i ABOUT IMPEL The Implementer-Led Evaluation & Learning Associate Award (IMPEL) works to improve the design and implementation of Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance (BHA)-funded resilience food security activities (RFSAs) through implementer-led evaluations and knowledge sharing. Funded by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) BHA, IMPEL will gather information and knowledge in order to measure performance of RFSAs, strengthen accountability, and improve guidance and policy. This information will help the food security community of practice and USAID to design projects and modify existing projects in ways that bolster performance, efficiency, and effectiveness. IMPEL is a seven-year activity (2019– 2026) implemented by Save the Children (lead), TANGO International, Tulane University, Causal Design, Innovations for Poverty Action, and International Food Policy Research Institute. RECOMMENDED CITATION IMPEL. (2022). Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko Resilience Food Security Activity in Zimbabwe (Vol. I). Washington, DC: The Implementer-Led Evaluation & Learning Associate Award. PHOTO CREDIT Bridget Siziba / Cultivating National Frontier in Agriculture DISCLAIMER This report is made possible by the generous support of the American people through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). The contents are the responsibility of the Implementer-Led Evaluation & Learning (IMPEL) award and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States Government. CONTACT INFORMATION IMPEL Associate Award c/o Save the Children 899 North Capitol Street NE, Suite #900 Washington, DC 20002 fsnnetwork.org/IMPEL IMPEL@savechildren.org PREPARED BY: Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Acknowledgments i ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This report was written by Matthew Summers (University of Maryland), Daniele Barro, Monserrat Lara, and Antoine Guilhin from Innovations for Poverty Action, Lasse Brune (Northwestern University), Craig McIntosh (University of California), and Emily Beam (University of Vermont). This page is left intentionally blank. Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) List of Tables and Figures iii TABLE OF CONTENTS Acknowledgments...............................................................................................i LIst of Tables.......................................................................................................v LIst of Figures......................................................................................................v Acronyms...........................................................................................................vi Executive Summary ..........................................................................................vii 1. Baseline Household Survey ............................................................................1 1.1 Objective ........................................................................................................................................1 1.2 Questionnaire.................................................................................................................................1 1.3 Sampling.........................................................................................................................................2 1.4 Field Activities ................................................................................................................................3 1.5 Limitations and Challenges ............................................................................................................4 2. Results...........................................................................................................5 2.1 Household Demographics..............................................................................................................5 2.2 Poverty Indicators..........................................................................................................................5 2.3 Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene .....................................................................................................6 2.4 Housing Quality ..............................................................................................................................7 2.5 Assets .............................................................................................................................................8 2.6 Land and Agriculture ......................................................................................................................9 2.6.1 Land and Crops..............................................................................................................9 2.6.2 Agricultural Finance and Techniques..........................................................................10 2.7 Livestock Holdings........................................................................................................................10 2.8 Food Security................................................................................................................................11 2.8.1 Food Consumption Score............................................................................................11 2.8.2 Food Insecurity............................................................................................................12 2.8.3 Dietary Diversity..........................................................................................................13 2.9 Women and Children’s Health and Nutrition ..............................................................................13 2.9.1 Women’s Health and Diet...........................................................................................13 2.9.2 Children’s Health and Diet..........................................................................................14 2.9.3 Family Planning ...........................................................................................................15 2.10 Gender..........................................................................................................................................16 2.11 Resilience and Mental Health ......................................................................................................18 2.12 Savings and Loans.........................................................................................................................20 2.13 Collective Action and Government Support ................................................................................21 3. Next Steps....................................................................................................24 3.1 Preparation for Outcome Monitoring Survey ..............................................................................24 IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning iv Table of Contents 3.2 Devise Criteria for Propensity Score Matching ............................................................................24 Annex A: Additional Tables...............................................................................25 VOLUME II Annex B: Baseline Survey Tools Annex C: Field Manual Annex D: Research Protocol Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) List of Tables and Figures v LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Key findings from the baseline survey .......................................................................................... vii Table 2. Sample overview .............................................................................................................................3 Table 3. Enumerators' productivity ..............................................................................................................4 Table 4. Household demographics................................................................................................................5 Table 5. Poverty level....................................................................................................................................6 Table 6. Water, sanitation, and hygiene.......................................................................................................6 Table 7. Housing quality................................................................................................................................7 Table 8. Household assets.............................................................................................................................8 Table 9. Crops cultivated...............................................................................................................................9 Table 10. Agriculture...................................................................................................................................10 Table 11. Livestock assets in the last 12 months........................................................................................10 Table 12. Food Consumption Score ............................................................................................................11 Table 13. Food Insecurity Experience Scale................................................................................................12 