemical fertilizers the use of technologies did not have any meaningful association with either reducing food shortage or decreasing the use of severe coping strategies. It should be noted that the intervention period was short compared to other CS projects. 10 The livelihood variables this evaluation chose to look for any possible association with stunting are: (I) Demographic vari"ables - family size, sex of head of household, (2) Nutrition health variables - (3) Wealth-related variables - 128 •, 3.4.4 SO Results- CARE Stunting The evaluation survey results show that the nutritional status of children has improved in all CARE projects in 200 I compared to the base year (Table 3.56). Could the reduction in stunting be attributed to the project interventions? Or was it the result of other factors, including increased food supply in 2001 due to relatively good meher rainfall that was observed across the country? Under the intermediate results presented in section 3.3 above one observes that there were some changes in livelihood systems, for example: • Crop production generally increased in 2000 compared to I 997, despite reduction in cropped area/household in 2000; • An average household owned less livestock in 2000 than in I 997, largely due to the 1998/99 drought-like situation observed in most CARE project woredas; • There was not any significant difference in physical asset ownership; • Although health figures for 1997 are lacking, the 2000 results on the prevalence of diarrhea, watet coverage, and children underweight are comparable to national figures for CARE projects, thus it is likely there was some positive contribution from the CARE projects in this regard; ano • There was no remarkable difference in household income from all possible sources between 1997 and 2000. These points seem to suggest that the improvement in stunting could be opportunistic arising from external factors such as rainfall, food distribution through relief, FFW, or others21. Table 3.56: Child stunting in 1997 and 2000 among CARE Title II projects ... • 63.7 36.5 • Girawa 55.5 49.6 • Kurfachele 62.0 40.7 2. West Hararghe: • Chiro 50.3 54.6 • Gubakoricho 44.2 35.0 • Kuni 56.9 47.9 3. East Shoa • Adama 52.5 39.0 • Boss et 57.1 46.0 Source: Tlie 1997 baseline and 2001 evaluation survey 21 This evaluation understands that child stunting is a 'process'. It could start in the mother's womb, and that it is not a function of or.e season's good fortune with rains. But, it also understands that improved food availability over a season could have an impact on the nutritional status of children. 129 (-!: j:-; i .... : ' > i..-: Some cross-tabulation findings -. (1) Demographic Variables • Households having larger family size show relatively less stunting prevalence across CARE rural projects but the difference is not statistically significant · (P==.705). Chiro is an exception. Households with family size;::: 6 show high stunting, which is not unexpected. The difference is not, however. statistically significant. (2) Asset ownership: Land and labor (economically active population) are major livelihood variables among rural households in Ethiopia. One would expect an inverse relationship between asset ownership and child prevalence stunting. According to the survey results, this has not been the case with a few of CARE projects. In fact stunting in Kunni, Kurfachele, and Bedeno is higher among households having higher number of economically active population and relatively more land. The difference is not however statistically significant. It is not the same with livestock and ox ownership in these woredas. Stunting prevalence is lower with households having more livestock and oxen. (3) Health: • Stunting is higher with mothers who dropped breast feeding earlier than the desired time and also in the case where supplementary feeding started earlier or later than normally recommended lengths of period. It is observed that the differences are statistically significant (Kurfachele breast-feeding P==.003 and .000 supplementary feeding, Gubakoricho breast feeding P= .008 and .001 supplementary feeding). • The proportion of stunting among children from households using safe water supply is higher than those using unprotected water source in Basset and Gubakoricho. In the rest of the CARE projects the association between stunting and safe water use corresponds to the conventional wisdom. The difference is not statistically significant (P > 0.05), except in Grawa (P= .024). To sum up, stunting in children was lower in 2000 compared to the base year, in all CARE projects, an improvement in the nutritional status of children in 2001 compared to 1997. This could, at least in part, be due to Title II interventions. Food Shortage Duration and Application of Severe Coping Strategies Table 3.57 reveals that there has been improvement in terms of households that had to live without adequate food in 2000 over 1996 in the project communities. The improvement could be due to good harvest in 2000 in most projects. But it should also be noted that those projects that did not have particularly good 2000 meher rains (Grawa, Gubakoricho and Kuni) also achieved notable results. Evidently, the projects must have had their own contribution towards the reduction of the length of period of food shortage. 130 ... Whether this could be sustained under less favorable weather conditions is difficult to tell. It could be argued that household food security in all projects is not yet secure. Table 3.57: Length of Food Shortage and the Extent of Use of Severe Coping Strategics in 2000 in CARE Title II Projects ·. Use of Coping Strategies Projects Food shortage months -(Perce:_nt, base year 1997) 1996" 2000 AU Coping Severe Strategies Coping Strategies I. Bedeno 5.6 4.23 (3.97) 151 125 2. Grawa 7.1 5.13 (4.41) 146 120 3. Kurfachele 7.2 5.09 (3.97) 130 106 4. Chiro 6.8 3.08 (3.0) 124 71 5. Gubakoricho .6.0 0.49 (.44) 225 I I 1 ·6. Kunni 6.6 0.63 (.05) 118 95 7. Adama 3.3 2.49 (1.88) 317 130 8. Bosset 5.6 1.24 (.86) 449 149 Source: The 1997 baseline and 20001 evaluation surveys Attempt was made to see whether there is some association between food shortage and some selected key factors considered to have influence on reducing food shortage at the CS level. The main results include: I l i (1) Households having large economically active persons (more labor) had shorter food shortage months and the difference was statistically significant (P=.001 ). This clearly underscores the significance of labor to rural household food security. (2) Households having more land, livestock, oxen, and household assets have less food shortage months, and for most of them the difference is statistically significant. (P=.000). (3) Fertilizer, improved seed and improved cultural practices users seemed better in food availability and access than non-users. The difference was statistically significant. The finding suggests that CARE should strengthen its support to enable farmers use the low-cost technology of improved cultural practices wherever the prevailing objective conditions allow. The table indicates that, except in Chiro and Kunni, the CARE projects have not been able to reduce the use of severe coping strategies. For example, in Bosset, additional 49% of the sample population used severe coping strategies in 2000 compared to 1997. It is not easy to explain inter-project variability in the application of severe coping strategies. The prevalence of cash crops and rainfall condition seem to influence the extent of the use of severe coping strategies. These findings (both food shortage and coping strategies) strongly suggest that future projects should focus on providing assistance to farmers that will enable them use improved farming practices. Since a priori they are cost-effective and they contribute meaningfully to reduce food hort ge and the application of severe coping strategies, aggressively promoting these practices could be rewarding. 13 1 --~ ~~ .. ~ 1 . !..a !:""• ; .. t .. ~ • ... ) .... ~3 3.4.5 SO Results- CRS Stunting Among the cooperating sponsors, it is CRS that sponsors a large number of Title II projects. 11 of them, many of which are located in highly marginalized areas. Survey results indicate that in all projects but Hundene and Sire Dodota child stunting improved in 2000 compared to the base year Table 3.58 Dire Dawa and Dugda Bora where stunting looks considerably lower than the country average of about 50% (CSA Demography and Health, 2000). Notwithstanding the improvement there was decline in the nutritional status of children in 2001 compared to 1997 in three rural projects - Hundene, Adama and Sire Dodota. Table 58: Child Stunting in 2001 Compared to 1997 for CRS Title II Projects 1 . East Hararghe: • • Fed is Goroguttu Kombolcha Jar so Meta 2. Dire Dawa 3. Hundene - Harari 4. East Shoa: • Adama • Duga Bora • Sire Dodota 5. Gulomekeda . 