IMPACT EVALUATION USAID/SOMA UMENYE ACTIVITY AID-696-TO-16-00002 International Business & Technical Consultants, Inc. (IBTCI) Edward Jay Allan, IBTCI, Project Director Magda Raupp, IBTCI, Team Leader Ali Protik, Mathematica Policy Research, Methodologist Kenn Ndirangu, Incisive Africa, Data Manager Nikita Ramchandani, Mathematica Policy Research, Research Analyst April 26, 2018 1 IMPACT EVALUATION QUESTIONS • 1)To what extent are changes in Kinyarwanda reading outcomes for students in Grades 1-3 attributable to the Soma Umenye activity (as a package)? • 2) To what extent has classroom instruction changed as a result of Soma Umenye? • 3) What is the evidence that improved student reading outcomes in Kinyarwanda lead to improved opportunities for students to succeed in schooling? • 4)To what extent are the improvements in the systematic capacity for early grade reading instruction a result of the Soma Umenye activity? April 26, 2018 2 Random Assignment District Phase 3 Control Phase 2 Non-Study Group Phase 1 Treatment *Big sectors have more than the average number of schools in the district. Small sectors have less than the average number of schools in the district. Small Sectors* Phase 3 Control Phase 2 Non-Study Group Phase 1 Treatment Big Sectors*  Sectors assigned to phases randomly • In each district • In the presence of district officials and sector representatives April 26, 2018 3 Phase 3 Control 168 Sectors Phase 2 Non-Study Group 112 Sectors Phase 1 Intervention 136 Sectors Impact Evaluation Sampling Intervention School = 1 school/sector Student = 18 students/grade/school Teacher = 1 teacher/school Random sample Intervention School = 1 school/sector Student = 18 students/grade/school Teacher = 1 teacher/school Random sample April 26, 2018 4 What and How We Measured • P1 reading skills measured by the EGRA adapted to speakers of Kinyarwanda and to Rwanda’s educational scenario. • Teacher instructional behavior in the Kinyarwanda class measured by the Lesson Observation Protocol. April 26, 2018 5 TREATMENT CONTROL TOTAL SCHOOLS 136 168 304 STUDENTS 2,455 3,011 5,466 MALES 1,229 1,523 2,752 FEMALES 1,226 1,488 2,714 HEAD TEACHERS 122 146 268 TEACHERS 132 155 287 LESSON OBSERV. 129 152 281 Data Sources April 26, 2018 6 Characteristics of the Sample April 26, 2018 7 19.7 30.4 72.7 31.9 11.5 5 15.7 64.3 20.2 31.3 76.5 31.4 9.5 5.2 15 62.9 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Piped water Electric bulb Mobile phone Bicycle Motorcycle Car Television Radio Treatment Control EGRA Results: Timed Sub-tests April 26, 2018 8 22.19 12.11 4.51 4.98 19.41 11.19 3.72 4.27 0 5 10 15 20 25 Letter Identification (MAX 100 clpm) Syllable identification (MAX 100 csilpm) Familiar Word Reading (MAX 50 cwpm) Reading Fluency (MAX 38 orf) Treatment Control April 26, 2018 9 EGRA Results: Untimed Subtests 0.6 0.6 3.9 3.7 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 Treatment Control Reading Comprehension (MAX 5 questions) Listening Comprehension (MAX 5 questions) 3.35% 96.65% 80% correct (183 students) correctly answered 4 out of 5 coprehension questions) Not proficient readers (5,274 students) April 26, 2018 10 Percentage of Proficient Readers Impact on Male and Female Students April 26, 2018 11 24.48 20.58 19.92 18.26 13.54 11.20 10.70 11.17 5.03 4.18 4.00 3.27 5.73 4.89 4.25 3.65 Females T Females C Males T Males C clpm (max 100) csilpm (max 100) cfwpm (max 50) orf (max 38) Impact on Repeaters and Non-Repeaters April 26, 2018 12 24.32 20.79 21.35 18.88 12.39 11.55 12.01 11.05 4.72 4.21 4.81 3.54 5.44 4.72 4.43 4.09 Repeaters T Repeaters C Non-Repeaters T Non-Repeaters C clpm (max 100) csilpm (max 100) cfwpm (max 50) orf (max 38) Soma Umenye Impact on Rural Students April 26, 2018 13 21.79 11.70 4.37 4.81 18.74 9.77 3.52 3.99 clpm (max 100) csilpm (max 100) cfwpm (max 50) orf (max 38) Treatment Control IMPACT EVALUATION QUESTION # 2 To what extent has classroom instruction changed as a result of Soma Umenye? April 26, 2018 14 Lesson Observation