Table 14. Dietary diversity ..........................................................................................................................13 Table 15. Women’s health..........................................................................................................................14 Table 16. Small children: diet and health ...................................................................................................14 Table 17. Family planning ...........................................................................................................................15 Table 18. Women empowerment...............................................................................................................17 Table 19. Resilience.....................................................................................................................................18 Table 20. Mental health in the last 12 months...........................................................................................19 Table 21. Savings.........................................................................................................................................20 Table 22. Loans ...........................................................................................................................................21 Table 23. Collective action..........................................................................................................................21 Table 24. Government support...................................................................................................................22 Table 25. Improved management practices and technologies for crop.....................................................25 Table 26. Improved management practices and technologies for livestock..............................................26 Table 27. Activity wards in the Hwange district .........................................................................................27 Table 28. Activity wards in the Lupane district...........................................................................................28 Table 29. Activity wards in the Binga district..............................................................................................29 Table 30. Activity wards in the Nyaki district..............................................................................................30 Table 31. Activity wards in the Tsholotsho district.....................................................................................31 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Amalima Loko wards......................................................................................................................3 IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning vi Acronyms ACRONYMS BHA Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance CI Confidence Interval CNFA Cultivating New Frontiers in Agriculture FCS Food Consumption Score FIES Food Insecurity Experience Scale GPS Global Positioning System HDDS Household Dietary Diversity Score IMC International Medical Corps IPA Innovations for Poverty Action IUD Intrauterine Device MAD Minimum Acceptable Diet N Number Sampled NGO Non-Governmental Organization ORAP Organization of Rural Associations for Progress PPP Purchasing Power Parity QE Quasi-experimental research design RFSA Resilience Food Security Activity TMG The Manoff Group USAID United States Agency for International Development USD United States Dollar VSLA Village Savings and Loan Association WASH Water, sanitation, and hygiene Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Executive Summary vii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Under the Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning (IMPEL) Associate Award funded by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), Innovations for Poverty Action (IPA) is conducting an impact evaluation of the Amalima Loko Resilience Food Security Activity (RFSA) in Matabeleland North province, Zimbabwe. Amalima Loko is an activity led by Cultivating New Frontiers in Agriculture (CNFA) and partners with the Organisation of Rural Associations for Progress (ORAP), Dabane Water Workshops (Dabane), The Manoff Group (TMG), International Medical Corps (IMC), and Mercy Corps, with financial support from USAID. The goal of Amalima Loko is to sustainably improve food security through increased food access and sustainable watershed management among extremely poor and chronically vulnerable households and communities in Matabeleland North Province. The Amalima Loko interventions are grouped into three purposes: 1. Enhanced and inclusive local ownership over food security and resilience planning and development. 2. Improved health and availability of soil, water, and plant resources within the watershed and their individual and collective capacities to withstand the most common shocks and stressors. 3. Improved human health and livelihoods. Amalima Loko’s interventions will be rolled out in 87 wards across the participating districts (Binga, Hwange, Lupane, Nkayi, and Tsholotsho), with the wards assigned to 21 watershed clusters of 3–5 wards each. Amalima Loko will generally be implemented in every village in the activity area, with an expected target population of 188,302. The expectation is that individuals will self-select into the most beneficial interventions for them; as such, while all individuals are eligible, not everyone in each area is expected to participate. Table 1 below shows the intervention conceptual framework. The main objective of the impact evaluation is to assess Amalima Loko’s effectiveness in achieving its objectives. IPA will use a quasi-experimental (QE) design to compare outcomes among treated and non-treated households. This report describes the data collected as part of the baseline survey of the Amalima Loko activity. Additional surveys will be carried out during the process evaluation, the midline survey, and the final evaluation stage. This report provides summary statistics and indicator estimates based on a recently completed round of baseline data collection. IPA, with a team of 10 enumerators, administered a baseline survey to 511 households between April 29 and May 22, 2022, in the districts of Binga, Hwange, Lupane, and Nkayi. Tsholotsho district, while part of the activity, only has a few treated wards due to only these wards being part of the Gwayi sub-catchment area and was thus omitted from the baseline survey. Table 1. Key findings from the baseline survey Demographics and Poverty 511 households were interviewed, with an average size of 5.3 people. The share of adults over 18 years was 48% in the targeted communities. The share of children under 5 years was 16% in the targeted communities. The share of women of reproductive age (15–49 years) was 20% in the targeted communities. IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning viii Executive Summary Demographics and Poverty In the targeted communities, 84% of households lived on less than Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) $1.90 per day and per adult. WASH 25% of households report having access to a basic sanitation service. 64% of households report not using basic sanitation services. Housing and Assets 65% of households have thatched roofs. 64% have an earth/sand floor. Land, Agriculture, and Livestock 88% of households report owning land. 1 93% of households cultivated at least one crop in the last 12 months and have an average of 16.32 acres of land. 88% of households report owning livestock. Women’s and Children’s Nutrition 26% of women of reproductive age (18–49) reported having a diet of minimum diversity. 26% of children aged 6–23 months had a diet of minimum diversity. 8% of children 6–23 months had a minimum acceptable diet. Access to Cash Resources 7% of women and 26% of men in union reported earning cash. 67% of women in unions report that their opinion is always heard in decisions about major purchases. Household Food Access and Security The mean food consumption score (FCS) was 40.40. 88% of households had moderate or severe food insecurity, based on the Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES). Resilience Households reported a mean ability to recover index of 3.27 (range of 2–6). 2 Households had a mean adaptive capacity of 40.48 (0–100). 3 Households had a mean transformative capacity index of 40.77 (0–100). 4 Collective Action and Government Support 35% of households reported that they had worked with others in their village to do something for the community’s benefiting. 51% of households report having a government or NGO program in their village. 1 In these areas (communal lands), land ownership means that the local authority has given the respondent access rights. All land is held by the government, and local leaders can assign limited property rights (i.e., the ability to derive income from land) but cannot grant the right to sell the land. 2 The Ability to Recover from Shocks and Stresses Index is an estimation of the ability of households to recover from the typical types of shocks and stressors that occur in the activity areas, such as loss of a family member, loss of income, hunger, drought, flood, conflict, or similar events. The Index is based on data regarding recovery from the shocks and stressors households experienced in the year before the survey and their perceived ability to meet food needs the following year. 3 The adaptive capacity index measures the ability of households to manage resources and make proactive and informed choices to better prepare for and adapt to future shocks. The Index is constructed from ten indicators and indices. 