68.8 56.0 56.0 55.2 53.5 39.2 42.9 52.l 66.7 66.9 75.4 Sources: 1997 Baseline and 2001 Evaluation Surveys 48 17.8 49.3 43.3 15.0 24.2 43.0 51.3 32.9 68.8 25.3 The lack of improvement in Si~e Dodota could be low agricultural productivity. Teff and maize are the main crops in the woreda. Survey results and also data obtained from the woreda agricultural office indicate that yields of the two main crops were low (650kg/ha maize and teff 550 kg/ha) in 2000; good production year. Sire Dodota is located in low altitude area where. crop productivity is low due to erratic rainfall, and poverty is more pronounced. Some Results of Cross-tabulation Analysis The following results emerge from the analysis of association between stunting and key nutritionally important variables. 11 CRS sources consider stunting figures in Gorgutlu a!l.J Meta for 2000 unacceptabl)' low. Data processing (from entering to deaning) was re-checked, but there" '~ not change in the results. 132 ;. ···· .. " (1) Demographic characteristics: • Jn Fedis, Jarso, Goroguttu, Hundene, and Sire Dodota stunting prevalence was higher among male-headed households, while in others the reverse was true. In all cases the difference was not statistically significant • One would expect that, other things being equal, households with larger family size would have higher stunting prevalence. That was not the case in Sire Dodota, Kombolcha and Hundene. (2) Asset ownership: • Level of stunting did not show a significant variation by land, livestock and ox ownership in all the CRS projects but Gorogutu and Fed is where stunting was low for households having more livestock and oxen. In both cases the difference was not statistically significant. • On the other hand, households having more labor and physical assets showed lower stunting prevalence in most projects, although the difference was not statistically significant (3) Health: • Prevalence of child stunting was very high in Kombolcha (83%) and Fed is (42%) compared to others among households that reported higher rates of episodes of child illness. The difference was statistically significant (P=.0003 Kombolcha and P = .021 Fedis) • Households with vaccinated children showed lower stunting, in most projects. But in Duga Bora and Kombolcha the reverse was the case and the difference was statistically significant in both cases (Dogda Bora P = .002, Kombolcha P=.002). With several projects (Sire Dodota, Gorogutu, Dire Dawa) there was no association between stunting and vaccination. • The prevalence of child stunting was high among those who started supplementary feeding earlier (0-3 months) and among children who continued exclusive breast feeding after seven months. The association was statistically significant in Dugda Bora P= .002, Sire Dodota P= .000, Kombolcha P= .026, Fed is P= .0 I 6, and Hundene P= .0002. The situation was similar with households who stopped breastfeeding early and continued exclusive breastfeeding for long. • The situation with safe water is perplexing. In six projects (Dugda Bora, Sire Dodota, Kombulcha, Meta, Gorogutu and Hundene), households using safe water sources showed higher stunting. This could indicate a major utilization problem. 133 :;- - :. ~ . : Food Shortage Duration and Application of Severe Coping Strategies There hav~ h\'.~n r~markable achievements in respect to reducing food shortage months in all prqjccts hut (iulomekeda. The problem in the latter must have been the Ethio-Eritrea \\·ar that cau:'l'.d a considerable disruption in production and other livelihood means (Table 3.59). Table 3.59: Length of Food Shortage and the Extent of Use of Severe Coping Strategies in 2000 in CRS Title II Projects Food shortage months Use of Coping Strategies (Percent, base :rear 1997} Projects . ··1996" 2000 AH Coping Severe Coping. -. . .:_ . . ' Strategies Strate.gi_es Gulomekeda 6.6 7.03 96 l 94 Fed is 4.6 0.41 132 134 Kombolcha 7.0 1.00 181 153 Jarso 7.2 0.74 94 101 Hundane 6.3 0.70 133 107 Goroguttu 6:6 0.66 302 157 Dire Dawa 7.5 . . 0.21 346 157 Me fa 6.5 0.02 233 156 Adama 1.7 0.03 232 187 Dugdda Bora 4.3 0.20 444 102 Sire Oodota - 0.61 NA NA Source: The 1997 baseline and 20001 evaluation surveys An attempt was made to observe whether food shortage has association with selected key variables that are thought to have influence on food availability and access. Some of the more important findings are presented below: (I) At the CRS level, female-headed households had longer food shortage months. This is in conformity with empirical observations in the country. The difference was statistically significant (P= .000). (2) No meaningful association was observed with land or ox ownership. (3) Households having more of their farms in 'woina-dega' climatic zone faced longer -food shortage months than others. (4) Non-users of fertilizers and improved seeds had longer food shortage months than users and the difference was statistically significant (P=.001). (5) Farmers using improved fanning practices had shorter food shortage months than non-practitioners, and the difference was statistically significant (P=.000). The result underpins the importance of aggressively pursuing the promotion of this low-cost means of enhancing food production. On the other hand, weighted aggregate indices on copirig strategies indicate that, except in Gulomekeda, the percentage of farmers using severe coping straiegies increased in 2000 compared to the base year. For example, in Duga Bora it nearly doubled. This is an indication of lack of progress in reducing poverty or improving household food security. 134 ·- .!' . It is also observed that there is meaningful association between using severe coping strategies and fomalc-hcadedncss. asset ownership. use of improved inputs and farming practices. To sum up, CRS projects made an impact on ·reducing food shortage. but not in decreasing the application of severe coping strategies. This could mean that in the food shortage months (2000), the intensity of the shortage could have been more than in the base forcing more households to revert to the severe coping strategies. Also, analytical findings strongly suggest that CRS should increase its support for promoting improved farming practices. since it can be judged a prior that the practice is low cost and it has the potential to reduce food shortage and the use of severe coping strategies. 3.4.6 SO Results - EOC Stunting Nutritional status of children was high in all the four Title II Projects in 2001, even though there was some improvement since the base year (Table 3.60). Table 3.60: Child Stunting in 1997 and 2001 in EOC Title II Projects 1. North Wello: • Mekedela 52.0 62.7 • Wadla 39.l 50.0 2. Endemahoni 56.7 73.5 3.Sodo 60.9 70.9 Source: 1997 Baseline and 2001 Evaluation Stunting was the highest in Sodo. There are not credible reasons to explain it. Households in Sodo own relatively more land, more livestock, generally receive more rainfall, and operate in less rugged terrain, and land degradation is less severe. Moreover, there are n:iore reliable and diversified income sources. It is not the improvement between 1997 and 2001 but the magnitude of stunting at the time of the survey that should be of concern. By any standards, the stunting figures are disturbingly high in all projects including Wadla where stunting is a bit lower. This however corresponds quite well with the kind and level of Title II interventions. Activities to increase crop production were limited, if any. The irrigation programs did not materialize. The focus was placed on soil and water conservation. While this might be an acceptable strategy, it should be clear that any impact on stunting from the conservation measures cannot be achieved in a period of three years. It is worth noting thac in almost all discussions held with all groups of beneficiaries, participants held strong views that welfare in general and stunting in particular would have been worse without the pr_ojects, and this evaluation is supportive of the view. 135 .,. .. -- ···: ... Analysis of Relationship Cross-tabulation analysis was made to observe any association between stunting and some selected variables. The results are presented below. (1) Demographic characteristics • While there seems to be little association between stunting and sex of the head of households in northern projects, there is association in Sodo where female￾headed households showed considerably higher stunting, although .the difference is not statistically significant (P = .592). There are observations indicating that gender problems are more acute in Soddo where traditions tend to bar women from participation in FFW employment, decision making role, etc. It was observed during focus group discussions that generally awareness is low in Sodo about gender