Scores April 26, 2018 15 Total lesson observation raw score 20.07 17.88 .45** Lesson preparation raw score 3.01 3.02 .19 Teaching methodology raw score 5.5 5.34 .27 Literacy technical skills raw scores 4.28 4.23 .06 Assessment raw score 3.81 2.85 .96* Use of teaching materials raw score 3.47 2.54 .92** DATA SUPPORTED CONCLUSIONS April 26, 2018 16 # 1 Participation in the Soma Umenye activity has the potential to cause P1 students to improve their basic reading skills, particularly in letter and syllable recognition and familiar word reading. April 26, 2018 17 # 2 The number of words correctly read per minute in connected text was not sufficient to allow P1 students to understand what they read. This is the key reason for the very low percentage of students able to answer the comprehension questions. April 26, 2018 18 # 3 Male and female students in treatment schools benefitted equally from the Soma Umenye activity and both groups scored higher than their counterparts in the control schools. April 26, 2018 19 # 4 One interpretation of the large concentration of scores at the upper limit of the distribution in the listening comprehension sub-test (average score of 3.91 out of a possible 4.0) is that even P1 students who have not yet learned to decode have oral language, vocabulary, and comprehension skills that allow them to answer questions correctly. It is also possible that the sub-test was too easy and produced a ceiling effect. April 26, 2018 20 # 5 While participation in Soma Umenye may contribute to improved student academic achievement and/or improved efficiency down the road, no impact was observed in the rates of tardiness and absenteeism during the first year of implementation. April 26, 2018 21 # 6 The low scores on the EGRA sub-tests that measure pre-reading skills (on the average 20 letters recognized out of 100; 16 syllables out of 100; and fewer than five familiar words out of 50) suggest that students are not receiving sufficient focused classroom instruction and practice to master these skills and become fluent readers by the end of P3. Fluent readers as defined by the EGRA Toolkit (2nd edition, March 2016) “Students are considered fluent readers if they read the entire passage in one minute or less and can answer 80 percent of the reading comprehension questions correctly.” (3.2 out of 4 questions in this particular case). April 26, 2018 22 # 7 It is encouraging that the instructional behavior of the 129 teachers who received Soma Umenye training was half a standard deviation higher than that observed for the 152 control teachers. April 26, 2018 23 # 8 Learning is limited by tardiness and the high rate of absenteeism. Over half of the P1 students self-reported having been absent for at least one day the previous week – and by actual count against the class rosters, over 20 percent of enrolled students were absent the day their class was assessed. April 26, 2018 24 RECOMMENDATIONS April 26, 2018 25 # 1 In the early grades, especially in P1, focus on pre-reading or foundational skills— phonological awareness and alphabetic principles, coupled with practice in applying these skills to the decoding of syllables and words. April 26, 2018 26 # 2 Revisit the EGRA tool used to assess students’ Listening Comprehension skills. April 26, 2018 27 # 3 Focus on early identification of slow or immature learners and provide extra assistance to avoid leaving students behind. The repetition rates observed at P1 should be seen as unacceptable. April 26, 2018 28 # 4 Focus on pre-service training and on what future teachers are learning and practicing while still at teachers’ preparation colleges. Large scale in￾service training is not a sustainable model once project funds are no longer available. April 26, 2018 29 # 5 Make the development and implementation of benchmarks and reading standards for grades P1 – P3 a priority shared by students, teachers, head teachers and community members. April 26, 2018 30 QUESTIONS and COMMENTS April 26, 2018 31