4 Transformative capacity involves system-level resources, governance, and institutions that comprise the enabling environment that promote or limit households’ capacity to respond to shocks and stressors. The index is constructed from fifteen indicators and indices. Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Baseline Household Survey 1 1. BASELINE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY 1.1 Objective The primary objectives of the baseline household survey are: (1) to gain a better understanding of prevailing conditions and perceptions of the study population, (2) to guide the criteria used in the Quasi￾Experimental (QE) design, and (3) to improve the precision of our impact estimates. Innovations for Poverty Action (IPA) will conduct the midline survey 12 months after implementation of the activity begins to test differences between households in treatment and control areas. Then, IPA will administer an endline survey 36 months after completion of the baseline. 1.2 Questionnaire IPA developed the baseline questionnaire in consultation with Cultivating New Frontiers in Agriculture (CNFA), the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance (BHA), and Save the Children over the period September 2021 to January 2022. Multiple consultations took place to determine which BHA indicators were pertinent, and IPA only included indicators deemed relevant to inform activity implementation in the baseline survey. Anthropometric indicators were initially proposed but eventually left out to optimize budget resources. The questionnaire included the following modules: • Household roster and demographics • Poverty and consumption • Water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) • Housing and assets ownership • Land usage, crop cultivation, and agricultural practices • Livestock holdings • Women’s health, nutritional status, dietary diversity, and family planning • Child nutrition • Gender (cash-focused) • Cash for assets • Household food access and security • Resilience • Collective action and government support • Women’s empowerment • Income sources • Financial health • Savings and loans • Perceived economic ladder • Mental health • Self-control IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 2 Baseline Household Survey • Gender access to credit and group participation • Family planning Some of the more in-depth modules were administered to a subsample of households to reduce cost and respondent fatigue. The results subsections indicate the number of households that were administered specific modules. Not all modules’ indicators are included in this report. 1.3 Sampling CNFA originally targeted 87 communal wards5 in Binga, Hwange, Lupane, Nkayi, and Tsholotsho districts. At the time of writing, five additional wards were under consideration for being added to the activity. Of these original 87 wards, 45 were eventually chosen for the baseline survey, covering four districts (Binga, Hwange, Lupane, and Nkayi) of the activity. The wards were selected because they belong to CNFA’s Phase II sample. These are areas that are downstream of Phase 1 wards. Activity implementation had already begun in the Phase 1 wards when the baseline survey was undertaken, while activities in the Phase 2 wards were set to occur within the following year. The actual participating households were selected randomly using the random walk technique. In this case, the starting point was identified as a central location within the community, which could be a market, a church, a health facility, or the junction between two roads. After that, the following steps were taken to select the households to include in the baseline survey: 1. The household nearest to the starting point was the first to be included. 2. The field officer selected which direction to take by spinning a bottle or flipping a coin (for reference and a detailed plan, see the field manual in Annex C). 3. Following a road or path, the field worker identified the next households. The fieldworker followed paths connecting to the main road to try and reach out even to those houses away from the road (For reference and detailed plan, see the field manual in Annex C). 4. For densely populated villages, enumerators approach every eighth household; for sparser villages, they approach every fourth or fifth household. 5. The fieldworker stopped whenever they reached the target number of households for the village. Training for the baseline ran from April 7 until April 15, 2022. The baseline survey was piloted from April 25–April 28, 2022. A total of 510 households were targeted out of 51 villages. To minimize the burden on respondents, we randomly selected 50% to complete the modules on women's health, nutritional status, dietary diversity, and family planning (Module E). We then independently sampled 50% to complete the gender (cash), resilience, and agriculture modules. In some cases, the number of respondents is less than half the total sample size because of other restrictions in the module. The smaller sample size overall (510) was intentionally chosen due to the QE research design, which is discussed in more depth in Section 1.4. In the context of this specific QE design, the baseline is not being used to compare treatment effects but rather to inform the QE choices made during the midline and endline surveys. 5 Communal wards are contrasted with the other ward types, urban, national parks, forest conservation areas, private safari concessions, commercial farming, mining areas, or contested lands). Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Baseline Household Survey 3 Some indicators target respondents aged 15 and above, but IPA did not have Internal Review Board approval to survey people under 18; thus, our indicators are truncated to be from 18 and above. This is particularly relevant for indicators BL11, BL13, and BL32. Figure 1. Amalima Loko wards 1.4 Field Activities Field data collection started on April 29 for Amalima Loko and was completed on May 21, 2022. A total of 511 respondents of the targeted 510 surveys had been completed and uploaded by May 21, 2022. Of these, 211 cases (41%) had opened the Resilience module, while 254 had opened the Gender module. All districts met their allotted sample sizes. Nkayi and Binga had the largest sample sizes at 180 and 170, respectively, while Lupane had 131 households reached and Hwange 30. Table 2. Sample overview Province District # of Surveys Matabeleland Binga 170 Hwange 30 Lupane 131 Nkayi 180 The average number of households surveyed per day decreased from 24.3 to 22.2 between the first and second weeks and the third and fourth weeks. This was primarily due to difficulties accessing households, particularly in the last 2 days in Lupane, which substantially lowered the mean. IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 4 Baseline Household Survey Table 3. Enumerators' productivity Productivity Start date in Washington, District of Columbia: April 29, 2022 End day of field work: May 22, 2022 Total enumerators 10 Number of days in the field: 23 Average per Day Average per day – Completed surveys 22.2 Average per day per enumerator – Completed surveys 2.2 Average per day per enumerator – Incomplete surveys (found but partially interviewed) 0 A total of 516 households were approached, and interviews were secured with 511 (99% response rate). Five surveys were incomplete due to respondents not being found. All 511 respondents gave informed consent to participate in the household survey and to record their homestead’s Global Positioning System (GPS) coordinates. Surveys were administered on a tablet using SurveyCTO. Short audio recordings were collected only for quality control purposes. If respondents declined to be recorded, interviews were completed without recording. Five of the 511 respondents surveyed refused to give consent for audio recording. 1.5 Limitations and Challenges Availability of respondents due to competing schedules: The harvesting season had started when survey fieldwork began, and the local chiefs had set a date when free-range grazing of livestock would start. As a result, farmers were frantically harvesting their crops to ensure they met the deadline, resulting in challenges in securing interviews. As a result, five households could not be found and had to be replaced. Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Results 5 2. RESULTS The following sections describe baseline findings for several key indicators, focused on several traditional areas: (1) poverty, consumption, and asset indicators; (2) WASH; (3) child and female adult nutrition; (4) land, cultivation, and livestock; (5) nutrition and food security; and (6) collective action and government support. Where applicable, IPA collected data on a sub-sample of the overall sample size. These choices on sub-sample were made to reduce respondent fatigue and keep the overall survey budgets manageable. We have included additional details about the sub-sampling in each section below. 