issues, an a~ea requiring more attention in future interventions. • Households having very small (~ I person) and very large family size (2': 6 persons) showed lower rate of stunting prevalence in the northern projects, especially Endemahoni and Mekedela. The difference is statistically significant (P = .048). Since resource base is very poor in these areas, future interventions need to pay much more attention to family planning services. (2) Asset ownership: • Stunting shows no association with land, livestock and ox ownership, labor and household assets. That is, households having more of these assets did not have lower stunting as conventional \Visdom would have suggested. This could stem from critical shortage of cultivable land and limited non-farm income generating opportunities. Conventional methods used to increase cereal productivity such as fertilizers, improved seeds, draft animals might not produce results towards improving nutritional status. Other options such as a structural change in the cropping pattern (more towards perennial crops and away from annual crops, feed development together with introduction of improved animal breeds, improved apiculture production, fuel wood for the market, and consciously assisted inter- and intra-regional migration need to be seriously considered if change is sought in earnest. • There has been an attempt in the northern projects to introduce backyard farming, notably vegetables production for consumption. Although activity in this respect remains at demonstration level, there were some adopters. The adopters had higher stunting in Endemahoni, Wadla and Sodo. There were no replicators in Mekdela. (3) Health: a. Households who reported episodes of child illness had higher stunting rates in Wadla (P = .25) and Mekdela. That was not so in Endemahoni and Sodo where households who reported no illness had higher stunting. In both cases the difference was not statistically significant. J 11\ _, - b. Households reportedly using safe water had higher rate of stunting in Wad la indicating that there could be some sort of utilization problem. c. Those households who started supplementary feeding at the age group of 4 --6 months had lower stunting in Endeinahoni and Mekdela . Households with longer breast-feeding showed less stunting prevalence in all projects. Most mothers stopped breast-feeding after the first three months (majority of Ethiopian women breast feed for longer period). These results seem to suggest that there is need to pay more attention to health education, family planning services and household food processing in future programs. Food Shortage Duration and Application of Severe Coping Strategies The constraints are many and formidable to reduce household food shortage in the project areas EOC has been operating, especially in the north. The project activities have not been measuring up to the situation at hand at the time. Neither could they because of the gigantic nature of development problems: severe land degradation, acute shortage of agriculturally suitable land, persisting weather irregularity (inadequate and poorly distributed rainfall, frost, etc.,), horrendous topography, lack of access to market due to very poor provision of roads, etc. Yet, the survey results show that there has been reduction (Table 3.61). The reduction holds even when food obtained from FFW employment is excluded. This is indeed encouraging. But, can the situation be sustained or is it a kind of fluke resulting from the favorable 2000 meher season? It seems likely it is the latter. Table 3.61: Length of Food Shortage and the Extent of Use of Severe Coping Strategies in 2000 in EOC Title II Projects Endemahoni 6.3 1.42 62 85 Mekdela 6. 7 6.42 442 I 09 Wad la 5.9 2.96 230 64 Sodo 3.1 0.32 287 51 Source: The 1997 baseline and 20001 evaluation surveys Cross-tabulation analysis is made to see the relationship of food shortage with selected variables. Some of the results are presented below. (1) Female-headed households had longer food shortage months and the difference is statistically significant (P= .002). (2) Households having small family size (s 2 persons) and those having less economically active persons had longer food shortage months. This confirms the empirical observation that labor is an important livelihood source. (3) As it could be expected, the vulnerable groups such as oxless and landless had longer food shortage months (oxless 3.56 months, one ox 2.76 months,;:::: 2 oxen 137 ,, ...... .. 1.5 months: landless 4.61 months, :2'. I ha 2.(13 months). The difference in the case of land l)\\ ncrsh ip is not statistical!) signi llLanL (4) Fertilizer and improved seeds users had kss l~lOd shortage months. (5) Interestingly. use of improved fanning practices and practicing soil and water conservation did not result in shorter food shortage months as it would have been anticipated. That is. those households practicing improved farming techniques had actually longer food shortage months (P=--~. OOO), and the same with those who practice soil and \Vater conservation (P=.000). Table 3.61 shows that except Mekdela the rest of the EOC projects have decreased the percentage of farmers who used severe coping strategies. 3.4.7 SO Results - FHI Stunting Malnutrition of children seems very high in FHI projects (except Gubalafto ), although available data show that there have been some improvement since the 1997 baseline survey as shown below: Table 3.62: Child Stunting in 1997 and 2001 in FHI Title II Projects .~ .; --~ :i ~. !-"::~ · ·_. -----,,.,....:..,:'-------""'\~-"'-±~ f 997 ., -· .:,~.i: ~ Project~ .. ': . :~ : .. (1) Lay Gayint 85.6 (2 Tach Ga int 85.5 (3 Simada 86.9 (4) Gubalafto Not available Source: 1997 Baseline and 2001 Evaluation In the four FHI projects, the use of fertilizer and improved seed significantly dropped in 2000 compared to 1997. There could be valid reasons for the decrease like lack of financial incentive to farmers. The decline could also be for no good reasons in which case it is considered unfortunate for household food security. On the other hand, more households have put into use improved crop management practices in 2000 than in 1997 and this is very encouraging. It is unlikely, however, that the incremental production, if any, from the latter would offset production lost because of the reduced use of fertilizers and improved seeds. In spite of this; cereal yields increased and crop production per household showed a slight improvement in 2000, indicating a high likelihood that the production and productivity increase could be due to the good meher season the project areas experienced. The improvement in children nutritional status could very well be due to the projects' diversifying crop production through the introduction of tubers that seem to be more appropriate to the areas. The findings also show that child under-weight, prevalence of diarrhea occurrence and proportion of households using safe water improved, implying that the improvement in stunting could also be due to this. 138 ,-. ·. The gains might or might not be sustained. Whichever way it goes, it cannot be denied that nutrition remains a big threat to \\cl far~ and child dcvdopment in the pr~jcct areas. Analysis or Relationship . An analysis was made to observe the association between stunting and selected livelihood variables. The results are presented below. (1) Demographic characteristics: • Female headed households showed lower stunting rate in Lay Gaint, while male-headed households in other FHI projects had less stunting Jn all cases the difference was not statistically significant. • Households having very low (S 2 persons) and very high (2 6 persons) showed very high stunting rates in Lay Gayint and Tach Gayint. This might indicate lack of labor, and high rate of population growth could encourage stunting ·--among marginalized households. (2) Asset ownership: • Land, livestock and labor are the critical livelihood sources in the project areas. Yet, there was not significant difference between child stunting in those households owning more labor and land and in those that own less or none of these assets. There was no meaningful association between stunting and asset ownership in general. This could be largely due to critical shortage of cultivable land and the prevalence of unfavorable conditions for cereal-based crop production. Conventional methods used to increase cereal productivity such as fertilizers, improved seeds, draft animals might not produce the desired results on improving nutritional status. Other options such as a structural change in the cropping pattern (more towards perennial crops and away from annual crops), feed development together with introduction of improved animal breeds, improved apiculture production, fuel wood for the market, and consciously assisted inter- and intra-regional migration need to be seriously considered if change is sought in earnest. • Households having more revenue from non-farm sources had lower stunting in all projects. This indicates that future interventions need to pay more attention to supporting non-farm income generation opportunities. (3) Health: • Households reporting no episodes of child illness had significantly lower stunting rates in Lay Gayint (P= .005), Tach Gayint (P= .75), and Gubalafto (P= .021 ). b Simada households reporting no episode had more stunti1~g. • In Lay Gayint and Tach Gayint and Simada, households using safe water sources had less stunting. The difference in all cases was not statistically significant. In Gubalafto, safe water users had higher rates of child stunting. 