2.1 Household Demographics Table 4. Household demographics Description Mean Confidence Interval (CI) Lower CI Upper Number (N) Sampled Female household head 40% 36% 44% 511 Household head age 52.73 51.35 54.11 511 Household head married or living together 73% 69% 77% 511 Household head level of education No formal schooling 11% 8% 14% 511 Some primary schooling 28% 24% 32% 511 Primary school completed 24% 21% 28% 511 Some secondary school 23% 19% 26% 511 Secondary school completed 13% 10% 15% 511 Household head occupation Farmer 46% 41% 50% 511 Unemployed 30% 26% 34% 511 Notes: Confidence intervals for binary indicators are based on Normal approximations; for very small samples and indicator values near 0 or 1, these confidence intervals can exceed 0 or 1, and in this table, confidence interval bounds are censored at 0 from below, and 1 from above. 2.2 Poverty Indicators Three consumption-based indicators are used to assess the extent of poverty in the sample: (1) daily per capita consumption expenditures; (2) percentage of people living below $1.90 per day, expressed at 2011 dollars inflated to 2022 levels and (3) the mean percentage shortfall of the poor relative to the $1.90/day 2011 poverty line. The baseline indicates that the target communities are quite poor, with 84% of households falling below the poverty line of $1.90. IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 6 Results Table 5. Poverty level Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N [BL40] Consumption per capita per day, United States Dollar (USD) 1.29 1.17 1.40 511 Female and male adults 1.26 1.14 1.39 414 Adult female no adult male 1.26 1.04 1.47 88 [BL01] Prevalence of Poverty, less than $1.90 per day 84% 81% 87% 511 Female and male adults 85% 81% 88% 414 Adult female no adult male 85% 78% 93% 88 [BL02] Depth of Poverty of the Poor: Mean percentage shortfall of the poor relative to the $1.90/day 0.62 0.59 0.65 429 Female and male adults 0.65 0.62 0.69 350 Adult female no adult male 0.46 0.40 0.53 75 Notes: The $1.90 threshold is inflated from 2011 to 2022 using the United States Consumer Price Index to match the year of the data collection. A PPP adjustment factor was not used, as the most recently available WB PPP deflator comes from 2018 before Zimbabwe instituted a new currency. The categories “Adult Male no Adult Female” and “Child no Adults” were omitted due to small sample sizes. 2.3 Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene IPA collected household-level data on three WASH indicators: household access to a basic sanitation service, the type of toilet the household uses, and the main source of drinking water. Of 511 households, 327 (64%) reported using “No facility/bush/field.” Among the 184 households that do not use open defecation, 134 report using an improved sanitation service, including ventilated improved pit latrines and flushing to a septic or sewer system. The remaining 50 households do not practice open defecation but do not utilize an improved system. This group primarily includes “covered pit latrine with slab” (41 households). Table 6. Water, sanitation, and hygiene Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N [BL27] HH with access to a basic sanitation service 26% 22% 30% 511 Female and male adults 25% 21% 29% 414 Adult female no adult male 30% 20% 39% 88 [BL19] HH that do not use sanitation facilities 64% 60% 68% 511 Female and male adults 64% 60% 69% 414 Adult female no adult male 65% 55% 75% 88 Kind of toilet the household uses: No access 64% 60% 68% 511 Ventilated improved pit-latrine 22% 18% 26% 511 Covered pit-latrine with slab 8% 6% 10% 511 Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Results 7 Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Other 6% 4% 8% 511 Share toilet with other household 21% 15% 27% 184 Main source of drinking water: Tube well/borehole 42% 38% 47% 511 Surface water 19% 16% 23% 511 Unprotected well 15% 12% 18% 511 Protected well 11% 8% 14% 511 Public tap/standpipe 9% 6% 11% 511 Other 4% 2% 6% 511 Notes: “Share toilet with other household” was administered only to households with any kind of toilet. 2.4 Housing Quality Most households in the targeted area live in traditional dwellings, predominantly with earthen or sand floors, thatched roofs, and mud walls. Commensurate with these findings, only 6% of households have access to electricity, and most of those with electricity get it from a home solar system. Table 7. Housing quality Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Household’s tenure status Owner/purchaser without title 50% 45% 54% 511 Owner/purchaser with title 42% 37% 46% 511 Tied accommodation 7% 4% 9% 511 Other 2% 1% 3% 511 Type of dwelling Traditional 67% 63% 71% 511 Mixed 25% 21% 29% 511 Detached 5% 3% 7% 511 Other 4% 2% 5% 511 Main material for floor Earth/sand 64% 60% 68% 511 Cement 32% 28% 36% 511 Other 4% 2% 6% 511 Main material for roof Thatch 65% 61% 69% 511 Metal/tin sheets 26% 22% 30% 511 IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 8 Results Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Asbestos 6% 4% 8% 511 Other 2% 1% 3% 511 Main material for walls Mud 58% 53% 62% 511 Bricks 24% 20% 28% 511 Cement 9% 7% 12% 511 Cement blocks 7% 5% 9% 511 Other 2% 1% 4% 511 Number of rooms in the household 2.78 2.66 2.91 511 Access to electricity 6% 4% 8% 511 Sources of electricity: Solar home system 60% 41% 79% 30 National grid 23% 7% 39% 30 Solar lantern/lighting system 17% 3% 31% 30 2.5 Assets Most households report owning at least some land, which is consistent with the agricultural section, showing that over 90% of households cultivated some type of crop in the last year. Table 8. Household assets Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Household owns: Land (arable, industrial, residential) 88% 85% 91% 511 Cellphone 83% 80% 86% 511 Plough 56% 52% 61% 511 Goat 51% 47% 55% 511 Solar panel 48% 43% 52% 511 Cattle 45% 40% 49% 511 Hoe 37% 33% 41% 511 Radio 29% 25% 33% 511 Bicycle 28% 24% 32% 511 Scotch cart/water cart 23% 20% 27% 511 Axe 23% 19% 26% 511 Donkey 22% 19% 26% 511 Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Results 9 Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Lounge suite 18% 15% 22% 511 Wheelbarrow 16% 13% 19% 511 Knapsack sprayer 15% 12% 18% 511 Satellite dish and components 12% 9% 15% 511 Harrow 9% 6% 11% 511 Television 6% 4% 8% 511 Other 5% 3% 7% 511 2.6 Land and Agriculture Most households have land, and an even higher percentage (93%) report cultivating anything in the last 12 months. The dominant crops were maize and sorghum/millet, with a small number of groundnuts also cultivated. Notably, groundnuts are not listed as the most important crop for households. 2.6.1 Land and Crops Table 9. Crops cultivated Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Households owns land, not including plot with home 90% 87% 92% 511 Total area of agricultural land (in acres) 16.32 0.00 1.00 459 Household cultivated anything in the last 12 months 93% 91% 95% 511 During the last rainy season, household cultivated Maize 77% 74% 81% 474 Sorghum/millet 67% 62% 71% 474 Groundnuts 23% 19% 26% 474 Bean 9% 6% 11% 474 Cowpeas 8% 6% 10% 474 Millet 7% 5% 10% 474 Sunflower 5% 3% 8% 474 Vegetables 4% 3% 6% 474 Soybeans 4% 2% 6% 474 Other 20% 17% 24% 474 Most important crop cultivated Maize 51% 47% 56% 474 Sorghum/millet 40% 35% 44% 474 Other 5% 3% 8% 474 IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 10 Results Notes: Confidence intervals for binary indicators are based on Normal approximations; for very small samples and indicator values near 0 or 1, these confidence intervals can exceed 0 or 1, and in this table, confidence interval bounds are censored at 0 from below, and 1 from above. 2.6.2 Agricultural Finance and Techniques IPA also asked a subset of 211 households questions about farmers’ use of financial services. Additionally, IPA asked 175 households about improved management practices or technologies and 154 more households about improved management practices on livestock. Table 10. Agriculture Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N [BL29] Percent of farmers who used financial services (savings, agricultural credit, and/or agricultural insurance) in the past 12 months 21% 16% 27% 211 Agricultural credit 0.06 0.03 0.09 211 Save any cash 0.16 0.11 0.21 211 Total savings USD 126.33 75.95 176.72 34 Agricultural insurance 0.01 0 0.02 211 Female 21% 14% 28% 125 Male 22% 13% 31% 86 [BL21] Percentage of producers who have applied targeted improved management practices or technologies 95% 92% 99% 175 Female 95% 91% 99% 104 Male 96% 91% 100% 71 [BL21] Improved management practices/technologies on livestock 78% 71% 85% 154 Female 76% 67% 85% 88 Male 80% 70% 90% 66 Notes: This section was administered to a random subsample of farmers over 18 years of age. 2.7 Livestock Holdings Most households in the sample area reported owning some livestock: 452 out of 511. While poultry and goats were the most represented, a still significant percentage (66% of households that owned livestock or 58% of all households) reported owning cattle. Table 11. Livestock assets in the last 12 months Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Household owned livestock 88% 86% 91% 511 Household-owned [animals]: Poultry 90% 87% 92% 452 Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Results 11 Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Goats 73% 69% 77% 452 Cattle 66% 61% 70% 452 Donkey/mule 22% 18% 25% 452 Pigs 10% 8% 13% 452 Other 9% 6% 12% 452 2.8 Food Security Food security is essential to well-being, and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 2 calls for the elimination of hunger by 2030. Food diversity is also important to ensure sufficient intake of micro-nutrients that are key for the individual development of their full potential, particularly in the first years of life. In terms of food insecurity at the household level, IPA computed two indicators, the Food Consumption Score (FCS) and the Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES). 2.8.1 Food Consumption Score The FCS is a frequency-weighted diet diversity score, also referred to as a “food frequency indicator.” The FCS is calculated using the frequency of consumption (number of days) of eight food groups consumed by a household during the 7 days before the survey, weighted by the nutrient density of the food group.6 Table 12. Food Consumption Score Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N [BL10] Food Consumption Score 40.40 38.59 42.20 511 [BL10] Poor Food Consumption Score (0–21) 21% 18% 25% 511 [BL10] Borderline Food Consumption Score (21.5–35) 26% 22% 29% 511 [BL10] Acceptable Food Consumption Score (> 35) 53% 49% 58% 511 Over the past 7 days, number of days household consumed Main staples 6.25 6.08 6.41 511 Sugar 3.32 3.04 3.59 511 Fruit 3.00 2.75 3.26 511 Meat and fish 2.79 2.55 3.03 511 Oil 2.67 2.40 2.94 511 Vegetables 2.31 2.06 2.55 511 Condiments 2.09 1.83 2.34 511 6 WFP, Vulnerability Analysis and Mapping Branch (ODAV). (2008). Food consumption analysis—Calculation and use of the food consumption score in food security analysis. Rome, Italy. IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 12 Results Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Milk and dairy 1.51 1.30 1.72 511 Pulses 0.80 0.65 0.95 511 2.8.2 Food Insecurity The Food and Agricultural Organization, in consultation with global food security actors, developed the FIES to help mark progress toward meeting SDG 2. SDG 2 commits countries to “end hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture” by 2030. The FIES helps actors understand the severity of food insecurity in a country’s population. The FIES asks respondents directly about their experience of food insecurity through eight direct yes or no questions. These eight questions are reproduced in the annex. Table 13 below shows the results of the FIES module. The FIES score ranges from 0 to 8. The households in the sample had a mean of 5.52, putting them at fairly high levels of food insecurity. 81% of households report having either moderate or severe food insecurity. Table 13. Food Insecurity Experience Scale Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N BL06: Prevalence of moderate and severe food insecurity in the household, based on the FIES 81% 65% 97% 511 Female and male adults 81% 65% 97% 350 Adult female no adult male 82% 65% 98% 75 Prevalence of severe food insecurity 52% 39% 65% 511 Female and male adults 51% 38% 63% 350 Adult female no adult male 59% 45% 72% 75 Raw FIES Score 5.52 5.28 5.75 511 During the last 12 months, because of a lack of money or resources, you or others in your household... Were unable to eat healthy and nutritious food 85% 82% 88% 511 Ate only a few kinds of foods 82% 79% 86% 511 Had to skip a meal 74% 70% 78% 511 Were worried you would not have enough food to eat 71% 67% 75% 511 Ate less than you thought you should 68% 63% 72% 511 Did not have food 64% 60% 69% 511 Were hungry but did not eat 59% 54% 63% 511 Went without eating for a whole day 49% 45% 53% 511 Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Results 13 2.8.3 Dietary Diversity IPA administered a section on dietary diversity to determine if households in the sample had sufficiently nutritious diets. This section mirrors the questions on dietary diversity targeted toward women of reproductive age and children. Table 14. Dietary diversity Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Household Dietary Diversity Score (HDDS) (1–12)[1] 3.62 3.46 3.77 511 Food groups consumed yesterday by any member of the household... Cereals 68% 64% 72% 511 Oils and fats 62% 57% 66% 511 Other fruits 47% 42% 51% 511 Dark green leafy vegetables 40% 35% 44% 511 Other vegetables 36% 32% 40% 511 Milk and milk products 29% 25% 33% 511 Legumes, nuts, and seeds 23% 19% 27% 511 Vitamin A-rich fruits 16% 12% 19% 511 Flesh meats 15% 12% 18% 511 Rich vegetables and tubers 10% 8% 13% 511 Fish and seafood 10% 7% 12% 511 Eggs 9% 6% 11% 511 Eat anything OUTSIDE the home 8% 5% 10% 511 White roots and tubers 7% 4% 9% 511 Sweets 6% 4% 9% 511 Spices, condiments, beverages 6% 4% 8% 511 Organ meat 4% 2% 5% 511 Notes: HDDS is calculated by summing up consumption of 12 different food categories: vegetables (dark leafy greens, other vegetables or rich vegetables, and tubers), fruits (other fruits, vitamin-rich fruits), meat (flesh meats, fish, and seafood), cereals, tubers, eggs, fish, legumes, milk, oils, sweets, and spices. 2.9 Women and Children’s Health and Nutrition 2.9.1 Women’s Health and Diet Women ages 18–49 years were asked whether they consumed at least five of 10 specific food groups during the previous day and night to evaluate the diversity of their consumption. As shown in Table 15, the share of women of reproductive age with a diet of minimum diversity was 26% in the targeted areas. IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 14 Results Table 15. Women’s health Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N [BL11] Prevalence of women of reproductive age consuming a diet of minimum diversity 26% 19% 33% 148 Women of reproductive age < 19 years --- --- --- 5 Women of reproductive age +19 years 26% 19% 33% 143 Food groups consumed: Grains, white roots, tubers, plantains 85% 79% 91% 148 Dark green leafy vegetables 51% 43% 59% 148 Other fruits 49% 41% 57% 148 Other vitamin A-rich fruits and vegetables 42% 34% 50% 148 Pulses 31% 24% 39% 148 Meat, poultry, and fish 27% 20% 34% 148 Other vegetables 26% 19% 34% 148 Dairy 18% 12% 25% 148 Nuts and seeds 11% 6% 17% 148 Eggs 9% 4% 13% 148 Notes: This section was administered to a random subsample of women between 18 and 49 years of age. 2.9.2 Children’s Health and Diet As with women of reproductive age, IPA asked for specific information about children’s diets. Two main indicators were calculated, the percentage of children aged 6–23 months receiving a Minimum Acceptable Diet (MAD) and minimum dietary diversity. The MAD measures the percentage of children 6–23 months who receive a minimum feeding frequency and minimum dietary diversity. IPA asked caregivers about the liquid and solid types of food consumed by these children in the day and night preceding the survey. The minimum dietary diversity indicator is calculated similarly to the indicator for women of reproductive age, this time calculated as the share of children who consumed 5 of 8 different food groups during the previous day and night. In the targeted area, only 8% of children were deemed to have reached a MAD, while 25% had a diet of minimum diversity, which is comparable to that of reproductive-age women interviewed in the targeted area. Table 16. Small children: diet and health Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N [BL13] Prevalence of exclusive breastfeeding of children under 6 months 66% 48% 83% 32 [BL12] Percentage of children 6–23 months receiving a MAD 8% 2% 14% 84 Female 8% 0% 16% 39 Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Results 15 Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Male 9% 0% 18% 45 Minimum dietary diversity Breastfed 26% 15% 38% 61 Non-breastfed --- --- --- 23 Minimum meal frequency Breastfed 41% 28% 54% 61 Non-breastfed --- --- --- 23 [BL39] Prevalence of children 6–23 months consuming a diet of minimum diversity 25% 16% 34% 84 Female 28% 13% 43% 39 Male 22% 10% 35% 45 Foods group consumed: Breast milk 89% 83% 96% 84 Other fruits and vegetables 73% 63% 82% 84 Eggs 60% 49% 70% 84 Vitamin-A-rich fruits and vegetables 39% 29% 50% 84 Dairy products 32% 22% 42% 84 Grains, roots, and tubers 31% 21% 41% 84 Legumes and nuts 19% 10% 28% 84 Flesh foods 7% 2% 13% 84 2.9.3 Family Planning IPA administered questions about family planning methods to all women of reproductive age currently in a union, totaling 111 women. The survey showed high levels of knowledge about contraceptive practices, but only 63% of the respondents reported making decisions about contraceptive usage in the past 12 months. A further sub-sample of respondents of reproductive age but not currently pregnant were asked about their current contraceptive use. 71% of these women reported currently using some sort of modern contraceptive. Table 17. Family planning Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N [BL36] Knowledge of modern family planning methods 95% 90% 99% 111 Knowledge of modern family planning methods score (1–13) 6.87 6.4 7.35 111 Modern family planning method: Contraceptive pill 96% 93% 100% 111 Male condom 90% 84% 96% 111 IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 16 Results Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Injectables 86% 80% 93% 111 Female condom 84% 77% 91% 111 Implants 69% 61% 78% 111 Standard days method 59% 49% 68% 111 Intrauterine device (IUD) 56% 46% 65% 111 Lactational Amenorrhea Method 48% 38% 57% 111 Female sterilization 41% 32% 51% 111 Emergency contraception 27% 19% 35% 111 Male sterilization 18% 11% 25% 111 Diaphragm with spermicidal foam, cream, or gel 7% 2% 12% 111 Other modern methods 5% 1% 10% 111 [BL37] Percentage of women in a union who made decisions about modern family planning methods in the past 12 months 63% 54% 72% 111 Partner used modern contraceptive method in past 12 months 76% 68% 84% 111 Usually makes the decision whether or not to use contraceptive methods: Respondent 44% 33% 55% 84 Respondent jointly with husband/partner 39% 29% 50% 84 Husband/partner 17% 9% 25% 84 Non-pregnant women 95% 90% 99% 111 [BL20] Contraceptive prevalence rate 71% 63% 80% 105 Women using any method to delay or avoid getting pregnant 71% 63% 80% 105 Method used: Contraceptive pill 41% 30% 53% 75 Injectables 27% 16% 37% 75 Implants 21% 12% 31% 75 Other 11% 4% 18% 75 Notes: This section was administered to each woman in union aged 18 to 49 years. The indicator [BL20] Contraceptive Prevalence Rate was administered to non-pregnant women. 