139 I· l··i ":- - i . • • • Households who started supplementary feeding in the age groups of 0-3 and 4- 6 months had considerably lower stunting in Lay Gayint (P = .0168). It was not so, however, in Simada. In Tach Gayint those who started in 4-6 months had the highest stunting rate. Households where breast-feeding was stopped in the age group of 0-6 months and those where it was extended up to 25-36 months had greater stunting incidence in all the four projects. There was no association between stunting and vegetable production . Food Shortage Duration and Application of Severe Coping Strategies FHI projects have reduced the length of food shortage period and decreased the use of severe coping strategies for the beneficiaries (Table 3.63). Empirical observations abound to remind one the enormity of destitution in FHI projects communities. Livelihood sources are fragile and very poorly provided for'. Still, the frighteningly high food shortage months recorded during the 1997 baseline survey considerably declined in 2000, although it was still very high in Gubalafto in 2000. Observations made during the field visit and results of discussions made with diverse groups imply that food shortage remains a very serious problem in all the projects. In many focus group discussions, especially those held with resource poor and women, views were expressed that food shortage was as solid as it was in 1997. But the empirical results from the survey reveal that there has been some positive changes, most probably influenced by the favorable meher rains in 2000 and also by the crop diversification efforts of the project. Table 3.63: Length of Food Shortage and the Extent of Use of Severe Coping Strategies in 2000 in Fill Title II Projects Pro)~c.ts 8.9 3.95 134 9.1 3.8 122 Simada 8.4 2.3 167 Gubalafto 6.12 NA Source: The 1997 baseline and 20001 evaluation surveys FHI projects have had some provisions of technological inputs, introduced root crops to diversify crop production and spread food risk, and irrigation schemes were made operational in the period. 23 Gubalafto was not included in the 1997 baseline survey, thus unable to monitor change. 140 Cross-tabulation analysis performed to observe any possible association between food availability and key factors considered to have a role in food supply reveal the following results: (I) Female-headed households experienced longer food shortage months (4.45 months against 4.02 months for male-headed). This confirms the conventional wisdom that in marginal locations and in situations where labor is a critical factor female-headed households are more vulnerable. (2) Households with larger family size (2: 6 persons) and those having more labor had less time of food shortage (P=.202 for labor and P= .011 for family size). (3) Oxless farmers had longer food shortage period than those owning one or more (oxless 4.5 months, one ox 4.07 months, 2 or more oxen 2.70 months). The same situation prevailed with livestock and land ownership. (4) Farmers with no non-farm income had significantly longer food shortage than those who had off-farm income (no non-farm income 4.89 months, I 00-500 Birr 3.2 months). This underscores the importance of promoting the access part of household food security, given opportunities exist. In the case of coping strategies, there was a reduction of nearly 20% in Lay Gayint, 15% in Tach Gayint and 3.0% in Simada in the number of households who used severe coping strategies. 3.4.8 SO Results - REST Stunting Stunting results from the evaluation survey indicate that there has been a significant improvement, especially in Were !eke, (see Table 3.64 below): Table 3.64: Child Stunting in 1997 and 2001 in REST Title II Projects .. Pr : ,, l;.' 1999. i/~(' -~';f;'-:;.0.: <:· . ._ ;, ~ 200 ~ _;::_ ;'. cs. 1Wonetiied FFW.(Relier:· :M:}>hetized FI!-W lf!~lief . :: _ ·, ~1:~Earni~g Co~moditiilii)'" .. '/E?frii~g ci6Tu~~4Jnes) ·:: ~~ '.: . · ~~:~r · : · ~- ··· :~ · :::{ -' ~.:- ~r.·<~~~ ~?~--~ ~':_ .. _:: ;·· .. ·-:~~!!if:. CARE 72 100 69 100 93 CRS 63 74 94 89 85 EOC 29 9 27 55 56 FHI 76 101 32 100 51 REST 80 100 57 WVl/E 41 29 70 77 76 Sources: Cooperating Sponsors N.B: Africa re provided a plan figure for one year only and SCFIUSA did not provide any data on the subject 93 78 50 100 100 108 The main reason the projects in all CS gave in all instances for output shonfa lls is the irregularity of project fund flow. The implications of this for the realization of intermediate results and the strategic objective is evident. The donor is a\\ are of the 153 . ' problem and it is learnt that a stlldy team is already set up 111 review issues associated '' i1h nHJ1w1ization or fouJ nnJ resources in Ethiopia. Nattffc-ca used constraints: Drought, shortage and irr..:gu lari ty <1f rain fa II seriously constra incJ performance with ramifications for impacts a Im, 1st in all pr~jcct an.:os. hut more visibly on REST, SCF!l !SA. East Sirna CARE/CRS \\.VJ/F. prnjects. 3.6.2 Internal Internal environment here refers to the CS management capacity and the extent to which they have been able to link up and coordinate well activities with communities and other stakeholders, notably relevant government offices. The CS own management capacity (quality and quantity of expertise at project sites, logistics support to staffs, responsibility and authority delegation. capacity of head office to backstop field staffs, staff motivation at all levels, and availability of operating systems and procedures) was found adequate, although understandably variation existed among the CS. With regard to community participation, there is still much to be desired. Participation did not exceed labor and material contribution, collaboration in the provision of information to monitoring and evaluating groups, and membership in various functional committees (water, health, irrigation, etc.). The Task Force idea contained in the DAP proposals to bring about authentic ·• participation did not materialize in many of the projects. Community-based organizations are lacking and where available they are not strong to warrant authentic participation (decision making). It is observed that the projects operate with and through formal sector organizations like development committees, but the approach is only formality rather than objective or goal-oriented. The efforts the projects have made to enhance the capacity of grass roots organizations or institutions (fonnal and informal) have been wanting, based on observations made during field assessment. IV. Lessons Learnt: Some Discussion -. The uiscussion in this section is premised on three questions: (I) have there been interventions that were not included but should have been considered in the DA P in · order to better achieve the strategic o~jective? (2) has there been any missed oppo11unity to better integrate Title 11 activities into the main development stream? And (3) could the projects that had FFW component donl.'. better to enhance capital or asset formation at the household level? 