2.10 Gender Questions about cash earnings and decisions about cash spending were administered to both male and female adults in the responding households. A total of 445 women were asked about cash decisions, while 401 men were also asked. A total of 333 married women were then interviewed about household purchasing decisions, with a majority (67%) reporting that the wife’s opinion is always heard when deciding what to buy. Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Results 17 Table 18. Women empowerment Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N [BL32] Percentage of women and men in a union who earned cash in the past 12 months 16% 13% 18% 846 Female 7% 4% 9% 445 18–29 years old 9% 4% 14% 128 30–49 years old 6% 2% 9% 194 > 49 years old 7% 2% 11% 123 Male 26% 22% 30% 401 18–29 years old 23% 13% 34% 64 30–49 years old 40% 32% 47% 163 > 49 years old 14% 9% 19% 174 When the household makes a major purchase, the wife's opinion is heard in deciding what to buy Never 3% 1% 5% 333 Very rarely 1% 0% 2% 333 Rarely 4% 2% 6% 333 Yes, sometimes 14% 10% 18% 333 Yes, usually 10% 6% 13% 333 Yes, always 67% 62% 72% 333 Wife has to ask other household members for permission to buy clothes for her No 47% 41% 52% 333 Yes 51% 45% 56% 333 Have never bought 2% 1% 4% 333 Wife is allowed to buy things in the market without asking permission: Never 7% 4% 10% 333 Very rarely 11% 7% 14% 333 Rarely 3% 1% 5% 333 Yes, sometimes 13% 9% 17% 333 Yes, usually 9% 6% 12% 333 Yes, always 51% 45% 56% 333 Wife is allowed to visit women from other villages to talk to them without asking permission: Never 10% 7% 13% 333 Yes, but never alone 7% 4% 10% 333 Yes, alone, with permission 46% 41% 52% 333 Yes, alone, do not need permission 33% 28% 38% 333 IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 18 Results Notes: This section was administered to each married woman over 18 years of age. Confidence intervals for binary indicators are based on Normal approximations; for very small samples and indicator values near 0 or 1, these confidence intervals can exceed 0 or 1, and in this table, confidence interval bounds are censored at 0 from below and 1 from above. 2.11 Resilience and Mental Health The resilience module of the baseline survey focuses on households' ability to recover from shocks. The ability to recover index is the combination of two questions about the households’ ability to recover from last year’s shocks and expectations about their recovery from next year’s shocks: ● “To what extent has your ability to meet food needs returned to the level it was before the shocks and stressors you experienced in the last 12 months?” with possible responses and weighted values: o Ability to meet food needs is the same as before the shocks (= value of 2) o Ability to meet food needs is better than before the shocks (= value of 3) o Ability to meet food needs is worse than before the shocks (= value of 1) ● “In light of the shocks you faced in the last 12 months, to what extent do you believe you will be able to meet your food needs in the next year?” with possible responses and weighted values: o Ability to meet food needs will be the same as before the shocks (= value of 2) o Ability to meet food needs will be better than before the shocks (= value of 3) o Ability to meet food needs will be worse than before the shocks (= value of 1) The aggregate index ranges from 2 to 6, with 6 indicating a high level of resilience. The respondents reported an average of 3.27, implying that their aggregate ability to respond to shocks is slightly worse than it was before the shock occurred. Additionally, IPA collected data on the: 1. Adaptive capacity index, the ability of households to plan for future shocks; 2. Absorptive capacity index, which captures the ability to plan for shocks that affect well-being outcomes; and 3. Transformative capacity index, which captures system-level capacities to respond to shocks. Finally, the resilience module also asked all households if they engage in savings groups or micro-finance programs, with a yes rate of only 3%. Table 19. Resilience Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N [BL23] Ability to recover index (2–6) 3.27 3.07 3.47 207 Female and male adults 3.23 3.01 3.45 173 Adult female no adult male 3.43 2.91 3.96 30 [BL24] Household that believes local government will respond effectively to future shock 60% 54% 67% 211 Female and male adults 63% 56% 70% 175 Adult female no adult male 47% 29% 65% 32 [BL31] Household participates in group-based savings, micro-finance, or lending programs 3% 1% 4% 511 Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Results 19 Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Female and male adults 3% 1% 5% 414 Adult female no adult male 1% 0% 3% 88 [BL08] Adaptive capacity index (0–100) 32.74 29.38 36.10 112 [BL09] Absorptive capacity index (0–100) 40.48 36.55 44.41 160 [BL25] Transformative capacity index (0–100) 40.77 37.87 43.67 160 [BL38] Index of social capital (0–6) 2.18 2.00 2.37 211 Index for bridging social capital (0–6) 2.01 1.81 2.21 211 Bonding Social Capital Index (0–6) 2.36 2.16 2.57 211 Notes: This section was administered to a random subsample of respondents. IPA asked a series of questions about generalized mental health. The Kessler Psychological Distress Scale (K6) is a series of six questions with five values, ranging from “none of the time” (0) to “all of the time” (4). It is used as a quick assessment of physiological distress. The baseline results show a reasonable level of the K6 scale, but a high percentage of respondents reported feeling that “everything was difficult” all the time. Similarly, most respondents reported having a period in the last 30 days when they felt worried, tense, or anxious. Unsurprisingly, respondents reported that their major concern is food shortage. Table 20. Mental health in the last 12 months Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Kessler 6 (0–24) 8.45 7.87 9.02 511 Respondent felt ... all or most of the time That everything was difficult 37% 33% 41% 511 Restless or fidgety 25% 21% 29% 511 So depressed that nothing could cheer you up 23% 19% 26% 511 Worthless 23% 19% 26% 511 Hopeless 23% 19% 26% 511 Nervous 17% 14% 20% 511 Had a period lasting 30 days or longer when felt worried, tense, or anxious most of the time 57% 52% 61% 511 Ended 18% 14% 22% 289 Still going on 62% 57% 68% 289 Still going on, but reduced 20% 15% 24% 289 These worries interfered with their ability to carry out normal activities A lot 65% 60% 71% 289 Some 10% 7% 14% 289 A little 17% 12% 21% 289 Not at all 8% 5% 11% 289 IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 20 Results Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Issues that sometimes are reasons for concern: Food shortage 48% 44% 52% 511 Health 29% 25% 33% 511 Living situation 24% 21% 28% 511 Children's education 23% 19% 26% 511 Financial constraints 19% 15% 22% 511 Nothing 17% 13% 20% 511 Clothing 11% 9% 14% 511 Domestic issues 9% 7% 12% 511 Employment 9% 6% 11% 511 Other 10% 7% 12% 511 2.12 Savings and Loans IPA administered modules on savings and loans of all 511 households in the sample communities. This section covers loans not associated with village savings and loans or group-based savings but rather interactions with more formal lending institutions. The module on savings shows a low rate of savings among households, with only 35% of households reporting keeping any savings in the past month, and of those that save, only a small percentage stored money outside the home, either with a financial institution or trusted individual. Table 21. Savings Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Has kept any savings in the past 6 months No savings 65% 60% 69% 511 In your pocket/clothes/bag that you carry 13% 10% 15% 511 A secret place in your home 11% 9% 14% 511 Village Savings and Loans Association 9% 6% 11% 511 Box in the household 5% 3% 6% 511 Savings groups, including Savings and Credit Cooperative Organization, unions 3% 1% 4% 511 Mobile money 3% 1% 4% 511 With family members outside the household 1% 0% 2% 511 Commercial bank 1% 0% 2% 511 With a friend 0% 0% 1% 511 With a shopkeeper 0% 0% 1% 511 With a neighbor 0% 0% 0% 511 Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Results 21 Notes: Confidence intervals for binary indicators are based on Normal approximations; for very small samples and indicator values near 0 or 1, these confidence intervals can exceed 0 or 1, and in this table, confidence interval bounds are censored at 0 from below, and 1 from above. Similarly to savings, IPA found that only a small percentage of households reported getting a loan (4%). Among those that had loans in the past 12 months, the average amount was around $49. Table 22. Loans Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N In the last 12 months, obtained loans from: Microfinance institution 2% 1% 3% 511 Savings and Credit Cooperative Organization 1% 0% 2% 511 Banks 0% 0% 1% 511 None 96% 95% 98% 511 Total loan (USD) 49.20 24.00 74.40 19 Household members regularly save cash 24% 20% 27% 503 Notes: Confidence intervals for binary indicators are based on Normal approximations; for very small samples and indicator values near 0 or 1, these confidence intervals can exceed 0 or 1, and in this table, confidence interval bounds are censored at 0 from below, and 1 from above. 