4.1 Relevance and Appropriateness This evaluation held discussions with 123 rural beneficiary groups involving over 1230 persons (over 35% women)24• Among the major topics raised in these discussions were the relevance and appropriateness of the activities of Title II Program. The discussion on relevance was made to focus on whether the activities were appropriate to reduce poverty and improve household food security, whether they were compatible to the resource base of the communities and individual households, and whether the interventions were affordable. The discussions were also made to focus on whether the projects were designed to enhance community capacity, enable households to increase assets, improve access to social infrastructures and market. The results demonstrate that some 87% of the participants felt that the Title II activities have been relevant to improve food security in a sustainable manner and consistent with the socio-economic realities in the project areas. There was a . consensus that the projects addressed priority development needs. The remaining 13% are those who were not sure or unable to distinguish whether the interventions were indeed most wanted to solve food problems. The results of key informant interviews (123 women and 123 men) and discussions with government offices at the woreda level confirmed the views of the group discussions. The only departure in this respect was reported in the Hararghe CARE projects where woreda government officials as well as experts did not agree with the choice of the project sites. They believed that there were more marginalized locations. Communities and government are supportive of the projects' strategies: (1) focus on food security and being poor-focused; (2) emphasis on conservation-based development; (3) sensitivity to gender aspects of development; ( 4) emphasis on promoting appropriate and cost-effective technologies; and (5) attention to local capacity building. While this evaluation agrees to the opinions expressed above, it believes that there were some missed opportunities that could have made important contributions to achieve the SPO. In the opinion of the team, a typical Title II projects should have had activities shown in Figure 4 below. Figure 5, on the other hand, tries to depict the actual situation as the team observed it. The activities that look particularly conspicuous omissions in the latter are: ·Types of beneficiary groups used in the data colle~tion stage ar~ 1:xp!ained in 1he methodology S•~ction . 155 • Food processing (flour mills in particular) • Food preservation at the household level (awareness raising) • Family planning and maternal education (some projects have had some interventions) These and other gaps in OAP of significance to future similar programs are reviewed below by sector. 4.1.1 Crop and Livestock Production25 I. Title II projects in the Amhara Region and Tigray have a unique problem. Long years of abuse in the use and management of renewable natural resources rendered cereal crop production under the existing farm management practices non￾feasible. The gradual phasing out of the production of cereals in the weredas seems imperative. This is because of the fragility of soil (most of the top soil already gone), increasingly erratic rainfall, acute shortage ofland that forces farmers to cultivate steep slopes, land preparation requirement of cereals (s·oil being disturbed several times annually), etc. The question of what then was denied a serious consideration in the OAP. This evaluation believes agricultural development problem, notably in these northern weredas, is big requiring a big solution. The most tempting solution is to stop all cereal production under rainfed conditions, significantly reduce livestock population, enclose all areas with slopes exceeding 15 degrees and undertake enrichment tree planting. This cannot, however, be considered a realistic short-to medium-term solution, but it certainly deserves a serious consideration in any long-term development strategy. Courageous and visionary land use policy, consciously facilitated intra-and inter￾regional resettlement or permanent migration need to be seriously considered. The Government development strategy underpins that agriculture should play the lead role. But can this be realistic across the country, especially in highly marginalized parts (making up about 50%)? Measures such as resettlement, issuing and implementing land use regulations, and facilitating a major change in land use may not be suitable for NGO operation or Title II. While appreciating this, it is felt that DAP preferred not to articulate the most fundamental .agricultural development problems in such areas, and it did not give sufficient consideration to non-cereal production options. 2. DAP was formulated in 1997. Regional micro finance companies (Dedebit in Tigray, ACSI in Amhara) have been operative at the time ofDAP formulation. Yet, the implications of such policy for the administration of input and income generation credit, key to achieving the first and second intermediate results of the special objective, had not been analysed. This prevented the implementation of input supply envisaged in the DAP. While this evaluation is aware that there is need to be cautious in the use of fertilizers in the project areas, inputs such as fertilizers and improved seeds might be justified on financial and sustainability terms in some project areas. Input credit provision may have to be limited to farms with well-drain_ed soils, having adequate rainfall or where there is supplementary irrigation. 25 This evaluation qrongly contends that in rural communities where mixed farming (crop and livestock) preva ii~. hou s~ hL)l,i :·ood production is pivotai to hou5efmld food security. Strengthening the former is enhancing and :>ustainin.;! !he '.;;a<::r. This conte1•t!on is the basis of:hc disc11ssio11 in this sub-section. 156 ;. Figure 4 : Factors Influencing Nutritional Status of a Typical Ethiopian Rural HH and Their Inter-relationships *The core elements of Title II Program Strategic Objective measured by level of stunting 157 "· Figure 5: DAP Activities under Implementation to Improve Nutritional Status of a Project Household I ----- Increased Income from Cash Crop *The core elements of Title II Program Strategic Objective measured by level of stunting 158 3. Crop c.lin:rsilication that revolves arounc.l the introc.luction of Irish potato as a partial replacement to barley, introduction of improved sheep breeds in the high altitudes anc.l production of trees including fruit trees as an alternative to cereals and pulses should have been given a more serious consideration. At the minimum such enterprises could have been included as pilot programs in the DAP. There should have been a proposition for a more aggressive promotion of backyard· farming targeting vegetables during the meher season for household consumption26. Food availability ebbs in July to October in the project areas. Rainfed vegetable production could help to ease food supply shortage at this period. 4. Varieties of improved seeds to be distributed to farmers in these drought - prone areas are not characterized based on days to crop maturity to fit into the length of growing season of the project area. Nearly all the project areas have chronic and transitory shortage of rainfall. The proxy indicators need to consider whether a household is using varieties of the correct crop maturity group tuned to the length of growing season. The already existing indicator 'percentage of households using improved seed' should have read 'percentage of households using improved seed varieties tuned to the length of growing season'. - . ;:._ . - -. - - .. 5. Irrigation intervention seems to concentrate on tapping perennial rivers and springs. Possibilities of water harvesting during the main rainy seasons have not been considered in the DAP. Title II projects focused mainly on irrigation schemes involving the construction of micro-dams and diversions that could be costly and location-specific. Though rainfall in these project areas is erratic and of short duration, the amount during the peak period is considerable to enable storage and .. utilization. Other water harvesting techniques such as ponds, roof catchmet, etc., with the object of promoting vegetables production, have not been emphasized sufficiently. 6. Livestock constitute an important part of the livelihood systems of rural households in all project areas. It plays a critical role in the household food security. Although it yields little at present, its potential to contribute to household income and food security could be considerable. The existing extremely low livestock productivity is due to pervasive provenance of preventable and controllable diseases and lack of feed. Communities identify shortage of feed and diseases as priority development needs. Yet, several Title II projects were nearly oblivious of this. 4.1.2 Health I. Impression is gathered that relevant health interventions have been compromised on the belief that efforts to enhance agricultural production and increase income will have positive implications for health. While accepting the truism, there should have been more _but appropriate health interventions to strike a better balance between health and other sector development interventions. For example, in Lay Gayint in one PA, of the observed 37 women 17 had goiter, and yet it was 26 OAP have acti\·iiies on the promotion of vegetable production wiih the aim ofimpro\·ing the quality of diet at the household be!. Tf:!s evaluation would like to note that the ac!ivities planned and reso;m::es ailoca:d for the promotion wor:- ::'.111;..;;J have been wider in scope. • j -o ), not identified as a development problem nor has there been any initiative to reduce the incidence. 2. Africare is not as yet involved in direct health interventions, but its consideration of food processing, through support for grinding mill, is encouraging. It is very likely that this will contribute to improved women's health status through reduction of workload. The lack of grinding mill has been identified as a priority in many of the women FGD. Its omission where felt need is strong is conspicuous. 3. Family planning services and food processing at the household level were not given the attention they deserved. Empirical experiences indicate that normally there is a strong relationship between household food security and family size. More mouths to feed means less per capita food, especially for poor households. In both cases, women are central: women give birth, they produce and process food to feed the people. The impact of multiple births is not just too many mouths to feed, but also a source of ill-health to women. Another important cause of women's illness is overwork, especially from tasks related to feeding the family like water collection, stone grinding and fuel wood collection. Health interventions that are meant to impact food security should be those that have a bearing on health as well as on food processing and consumption. In this instance, family planning and assistance to simplify workload would have brought improved women's health and better and more food to the family. 4.1.3 Natural Resources I. Although rehabilitation of natural resources through physical and biological measures constitute the major operational area for most Title II projects, yet there are a few that did not have any conservation activities in the first cycle of OAP. This was in spite of the existence of a huge demand for soil and water conservation. Since potential exists in these project areas to improve HH food security through soil and water conservation practices, the lack of focus in this regard is considered a missed opportunity to enhance further household food security. 2. The Title II projects pro~ide support for the establishment of communal and private woodlots, or tree planting. In this regard, tree seedling supply in a cost￾effective and sustainable manner is critically important. In appreciation of this, the approach one CS followed was to establish and strengthen private nurseries. Technical, material support and training was given to individual farmers willing to run nursery activities. This strategy should have been pursued, at least on a trial basis, in other Title II projects. 160 .. -: ~- ......... ··-.:,.. 4.2 Sustainability of Title II Activities and Results Sustainability in terms of project is a function of integration of project activities into the regular development stream, and development of local capacity that is.capable of sustaining capital assets created with the support of the project. It is essentially the result of the following six factors. • Authentic community participation in the planning and management of the project, which determines ownership; • Capacity enhancement at the community and local levels; • Gender sensitivity of the project activities, or the role the project plays in empowering women; • The capability of the project to network with its major stakeholders; • The capacity to generate and make good use of critical information about the performance of the project; and • Having a well-thought out phasing out strategy Ownership, capacity and phasing out strategy are particularly significant for sustainability. While duly noting that there is considerable inter-project and inter￾activity variability, there are empirical observations that tend to suggest that sense of project ownership among communities is not at the level it should be, especially with conservation and physical infrastructures. In most projects, communities consider the conservation programs as an employment outlet. This should not be understood to mean that the communities and individual farmers lack appreciation or are not supportive of the conservation activities. Such appreciation exists. The projects might in fact have contributed to enhancing the appreciation. What is observed here is that perhaps farmers and community contribution towards the conservation programs is not at the level to generate commitment or sense of ownership. There are remarkable achievements to the credit of the Title II programs both in conservation programs and rural roads. If the Title II support were to be withdrawn, evidences are lacking in support of either the continuation of the conservation programs, at least at their current level, or in sustaining (maintaining and repairing) the project results (outputs) to date. Two reasons stand above others to explain the situation. The first is inadequate stakeholder involvement, especially local government and relevant line agencies. In the majority of woredas in which Title II projects operate, dissatisfaction was voiced, in several places strongly, about the role of government as a major stakeholder in the projects. Local authorities including agricultural offices reported poor to very poor planning and working relations in their respective woredas. The most often mentioned complaints are lack of information sharing, poor networking, poor coordination, absence of agreed forums to discuss common problems and solutions, lack of appreciation of the fact that both parties seek the same objective, etc. DAP consciously or othenvise did not have any defined initiative to enhance productive participation of local government in the project. This in the judgment of this evaluation \Yas a missed opportunity. 161 · . The second reason is that there is little, if any at all, difference between pre-Title II period and the present time in terms of organizational capacity at the community level. DAP had at least one good idea- setting up of task forces-. but it failed to provide enough resources to ensure their successful emergence. It does not also seem that there was awareness of the need to provide mechanisms to monitor the successful evolution of the task forces. 4.3 Self-reliance at the Household Level It is common understanding that household food security is a derivative of household self-reliance. It is also true that most of the project activities such as income generation and food-for-work have been the main Title II tools towards enhancing household self-reliance. Yet, there are observations that indicate dependency continues to surge. It means household self-reliance has not been evolving. The issue this evaluation flags in this regard is the lack of clarity that surrounds the use of food aid resources channeled in the form ofFFW. FFW could be a powerful means of development if used judiciously, especially in relatively more marginalized areas. Its purpose should not only be asset creation at the community level and improving household access to food. It should also be directed at creating asset at the household level. FFW has not been doing the latter in the project areas because remuneration￾wise it is considered the same as employment generation scheme (EGS). FFW wage rate is survival-based as it is in the EGS and not market-based as it ought to be. The Title II projects have not been able to positively impact asset ownership of the beneficiaries mainly due to the under-pricing of labor employed in FFW activities. The rationale for non-application of the going wage rate for FFW employment is not clear. Government Disaster Prevention and Preparedness Management directive was quoted in a few cases as the reason for not basing FFW enumeration on market wage rate. But a close review of DPPM shows that there is overtly expressed provision to this effect in the policy document. Rather the reason seems to be that the relevance of this aspect of FFW escaped attention while designing DAP. 162 V. Conclusions and Recommendations Title II projects seek across the country the same strategic objective, the same strategies. Similarities of project interventions are considerably larger than their differences. Because of this the major conclusioi1s of this evaluation are common to all, especially the rural projects. This should not be understood to mean that conclusions specific to a project are lacking. There are, but they are not brought out in this summary section. The section is summarized under four headings. (I) Assumptions violated; (2) Main findings (3) Lessons learnt ( 4) Main recommendations 5.1 Assumptions Violated 5.1 .1. The inability of some projects to implement credit component of DAP was harmful to food availa~ility and access. 5.1.2. The projects experienced cash now problems arising from monetization of food aid commodities, in some projects the problem was very serious. Quite a few projects did not have a conducive operating environment due to poor relation with line ministries and local governments. There were harsh weather conditions, notably severe irregularity of rainfall. Security was lacking in a few project locations. In spite of these and other operating constraints the performance of the projects (realization of planned outputs) was satisfactory. 