2.13 Collective Action and Government Support As part of the resilience module in the baseline survey, a random sub-sample of households was asked questions relating to collective action, i.e., the experiences they have had of community members working together to solve a local problem. One of the main components of the Amalima Loko activity combines community visioning with greater local control of resources, and in particular, improvement and care of watershed resources. 35% of respondents report having engaged in a community project to improve their village. Table 23. Collective action Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Household that has worked with others in their village to do something for the benefit of the community 35% 28% 41% 211 Activities: Repaired/built schools 29% 18% 39% 73 Repaired/built health posts or centers 18% 9% 27% 73 Improved community access to drinking water 15% 7% 23% 73 Area enclosure, sow grasses, manage pasture 11% 4% 18% 73 Road maintenance/construction 8% 2% 15% 73 Repaired/built communal irrigation system 7% 1% 13% 73 Formed a cooperative 5% 0% 11% 73 IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 22 Results Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Soil conservation 5% 0% 11% 73 Water harvesting at the household level 3% 0% 7% 73 Planted trees on communal land 1% 0% 4% 73 Flood diversion activities 1% 0% 4% 73 Other (specify) 15% 7% 23% 73 Notes: Soil conservation includes: terracing, bunds, half-moons, and gabions. This section was administered to a random subsample of respondents. Confidence intervals for binary indicators are based on Normal approximations; for very small samples and indicator values near 0 or 1, these confidence intervals can exceed 0 or 1, and in this table, confidence interval bounds are censored at 0 from below and 1 from above. As part of the resilience module in the baseline survey, a random subsample of households was asked about access to government or non-governmental organization (NGO) programs in their village. Approximately half of the 211 households interviewed said a government or NGO program existed in their village. Table 24. Government support Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Any government or NGO programs in the village 51% 44% 58% 211 Types of programming: Food/cash transfers 59% 49% 68% 107 Agricultural inputs (seeds, fertilizer) 38% 29% 48% 107 Educational assistance 25% 17% 34% 107 Livestock inputs (feed, fodder, medicine) 7% 2% 11% 107 WASH 6% 1% 10% 107 Child malnutrition/infant feeding 2% 0% 4% 107 Disaster planning/response 1% 0% 3% 107 Other (specify) 3% 0% 6% 107 HH received any government or NGO assistance 50% 43% 57% 211 Type of assistance: Food/cash transfers 77% 69% 85% 105 Agricultural inputs (seeds, fertilizer) 30% 21% 38% 105 Educational assistance 10% 4% 15% 105 Livestock inputs (feed, fodder, medicine) 2% 0% 5% 105 There is an emergency plan for livestock off-take if a drought hits 5% 2% 8% 211 There is an active Peace Committee in the village 46% 39% 53% 211 There is an active Area Land Committee in the village 37% 30% 44% 211 Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Results 23 Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N The village has a security or police force 66% 60% 73% 211 Nearest security/police force: Community members 81% 74% 87% 140 National government 9% 4% 14% 140 District government 5% 1% 9% 140 Local militia 1% 0% 3% 140 Sub county government 1% 0% 2% 140 Other 3% 0% 6% 140 Distance to the nearest police station Over one hour 53% 45% 62% 135 About one hour 24% 16% 31% 135 Half an hour 16% 10% 23% 135 Minutes 7% 2% 11% 135 Notes: This section was administered to a random subsample of respondents. Confidence intervals for binary indicators are based on Normal approximations; for very small samples and indicator values near 0 or 1, these confidence intervals can exceed 0 or 1, and in this table, confidence interval bounds are censored at 0 from below and 1 from above. Security or police forces include both formal (with a police station) and informal (i.e., local community members). IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 24 Next Steps 3. NEXT STEPS 3.1 Preparation for Outcome Monitoring Survey A midline survey will take place 1 year after the baseline survey. The midline survey aims to interview 2,250 households evenly split between treated and untreated areas. Currently, Amalima Loko is being implemented in 87 of the 125 wards that comprise the five activity area districts. CNFA proposes expanding into five more adjacent wards, bringing the total of treated wards to 92, potentially leaving 33 comparison wards. However, most of these wards are not communal wards, and among the untreated communal wards, most are located in the Tsholotsho district, which has received less attention due to only a few wards being part of the Gwayi sub-catchment. IPA is currently determining the suitability of locating control wards outside the Gwayi catchment area. An endline survey will be conducted 2 years after the midline survey (3 years after the baseline). The midline survey will catalog a sufficiently exhaustive breadth of variables to allow for robust propensity score matching between treatment and control households. This information will be used to refine the sample in the endline: of the 2,250 randomly selected households at the midline, 1,500 high-propensity households will be re-interviewed at endline. In the next section, we will explain how this propensity score methodology works and how it will be applied here. 3.2 Devise Criteria for Propensity Score Matching IPA will use propensity score matching to compare outcomes measured at follow-up surveys between households in the intervention areas to those in the comparison areas. The matching approach compares the difference in weighted average outcomes at the endline between treated and untreated households. The weights flexibly control for pre-intervention observables captured during the baseline survey. In the first stage, IPA will estimate the propensity to select for the intervention, modeling the selection as 𝐷𝐷𝑖𝑖 = 𝛾𝛾𝑋𝑋𝑖𝑖 + 𝜇𝜇𝑖𝑖 for household 𝑖𝑖 in intervention areas (only), where 𝐷𝐷𝑖𝑖 is an indicator of intervention participation, 𝑋𝑋𝑖𝑖 is a vector of pre-intervention household characteristics (collected at baseline) that predicts intervention participation. In the second step, IPA will predict 𝐷𝐷𝑖𝑖 in the intervention and comparison areas—this prediction is the propensity score. Lastly, IPA will match intervention area households to comparison area households on the propensity score (potentially after first enforcing common support conditions). Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Annex A: Additional Tables 25 ANNEX A: ADDITIONAL TABLES Table 25. Improved management practices and technologies for crop Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N [BL21] Applied targeted improved management practices or technologies on crops (A, B, or C below) 95% 92% 99% 175 A. Has applied any improved management practices 91% 87% 95% 175 Type of improved management practices or technology used: Cultural practices7 85% 79% 90% 175 Crop genetics 21% 15% 27% 175 Irrigation 8% 4% 12% 175 Agriculture water management—non-irrigation-based 6% 2% 9% 175 Pest and disease management 6% 2% 9% 175 Natural resource or ecosystem management 4% 1% 7% 175 Post-harvest handling and storage 3% 0% 5% 175 Soil-related fertility and conservation 3% 0% 5% 175 Livestock management 2% 0% 4% 175 Climate mitigation 2% 0% 4% 175 Climate adaptation/climate risk management 1% 0% 2% 175 Marketing and distribution 1% 0% 2% 175 Value-added processing 1% 0% 2% 175 Other 1% 0% 2% 175 None 20% 14% 26% 175 B. Has applied any improved storage practices 45% 47% 62% 175 Type of improved storage practices used: Sealed/air-tight bags 41% 34% 49% 175 Post-harvest practices that reduce pre-storage losses 15% 10% 20% 175 Locally made storage structures 11% 7% 16% 175 Grain treatment with agro-chemicals 6% 2% 9% 175 Community storage facilities 5% 1% 8% 175 Seed or grain treatment techniques 5% 1% 8% 175 None 55% 47% 62% 175 C. Has applied any natural resource management practices 43% 36% 51% 175 Type of natural resource management practices used: 7 Cultural practices in this study refers to crop rotation, intercropping, mulching, and weeding. IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 26 Annex A: Additional Tables Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N Area enclosure 27% 20% 33% 175 Land conservation, restoration, and protection 12% 7% 17% 175 Agriculture on-farm practices 12% 7% 17% 175 Water extraction technologies 9% 4% 13% 175 Flood diversion 3% 1% 6% 175 Water harvesting at the household-level 2% 0% 5% 175 Planting trees 1% 0% 3% 175 Improving access to drinking water 1% 0% 3% 175 Other 1% 0% 2% 175 None 57% 49% 64% 175 Notes: This section was administered to a random subsample of farmers over 18 years of age. Confidence intervals for binary indicators are based on Normal approximations; for very small samples and indicator values near 0 or 1, these confidence intervals can exceed 0 or 1, and in this table, confidence interval bounds are censored at 0 from below and 1 from above. Table 26. Improved management practices and technologies for livestock Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N [BL21] Improved management practices/technologies on livestock (A or B below) 78% 71% 85% 154 A. Has applied any practices when caring for the livestock 66% 58% 73% 154 Type of livestock practices used: Vaccinations 47% 39% 55% 154 Castration 21% 15% 28% 154 Homemade animal feeds made of locally available products 21% 14% 27% 154 Deworming 18% 11% 24% 154 Dehorning 14% 9% 20% 154 Services of community animal health workers/para-vets 8% 4% 13% 154 Services of a government animal health extension worker 8% 4% 12% 154 Improved shelters 5% 2% 9% 154 Pen feeding 4% 1% 7% 154 Services of community animal health extension worker 3% 0% 5% 154 Fodder production, veld reinforcement with legumes 3% 0% 5% 154 Periodic replacement of male breeding stock 2% 0% 4% 154 Animal feed supplied by stock feed manufacturer 1% 0% 3% 154 None 34% 27% 42% 154 Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Annex A: Additional Tables 27 Description Mean CI Lower CI Upper N B. Has applied any natural resource management practices 44% 36% 52% 154 Type of natural resource management practices used: Area enclosure 27% 20% 34% 154 Agriculture on-farm practices 15% 9% 21% 154 Land conservation, restoration, and protection 14% 8% 19% 154 Water extraction technologies 10% 5% 14% 154 Flood diversion 4% 1% 7% 154 Water harvesting at the household-level 3% 0% 6% 154 Planting trees 2% 0% 4% 154 Improving access to drinking water 1% 0% 2% 154 Other 1% 0% 2% 154 None 56% 48% 64% 154 Notes: This section was administered to a random subsample of farmers over 18 years of age. Confidence intervals for binary indicators are based on Normal approximations; for very small samples and indicator values near 0 or 1, these confidence intervals can exceed 0 or 1, and in this table, confidence interval bounds are censored at 0 from below and 1 from above. FIES index questions: “During the last 12 months, was there a time when...” 1. You were worried you would not have enough food to eat because of a lack of money or other resources? 2. Were you unable to eat healthy and nutritious food because of a lack of money or other resources? 3. You ate only a few kinds of foods because of a lack of money or other resources? 4. You had to skip a meal because there was not enough money or other resources to get food? 5. You ate less than you thought you should because of a lack of money or other resources? 6. Your household ran out of food because of a lack of money or other resources? 7. You were hungry but did not eat because there was not enough money or other resources for food? 8. You went without eating for a whole day because of a lack of money or other resources? Table 27. Activity wards in the Hwange district Ward no. Ward name Population Households Covered by AL 2 Chidobe 4,153 1,012 Covered 3 Kachecheti 4,018 959 Covered 4 Nemananga 3,278 742 Covered 5 Chikandakubi 2,025 494 Covered IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 28 Annex A: Additional Tables Ward no. Ward name Population Households Covered by AL 6 Mbizha 2,864 706 Covered 7 Jambezi 3,514 818 Covered 8 Sidinda 1,681 412 Covered 9 Mashala 1,498 373 Proposal additional 10 Simangani 4,474 1,083 Covered 12 Nekabandama 2,141 496 Covered 13 Nekatambe 593 128 Covered 14 Makwandara 3,825 826 Proposal additional 15 Silewu 4,016 895 Proposal additional 16 Lupote 3,454 723 Proposal additional 17 Mabale 3,142 677 Proposal additional 20 Change 4,959 1,139 Covered Total 49,635 11,483 Non-communal wards 1 Matetsi 4,105 914 Not covered 11 Kamative 2,954 723 Not covered 18 Dete 3,315 1,121 Not covered 19 Chinamatila 828 293 Not covered Total 11,202 3,051 Table 28. Activity wards in the Lupane district Ward no. Ward name Population Households Covered by AL 1 Dongamuzi 2,747 537 Covered 2 Matshokotsha 1,845 393 Covered 3 Dandanda 4,550 892 Covered 4 Mzola East 2,433 472 Covered 5 Sibombo 4,400 824 Covered 6 Lusulu 2,931 508 Covered 7 Ndimimbili 2,001 357 Covered 8 Sobendle 3,813 703 Covered 9 Tshongokwe 2,791 536 Covered 10 Lupaka 5,171 894 Covered 11 Pupu 4,854 838 Covered Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Annex A: Additional Tables 29 Ward no. Ward name Population Households Covered by AL 12 Gomoza 3,888 743 Covered 13 Jotsholo 4,103 872 Covered 14 Menyezwa 3,217 643 Covered 15 Matshiya 5,798 1,380 Covered 16 St Paul’s 3,978 738 Covered 17 Malunku 3,976 694 Covered 18 Gwamba 3,041 606 Covered 19 Daluka 4,195 798 Covered 20 Jibajiba 3,846 721 Covered 21 St Paul’s 4,574 824 Covered 23 Mbembesi 3,310 659 Covered 27 Mzola West 3,906 728 Covered Total 85,368 16,360 Covered Non-communal wards 22 Lupanda (East and West) 7,092 1,440 Not covered 24 Kana Block 1,207 264 Not covered 25 Gwayi 1,365 347 Not covered 26 Sotani 870 179 Not covered 28 Lupanda (SSCFA) 1,330 255 Not covered Total 11,864 2,485 Table 29. Activity wards in the Binga district Ward no. Ward name Population Households Covered by AL 1 Luunga 3,098 762 not covered 2 Nabusenga 4,704 1,174 Covered 3 Nagangala, sinampande 4,736 1,256 Covered 4 Sinansengwe 3,180 849 Covered 5 Sinakoma 4,199 1,047 Covered 6 Sikalenge 4,843 1,252 Covered 7 Manjolo 4,737 1,217 Covered 8 Simatelele 3,812 1,005 Covered 9 Sianzyundu 5,360 1,441 Covered 10 Siachilaba 3,720 969 Covered IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 30 Annex A: Additional Tables Ward no. Ward name Population Households Covered by AL 11 Lubu 3,383 871 Covered 12 Muchesu 3,237 753 Covered 13 Saba 4,006 1,005 Covered 14 Dobola 7,740 1,709 Covered 15 Kariangwe 3,265 772 Covered 16 Chinonge 9,229 2,077 Covered 17 Kabuba 9,950 2,111 Proposed additional 18 Tinde 5,182 1,125 Covered 19 Pashu 5,156 1,075 Covered 20 Lubimbi 4,232 833 Not covered 21 Sinamagonde 17,775 3,338 Proposed additional 22 Tyunga 2,517 634 Not covered 23 Kalungwizi 6,920 1,522 Not covered 24 Kaani 5,204 1,411 Covered 25 Lubanda 3,837 867 Not covered Total 134,022 31,075 Table 30. Activity wards in the Nyaki district Ward no. Ward name Population Households Covered by AL 1 Manguni I 4,813 949 Covered 2 Manguni Ii 4,116 771 Covered 3 Ngomambi Central 3,578 739 Covered 4 Ngomambi North 3,116 641 Covered 5 Ngomambi South 6,200 1,208 Covered 6 Sibangalwana Ii 4,575 893 Covered 7 Sibangelana I 3,627 721 Covered 8 Jojo West 3,982 719 Covered 9 Jojo East 2,370 418 Covered 10 Jojo South 3,212 582 Covered 11 Sivalo 2,632 489 Covered 12 Sikhobokho 3,961 759 Covered 13 Malandu West 4,211 807 Covered 14 Malandu East 3,278 595 Covered Baseline Evaluation of the Amalima Loko RFSA in Zimbabwe (Vol. I) Annex A: Additional Tables 31 Ward no. Ward name Population Households Covered by AL 15 Faroni 1,920 349 Covered 16 Phillip 3,597 736 Covered 17 Manomano 2,697 532 Covered 18 Fanisoni 2,937 545 Covered 19 Malindi 3,703 762 Covered 20 Nkalakatha 3,233 679 Covered 21 Nhlanganiso 3,427 705 Covered 22 Mpande 5,637 1,161 Covered 23 Mlume 2 2,712 573 Covered 24 Mlume 1 4,399 837 Covered 25 Siphunyuka 4,147 766 Covered 26 Sikobokobo East 2,883 517 Covered 29 Malindi East 4,861 1,220 Covered 30 Gwampa 2,261 428 Covered Total 107,613 21,112 Table 31. Activity wards in the Tsholotsho district Ward no. Ward name Population Households Covered by AL 1 Sodaka, Samahuru 3,583 734 Not covered 2 Dlamini 4,736 958 Not covered 3 Kapane,Mlevu 5,284 1,018 Not covered 4 Dibutibu 2,817 558 Covered 5 Siphepha 5,118 1,108 Covered 6 Jimila, Tshino 7,272 1,508 Covered 7 Pumula 4,112 801 Not covered 8 Mbiriya, Tshitatshawa 8,839 1,707 Not covered 9 Jowa, Phondo, Mpanedziba 6,525 1,270 Not covered 10 Sikente, Maphane 3,536 711 Not covered 11 Nanda 3,809 771 Not covered 12 Manqe 6,899 441 Not covered 13 Magama 6,049 1,380 Covered 14 Makhaza 3,712 769 Not covered 15 Mbamba 7,790 1,637 Not covered 16 Nshaba 5,497 1,197 Not covered IMPEL | Implementer-Led Evaluation and Learning 32 Annex A: Additional Tables Ward no. Ward name Population Households Covered by AL 17 Bubude 4,444 938 Not covered 18 Nkunzi 4,645 945 Not covered 19 Chefunye 5,500 1,191 Not covered 21 Tshibizina 2,223 432 Not covered 22 Mbambangamandla, Nembe 7,624 1,851 Covered Total 110,014 21,925