5.1.3. Food availability in Ethiopia depends heavily on 'belg' and 'meher' rains. The 'belg' rains in 2000/01 were poor, but not the meher rains. The latter accounts for over 80% of the grain production. F AO and CSA figures tell that the 2000 meher production was the highest recorded in the country. Most project areas had good meher rains and this possibly improved availability. This fact could have bearing. The message here is the evaluation lacks concrete evidences.to suggest that the change in the nutritional status of children can be sustained. 5.2 Main findings 5.2.1. The nutritional status of children looked better in 2000 compared to 1997 in many of the Title II projects. There is reason to believe that project activities such as promotion of vegetable production, feed and other livestock programs, improved access to water, health services, and improved access to markets contributed to the improvement in the reduction of stunting prevalence. However, there are no strong evidences in support of sustaining results like reduced stunting (see Table 5.1). 163 -: 5.2.2. In the overwhelming majority of the projects, the length of the period households experienced food shortage had decreased significantly in 2000 compared to 1997. The basis for the decrease might not be structural changes in the production systems or sustainable income rise from dependable sources. Rather, it could be because 2000/0 I was relatively a better agricultural year. In other words, better food availability, access and the attendant reduction in food shortage in 2000 is difficult to wholly attribute to the projects. and it is not certain whether it can be sustained (see Table 5.1). 5.2.3. There has not been any significant change over the life of the projects in terms of the use of severe coping strategies. In fact, the overall picture is that (all projects considered) the situation in 2000 worsened compared to 1997 in this regard. 5.2.4. Agricultural productivity improved in 2000 compared to 1997. In most projects, cereal yields were considerably higher in 2000. But this did not come from wider and higher use of fertilizers and improved seeds. In fact, the percentage of farmers using fertilizer and improved seeds has declined in 2000 over 1997 in most projects. Grain production to a household decreased in 2000 compared to 1997. The findings of this evaluation indicate that there was decrease in the cropped area per household. This together with the likely increase in the number of households accounted for the shortfall in per household gain production. : ... - 5.2.5. Livestock ownership declined in most projects. Some of the planned income generating initiatives did not materialize due to the Government micro finance policy. 5.2.6. Child under-weight, wasting, prevalence of diarrhea occurrence, access to safe water sources and morbidity have shown a declining trend in most project communities in 2000 compared to 1997. The improvement is mostly attributed to the project interventions, especially the water programs. 5.2.7. On the other hand, in most cases households reporting access to safe water sources did not have lower stunting rates implying that there might be problems deterring the use of the sources or the manner in which the water is used domestically. Moreover, contrary to expectation, the amount of water used per household decreased significantly in most project areas. 5.2.8. The most visible strength of Title II projects (in most areas) is the contribution they are making to maintaining the natural resource base. The qualitative aspects of soil and moisture conservation measures and work outputs are impressive. In many of the focus group panels, farmers expressed that the conservation practices are already positively impacting crop productivity and increasing feed and fuel wood supply. 5.3 Lessons learnt 5.3. J CS stakeholders communities and relevant government offices alike strongly believe that project interventions address the priority development needs and have a strong relevance to improving household food security. 5.3.2 While this evaluation is in agreement with the stakeholders' views, it is in contention that there were activities not included (flour mills, family planning services), which could have made important contributions to :•· food utilization aspects of household food security. 5.3.3 Food availability, the crucial constituent of food security in rural Ethiopia where mixed farming system prevails, could have been more enhanced if livestock feed development, perennial crops such as fruits, private woodlots intended for the market, irrigation, and horticultural .. ~ crops were more emphasized in terms of program scope and resource '-. allocation. . .. . 5.3.4 The main strategies the projects pursued are focus on food security, emphasis on conservation-based development and targeting the poor. While accepting the appropriateness of the strategies, it is argued that the inadequate attention given to capacity building at the local and community levels is not consistent with the strategies. 5.3.5 Gender sensitivity has generally been taken to mean women's participation in activities, especially FFW, and it was not clear whether it was linked to benefit sharing and the level of involvement in community-based organizations. Interventions that could have empowered women more like family planning, cooking fuel supply, and food processing technologies have not been adequately focused or not included at all among the interventions. I ., 5.3.6 Community participation, support for community-based organizations, and initiatives to bring about better coordination between the project ~ ~ · and government programs have been weak, as a result sustainability of the project interventions and outputs is doubtful. 5.3.7 There are observations attesting that farmers are accepting that it is they who should assume the lead role in conservation development now more than before, and this is attributable to the role the projects have been playing t9 raise awareness. . .. 165 .f Table 5.1: A summary of SO and IR results of Title II.projects by CS % NA 18.6 I 52.2 43.7 56.8 I 34.3 66.6 54.5 85.9 56.5 I 71.9 I 46.1 I 45.4 I 40.5 I 65.9 I 39.6 61.1 39.6 WAI Use of severe coping 1997- ----· ____ strate ies 2000 - - - 124.6 - 118.5 - 78.1 - 80.0 - 96.9 - 58.3 - 90.4 99.4 Length of period households had food shortaoe 2. IR1-lncreased Agricultural Production Month NA Ko/ha 5.7 I 5.6 5.1 5.2 I 4.6 5.5 NA NA 532 1690.91942.71 390.25 5.7 8.8 5.3 I 4.1 I 3.6 I 2.2 I 1.4 I 5.5 I 4.3 5.6 4.7 923 386 885 532 1668.8 1 NA 1872.71201.31747.11 366.74 I 796 8.47. NA .•. " " I I NA I NA I 8.67 I Te ff 766.6 I 5.53 I 612.7 630 t825.71 416 1923.9 532 3 584 222.4 542 636 651.6 322.5 1674.21-·25·3.7-793.4 532 I 797 NA 693 165 591.5 320.816981 ---·-· ·-·--Maize " 581.5 6.10 601.9 332.7 988.6 274.25 758.7 206 946.3 I --- I 998.6 - - I NA I 322.3 -- I 238 I 647.8 I 365.5 I 836.5 ·-· __ . _____ Sorohum" " 512.2 8.55 639.6 354.5 1051 248.7 628.7 - 833.7 532 788.8 NA 148.4 72 743.4 412.4 763.7 Overall cereal production Kg/hh NA 581 NA 522 NA 446 NA 516 NA 361 NA 345 NA 329 NA 427 NA 435 -------Household used fertilizers % NA 1.3 16.5 31.6 29.8 25.5 13.25 I 22 22.6 6.7 - 42.5 - 16.1 40.7 40.1 21 26,6 Household used improved seed Used improved farming ractices % % NA 0.6 NA 21.1 38.5 I 22.9 3 I 7.9 2.9 44.2 NA I 44.1 53.4 7.3 17.8 0.82 12.2 1.65 I 7.2 I 21.5 5.9 I 12.5 47.8 29 53.3 NA I 44.4 NA 16.7 I 21.3 I 83.1 35 I 48.0 I rrioated area Ha. NA 145.48 3.3 55.3 229 5.1 9.7 NA I 1.75 NA 0.75 I - I 8.4 60.4 1398.4 3. IR2 - Increased I ownership I TLU I - I - 12.631 1.60 12.7311.491 2.82 11.941 1.81 11.40 13.9812.1412.61 I 6.0912.8311.80 I 2.66 12.11 I i Physical asset ownership of No. Stunting figures are as it June 2001 0.05 0.08 0.19 0.08 0.03 0.08 0.2 0.18 0.12 0.10 0.04 0 0.16 .0:01 0.08 0.01 0.02 0.11 0.26 0.33 0.40 0.05 0.20 0.07 0.02 0.14 0.50 1.01 0.03 0.27 .,. 0.12 0.08 0.18 0.16 166 • Wooden framed ... i;· / bed " - 0.01 0.01 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.19 0.17 0.01 0.26 0 0.04 0.35 0.70 0.25 0.55 0.11 0.24 ··· - -- · -- ···· ..... ·--.. -· Cart " - - 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.07 0 0 0.01 0 0 0.28 0.01 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.05 -- .. ... - -- - · - ·-- --- - - __ .. · - ·· ... ..... - ·- ···- · .... .• .•. . • . ••• ··-··- -- ··--·-·· !---· ... ---- --·· ··-----I""----·--·------ fJlouqh " - 0.62 1.42 0.83 1.0G 0.42 0.83 0.79 0.69 0.52 1 1.17 0.12 0.97 0.79 1.14 0.99 0.80 .... ........ -·--·-···- . ------------·· Watches " - 0.05 0.11 0.25 0.25 0.15 0.05 0.08 0.02 0.03 0.14 0.21 0.35 1.79 0.13 0.49 0.18 0.38 ·- . · -· - - . --~-·--'--'----l-___;..--+--'----1----+----+---+---t----+--- Blankets " - 0.17 0.84 0.48 0.39 0.51 0.33 0.34 0.11 0.08 0.46 0.71 0.63 0.80 0.79 0.67 0.54 0.48 HH that didn't add any IL~X~J!Y.Joo items % NA 8.0 64.4 62 62.5 62.0 82.2 80.5 98.2 91 .8 65.6 I 61.7 I 47.3 I 43.7 I 72.8 I 72.5 I 69.6 I 67.7 ~.l~:.l.!.~1p roved Health Status Prevalence of diarrhea occurrence among children .. _,_ ... ?.~ months old % NA NA 13 7.7 14 4.8 8.8 6.2 17.7 4.2 1.2 6.6 24.1 6.7 9 11.9 12.7 5.3 ... - - ..... .fhildren underweight " NA NA 42.7 44.9 41.7 24.2 47.7 50.8 63.9 38.4 57.9 51 33.2 44.9 48.1 37.9 45.4 41 .1 Households using protected · ----- .. -!':'.ater source I " I NA I NA I 77.44 I 30.8 I 42.32 I 42.5 I 50. 7 I 81 .9 I 24.94 I 26.1 I 29. 79 I 58.3 I 35.67 I 36.1 I 33.18 I 60.6 I 36.3 I 44.2 , Deliveries attended by 1 \ l~~As . ... ·-----I " I NA I NA I - I 36. 7 I - I 61.8 I - I 31 .6 I - I 50 I - I 39.5 I - I 69.45 I - I 32.1 I NA I 40 . I fl I 11101 visited health posts ............. !.~~.'.=.Jn last six months " I NA I NA I - I 27.2 I - I 21.9 I - I 18.2 I - I 17.8 I - I 25 I - 126.35 1 - I 27.6 I NA I 20.5 Lit/day/ .. _ ...... . ~~£~!1J. of water used hh I NA I NA I 44.42 I 45.8 I 41 .51 I 34.8 I 36.29 I 31.2 I 32.19 I 27.2 I 39.62 I 39 I 55.42 I 38.5 I 37.54 I 34 I 40.63 I 35. 7 5. IR4 -Natural Resource Based maintained 1. Communal land reclaimed through physical and biological 21,44 means Ha. - - - - NA 150 NA 160 NA 32 NA 6 2. Soil deposited behind hillside terrace - - - - - - - - - -~ - - - - - -T- i .... - ......... ~;i~~::::ted behind - - - - - - t----- - ~:a--· 1 · 1 · 1 · 1 · 1 6. g'~;~~ ~;~heanncZe~esponse ···-- ·-.. - ---.. --- _ ----~ ___ I _ 16 I 7 .r ... .. ~ .. .. .,p.;,,'1!1"·:.:..., .. .... :~i" ... ~ R# iht r.~a,,jj\' ·~::',·i:.]~ I I 1. Appreciate updated i I I I .... ?!~_.fl lan in place I I NA LYes NA '--·--·---·- : ~:: I ~: Yes NA Yes ~· (\~-~c: ss lo early warning I __J___!i.ij_'t_~j__'.'JA _lJ'.. ' critically important in such ·schemes, an~ this needs to be focused in future programs. 5.4.6. There are signals indicating that communities are not making good use of protected water sources. One such signal is the lack of association between stunting prevalence and use of protected water sources. The same is true with households reporting vegetable production. This calls for intensified health education that any future programs need to duly note. 5.4.7 Gender needs to be mainstreamed from the very early stage of project initiation and gender expertise should be involved at the design stage. Th~t did not seem to have happened in the on-going OAP, a thing that should not be allowed to occur again 5.4.8. Project sustainability is a function of(I) active and authentic community participation and (2) the existence of close relationship and coordination with other agencies, including government, implementing programs similar to that of the projects. Both areas require increased attention. In the case of the first, the measures involve training, frequent follow-on training programs, leadership training, experience sharing visits, technical assistance, putting in place systems and procedures, etc. In the second it is largely having the will, determin.ation and commitment to develop good working relation. There should be willingness on the part of the project staff to assume the lead role. Regularly held forums to discuss common problems, seek joint solutions and draw follow-on action plans could help. 5.4.9. There is acute scarcity of good agricultural land in most project areas, especially in northern and southern areas. There is strong rationale for practicing intensified agricultural production. Accordingly several projects have been promoting crop diversification with emphasis on vegetables and root crops. Results obtained were encouraging. There is need and purpose to further strengthen the intensification of target crops like vegetables that have the capability to reduce malnutrition. 5.4. l 0 Farm management practices such as crop rotation, intercropping of mutually complementing crops, moisture conserving measures, etc., are critically important to strengthen household food security. The projects have been actively promoting these activities. There is need to redouble the effort in this direction. 5.4.11 In some project locations potatoes are planted along the contour in rows between ridges and terraces. It is a good example of conservation-based farming practice that need to be promoted wherever possible. 5.4.12 Construction of soil bund ·on grazing land that has little or no erosion problem was observed in some projects. Since it practically serves no purpose, such pra~tice should be discouraged. 170 ·, 5.4.13 Indicators specified to measure project rcsulb pertaining to the lR4 arc no1 ' practical and, therefore, not applicable. 11 i~ suggested that the following indicators should be opted for in the future DAP. l. Percentage of trees planted that established well in the communal woodlots; 2. Vegetation cover attained; 3. Native species of trees regenerated in the enclosed areas; and 4. Depth of soil trapped inside checkdams 5.4.14 Child stunting is still a big problem in the project areas. Programs such as MICAH and vitamin A distribution should be strengthened. l 71 i I . ' J i ' ' . , '. 1?.§jerence 1. AfriCare ( 1998): Development Activity Proposal 2. AfriCare ( 1999). Development Activity Proposal Amendment, FY 2000 - FY 2002 incorporating Ethiopian Food Security initiatives. 3. Barbara. 1981, Concerns of the Pastoral Community, Oklahoma 4. CARE ( 1997). CA RE-Ethiopia DAP Food and Livelihood Security Program. 5. CARE. 1997, Development Activity Proposal, Addis Ababa 6. CRS (December 1997). Title 11 Special Objective Food Security and Nutrition Baseline, volume 2. 7. CRS (December, 1997), Title II Special Objective- Food Security and Nutrition Baseline, volume 1. 8. CRS (FY 2000). Catholic Relief Services/Ethiopia Program, USAID Performance Monitoring Plan - DAP results FY 2000 9. CRS, 1997, Development Activity Proposal, Addis Ababa 10. CSA 1997/98, report on National Fertilizer Bench mark, Addis Ababa. 11. CSA, 1996/97, report on national fertilizer Bench mark, Addis Ababa 12. CSA. 1998, Population and housing census of Ethiopia - Results at Country Level Vol.1. Addis Ababa 13. CSA, 1998, the 1994 population and Housing census of Ethiopia - results for Amhara region. volume 11, Addis Ababa 14. CSA, 1998, the 1994 Population and housing Census of Ethiopia - Results for Ti gray Region, Vol.I!, Addis Ababa 15. CSA, 1998, the Population and housing Census of Ethiopia - results for Oromia Region, Vol. I I, Addis Ababa. 16. CSA, 1998, the Population and housing Census of Ethiopia - Results for Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples Region, Vo!.! I, Addis Ababa 17. CSA. 1998/99, Agricultural Sample Survey- report on farm management practices, Addis Ababa 18. CSA, 2000, Report on Area and Production for Major Crops Vol.I, Addis Ababa 19. Earl K Bowen/Martin K. Starr, 1982, basic Statistics for Business and Economics 20. EOC-DICAC (Nov. 1997) Project Proposal for Mekedella and Wadla Food Security Projects, FY 1998 - 2003 Title 11 DAP. 21. EOC-DrCAC (May, 1998) Food Security Program Previously Approved Activities (PAA) for FY-1999 22. EOC-DrCAC Development Activity Proposal, Mid-term Evaluation, DSA (Nov, 2000), 23. Federal Democratic republic of Ethiopia, 1996, Food Security Strategy 24. FHI (1999) Title II Development Activity Proposal (DAP) Amendment 25. FHI (July 1998) Tach Gayint & Simada Integrated Food Security Programme 26. FHI (July I 998) Lay Gayint Integrated Food Security Programme 27. FHI, 1999, Development Activity Proposal 28. ILCA (1976). Livestock Production in Tropical Africa, E. Jankhe 29. Janke, 1974, Tropical Livestock Production, ILCA, Addis Ababa 30. Mu lat Demeke, 1997, Grain Market Research Project- Promoting Fertilizer use in Ethiopia 31. REST ( 1998). Title 11 Development Activity Proposal (OAP), Mekelle, Ti gray 32. REST. 1998, De velopment Activity Proposal, Addis Ababa 33. S C F. I 998. Development Activity Proposal Addis Ababa 172 \ i. .. ' r l t f, [ ·f t • ! i· ' l ! ' f· l ' 34. SCF/USA (May 1997) Title II Development Activity Proposal 35. UN ( l 967) ~'lethods of Estimating housing needs·. 36. WAAS, 1997, Title J( Special objective food security and nutritional baseline survey part I. Vol.I, Addis Ababa. : 37. \V AAS, 1997, Title 11 Special Objective Food Security and Nutritional Baseline · survey Part II. Vol. 1, Addis Ababa 38. WAAS. l 997. Title 11 Special Objective Food Security and Nutrition Baseline Survey Part 11 Vol.1 l. Addis Ababa. 39. WYE (1999). Annual Result Report -lO. WYE (Oct. 1997). Title;·u Development Activity Proposal ·. '*.: .., ~ i. : J . .. .. ._, ' '·